Investing Thread

[MU82]

Curious as to what people think in regards to who will win the robotics races in terms of humanoid robots for industry, personal care, and household care. What kind of investment exposure, and where have you invested in this area?

I am always intrigued by the innovations and technical disruptions that could happen and how those might affect investing, but I'm a long-term, fairly conservative investor. So rather than speculate on start-ups and the like, I stick with the big players and trust they will be heavily involved. So in this arena, I own stock in Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia and the like. That's good enough for me, and it suits my investing style.

[Shaka Shart]

It is cheaper to use unskilled labor than robots in the US. If/When that starts changing you will see the shift.

[SoCalEagle]

Congrats to all the AAPL longs out there.  We hit $250+ this week, settling in at $248+.  Seems like we may be price range constrained for a little while with the high P/E ratio (similar to the other high tech big boys), but with strong earnings and another share buyback to be announced we could be on our way to $300+.   

[Herman Cain]

Congrats to all the AAPL longs out there.  We hit $250+ this week, settling in at $248+.  Seems like we may be price range constrained for a little while with the high P/E ratio (similar to the other high tech big boys), but with strong earnings and another share buyback to be announced we could be on our way to $300+.   

Have been long AAPL for over two decades now. Usually when it hits these highs there is a nice pull back and another opportunity for those not in the name to accumulate.

Looking forward to more Dividend increases.

[MU82]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

[rocky_warrior]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

Maybe it's just me, but in November/December some of my small(er) caps (also a small part of my portfolio) did a bunch of catch up.  We'll see if that keeps up.

[jesmu84]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

Too big to fail?

[SoCalEagle]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

[forgetful]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

It's not a micro vs macro issue. It is the fact that so many large traders base everything off of automatic algorithms. The algorithms are impacted by any major unexpected changes in news, both micro and macro. They are largely insensitive to existing unchanged data, because most people, particularly in investing, are reactionary.

The micro issues regarding 99% of companies were unchanged, but there was unexpected macro news, so trading (selling) was triggered in most algorithms.

[MU82]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

I don't see how this is different from what has been the case for quite some time.

[Uncle Rico]

Feeling good about the ol' 401K

[The Sultan]

Feeling good about the ol' 401K

So do I. I just remember what a wise, dearly departed poster once said:

rocket

The greatest economy in the history of the world is on the horizon.

[jficke13]

lol, lmao even.

Buy the ticket, America, enjoy the ride.

[Uncle Rico]

So do I. I just remember what a wise, dearly departed poster once said:

Unemployment numbers might have an uptick shortly.  Ah well, it'll probably be fine.  Sharp price increases on things really won't hurt anymore

[Skatastrophy]

Unemployment numbers might have an uptick shortly.  Ah well, it'll probably be fine.  Sharp price increases on things really won't hurt anymore

While there will be untold economic turmoil, the markets may prove to be resilient.

We went though this same dumb crap in 2018 and the markets ignored it.

Might be tough to ignore once the US auto manufacturers stop production in ~March though.

[forgetful]

Unemployment numbers might have an uptick shortly.  Ah well, it'll probably be fine.  Sharp price increases on things really won't hurt anymore

Stagflation may be a thing again.

[Uncle Rico]

Stagflation may be a thing again.

I have full confidence in our elected members of the house and senate to properly do their jobs to help make sure that doesn't happen

[Pakuni]

While there will be untold economic turmoil, the markets may prove to be resilient.

We went though this same dumb crap in 2018 and the markets ignored it.

Might be tough to ignore once the US auto manufacturers stop production in ~March though.

Maybe, but this is the same dumb crap on trenbolone.

[rocky_warrior]

Maybe, but this is the same dumb crap on trenbolone.

Over time the markets won't ignore it.  But my investments are way ahead of plan after the past couple years, and I've got a good bit of capital to deploy should the market decide to give me a discount.

[jficke13]

Maybe, but this is the same dumb crap on trenbolone.

This time many of the people making the decisions are, themselves, on trenbolone.

[rocky_warrior]

This time many of the people making the decisions are, themselves, on trenbolone.

Adopt, adjust, enjoy.

[tower912]

Adopt, adjust, enjoy.

Tariff-ic attitude.   I think this is going to lead to a tariff-ic jam.

[rocky_warrior]

Tariff-ic attitude.   I think this is going to lead to a tariff-ic jam.

I honestly don't readjust much. Sound strategy and all.  But the daily news leads me to believe Indian (dot, not feather) will probably outperform.

[Uncle Rico]

I honestly don't readjust much. Sound strategy and all.  But the daily news leads me to believe Indian (dot, not feather) will probably outperform.

Solid strategy.  It's a good sector to follow and be part of. 

[rocky_warrior]

Solid strategy.  It's a good sector to follow and be part of. 

Maybe my assume irony filter is broke.  Do you have actual Indian investments to recommend?

Edit: GLIN if you're into ETFs