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Author Topic: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5  (Read 2525 times)

fjm

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MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« on: February 04, 2023, 07:13:20 AM »
Per Brewcity77:

I'm not a gambler, so take my advice with a grain of salt. But since the start of conference play, Butler has played like the #245 team in the country per Torvik. That's last in the Big East, way behind DePaul and Georgetown. Against top-5 Big East teams (UConn, X, Creighton, Providence) they have lost every game by 20+. As mentioned, their closest loss was 15 in conference play in Newark. On our side, we've played 2 games against the bottom 3 in the league and won both by 20+. And Lukas Harkins pointed out their primary ball handler left the SHU game with a concussion last week and there's no timetable on his return. (Hypothetically he could be back today, but no word on if he's cleared or practicing)

In conference play, they are last in offense, last in eFG%, and last in offensive rebounding. They can't score and can't take advantage of our weaknesses. They have no depth against a team that will make them work for everything. And the crowd is going to be on fire.

Honestly, I don't think they can set the line high enough. -14.5 or -15.5? Take Marquette. -20? Take Marquette. -25? Take Marquette. I think this will be ugly in the best possible way.


—-having said this and this info, I’m going MU -15 for $100. Hopefully some Player parlays once I get some hooch in my gullet.

Go MU, happy NMD

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #1 on: February 04, 2023, 07:19:33 AM »
Looking for the Oso PRA over today.

Shooter McGavin

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #2 on: February 04, 2023, 07:43:59 AM »
Agreed fjm.  Should be a blood bath.

rocket surgeon

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #3 on: February 04, 2023, 07:44:18 AM »
i'd love to see what the o/u is for butler turnovers

note, most of butler losses, they were held under 60 points, a few under 50.  unless this gets fugly real fast, i could see betting the under because we will need to hit 85-90+ to get to 144.  ya gotta figure, shaka is going to want to give our "3rd line" some PT.  even give our walkies a bone

  MU +15 looks like a 5* lock
felz Houston ate uncle boozie's hands

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #4 on: February 04, 2023, 07:53:28 AM »
i'd love to see what the o/u is for butler turnovers

note, most of butler losses, they were held under 60 points, a few under 50.  unless this gets fugly real fast, i could see betting the under because we will need to hit 85-90+ to get to 144.  ya gotta figure, shaka is going to want to give our "3rd line" some PT.  even give our walkies a bone

  MU +15 looks like a 5* lock

Agree rocket. I think the over is going to struggle. However, the walk-one give up a lot of points in a short amount of time.

GoldenEagles03

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2023, 08:29:21 AM »
Take the OMax over points.  They don't have anyone that can prevent him from getting to the bucket.
VIOLENCE!

Goose

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2023, 09:39:11 AM »
I would be 0-4 on over/under the last four games, but I like the over. I think MU scores over 85 today.

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #7 on: February 04, 2023, 09:54:20 AM »
Take the OMax over points.  They don't have anyone that can prevent him from getting to the bucket.

I like his PRA a little bit better

brewcity77

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #8 on: February 04, 2023, 10:00:58 AM »
The Tyler O/U on assists is 6.5, that's free money. Butler is one of the worst pick and roll defenses in the country. The idea of "can TK reach his season average against a terrible P&R defense" seems a pretty easy prop.
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wisblue

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #9 on: February 04, 2023, 10:12:23 AM »
Whenever I have a Butler game on the announcers talk about how many injuries they have had.

I know Bates their center missed a few games and has not done much in the couple since he returned. But have they had other productive players that have been out that could explain how they went from respectable early in the year (including wins over Kansas State and BYU) to completely putrid in conference play?

After Wednesday’s grinder I’m hoping for a relaxing exhibition to get the team tuned up for Tuesday’s big game. And maybe start from the beginning and not wait until the second half like the Georgetown game.

fjm

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #10 on: February 04, 2023, 10:13:37 AM »
The Tyler O/U on assists is 6.5, that's free money. Butler is one of the worst pick and roll defenses in the country. The idea of "can TK reach his season average against a terrible P&R defense" seems a pretty easy prop.

Sweet! Since I’m betting from in WI, therefore not exactly doing it ummm less than legit… they haven’t updated those props yet but I’ll be keeping an eye out.

Uncle Rico

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #11 on: February 04, 2023, 10:14:19 AM »
Gambling leads to eternal damnation.
Ramsey head thoroughly up his ass.

DoctorV

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #12 on: February 04, 2023, 10:14:59 AM »
Take the OMax over points.  They don't have anyone that can prevent him from getting to the bucket.

And OMax loves blowing up versus softer competition

fjm

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #13 on: February 04, 2023, 10:16:58 AM »
Gambling leads to eternal damnation.

Sign me up. See ya there Rico.

Legit question. How many times a day do you listen to the song R.I.C.O by meek mill?

Uncle Rico

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #14 on: February 04, 2023, 10:17:41 AM »
Sign me up. See ya there Rico.

Legit question. How many times a day do you listen to the song R.I.C.O by meek mill?

Not nearly enough
Ramsey head thoroughly up his ass.

Lennys Tap

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #15 on: February 04, 2023, 10:21:12 AM »
Gambling leads to eternal damnation.

What good is damnation if not eternal?

TSmith34, Inc.

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #16 on: February 04, 2023, 10:46:04 AM »
What good is damnation if not eternal?
Finite Damnation...otherwise known as The Dukiet Years.
If you think for one second that I am comparing the USA to China you have bumped your hard.

MU82

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #17 on: February 04, 2023, 10:56:28 AM »
Finite Damnation...otherwise known as The Dukiet Years.

Nice.
“It’s not how white men fight.” - Tucker Carlson

“Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism.” - George Washington

BLWarrior91

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #18 on: February 04, 2023, 11:17:43 AM »
Finite Damnation...otherwise known as The Dukiet Years.
But Bob would show up at the talent show and play Great Balls of Fire on the piano…so we had that going, which is nice.

MuMark

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CountryRoads

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #20 on: February 04, 2023, 12:24:31 PM »
https://twitter.com/hardwiredsports/status/1621936845352275969?s=61&t=MGHgvfyhPKI5C115SA3w7Q

To save anyone a click, Butlers best player Chuck Harris out for todays game with a concussion.

PointWarrior

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #21 on: February 04, 2023, 12:29:25 PM »
pants pissers take the day off?

DegenerateDish

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #22 on: February 04, 2023, 12:47:29 PM »
MU alternate first half, -14.5 at +255 on FD.

withoutbias

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #23 on: February 04, 2023, 02:45:56 PM »
Just hoping for the moneyline win at this point. This thread sucks.

mugrack

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Re: MU v Butler: -15, OU 143.5
« Reply #24 on: February 04, 2023, 03:04:37 PM »
Like my bookie says… there’s a sucker born every minute

 

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