Investing Thread

[MU82]

Curious as to what people think in regards to who will win the robotics races in terms of humanoid robots for industry, personal care, and household care. What kind of investment exposure, and where have you invested in this area?

I am always intrigued by the innovations and technical disruptions that could happen and how those might affect investing, but I'm a long-term, fairly conservative investor. So rather than speculate on start-ups and the like, I stick with the big players and trust they will be heavily involved. So in this arena, I own stock in Microsoft, Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, Nvidia and the like. That's good enough for me, and it suits my investing style.

[Shaka Shart]

It is cheaper to use unskilled labor than robots in the US. If/When that starts changing you will see the shift.

[SoCalEagle]

Congrats to all the AAPL longs out there.  We hit $250+ this week, settling in at $248+.  Seems like we may be price range constrained for a little while with the high P/E ratio (similar to the other high tech big boys), but with strong earnings and another share buyback to be announced we could be on our way to $300+.   

[Herman Cain]

Congrats to all the AAPL longs out there.  We hit $250+ this week, settling in at $248+.  Seems like we may be price range constrained for a little while with the high P/E ratio (similar to the other high tech big boys), but with strong earnings and another share buyback to be announced we could be on our way to $300+.   

Have been long AAPL for over two decades now. Usually when it hits these highs there is a nice pull back and another opportunity for those not in the name to accumulate.

Looking forward to more Dividend increases.

[MU82]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

[rocky_warrior]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

Maybe it's just me, but in November/December some of my small(er) caps (also a small part of my portfolio) did a bunch of catch up.  We'll see if that keeps up.

[jesmu84]

Investing returns in 2023 and 2024 were great, but they do come with a bit of a caveat: They were almost totally produced by the Magnificent Seven.

Too big to fail?

[SoCalEagle]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

[forgetful]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

It's not a micro vs macro issue. It is the fact that so many large traders base everything off of automatic algorithms. The algorithms are impacted by any major unexpected changes in news, both micro and macro. They are largely insensitive to existing unchanged data, because most people, particularly in investing, are reactionary.

The micro issues regarding 99% of companies were unchanged, but there was unexpected macro news, so trading (selling) was triggered in most algorithms.

[MU82]

After yesterday's market losses, I'm leaning more into thinking that stock prices will become increasingly reliant on macro v micro issues in the coming year(s).  Yesterday, the job numbers were very good, so what resulted?  Market sell off because traders fear the the rate of interest rate cuts by the fed will stall/end.  It's always been a close call, but it now appears that macro issues are outweighing revenue, earnings, and other stock-specific metrics.  Nobody seems to care about how many phones AAPL will sell or what the current P/E of NVDA happens to be.  It's all about macro issues like jobs, tariffs, potential for rate cuts, etc.  One trading day or one data point will not drive my overall decision, but it's certainly something I will be keeping an eye on. 

I don't see how this is different from what has been the case for quite some time.