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MU82

Quote from: panda on February 04, 2022, 09:21:12 AM
For my money, Arizona is the second-best team in the country.

FIFY.
"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell

JWags85

Quote from: panda on February 04, 2022, 09:21:12 AM
For my money, Arizona is the best team in the country.

I'd take Gonzaga and Auburn over them in a heartbeat.  UCLA handled them pretty comfortably at home last week and Zona looked pretty pedestrian against ASU.  They're really good, but I don't think they're the cream of the crop

panda

Quote from: JWags85 on February 04, 2022, 10:19:13 AM
I'd take Gonzaga and Auburn over them in a heartbeat.  UCLA handled them pretty comfortably at home last week and Zona looked pretty pedestrian against ASU.  They're really good, but I don't think they're the cream of the crop

Tubelis at less than 100% has skewed their rotation a bit. Once/If he gets back to 100%, they'll be a true force.

panda

Quote from: MU82 on February 04, 2022, 10:10:52 AM
FIFY.

Gonzaga last season was a bit more dynamic than they are this season with Suggs running the show. They undoubtedly still have Final Four talent, but I don't think they'll be able to get over the hump this season. Not enough depth if plan A doesn't work against another premier team.

Uncle Rico

Arizona and UCLA are both final 4 good.  Both are national championship good.  I think there are more potential champs this year than in recent years.  There will also be a lot of upsets in March because of overseeded teams.
Guster is for Lovers

panda

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 10:44:07 AM
Arizona and UCLA are both final 4 good.  Both are national championship good.  I think there are more potential champs this year than in recent years.  There will also be a lot of upsets in March because of overseeded teams.

Agree - I don't see a dominant team this year.

Uncle Rico

Quote from: panda on February 04, 2022, 10:47:27 AM
Agree - I don't see a dominant team this year.

Gonzaga, UCLA, Arizona, Baylor, Kentucky, Auburn, Houston and Duke are all legit national title contenders at the moment. I could be wrong but that list seems bigger than most years
Guster is for Lovers

panda

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 10:54:03 AM
Gonzaga, UCLA, Arizona, Baylor, Kentucky, Auburn, Houston and Duke are all legit national title contenders at the moment. I could be wrong but that list seems bigger than most years

I'd take Duke out and replace them with Illinois but I agree with your larger point. Lots of solid, talented teams at the top without a clear cut top team.

Gonzaga probably the consensus top team, but it's so challenging for me to lock them in as a title contender playing mostly low majors throughout their conference season.

Uncle Rico

Quote from: panda on February 04, 2022, 11:02:39 AM
I'd take Duke out and replace them with Illinois but I agree with your larger point. Lots of solid, talented teams at the top without a clear cut top team.

Gonzaga probably the consensus top team, but it's so challenging for me to lock them in as a title contender playing mostly low majors throughout their conference season.

I use teams in KenPom top 20 offense and defense to gauge real contenders.  Illinois is just outside looking in and that can change in a month.

Baylor finished 22nd in defense last year but were top-10 most of the year defensively.  UConn 2014 is the outlier
Guster is for Lovers

panda

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 11:17:33 AM
I use teams in KenPom top 20 offense and defense to gauge real contenders.  Illinois is just outside looking in and that can change in a month.

Baylor finished 22nd in defense last year but were top-10 most of the year defensively.  UConn 2014 is the outlier

Fair enough - I'll take a battle tested Big 10, veteran Illinois team over a young Duke team any day of the week.

Uncle Rico

Quote from: panda on February 04, 2022, 11:28:11 AM
Fair enough - I'll take a battle tested Big 10, veteran Illinois team over a young Duke team any day of the week.

Like I said, those numbers can change in a months span and Illinois could fall into my parameters.
Guster is for Lovers

panda

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 11:41:41 AM
Like I said, those numbers can change in a months span and Illinois could fall into my parameters.

Are those your proprietary parameters?

Uncle Rico

Guster is for Lovers


PGsHeroes32

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 10:54:03 AM
Gonzaga, UCLA, Arizona, Baylor, Kentucky, Auburn, Houston and Duke are all legit national title contenders at the moment. I could be wrong but that list seems bigger than most years

Houston will not be winning the national title
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

Uncle Rico

Guster is for Lovers

MuggsyB

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 10:54:03 AM
Gonzaga, UCLA, Arizona, Baylor, Kentucky, Auburn, Houston and Duke are all legit national title contenders at the moment. I could be wrong but that list seems bigger than most years

I would definitely add Purdue to that list.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: PGsHeroes32 on February 04, 2022, 12:20:22 PM
Houston will not be winning the national title

No, but picking them to the Final Four last season won me my bracket!
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: MuggsyB on February 04, 2022, 01:10:17 PM
I would definitely add Purdue to that list.

Purdue's defense is very bad. Well, very bad for a potential final four team. They have the best offense in basketball but defense wins championships and they are lacking it.
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


Uncle Rico

Quote from: MuggsyB on February 04, 2022, 01:10:17 PM
I would definitely add Purdue to that list.

Final 4 good, not title good
Guster is for Lovers

lawdog77

Quote from: Uncle Rico on February 04, 2022, 11:17:33 AM
I use teams in KenPom top 20 offense and defense to gauge real contenders.  Illinois is just outside looking in and that can change in a month.

Baylor finished 22nd in defense last year but were top-10 most of the year defensively.  UConn 2014 is the outlier
Here's a good breakdown:
https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2021-12-31/mens-college-basketball-national-championship-history-heres-where-recent

MuggsyB

Quote from: TAMU Eagle on February 04, 2022, 01:13:17 PM
Purdue's defense is very bad. Well, very bad for a potential final four team. They have the best offense in basketball but defense wins championships and they are lacking it.

Yes, but they're still dangerous imo. 

Hards Alumni

I'm excited to see Gonzaga crap the bed in the tournament.  Pretty soon they have to play some road games!

MU82

"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell

JWags85

Quote from: Hards_Alumni on February 04, 2022, 02:08:04 PM
I'm excited to see Gonzaga crap the bed in the tournament.  Pretty soon they have to play some road games!

I mean they demolished UCLA on a neutral floor and totally handled TTU on a neutral floor as well but go off!

They had one loss to a VERY good Duke team and another to a Jekyll and Hyde Bama team that beat Gonzaga and Houston in the span of a week, plus beat Baylor and stuck with Auburn.

I think the "Gonzaga's schedule is soft they'll trip against real teams" is a bit played out given their non conference scheduling the last few years and their recent tourney performances.

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