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Next up: A long offseason

Marquette
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Marquette
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denverMU




MU82

#5 makes sense.

I thought it was interesting that, despite losing by double digits to St. John's, Creighton moved up 3 spots. Shows how powerful a win over a team as good as UConn can be. Also, Washington State moved up thanks to its win at AZ even though it then lost by 12 to Bobby Hurley's dreadful squad.

Madison's still well out of the rankings and Dayton dropped 5, so that's nice!
"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell

CountryRoads

Think it's funny how most analysts 2 weeks ago were very boldly saying "It is UCONN and Purdue, then everyone else". Last week it was "UCONN, then everyone else". Now neither team is ranked number one after getting losing road games. It's almost like none of that was the case to begin with. Lot of parity.

MUbiz

Quote from: CountryRoads on February 26, 2024, 12:30:14 PM
Think it's funny how most analysts 2 weeks ago were very boldly saying "It is UCONN and Purdue, then everyone else". Last week it was "UCONN, then everyone else". Now neither team is ranked number one after getting losing road games. It's almost like none of that was the case to begin with. Lot of parity.

I agree with the parity comment. The talking media heads get caught up with the shiny object of the week and need something to talk about. The truth is there are probably 8-10 teams that can win in March, and MU is one of those teams.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: CountryRoads on February 26, 2024, 12:30:14 PM
Think it's funny how most analysts 2 weeks ago were very boldly saying "It is UCONN and Purdue, then everyone else". Last week it was "UCONN, then everyone else". Now neither team is ranked number one after getting losing road games. It's almost like none of that was the case to begin with. Lot of parity.

They shouldn't have been excluding Houston...but there is a clear divide between Houston, UConn, and Purdue and the rest of the field. Doesn't mean they're unbeatable but they've separated themselves and will need to completely fall apart to not be the top 3 1 seeds come selection Sunday.

Each of them has three losses. No other P6 team has less than 6 losses. They are literally three wins ahead of every P6 team.
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.



TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: MuggsyB on February 26, 2024, 10:24:47 AM
I get that the computers hate this team and they haven't had a tough schedule but they've lost one game since Dec 2nd.  They've won 19 of their last 20.  Winning isn't easy, even in the AAC.  That coach deserves a lot of credit.  I just think they'll finally be rewarded and get into the polls.

So we ended up being both right. Utah State got ranked above South Florida, but South Florida snuck in at #25. I was pleasantly surprised that the voters dropped Wisconsin from 88 votes last week to 42 this week. Their only game was beating Maryland by 4 which was a bad result, but I thought they would move up just because everyone else around them lost. Voters may be smarter than I give them credit for!

Then again....14-14 Arizona State somehow got 17 votes so maybe not that smart.
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


lawdog77

Quote from: TAMU, Knower of Ball on February 26, 2024, 12:53:01 PM
So we ended up being both right. Utah State got ranked above South Florida, but South Florida snuck in at #25. I was pleasantly surprised that the voters dropped Wisconsin from 88 votes last week to 42 this week. Their only game was beating Maryland by 4 which was a bad result, but I thought they would move up just because everyone else around them lost. Voters may be smarter than I give them credit for!

Then again....14-14 Arizona State somehow got 17 votes so maybe not that smart.
One voter probably mistook them for Arizona

TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: lawdog77 on February 26, 2024, 12:54:25 PM
One voter probably mistook them for Arizona

I thought that too...but he has Arizona #6 and Arizona State #9. The only ranked teams not on his ballot are #21 Dayton, #22, Utah State, and #24 Florida. So unless he tried to rank Arizona twice and clicked wrong the second time....I have no idea how that happened.

https://collegepolltracker.com/basketball/pollster/bret-bloomquist/2023/week-17
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


MuggsyB

Quote from: TAMU, Knower of Ball on February 26, 2024, 12:53:01 PM
So we ended up being both right. Utah State got ranked above South Florida, but South Florida snuck in at #25. I was pleasantly surprised that the voters dropped Wisconsin from 88 votes last week to 42 this week. Their only game was beating Maryland by 4 which was a bad result, but I thought they would move up just because everyone else around them lost. Voters may be smarter than I give them credit for!

Then again....14-14 Arizona State somehow got 17 votes so maybe not that smart.

BAM.  MU is #5.

I occasionally get something right and just had a gut feeling with USF.  :)


WhiteTrash

Quote from: lawdog77 on February 26, 2024, 12:54:25 PM
One voter probably mistook them for Arizona
Or thought they were voting for Danny Hurley?

SaveOD238

Quote from: TAMU, Knower of Ball on February 26, 2024, 12:44:03 PM
They shouldn't have been excluding Houston...but there is a clear divide between Houston, UConn, and Purdue and the rest of the field. Doesn't mean they're unbeatable but they've separated themselves and will need to completely fall apart to not be the top 3 1 seeds come selection Sunday.

Each of them has three losses. No other P6 team has less than 6 losses. They are literally three wins ahead of every P6 team.

It's really obvious when you look just at straight-up records.  The gap between those three and the rest of the field is WIDE.

24-3 (Houston)
25-3 (Uconn)
25-3 (Purdue)
21-6 (literally every team from 4 to 11)
20-8 (Creighton)

HowardsWorld

Quote from: SaveOD238 on February 26, 2024, 02:57:47 PM
It's really obvious when you look just at straight-up records.  The gap between those three and the rest of the field is WIDE.

24-3 (Houston)
25-3 (Uconn)
25-3 (Purdue)
21-6 (literally every team from 4 to 11)
20-8 (Creighton)

Any normal year 6 losses would never have you in contention for a 1 seed unless you played in the top ranked conferecnce similar to the 2011 Big East. But yes there is quite a dropp off. Doesn't mean those 3 are safe tho come tournament time.

El Guerrero 2

At the end of the day, if we win out in the regular season we will be the fourth 1 seed, which is really all you can ask for if you're a Marquette fan at the end of February.

Jay Bee

Quote from: El Guerrero 2 on February 26, 2024, 03:51:34 PM
At the end of the day, if we win out in the regular season we will be the fourth 1 seed, which is really all you can ask for if you're a Marquette fan at the end of February.

Wat
The portal is NOT closed.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: El Guerrero 2 on February 26, 2024, 03:51:34 PM
At the end of the day, if we win out in the regular season we will be the fourth 1 seed, which is really all you can ask for if you're a Marquette fan at the end of February.

What if Tennessee also wins out the regular season? Same question for Kansas.

We don't control our own destiny for a 1 seed. We will need others to lose.
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


MuggsyB

Realistically getting a #1 will be quite difficult.  But I've gotta tell you when I look at the potential 3 or 4 seeds, I see very little that distinguishes these teams.  I think the weakest of the lot is Duke. 

MarquetteMike1977

The 8 Teams ranked between #4 and #11 all have the same 21-6 records

real chili 83

Just win out. Quality wins against Creighton and UConn will speak volumes.

Newsdreams

Goal is National Championship
CBP profile my people who landed here over 100 yrs before Mayflower. Most I've had to deal with are ignorant & low IQ.
Can't believe we're living in the land of F 452/1984/Animal Farm/Brave New World/Handmaid's Tale. When travel to Mars begins, expect Starship Troopers

IL Warrior

Quote from: HowardsWorld on February 26, 2024, 03:00:55 PM
Any normal year 6 losses would never have you in contention for a 1 seed unless you played in the top ranked conferecnce similar to the 2011 Big East. But yes there is quite a dropp off. Doesn't mean those 3 are safe tho come tournament time.
False.
Since 2012, only 1 year did not have a 1-seed with 6+ losses.
Since 2016, every year has had at least one 1-seed with 6- losses.

brewcity77

Quote from: IL Warrior on February 27, 2024, 06:24:22 AM
False.
Since 2012, only 1 year did not have a 1-seed with 6+ losses.
Since 2016, every year has had at least one 1-seed with 6- losses.

At the end of the season, yes. With two weeks plus conference tournaments? No. Looking back, on the morning of February 27...

  • 2012: Michigan State had 5 losses
  • 2013: Indiana had 4 losses
  • 2014: Virginia had 5 losses
  • 2015: No 1-seed had 6+ losses
  • 2016: UVA and Oregon did both have 6 losses at this point
  • 2017: UNC had 5 losses
  • 2018: Kansas had 6 losses
  • 2019: UNC had 5 losses
  • 2020: No Tournament, but no projected 1-seed would've had 6 losses
  • 2021: Illinois had 6 losses
  • 2022: Baylor had 5 losses
  • 2023: Kansas had 5 losses
It's more common of late, but generally speaking, in the past 12 seasons, only 4 eventual 1-seeds (8.3%) in 3 seasons (25%) had 6 losses at this point of the season. It's not common to have this many teams with 6 losses in play for a 1-seed at this point of the season.

IL Warrior

Quote from: brewcity77 on February 27, 2024, 08:19:45 AM
At the end of the season, yes. With two weeks plus conference tournaments? No. Looking back, on the morning of February 27...

  • 2012: Michigan State had 5 losses
  • 2013: Indiana had 4 losses
  • 2014: Virginia had 5 losses
  • 2015: No 1-seed had 6+ losses
  • 2016: UVA and Oregon did both have 6 losses at this point
  • 2017: UNC had 5 losses
  • 2018: Kansas had 6 losses
  • 2019: UNC had 5 losses
  • 2020: No Tournament, but no projected 1-seed would've had 6 losses
  • 2021: Illinois had 6 losses
  • 2022: Baylor had 5 losses
  • 2023: Kansas had 5 losses
It's more common of late, but generally speaking, in the past 12 seasons, only 4 eventual 1-seeds (8.3%) in 3 seasons (25%) had 6 losses at this point of the season. It's not common to have this many teams with 6 losses in play for a 1-seed at this point of the season.
Fair. But it looks like you agree that "any normal year" and "never" are gross overstatements, especially when he said "in contention" which would not necessitate actually receiving a 1-seed.

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