The Future of Cities

[TSmith34, Inc.]

Oh, the irony.

Words: Learn the meaning of them before you try to use them

[TSmith34, Inc.]

🐷🐷

[real chili 83]

Words: Learn the meaning of them before you try to use them

x2

[Shaka Shart]

I had an Investment Banking client that was making a deal with a large video retailer headquartered in Oregon. We used to stay at a great old school hotel in Portland called  The Benson.

A little ways down the street from The Benson was an excellent little hole in the walk establishment called Mary's Club. Our client loved going there .

There is a fancy liberal arts college in Portland call Reed College.   Some of the Reed Girls used to covertly work Marys Club to make a little coin on the side. The Club had a jukebox on stage and the girls would get coins from the audience to play the songs they would dance to.

Sometimes the girls would come out and chat with the audience on all sorts of topics  ( for example philosophy or their upcoming internships)when their shift on stage was done. Was very surreal .

I'm happy that you had great times at Portland's oldest strip club!

[Hards Alumni]

Isn't ur nickname at the bathhouse "Little Chute"?

Now now, you don't need to defend rocket.  He's a grown man.

[Hards Alumni]

    no one has dictated anything to me smith.  what's laughable is you thinking you hold court here with "CW" trying to sound astute. i pose no argument.  so tell me then what hardy is trying to convey with his wikipedia crap about cities and crime rates.  mindless repetition of what?

    so tell me smith, how are things really in san francisco?  seattle?  portland? oakland?  what do your girls on the view tell you?  you continue to try to throw cover for the cities your people have continued to F-up over the past half century or more

My point was naming those cities is your bias talking rather than your knowledge.

Chicago isn't even in the top 10 for violent crime rate per capita.

As I've said, time and time again... educate yourself.  Do the work, find the information, and verify it.  Don't just flip on your TV, radio, or favorite podcast and take their word for it.

[ZiggysFryBoy]

Isn't ur nickname at the bathhouse "Little Chute"?

Nah, he's Grand Chute.

[Hards Alumni]

Nah, he's Grand Chute.

Ah, you know me too well.  See you tomorrow!

[lawdog77]

Interesting map of post pandemic migration

https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/05/24/map-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out/?utm_email=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&g2i_eui=DXnb0FExXdjV0PYVr3%2fI0%2fzz4E3F40VX&g2i_source=newsletter&lctg=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&active=no&utm_source=listrak&utm_medium=email&utm_term=https%3a%2f%2fwww.mercurynews.com%2f2023%2f05%2f24%2fmap-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out%2f&utm_campaign=bang-mult-nl-wednesday-morning-report-nl&utm_content=manual

[Skatastrophy]

Interesting map of post pandemic migration

https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/05/24/map-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out/?utm_email=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&g2i_eui=DXnb0FExXdjV0PYVr3%2fI0%2fzz4E3F40VX&g2i_source=newsletter&lctg=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&active=no&utm_source=listrak&utm_medium=email&utm_term=https%3a%2f%2fwww.mercurynews.com%2f2023%2f05%2f24%2fmap-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out%2f&utm_campaign=bang-mult-nl-wednesday-morning-report-nl&utm_content=manual

Interesting data

They say my neighborhood/zip has had a net migration of -11,000 (about -15% of the population in my neighborhood). That would be very noticeable, and is highly unlikely.

Interesting way to estimate, though, based on US Postal Service change of address forms.

[Herman Cain]

Interesting map of post pandemic migration

https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/05/24/map-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out/?utm_email=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&g2i_eui=DXnb0FExXdjV0PYVr3%2fI0%2fzz4E3F40VX&g2i_source=newsletter&lctg=74367572843174AE64F084CEF8&active=no&utm_source=listrak&utm_medium=email&utm_term=https%3a%2f%2fwww.mercurynews.com%2f2023%2f05%2f24%2fmap-how-did-the-pandemic-exodus-impact-your-hometown-search-this-u-s-map-to-find-out%2f&utm_campaign=bang-mult-nl-wednesday-morning-report-nl&utm_content=manual

Not really a great method for evaluating . The town I used to live in and the town I moved to are both 100 percent occupied at all times. Address changes are just timing differences

[MU Fan in Connecticut]

The biggest office-to-residential conversion project in the US is underway
Gabriela Riccardi
Tue, May 23, 2023 at 6:00 AM EDT

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-office-residential-conversion-project-100000473.html

[Heisenberg]

The biggest office-to-residential conversion project in the US is underway
Gabriela Riccardi
Tue, May 23, 2023 at 6:00 AM EDT

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/biggest-office-residential-conversion-project-100000473.html

I've talked to a number of Manhatten developers about conversions, and what they say is best captured in the final few paragraphs of this story

---

Shifting office floors into living spaces is an expensive endeavor. Reconfiguring the rooms on a floor can resemble a series of puzzles, with architects tasked to create up-to-code units with separate layouts and plumbing. Most challenges are structural: While office windows don't have to open, apartment windows do; while office restrooms are communal, you'd be hard-pressed to find tenants who'd share a shower. Units need to be arranged around a building's perimeter so each unit has access to natural light, leaving the center of large towers unusable. Call it a renovation Rubik's cube.

The larger issue may not be the cost for renovators, but for renters and buyers. Developers want to convert buildings into luxury apartments, rather than more modest digs. But in a country contending with shortages in affordable housing, there isn't a demand for luxe living.

Last year, an analysis by Moody's called office-to-apartment conversions a "fringe trend at best," finding that just 3% of the New York offices it tracked were feasible candidates.

"It's much easier to theorize about office-to-residential conversions than to execute and profit on them," the report wrote.

Why Office-to-Apartment Conversions are Likely a Fringe Trend at Best
https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/cre-trends/office-to-apartment-conversions/

[pbiflyer]

In my travels I stay at several hotels that were former office buildings.

[ZiggysFryBoy]

In my travels I stay at several hotels that were former office buildings.

Staying at the S&M Marriott,  aina?

[Porky's Butthole]

Another interesting article from the WSJ for those with access.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/american-cities-are-starting-to-thrive-again-just-not-near-office-buildings-d839798f?mod=hp_lead_pos10

[Warriors4ever]

https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/taylor-swifts-chicago-soldier-field-concerts-break-chicago-hotel-record/3157392/

Don't write Chicago off just yet....

[tower912]

Only one entity was.

[MU82]

From the Wall Street Journal:

Homicides Are Falling in Major American Cities

https://www.wsj.com/articles/homicides-are-falling-in-major-american-cities-7b0bd906?mod=djemwhatsnews

Homicides in some of America's largest cities are falling after soaring during the first two years of the pandemic.

So far this year, killings are down 12% overall in nine of the 10 most populous cities compared with the same time frame last year, according to local government data.

Homicides are down in six of those cities, including 27% in Los Angeles, 22% in Houston, and 16% in Philadelphia. In Texas, the cities of Dallas, San Antonio and Austin reported slight upticks. San Diego didn't provide data.

The 2023 data available from the cities had different end dates, ranging from April to this week.

Local officials and criminologists say conditions that drove the violence up in 2020 and 2021, such as rise in domestic disputes and a pause in gang-violence prevention programs during the pandemic, as well as a pullback in police enforcement after racial-justice protests over the murder of George Floyd, are receding.

Last year, the number of killings dropped 5% in 70 of the largest U.S. cities from 2021, according to the Major Cities Chiefs Association, which represents police chiefs from large cities.

"Obviously, things got so bad, we're slowly chipping away at it," said Danielle Outlaw, Philadelphia's police commissioner.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation isn't expected to release national crime figures for 2022 until later this year. Murders rose 4% in 2021 after spiking by nearly 30% in 2020, according to the agency's most recent data.

Some criminologists argue that the reduction in violence is tied most closely to the receding effects of the pandemic.

John Roman, a senior fellow in the Economics, Justice and Society Group at NORC at the University of Chicago, said Americans were disconnected from schools, churches, mentors and counseling, which resulted in more deadly conflicts. He said that any impacts on policing from the protests weren't widespread.

[ZiggysFryBoy]

From the Wall Street Journal:

Homicides Are Falling in Major American Cities

https://www.wsj.com/articles/homicides-are-falling-in-major-american-cities-7b0bd906?mod=djemwhatsnews

Homicides in some of America's largest cities are falling after soaring during the first two years of the pandemic.

So far this year, killings are down 12% overall in nine of the 10 most populous cities compared with the same time frame last year, according to local government data.

Homicides are down in six of those cities, including 27% in Los Angeles, 22% in Houston, and 16% in Philadelphia. In Texas, the cities of Dallas, San Antonio and Austin reported slight upticks. San Diego didn't provide data.

The 2023 data available from the cities had different end dates, ranging from April to this week.

Local officials and criminologists say conditions that drove the violence up in 2020 and 2021, such as rise in domestic disputes and a pause in gang-violence prevention programs during the pandemic, as well as a pullback in police enforcement after racial-justice protests over the murder of George Floyd, are receding.

Last year, the number of killings dropped 5% in 70 of the largest U.S. cities from 2021, according to the Major Cities Chiefs Association, which represents police chiefs from large cities.

"Obviously, things got so bad, we're slowly chipping away at it," said Danielle Outlaw, Philadelphia's police commissioner.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation isn't expected to release national crime figures for 2022 until later this year. Murders rose 4% in 2021 after spiking by nearly 30% in 2020, according to the agency's most recent data.

Some criminologists argue that the reduction in violence is tied most closely to the receding effects of the pandemic.

John Roman, a senior fellow in the Economics, Justice and Society Group at NORC at the University of Chicago, said Americans were disconnected from schools, churches, mentors and counseling, which resulted in more deadly conflicts. He said that any impacts on policing from the protests weren't widespread.

I blame climate change.

[muwarrior69]

https://nypost.com/2023/06/08/work-from-home-and-empty-offices-leading-to-doom-loop-for-nyc/

A friend of mine works for New York Life Insurance and use to commute to the city every day. The company relocated his department to Princeton which is only a 10 minute drive from his home. He said about half the workforce at the company no longer work in Manhattan. He said he has saved about 300 dollars a month just for parking and train fare. He still has to go into city about once a month for inter department meetings.

[Jay Bee]

More policing helps

Feds arrested 45 known gang members in the Twin Cities in early May.

They had known to be committing violent crimes, including murders. Let them run free for years. That's helped with murders

Of course, assaults are up. Downtown and uptown both in rough shape.

No hope of return.

#LastDays

[Pakuni]

More policing helps

Feds arrested 45 known gang members in the Twin Cities in early May.

They had known to be committing violent crimes, including murders. Let them run free for years. That's helped with murders

Of course, assaults are up. Downtown and uptown both in rough shape.

No hope of return.

#LastDays

#FakeNews

Violent crime in Minneapolis began to decline last fall, and that trend has continued into 2023.

According to MPD data, carjackings are down 46% year-to-date, robbery has dropped 34%, gunshot wound victims declined nearly 38% and assaults are down 7%.

https://www.axios.com/local/twin-cities/2023/04/05/violent-crime-falling-minneapolis-police-say

[Spotcheck Billy]

More policing helps

Feds arrested 45 known gang members in the Twin Cities in early May.

They had known to be committing violent crimes, including murders. Let them run free for years. That's helped with murders

Of course, assaults are up. Downtown and uptown both in rough shape.

No hope of return.

#LastDays

They had been known to be committing violent crimes, including murders.

[Jay Bee]

#FakeNews

Violent crime in Minneapolis began to decline last fall, and that trend has continued into 2023.

According to MPD data, carjackings are down 46% year-to-date, robbery has dropped 34%, gunshot wound victims declined nearly 38% and assaults are down 7%.

https://www.axios.com/local/twin-cities/2023/04/05/violent-crime-falling-minneapolis-police-say

#FakeNews #Lies

Thanks for a random article Re: 2023 from over two months ago, lol

https://www.minneapolismn.gov/government/government-data/datasource/crime-dashboard/

Data through 6/8 shows assaults are up

Not to mention car thefts about double