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Author Topic: 2022-2023 NFL Season  (Read 121212 times)

Lennys Tap

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #850 on: September 26, 2022, 09:02:22 PM »
I don't think you're crazy, but I don't think that's the right way to look at betting projections. Say for argument's sake that Vegas gives the Bears a 25% shot of winning in each of their remaining games besides Washington which we will give them as a win. You have to multiply that 75% likelihood of loss by each remaining game. So they have 75% chance of losing their next game. 75% x 75% = 56.25% of losing the next 2 games. 56.25% x 75% =42.1875% of losing their next three games. Do that for all the remaining games and the Bears would have a 2.3757264% chance of losing the other 13 games.

I haven't actually looked but my guess is that Vegas gives the Bears a lot better than 25% chance in most of their remaining games. So while yes the Bears will be the underdog in 13/14 remaining games, it is not reasonable to expect that they will lose ever game that they are an underdog in.

Disclaimer, I am a Packers fan and think the Bears still suck

TAMU

You’re correct. My best guess is that the Bears (on average) have about a 35% in each of their remaining 14 games. Most likely win number is 6, next most likely 5, then 7. 2 chances in 1000 they don’t win any.

BM1090

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #851 on: September 26, 2022, 09:19:14 PM »
Giants with a good chance at being 4-0 when they square off vs. GB in London

Edit: never mind
« Last Edit: September 26, 2022, 10:25:36 PM by BM1090 »

CreightonWarrior

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #852 on: September 29, 2022, 08:38:09 PM »
I don’t think the Miami medical staff will be able to get away with calling this one a back injury.

Pakuni

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #853 on: September 29, 2022, 08:53:24 PM »
Chris Nowinski, co-founder and CEO of the Concussion Legacy Foundation, and co-founder of the Boston University CTE Center, earlier today:

@ChrisNowinski1: If Tua takes the field tonight, it's a massive step back for #concussion care in the NFL.
If he has a 2nd concussion that destroys his season or career, everyone involved will be sued & should lose their jobs, coaches included. We all saw it, even they must know this isn't right

wadesworld

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #854 on: September 29, 2022, 08:58:22 PM »
Terrifying. Never should’ve been playing the second half and certainly not 5 days later.
Rocket Trigger Warning (wild that saying this would trigger anyone, but it's the world we live in): Black Lives Matter

PGsHeroes32

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #855 on: September 29, 2022, 09:41:26 PM »
Fins are screwed.

An absolutely massive lawsuit is coming.
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

MuggsyB

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #856 on: September 29, 2022, 10:38:58 PM »
I guess I missed that he was hurt on Sunday.  This sounds like a mess.  Hopefully he's okay. 

MU82

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #857 on: September 29, 2022, 11:15:40 PM »
Disgusting.
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

JWags85

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #858 on: October 02, 2022, 03:07:31 PM »
The Bears offensive line actively tried to get Fields killed.  Pass Pro is just SHOCKING. 

He played better today in many facets, but he still doesn't look comfortable in the pocket and making some of the precision reads...which is completely amplified by a porous O Line.  Man that was an ugly game.

CreightonWarrior

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #859 on: October 02, 2022, 03:18:15 PM »
Kenny completed all 13 of his passes today. Unfortunately 3 of those were caught by Jets.

tower912

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #860 on: October 02, 2022, 03:38:58 PM »
Not enough playmakers on defense.   Only way to win is to win a shootout.  I predict they will not win a game scoring under 28 this year.
Lions bump
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.

CreightonWarrior

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #861 on: October 02, 2022, 04:45:21 PM »
Cut Rodgers and give Gary his money.

cheebs09

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #862 on: October 02, 2022, 04:45:51 PM »
I remember when people wanted Gutey gone for the Gary pick.

Herman Cain

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #863 on: October 02, 2022, 04:46:25 PM »
Last second invite to a corporate suite at Raiders game

Allegiant is quite the stadium
Winning is overrated. The only time it is really important is in surgery and war.
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cheebs09

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #864 on: October 02, 2022, 04:48:46 PM »
Was Rodgers tailgating in the parking lot before the game?

CreightonWarrior

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #865 on: October 02, 2022, 04:49:23 PM »
Don’t do drugs, kids.

Jockey

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #866 on: October 02, 2022, 05:23:55 PM »
Was Rodgers tailgating in the parking lot before the game?

Him and the defense.

Jockey

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #867 on: October 02, 2022, 05:26:11 PM »
And the officials.

Lennys Tap

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #868 on: October 02, 2022, 05:42:52 PM »

He played better today in many facets

I guess he was better than last week (when he had 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) but he was still awful.

Jockey

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #869 on: October 02, 2022, 05:44:29 PM »
Joe Barry Carroll is in way over his head.

Lennys Tap

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #870 on: October 02, 2022, 05:45:42 PM »
Him and the defense.

Patriots running it right down their throats.

Jockey

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #871 on: October 02, 2022, 05:47:55 PM »
I guess he was better than last week (when he had 2 fumbles and 2 interceptions) but he was still awful.

A rookie 4th round nobody small colleges QB for New England is a better QB than Fields. So is Davis Mills  So is Cooper Rush.

DegenerateDish

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #872 on: October 02, 2022, 06:12:15 PM »
What a waste of a challenge/timeout.

cheebs09

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #873 on: October 02, 2022, 06:13:22 PM »
This feels like the most Rodgers has gone downfield in awhile.

I don’t know why the Packers hate timeouts.

CreightonWarrior

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Re: 2022-2023 NFL Season
« Reply #874 on: October 02, 2022, 06:15:13 PM »
What an awful challenge. That timeout would be nice.

 

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