Bracketology 2019-2020

[🏀]

I'm too young to understand the eye test

We've been ruined by computers.

[JakeBarnes]

Hair, meet fire.

Simmer down there, Malek Harris.

[Galway Eagle]

Simmer down there, Malek Harris.

This is why I come to scoop

[MU82]

Made me chuckle.

[muguru]

I'm too young to understand the eye test

You might not be too young, and you understand what it's all about...but you just probably aren't all that good at it. It takes a lot of experience/knowledge to be good at it, and trusting what you're seeing is accurate and also the key is to know what to look for.

[Dr. Blackheart]

This is why I come to scoop

+5555

[Uncle Rico]

You might not be too young, and you understand what it's all about...but you just probably aren't all that good at it. It takes a lot of experience/knowledge to be good at it, and trusting what you're seeing is accurate and also the key is to know what to look for.

I'm quite confident in my ability to use the eye test and advanced metrics

[muguru]

If we win tonight, I'd agree. But tonight is a toss up. At PC is a toss up. SH is a toss up. @ SJU is a toss up. I'd assume we win 2/4 toss ups plus GT and @ DePaul. So give me 4-2, but 3-3 would not surprise at all.

If you venture over to Ken Pom which everyone here uses as gospel for everything(and he has a fantastic site), and you look at his game by game results, he too has MU winning out, even tonight.

They are favored tonight, will be favored in the next two home games(and well they should be, not just because they are at home), may or may not be favored in any of the road games but ARE better then SJU, DePaul and Providence...Let's assume( I know, I know) they win the 3 home games(that's what you are supposed to do), then one has to believe they get swept in 3 road games against 3 teams in the lower half of the standings, including the two at the very bottom. Losing any of those should NEVER happen(at least this year), especially if MU realizes what it could possibly be playing for the rest of the year. Who knows how high their seed might be if they win out the rest of the regular season??

[BM1090]

If you venture over to Ken Pom which everyone here uses as gospel for everything(and he has a fantastic site), and you look at his game by game results, he too has MU winning out, even tonight.

They are favored tonight, will be favored in the next two home games(and well they should be, not just because they are at home), may or may not be favored in any of the road games but ARE better then SJU, DePaul and Providence...Let's assume( I know, I know) they win the 3 home games(that's what you are supposed to do), then one has to believe they get swept in 3 road games against 3 teams in the lower half of the standings, including the two at the very bottom. Losing any of those should NEVER happen(at least this year), especially if MU realizes what it could possibly be playing for the rest of the year. Who knows how high their seed might be if they win out the rest of the regular season??

You're correct he has us as a favorite in every game. And rightfully so.

However, if you understand how probabilities work, which I'm sure you do, then you'll see that the most likely outcome over the next 6 games is 4-2. That's why he also projects our record to be 11-7.

The second most likely outcome? 3-3.

[muguru]

I'm quite confident in my ability to use the eye test and advanced metrics

It's okay to use metrics for some things, but the question I always ask everyone...the numbers may tell you how well the guy is shooting this year, or what his turnover rate is etc..but NONE of that tells you how talented the player is...that's what I'm talking about numbers don't tell the whole story. Only the eyes can tell you how physically talented a player is...what do you think scouting was built on??

[Its DJOver]

My eye test tells me that winning against a team that has already beat us on our home floor, and just beat the conference leaders will be very difficult, especially on their home floor.  Nothing is guaranteed, nothing should be taken for granted.

[Cheeks]

If you venture over to Ken Pom which everyone here uses as gospel for everything(and he has a fantastic site), and you look at his game by game results, he too has MU winning out, even tonight.

They are favored tonight, will be favored in the next two home games(and well they should be, not just because they are at home), may or may not be favored in any of the road games but ARE better then SJU, DePaul and Providence...Let's assume( I know, I know) they win the 3 home games(that's what you are supposed to do), then one has to believe they get swept in 3 road games against 3 teams in the lower half of the standings, including the two at the very bottom. Losing any of those should NEVER happen(at least this year), especially if MU realizes what it could possibly be playing for the rest of the year. Who knows how high their seed might be if they win out the rest of the regular season??

You don't understand metrics by what you said.  KenPom does not have us winning out.  Sigh.  Those are probabilities of winning each game.  The probability of winning out is low if you understand how this all works.

See binomial distribution....

[Uncle Rico]

It's okay to use metrics for some things, but the question I always ask everyone...the numbers may tell you how well the guy is shooting this year, or what his turnover rate is etc..but NONE of that tells you how talented the player is...that's what I'm talking about numbers don't tell the whole story. Only the eyes can tell you how physically talented a player is...what do you think scouting was built on??

Scouting was built on many things and good scouts augment their knowledge

[GoldenDieners32]

I would be very happy if we got the draw thats on bracketville

https://bracketville.wordpress.com/bracketology/

this was posted prior to the loss to creighton

[GoldenDieners32]

http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?iteration=234&region=2&year=2020

New update from Joe. I'll take this 7 days of the week

[MUfan12]

http://m.espn.com/ncb/bracketology?iteration=234&region=2&year=2020

New update from Joe. I'll take this 7 days of the week

Auburn would kick the living sh*t out of Marquette.

[BM1090]

Auburn would kick the living sh*t out of Marquette.

Of the projected 4 seeds, I think Auburn is the worst.

Doubt we get a 5 seed though so probably doesn't matter.

[muwarrior69]

Of the projected 4 seeds, I think Auburn is the worst.

Doubt we get a 5 seed though so probably doesn't matter.

I rather be a 6 or 7 seed than the dreaded 5 seed.

[MUfan12]

Of the projected 4 seeds, I think Auburn is the worst.

Doubt we get a 5 seed though so probably doesn't matter.

That could be, but they have the type of personnel that would give MU fits.

[GoldenDieners32]

I rather be a 6 or 7 seed than the dreaded 5 seed.

You rather be a 7 or a 5?

[GoldenDieners32]

i would gladly switch places with michigan state in that bracket too

[brewcity77]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

If I was SDSU, that draw would be worrisome. North Florida would be a pain-in-the-ass first round opponent. They take more threes and get more points from three than anyone, and they are second in the nation in limiting three-point attempts defensively. Basically, they are going to take and make a ton of threes and not let you take any.

It's still a 1/16, so I wouldn't lay money on the Osprey, but I wouldn't want anything to do with UNF in round one.

[GoldenDieners32]

Highest seed we are is 5 on bracketmatrix. Fell to the 2nd highest 6 seed behind arizona

[GoldenDieners32]

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaab/2020/02/20/college-basketball-bracketology-projecting-field-68-teams-march-madness-big-east/4817523002/

lots of BE love from USAToday

[BM1090]

https://twitter.com/ESPNLunardi/status/1230559374554234884/photo/1

6 seed/ 22 on the s curve in today's update.