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Lennys Tap

Quote from: TAMU, the Wizard of MU Basketball on September 26, 2022, 09:01:48 AM
I don't think you're crazy, but I don't think that's the right way to look at betting projections. Say for argument's sake that Vegas gives the Bears a 25% shot of winning in each of their remaining games besides Washington which we will give them as a win. You have to multiply that 75% likelihood of loss by each remaining game. So they have 75% chance of losing their next game. 75% x 75% = 56.25% of losing the next 2 games. 56.25% x 75% =42.1875% of losing their next three games. Do that for all the remaining games and the Bears would have a 2.3757264% chance of losing the other 13 games.

I haven't actually looked but my guess is that Vegas gives the Bears a lot better than 25% chance in most of their remaining games. So while yes the Bears will be the underdog in 13/14 remaining games, it is not reasonable to expect that they will lose ever game that they are an underdog in.

Disclaimer, I am a Packers fan and think the Bears still suck

TAMU

You're correct. My best guess is that the Bears (on average) have about a 35% in each of their remaining 14 games. Most likely win number is 6, next most likely 5, then 7. 2 chances in 1000 they don't win any.

BM1090

#851
Giants with a good chance at being 4-0 when they square off vs. GB in London

Edit: never mind

CreightonWarrior

I don't think the Miami medical staff will be able to get away with calling this one a back injury.

Pakuni

Chris Nowinski, co-founder and CEO of the Concussion Legacy Foundation, and co-founder of the Boston University CTE Center, earlier today:

@ChrisNowinski1: If Tua takes the field tonight, it's a massive step back for #concussion care in the NFL.
If he has a 2nd concussion that destroys his season or career, everyone involved will be sued & should lose their jobs, coaches included. We all saw it, even they must know this isn't right

wadesworld

Terrifying. Never should've been playing the second half and certainly not 5 days later.

PGsHeroes32

Fins are screwed.

An absolutely massive lawsuit is coming.
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

MuggsyB

I guess I missed that he was hurt on Sunday.  This sounds like a mess.  Hopefully he's okay. 

MU82

"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell

JWags85

The Bears offensive line actively tried to get Fields killed.  Pass Pro is just SHOCKING. 

He played better today in many facets, but he still doesn't look comfortable in the pocket and making some of the precision reads...which is completely amplified by a porous O Line.  Man that was an ugly game.

CreightonWarrior

Kenny completed all 13 of his passes today. Unfortunately 3 of those were caught by Jets.

tower912

Quote from: tower912 on September 25, 2022, 03:45:34 PM
Not enough playmakers on defense.   Only way to win is to win a shootout.  I predict they will not win a game scoring under 28 this year.
Lions bump
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.

CreightonWarrior

Cut Rodgers and give Gary his money.

cheebs09

I remember when people wanted Gutey gone for the Gary pick.

Herman Cain

Last second invite to a corporate suite at Raiders game

Allegiant is quite the stadium
"It was a Great Day until it wasn't"
    ——Rory McIlroy on Final Round at Pinehurst

cheebs09

Was Rodgers tailgating in the parking lot before the game?

CreightonWarrior


Jockey

Quote from: cheebs09 on October 02, 2022, 04:48:46 PM
Was Rodgers tailgating in the parking lot before the game?

Him and the defense.

Jockey


Lennys Tap

Quote from: JWags85 on October 02, 2022, 03:07:31 PM

He played better today in many facets

I guess he was better than last week (when he had 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) but he was still awful.

Jockey

Joe Barry Carroll is in way over his head.

Lennys Tap

Quote from: Jockey on October 02, 2022, 05:23:55 PM
Him and the defense.

Patriots running it right down their throats.

Jockey

Quote from: Lennys Tap on October 02, 2022, 05:42:52 PM
I guess he was better than last week (when he had 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) but he was still awful.

A rookie 4th round nobody small colleges QB for New England is a better QB than Fields. So is Davis Mills  So is Cooper Rush.

Dish

What a waste of a challenge/timeout.

cheebs09

This feels like the most Rodgers has gone downfield in awhile.

I don't know why the Packers hate timeouts.

CreightonWarrior

What an awful challenge. That timeout would be nice.

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