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Marquette
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Marquette vs

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Author Topic: Marquette Team Rankings  (Read 9946 times)

MarquetteMike1977

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Marquette Team Rankings
« on: November 06, 2023, 10:33:31 AM »
The college basketball season kicks off today! Here are our 2023 preseason projections for Marquette.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #8 team in the country, and the #2 team in the Big East.
•   First game: Mon, Nov 6 vs. #247 N Illinois. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 98% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 83%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 20%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5

•   Marquette will probably make the NCAA tournament even if they don't win the Big East tournament, but they should aim for an automatic bid to be safe.
•   If the Golden Eagles can get to 22 total wins (including conference tournament wins), their odds to make the NCAA tournament increase to 99%.
•   We project the Golden Eagles with a 37% chance to make the Sweet Sixteen and a 11% chance to reach the Final Four.
•   Marquette has a 3% chance to win the NCAA Tournament. That may not sound like much, but few teams even have this good of a chance.
« Last Edit: November 06, 2023, 10:38:29 AM by MarquetteMike1977 »

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #1 on: November 15, 2023, 04:25:11 PM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Team Rankings Nov 15, 2023
•   After beating Illinois 71-64 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-7 (14-6 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 94%, an increase of 4% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Mon, Nov 20 vs. #43 UCLA. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 69% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 94%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 23%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 4

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2023, 02:43:13 PM »
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 22, 2023
•   After beating Kansas 73-59 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 99%, an increase of 3% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #11 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Wed, Nov 22 vs. #1 Purdue. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 35% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   24%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3

Carl

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #3 on: November 22, 2023, 02:53:40 PM »
Jeez, a lot of teams must have had a better week than us to justify a drop to #11 after beating #1! ?-(

HowardsWorld

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #4 on: November 22, 2023, 03:13:12 PM »
3 seed is laughable. I get its early and meaningless but what metrics exactly are being used to justify anything other than the overall number 1 seed.

Mu8891

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2023, 03:19:53 PM »
A 3 seed ?  WTF and LOLLLLL ….

If the tournament started today they are a LOCK 1 seed.

Maybe Shaka can show this to the guys that they are STILL not getting respected

GB Warrior

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #6 on: November 22, 2023, 03:24:58 PM »
A 3 seed ?  WTF and LOLLLLL ….

If the tournament started today they are a LOCK 1 seed.

Maybe Shaka can show this to the guys that they are STILL not getting respected

No need they already read Scoop

wadesworld

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #7 on: November 22, 2023, 03:36:48 PM »
I’d imagine they just seed teams they rank 1-4 as 1 seeds, 5-8 as 2 seeds, 9-12 as 3 seeds, etc.
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MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #8 on: November 23, 2023, 01:03:12 PM »
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Nov 23, 2023
•   After losing to Purdue 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   23%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3

Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #9 on: November 23, 2023, 01:05:44 PM »
Marquette BasketballPredictions Update
Nov 23, 2023
•   After losing to Purdue 78-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #10 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   23%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 3

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Newsdreams

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #10 on: November 23, 2023, 07:12:20 PM »
Goal is National Championship

MU82

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #11 on: November 23, 2023, 07:26:39 PM »

•   Next game: Tue, Nov 28 vs. #294 Southern. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 100% chance to win.


Goes down to 10% if Marquette fans mention Madison on an interwebs site!
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MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #12 on: November 29, 2023, 06:39:51 PM »
   
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
•   After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3

Galway Eagle

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #13 on: November 29, 2023, 10:11:31 PM »
   
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
•   After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3

Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there
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Jay Bee

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #14 on: November 30, 2023, 06:06:58 AM »
Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there

I read “current” for 5th best and “projected” for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn’t appear 100% crazy
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brewcity77

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #15 on: November 30, 2023, 06:35:35 AM »
Who authors these? And in what world is the 5th best team a 3 seed? I've seen some weird crap on these but this is up there

No idea, but it is ludicrous. Marquette is at worst a 2-seed right now. Purdue is ahead, and you can make a case for UConn, Arizona, and Houston. But there are definitely not four more teams that would be ahead of Marquette, and I'd take our resume over UConn and Houston without question.
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21Jumpstreet

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #16 on: November 30, 2023, 08:21:33 AM »
I read “current” for 5th best and “projected” for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn’t appear 100% crazy

That’s how I read it, two entirely different thoughts/conclusions

lawdog77

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #17 on: November 30, 2023, 08:36:24 AM »
I read “current” for 5th best and “projected” for 3 seed. Based on projected record, doesn’t appear 100% crazy
So the author thinks we will get worse, not better this season?

The Sultan of Semantics

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #18 on: November 30, 2023, 08:40:02 AM »
So the author thinks we will get worse, not better this season?

Or the schedule's harder.
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Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #19 on: November 30, 2023, 08:49:18 AM »
So if MU wins the Big East and Kansas the B12 as this predicts, does Kansas get the #1 seed in the South (Omaha/Dallas) (assuming Purdue is #1 in Midwest (Indianapolis/Detroit)? Or does the NCAA send MU East?

Ardmore Mug

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #20 on: November 30, 2023, 08:55:34 AM »
   
Marquette Basketball Predictions Update
Nov 29, 2023
•   After beating Southern 93-56 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 24-7 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are 99%, unchanged since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #5 team in the country, and the #1 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sat, Dec 2 at #28 Wisconsin. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 58% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament   99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid   27%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 3

#28 WISCONSIN ? ? ? Where is this??

HowardsWorld

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #21 on: November 30, 2023, 09:20:42 AM »
So if MU wins the Big East and Kansas the B12 as this predicts, does Kansas get the #1 seed in the South (Omaha/Dallas) (assuming Purdue is #1 in Midwest (Indianapolis/Detroit)? Or does the NCAA send MU East?

It matters who has the higher 1 seed. In the case the rankings go as follows:

Purdue
Marquette
Kansas.

Purdue would go to Indy and then Marquette would get the next closest location even if Kansas is closer distance wise. I forgot what year it was but Gonzaga or Zona were the 1 seed and there regional was on the east coast.

Mu8891

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #22 on: November 30, 2023, 09:26:32 AM »
I sure as hell hope they end up better than a 3 seed !

lawdog77

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #23 on: November 30, 2023, 09:29:57 AM »
Or the schedule's harder.
Harder than playing #1 and #2? If he thinks we are the 5th best team, the schedule shouldn't matter. Logically, we should be a 2 seed in his projections.

Carl

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Re: Marquette Team Rankings
« Reply #24 on: November 30, 2023, 09:57:57 AM »
Guys,  it’s a computer model. It doesn’t use that kind of logic. Same as Kenpom, which has us favored to win all but 2 games the rest of the year but projects our record as 24-7(15-5). It assigns a probability of win based on how favored we are and then “rolls the dice”. If we played 20 games where we had a 51% chance to win, would you expect to go 20-0? Don’t read too much into it. We get to play the games

 

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