Scholarship table
There are several jokes for this one, but it may be too soon. On a serious note, autonomous cars are coming, too.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny. Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.
Better question would be how many y'all would get in a plane with keefe shoutin' the buggy?
A huge change is coming to our economy. Currently we have 4.5 million jobs loosely titled "driver" That is cabbies, truck drivers, pilots, forklifts, loaders, etc. "Driver" is the largest job title in the United States. The technology is almost there now to automate these jobs, maybe 3 to 5 years away. What will drive the change to "driverless" is insurance rates. 20 years from now if you want to buy a car you drive, in a world of driverless cars, your insurance rate could run several thousand dollars. Driverless insurance rates could run a few hundred dollars. This is what will push the change to driverless.In the future, push a button on your phone and within two minutes a driverless car shows up and takes you where you want to go. And if you add up the cost of these hundreds and hundreds of driverless car rides, it will total far less than what you pay now to own your "driver car."Question, what happens to the 4.5 million people that have "driver jobs?" Elimination of those jobs cannot be stopped, they are going away. But what happens when this low barrier to entry largely unskilled job disappears?---------------Let me head off the typical question about driverless cars. Right now human drivers kill 40,000 and injury 400,000 a year. Driverless cars do not have to be perfect. They will still kill and injury. They will just do it at a far lower rate than humans. And when people realize human drivers on the road with driverless cars makes everything worse, insurance rates for human drivers skyrockets forcing the change.
A huge change is coming to our economy. Currently we have 4.5 million jobs loosely titled "driver" That is cabbies, truck drivers, pilots, forklifts, loaders, etc. "Driver" is the largest job title in the United States.
I think you are highly optimistic to say 3 to 5 years away. Just wait until the first few massive accidents that happen, the huge drop in confidence by the public, the lawsuits, etc. The cost of these cars is going to be insane. Remember the predictions of electric cars by 2015, and the number is a fraction of what was predicted....laughably off track. One reason is cost and adoption rates are based on cost. It was one thing for the gov't to subsidize electric cars and scream it helps the environment (without ever disclosing the batteries are destructive as hell for the enviornment), but it will be politically challenging for the gov't to subsidize driverless cars when it takes the lowest skilled workers out of te loop. Sure, it will add high tech jobs, repairmen, etc, but that's a tough one politically.Personally, I'm a very good driver. Yes, there some really poor drivers out there that I'd love to get off the road. I do think eventually accidents would be reduced as you claim, but I also believe there is a sense of freedom with driving that will be difficult to overcome. Also think your time horizon is too optimistic.
As a Harley rider I would welcome driverless cars, probably a lot safer than riding with the idiot cagers that are out there now.
As a car driver, I would welcome driverless Harleys, probably a lot safer than riding with those idiot motorcyclists that are out there now.
Actually the technology exists now. I said three to five years to be conservative. Adoption and application is another story.The driverless car argument is their is nothing but death and carnage on the roads now. Yes, it will not be perfect, but it will be better than sleepy tractor trailer drivers and distracted parents that number in the tens of thousands now.
Amen. The jokers that thread the needle out here in California zipping in between cars going 65 to 75. The number of people they have to scoop brains up with a ladel is sad. I say this as a motorcycle enthusiast.
^ California is the only state where lane splitting is legal although most other countries allow itbut if you're not posting about lane splitting, we refer to those riders as "organ donors", usually under-experienced riders on crotch rockets