Bubble Watch 2018

[Dr. Blackheart]

If PC, Hall and MU all end 9-9, MU gets 5 seed. PC plays SJU on Sat.

Just win, baby!

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

All we can do now is win the game ahead of us. If we lose, we're the seven, if we win, we might still be the seven seed. Just win the game and let the chips fall where they may.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

It is likely that if we end up with either the 5 or 6, our opponent would be Butler or Creighton. Give me Butler. Would be awfully tough to beat Creighton 2x in 5 days and 3x in a couple weeks.

[WindyCityGoldenEagle]

If PC, Hall and MU all end 9-9, MU gets 5 seed. PC plays SJU on Sat.

Thanks

[bilsu]

If PC, Hall and MU all end 9-9, MU gets 5 seed. PC plays SJU on Sat.

St John's won tonight, So I think the 7th seed plays DePaul.

[WindyCityGoldenEagle]

St John's won tonight, So I think the 7th seed plays DePaul.

Corrrct, which is why it's importsnt to get out of the 7 slot.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

Beat Creighton & get to BET Semis= NCAA Lock
Beat Creighton & lose in BET Quarters= Squarely on the bubble
Beat Creighton & lose to DePaul= NIT

Lose to Creighton & get to BET final= NCAA Lock
Lose to Creighton & get to BET Semis= Squarely on the bubble
Lose to Creighton & lose in BET quarters or 1st round=NIT

[wisblue]

It is likely that if we end up with either the 5 or 6, our opponent would be Butler or Creighton. Give me Butler. Would be awfully tough to beat Creighton 2x in 5 days and 3x in a couple weeks.

If MU were to get the 5 seed I think Butler would win the tiebreaker with Creighton and get the 3 seed, leaving MU to play CU.

If MU gets the 6, it would mean a 3 way tie between CU, Butler, and PC at 10-8 and I'm too tired right now to try to figure out how that would be decided. But I think PC would win it because the 3 teams were all 2-2 against each other and PC's win over Xavier would give them the 3.

MU as a 6 playing PC as a 3 wouldn't be a bad deal.

Someone should have these all sorted out tomorrow.

[auburnmarquette]

If MU were to get the 5 seed I think Butler would win the tiebreaker with Creighton and get the 3 seed, leaving MU to play CU.

If MU gets the 6, it would mean a 3 way tie between CU, Butler, and PC at 10-8 and I'm too tired right now to try to figure out how that would be decided. But I think PC would win it because the 3 teams were all 2-2 against each other and PC's win over Xavier would give them the 3.

MU as a 6 playing PC as a 3 wouldn't be a bad deal.

Someone should have these all sorted out tomorrow.

I just tried to play this out and and posted a poll on it - but it looks like PC gets the 3 seed with wins over both Xavier and Villanova (all three teams split in the miniconference) and then Butler and Creighton are tied all the way through who beat us - so Butler gets the 4 seed and Creighton the 5. It looks like we avoid Butler, which I would like.

[wisblue]

I just tried to play this out and and posted a poll on it - but it looks like PC gets the 3 seed with wins over both Xavier and Villanova (all three teams split in the miniconference) and then Butler and Creighton are tied all the way through who beat us - so Butler gets the 4 seed and Creighton the 5. It looks like we avoid Butler, which I would like.

I agree with the result. The way I understand the tiebreakers, in the three way tie with PC, Butler, and CU, PC's win over Xavier would give it the 3 spot assuming Xavier beats DePaul and gets the 1 seed. Even if Xavier loses and Villanova gets the 1 seed, all 3 of those teams have wins over Nova and PCs win over #2 Xavier would decide it.

[SaveOD238]

Lots of good results for MU tonight!  Even a couple teams I didn't include here lost, such as Temple (probably out) and Florida State (probably in).

Providence still has to play Seton Hall, @Georgetown, @X, and vs. St Johns.  Go Hoyas/Muskies/Johnnies!

K-State still has to play @Oklahoma, @TCU, and Baylor.  Go Sooners/Frogs!

USC has to play @Colorado, @Utah, and UCLA.  Go Buffs (again)!

Texas still has to play OK State, @Kansas, and West Va.  Go Cowboys/Jayhawks/Mountaineers!

St. Bonaventure still has to play @VCU, Davidson, @SLU.  Go Rams/Bobcats/Billikens!

Louisville has to play @VT, Virginia, and @NC State.  Go Hokies/Cavs!

Baylor has to play @TCU, Oklahoma, and @KState.  Go Frogs (again) and Sooners (again)

——————————————————-BracketMatrix Cut Line——————————————-

UCLA still has to play @Utah, @Colorado, and @USC.  Go Buffs/Trojans!

Syracuse has to play @Duke, @BC, and Clemson.  Go Devils/Eagles/Tigers!

Washington has to play @Stanford, @Cal, Oregon St, and Oregon.  Go Cardinal/Bears/Beavers/Ducks!

Mississippi St has to play South Carolina, Tennessee, and @LSU.  Go Cocks/Vols!

LSU has to play @Georgia, @South Carolina, and MissSt.  Go Cocks (again)!

Boise State has to play @SDSU and Wyoming.

Nebraska just has Penn St.  BT Tournament: winner of Mich or Iowa

MARQUETTE

Utah has to play UCLA, USC, Colorado.  Go Buffs (again!)

Georgia has to play LSU, TA&M, @Tenn.  Go Aggies/Vols!

[Jay Bee]

Would be awfully tough to beat Creighton 2x in 5 days and 3x in a couple weeks.

Why?

[DUNKS45]

Butler is a really tough match up for us, I'd rather play Creighton again. Looking forward to Saturdays last game  at home, we need  to bring it.

[IrwinFletcher]

Don't look now, but with Georgia's loss, they have now moved into a Q3 loss giving us 2 in that category.  Going to hurt us a bit.  Need them to win a game or two at the end.

[Its DJOver]

Don't look now, but with Georgia's loss, they have now moved into a Q3 loss giving us 2 in that category.  Going to hurt us a bit.  Need them to win a game or two at the end.

A win this weekend, @TENN, or a win in the first round of the SEC tourney, right now MISSOU, would pretty much lock them into a Q2 loss.  Need to get one.

[GoldenDieners32]

A win this weekend, @TENN, or a win in the first round of the SEC tourney, right now MISSOU, would pretty much lock them into a Q2 loss.  Need to get one.

@Tenn is their last game before the SEC tourney

[Its DJOver]

@Tenn is their last game before the SEC tourney

Was that not clear?

[KampusFoods]

It is likely that if we end up with either the 5 or 6, our opponent would be Butler or Creighton. Give me Butler. Would be awfully tough to beat Creighton 2x in 5 days and 3x in a couple weeks.

I think I'd rather take the team that we've beaten twice (hypothetically) as opposed to the one that has pretty much manhandled us for 2 full games.

Just win baby

[Its DJOver]

Did Lunardi just release a new bracket that has no movement from his one yesterday?
1) How is no movement possible with the losses by bubble teams yesterday?
2) If there really was no movement, why post a new bracket?

[TallTitan34]

2) If there really was no movement, why post a new bracket?

Possibly to show that yesterday's outcomes changed nothing.

[forgetful]

Did Lunardi just release a new bracket that has no movement from his one yesterday?
1) How is no movement possible with the losses by bubble teams yesterday?
2) If there really was no movement, why post a new bracket?

I think the purpose was to prove he is a lazy SOB.

[Windyplayer]

Possibly to show that yesterday's outcomes changed nothing.

Cuse losing by 15 to BC changes a lot for them.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Why?

Maybe its cliche, but beating a team you're pretty much of par with 3/3 time is quite a challenge.  Sh*t, beating them 2/2 times is going to be quite a challenge.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Don't look now, but with Georgia's loss, they have now moved into a Q3 loss giving us 2 in that category.  Going to hurt us a bit.  Need them to win a game or two at the end.

Kinda figured that may be the case with a loss last night.  So many opportunities to win that game last night...just awful execution.

Cuse losing by 15 to BC changes a lot for them.

Yah, surprised we didn't see Cuse drop more.

I think I'd rather take the team that we've beaten twice (hypothetically) as opposed to the one that has pretty much manhandled us for 2 full games.

Just win baby

Just a gut feeling.  I don't particularly want to play Creighton 2x in 5 days and needing a win in both.

[Windyplayer]

Food for thought from Bart Torvik in response to someone on Twitter:

"Marquette's fate may well depend on how impressive the committee thinks that road win is over Creighton is. That the chair is Creighton's AD could be a good thing."