Bracketology Thread 2023

[GoldenEagles03]

Are we safe on the 3 line?

This result seems like it could yield some recency bias with the committee.

[Uncle Rico]

Are we safe on the 3 line?

This result seems like it could yield some recency bias with the committee.

Yes

[GoldenEagles03]

Yes

Perfect.

[GoldenEagles03]

Yes

Just saw this on Twitter.

https://twitter.com/DavidWorlock/status/1633863058950082561?t=bhDkPJqPYCa-z8y0h0XVpg&s=19

Marquette in all likelihood is already seeded and locked in as a 3 based on this Tweet.

[Uncle Rico]

Just saw this on Twitter.

https://twitter.com/DavidWorlock/status/1633863058950082561?t=bhDkPJqPYCa-z8y0h0XVpg&s=19

Marquette in all likelihood is already seeded and locked in as a 3 based on this Tweet.

Not losing any sleep over it.  Even if they ended up on a 4-line.  Have to beat someone

[ZiggysFryBoy]

Baylor loses their QF game.  Does MU jump them?

[GoldenEagles03]

Baylor about to lose again.

Gimme a 2 seed.  They will fall to 22-10.

Marquette is 26-6 with a win over Baylor.

Idc about Quad wins.  Marquette has 4 more wins, 4 less losses, and a head to head drubbing. At some point wins and losses has to matter.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

Baylor about to lose again.

Gimme a 2 seed.  They will fall to 22-10.

Marquette is 26-6 with a win over Baylor.

Idc about Quad wins.  Marquette has 4 more wins, 4 less losses, and a head to head drubbing. At some point wins and losses has to matter.

Iowa State 3-0 vs Baylor.  Whoever said the Cyclones matchup well with the Bears was spot on.

[tower912]

Playing on Saturday probably equals a 2.

[BM1090]

Playing on Saturday probably equals a 2.

Committee said they have already locked in the top 2 lines. So we're either a 2 right now or won't be getting one.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

Committee said they have already locked in the top 2 lines. So we're either a 2 right now or won't be getting one.

They still scrub the bracket, but it's really hard to change much.

[tower912]

Baylor losing today and MU playing Saturday may flip them.   So, win tomorrow and force the committee's hand.  Or give MU something to feel dissed about.

[PGsHeroes32]

Baylor losing today and MU playing Saturday may flip them.   So, win tomorrow and force the committee's hand.  Or give MU something to feel dissed about.

Yeah I think we have to at least beat Uconn(or prov tho I doubt they win) to have a shot to pass Baylor.

I stand by it that if we do find a way to win the BET we will be a 2 as ive always said.

[MU82]

Baylor about to lose again.

Gimme a 2 seed.  They will fall to 22-10.

Marquette is 26-6 with a win over Baylor.

Idc about Quad wins.  Marquette has 4 more wins, 4 less losses, and a head to head drubbing. At some point wins and losses has to matter.

Unfortunately, what Scoopers say doesn't matter to the selection committee. Hard to believe, dammit, but true.

[rocket surgeon]

Committee said they have already locked in the top 2 lines. So we're either a 2 right now or won't be getting one.

  that's what erasers are for

[pbiflyer]

Unfortunately, what Scoopers say doesn't matter to the selection committee. Hard to believe, dammit, but true.

Ban dis guy! 

[Galway Eagle]

AZ and TX win unfortunately. Baylor & K St lose so I'm still hopeful we're in contention but I'd guess we need at least the UConn game tomorrow to make the 2?

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I think with Arizona winning, the 2-seed door is slammed shut. But hey, might as well win the BET and test that theory.

Problem is, Gonzaga may have jumped us on the S-Curve.

[GoldenEagles03]

Listening to this I think there is a very real scenario where Marquette jumps Baylor to the 2 line.

Kansas State and Baylor both lost already and Gonzaga's resume is complete.

https://youtu.be/gd8vKbAhM30

[DoctorV]

I think with Arizona winning, the 2-seed door is slammed shut. But hey, might as well win the BET and test that theory.

Problem is, Gonzaga may have jumped us on the S-Curve.

Before the Gonzaga versus St Mary's game most of what we heard was that this late in the season one game won't change much.
Then the Zags walloped St Mary's and all of a sudden they jumped several spots in many minds to be in contention for a 2 seed.

Same could happen tonight. Go out, play a great game and beat UConn, whether soundly or just comfortably, and move up into the 2 seed line.
I know most don't agree with that, but that's how I've felt for a few weeks now.

Outside of some games saying close, Marquette has done nothing wrong since the reveal in the win/loss column. They've won every game to this point and won an outright BE Title.
That has to stand for something.

A win tonight would move Marquette to the 2 line imo.
I wouldn't be crushed if they got a 3, but I'd feel like the committee made a mistake and I hope the team would feel that way to, you know the chip on the shoulder angle.
I just prefer the 2 because, for the most part, the 15s are easier opponents than the 14s.

Does anyone have the statistical data on 15 over 2 versus 14 over 3 upsets?

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

You can say it stands for something but that didn't make it so.

Gonzaga was always inches behind us so they didn't have to make a big jump. The difference between us is that they played their games before the cutoff. The selection committee has already seeded the top 4 seeds. They'll scrub again on Saturday but historically it's hard to move after the seeds are set.

[PGsHeroes32]

This 2 vs 3 convo is very repetitive ha.

Lets just play tonights game before we revisit it.

Because right now we definitely are a 3

[DoctorV]

You can say it stands for something but that didn't make it so.

Gonzaga was always inches behind us so they didn't have to make a big jump. The difference between us is that they played their games before the cutoff. The selection committee has already seeded the top 4 seeds. They'll scrub again on Saturday but historically it's hard to move after the seeds are set.

It may not be an official criteria, but it does stand for something though.

How do I know?

Well because as most all of us do I watch every selection show, and the interviews by the committee chair after the reveal. Several times during those conversations the Chair has alluded to the 1 seeds and their resumes, including things like Quad 1 wins, scheduling a tough schedule, and winning their regular season and conference championships.

[RushmoreAcademy]

Before the Gonzaga versus St Mary's game most of what we heard was that this late in the season one game won't change much.
Then the Zags walloped St Mary's and all of a sudden they jumped several spots in many minds to be in contention for a 2 seed.

Same could happen tonight. Go out, play a great game and beat UConn, whether soundly or just comfortably, and move up into the 2 seed line.
I know most don't agree with that, but that's how I've felt for a few weeks now.

Outside of some games saying close, Marquette has done nothing wrong since the reveal in the win/loss column. They've won every game to this point and won an outright BE Title.
That has to stand for something.

A win tonight would move Marquette to the 2 line imo.
I wouldn't be crushed if they got a 3, but I'd feel like the committee made a mistake and I hope the team would feel that way to, you know the chip on the shoulder angle.
I just prefer the 2 because, for the most part, the 15s are easier opponents than the 14s.

Does anyone have the statistical data on 15 over 2 versus 14 over 3 upsets?

I was wondering the same thing. I think there is at least some reasonably sizable difference but I could be wrong.
On top of that, what's the 2 v 7 vs the 3 v 6 percentages

[Galway Eagle]

Before the Gonzaga versus St Mary's game most of what we heard was that this late in the season one game won't change much.
Then the Zags walloped St Mary's and all of a sudden they jumped several spots in many minds to be in contention for a 2 seed.

Same could happen tonight. Go out, play a great game and beat UConn, whether soundly or just comfortably, and move up into the 2 seed line.
I know most don't agree with that, but that's how I've felt for a few weeks now.

Outside of some games saying close, Marquette has done nothing wrong since the reveal in the win/loss column. They've won every game to this point and won an outright BE Title.
That has to stand for something.

A win tonight would move Marquette to the 2 line imo.
I wouldn't be crushed if they got a 3, but I'd feel like the committee made a mistake and I hope the team would feel that way to, you know the chip on the shoulder angle.
I just prefer the 2 because, for the most part, the 15s are easier opponents than the 14s.

Does anyone have the statistical data on 15 over 2 versus 14 over 3 upsets?

19 3 seed upsets to 9 2 seed upsets iirc Wikipedia has a whole page on ncaa upsets.