Bubble Watch

[Smokin' Jae]

Do we have a reason to care about Creighton and Nova?

No idea from a metrics stand point but from strictly the eye test I would think a victory over a 1 seed would have the greatest influence for MU and for that reason I'm rooting for Nova.

[PGsHeroes32]

Vcu the newest team we need help from to enter meltdown mode

[BM1090]

Vcu the newest team we need help from to enter meltdown mode

They look bad but URI was favored by 4 so I wouldn't really call it a meltdown for them to be down 7

[PGsHeroes32]

They look bad but URI was favored by 4 so I wouldn't really call it a meltdown for them to be down 7

They were up 3. And went down by 13

[muguru]

Do we have a reason to care about Creighton and Nova?

Absolutely we do! If Creighton loses and MU wins, MU will currently move into the #3 seed for the BE tourney, and no matter what Xavier does, that can't change until at least next week.

[fjm]

URI, Illinois state and seton all looking like winners.

We need Texas tech and TCU to lose.
And more than anything, we need MUBB to win today. Hoping the team puts one together in the gold kits again!

[PGsHeroes32]

Absolutely we do! If Creighton loses and MU wins, MU will currently move into the #3 seed for the BE tourney, and no matter what Xavier does, that can't change until at least next week.

We control our own destiny for the 3.

I'd rather Nova stay a 1 seed

[jsglow]

DePaul ain't dead.  Down 5.

[PGsHeroes32]

As I said don't take WVU in the tourney

Just bad offense

[PGsHeroes32]

So bad.

WVU needs a stop

[PGsHeroes32]

WVU gets a gift call and TCU misses a wide open 3 at buzzer.

TCU and TT lose

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Vandy wins.

Michigan wins.

Georgia up 2 with 6 to go vs LSU.

K State getting blown out at Oklahoma. There's a bad loss for a bubble team.

At this point I think PC slides ahead of SHU and Marq for the 5th BE bid. In hindsight, would have been nice for SHU to lose today. With just SJU and DePaul left for PC, looks like they'll get to 10-8 and be safely in.

[brewcity77]

We're fine. This was the toughest game of our last three. I like our odds of going 2-0 next week and removing all doubt.

[GoldenDieners32]

We're fine. This was the toughest game of our last three. I like our odds of going 2-0 next week and removing all doubt.

We have a few days off to prep for X then we got senior day vs creighton

[GoldenDieners32]

Also KenPom has us at 32

[Babybluejeans]

Lunardi still has us in. Last 4.

[GoldenDieners32]

Lunardi still has us in. Last 4.

Jerry palm has us last 4 in as a 11 seed playing Kansas State. We got 2 huge games left probably 3 huge games left actually. All opportunities for big wins, let's do it

[BM1090]

Where are you seeing that?

[skianth16]

We're fine. This was the toughest game of our last three. I like our odds of going 2-0 next week and removing all doubt.

While I appreciate the optimism, this was the easiest of our final three games. X is down their two best guys, so maybe we have a chance, but Creighton is a real contender in our league. PC is not.

Let's pray we steal a win against a Xavier team playing without its leaders, which would help our RPI. And let's hope Wojo figures something out against Creighton for senior day. But I won't be surprised to see Wojo find a way to close out the season in an 0-3 note. He can compete, but he has a hard time winning for some reason.

Job security for mediocre performance must be nice.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

While I appreciate the optimism, this was the easiest of our final three games. X is down their two best guys, so maybe we have a chance, but Creighton is a real contender in our league. PC is not.

Let's pray we steal a win against a Xavier team playing without its leaders, which would help our RPI. And let's hope Wojo figures something out against Creighton for senior day. But I won't be surprised to see Wojo find a way to close out the season in an 0-3 note. He can compete, but he has a hard time winning for some reason.

Job security for mediocre performance must be nice.

Home is always easier than road IMHO. Providence should theoretically be easier than Xavier but they haven't looked good for awhile. Will be intriguing to see how they do against Butler tomorrow.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

The loss sucked but honestly was a good bubble day for us otherwise.

Alabama goes down to TAMU.
Pitt lost to UNC (though that hurts our RPI)
TCU lost to West Virginia
Michigan beat Purdue (giving us another top 50 opponent)
Clemson lost to FSU
Tennesse humiliated by South Carolina
Texas Tech crushed by Ok State
Vandy beat Mississippi State (keeps them top 50)
Houston Baptist won (helps RPI)
Georgia beat LSU (helping RPI)
10-18 Oklahoma DESTROYED Kansas State
SIU Edwardsville won their first game since losing to us!

Wichita State did beat Missouri State
Illinois State beat Northern Iowa
Rhode Island beat VCU
Indiana beat Northwestern (not sure they still have a chance)
Howard lost (not surprising)
Western Carolina lost (not surprising)
IUPUI lost (not surprising)
Arkansas won (probably a lock now)

My conclusion is that it's a lot easier to win in a mid major conference. Will be interesting to see how they value Wichita State, Middle Tennessee State, Illinois State, and Rhode Island when comparing them to teams like Marquette.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Bracket matrix hasn't updated yet, but the brackets that have we are still in all of them, FWIW.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Today:

Middle Tennessee @ UAB

Cuse @ Louisville

Butler @ Xavier

Wisconsin @ Michigan State

Monmouth @ Iona

Houston @ Memphis

Georgia Tech @ Norte Dame

USC @ Az State

Illinois @ Nebraska

Extensive damage to the bubble will occur today.

[MUfan12]

USA Today has MU in as a 10 in the Sunday bracket.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Here is one of my favorite bracketology sites.  They do a great job summarizing all the different metrics, and it has a pretty cool listing of the broader bubble that allows you to analyze the teams all in one spot.  Worth checking out if you like to follow the bubble, or would like to learn more about how MU stacks up with the 10-15 or so teams legitimately in contention for the last 8 or so spots.

http://www.seed-madness.com/