Bracketology 2019-2020

[MU82]

Without going 5-1 or one of the current 4 seeds tanking in the last few games, I'm not sure I see a path to a 4 seed. I think the 5 and 6 seeds are pretty clumped but I think the top 4 seed lines are starting to separate themselves and their just isn't that many opportunities for them to stumble. Looking at bracketmatrix, the 4 seeds are currently Penn State, Nova, Oregon, and Creighton. Combined, those 4 teams have 14 Q1, 6 Q2, and 2 Q3 games remaining. They won't get punished for losing the Q1 games and won't get that hurt by Q2 losses. So unless Oregon loses to Cal or Penn State loses to Northwestern, we are going to have outplay them but multiple games down the stretch to pass them.

Let's start with us beating Creighton by 20 or so tomorrow!

[Its DJOver]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

[pbiflyer]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

Considering I will be in Tampa, I would take that. Nova on the other side too. Nice!
So, it won't happen.

[GoldenDieners32]

4 brackets have us at a 7 seed on bracketmatrix and 1 has us at a 4 seed

[GoldenDieners32]

I feel like there is a small area to slip up (difference between 6 and 7 seed), i would like our chances way more if we were a 5/6 rather than a 7

[JakeBarnes]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

5 playing in Tampa.  Also appears that 8 Beast teams is still very much in the picture.

I would love that draw.

[Galway Eagle]

I would love that draw.

Seriously, auburn team struggling away from home. Hall having locker room issues, SDSU not having played a real team in awhile, and duke who id hope Wojo is intimately familiar with.

[GoldenDieners32]

One thing i did find interesting is that on TRank, it is comparing our resume to UConn 2014 team which went on to win the chip

[barfolomew]

During the selection show last year, CBS threw up a graphic that in the last 34 years, 6-seeds have a .625 win pctg in the round of 64 (85-51). 5-seeds are .654% (89-47).

If you can snag that 4-seed, it jumps to .794% (108-28).

[GoldenDieners32]

During the selection show last year, CBS threw up a graphic that in the last 34 years, 6-seeds have a .625 win pctg in the round of 64 (85-51). 5-seeds are .654% (89-47).

If you can snag that 4-seed, it jumps to .794% (108-28).

If you gon on TRank, if we lose only one game the rest of the regular season we would be a 4 seed

[muguru]

Looks we are settling in to a spot between 5 and 7 seed. Yes that is 12 spots so a wide range.

I am typically optimistic. But I think we go 3-3 to finish the season and end up with a 7 seed.

3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

[MU82]

Hair, meet fire.

[LoudMouth]

3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

We are 1-5 since the start of the new Big East @ St. John's...no road game is ever a lock and certainly not an "unmitigated disaster"

[muguru]

We are 1-5 since the start of the new Big East @ St. John's...no road game is ever a lock and certainly not an "unmitigated disaster"

Different year, different teams...Shamori Ponds ain't walking through that door. Nor is Mustapha Heron for that matter.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

I also like that ESPN bracketology draw.  I see a real path to the Elite 8.

[fjm]

3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

Whoa. Settle down.
Inexcusable? I never said that. I can certainly see L's against Creighton, Seton hall and possibly even at St Johns.

I'm a realist. And realistically we should have won some games we lost. And should have lost a few we won. So I can see us losing some of these 3.

You on the other hand think unrealistically. So not surprised by your response.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

5 of the 6 remaining games are essentially pick ems. I would be disappointed with 3-3 but would have a hard time calling it an unmitigated disaster. I think 3-3 gets us a 6 seed. 4-2 a 5 seed. 5-1 gives us a shot at a 4 seed but would probably need some help

[TSmith34, Inc.]

Whoa. Settle down.
Inexcusable? I never said that. I can certainly see L's against Creighton, Seton hall and possibly even at St Johns.

I'm a realist. And realistically we should have won some games we lost. And should have lost a few we won. So I can see us losing some of these 3.

You on the other hand think unrealistically. So not surprised by your response.

Agree, come out of these 4-2 and I would count that as a "win". 

[MU82]

Agree, come out of these 4-2 and I would count that as a "win".

Loser!

We need to win 7 of these last 6 to avoid ...

UNMITIGATED DISASTER!

[BrewCity83]

Hahaha, don't forget we still have a chance to blow it in the Big East Tourney too.   

[Ardmore Mug]

Im sticking with my pick of 12-6 reg season..... oh yea,  and Win tonite +11 ! ! !     

[Uncle Rico]

Losing a college basketball game has never been and never will be a disaster

[BM1090]

3-3?? Who in the hell are you seeing three losses against?? That would be an unmitigated disaster given who is left on their schedule after tonight. If they win tonight, I honestly think there's a better chance they win out then to go 3-3. 3-3 would mean losing to one of...@ PC, @ SJU, @ DuhPaul, Georgetown at home, and that's assuming you feel like they will lose to Hall and Creighton...If they lose one of those other remaining games...you're god damn right it would be inexcusable.

If we win tonight, I'd agree. But tonight is a toss up. At PC is a toss up. SH is a toss up. @ SJU is a toss up. I'd assume we win 2/4 toss ups plus GT and @ DePaul. So give me 4-2, but 3-3 would not surprise at all.

[🏀]

Losing a college basketball game has never been and never will be a disaster

What about losing the eye test though?

[Uncle Rico]

What about losing the eye test though?

I'm too young to understand the eye test