Bubble Watch

[Galway Eagle]

This. I was including 09/10, 10/11 and 13/14.

Still not over half but even during those years we still expected to be in the tournament. Can you honestly say that at the beginning of the year you thought we were going to be out? I could see that or 09-10 but none of those other teams.

[wadesworld]

You sir are brilliant.  If I had a slow clap gif handy i'd give it to ya.

Thank you.  Ain't my first rodeo.  Now let's hope I need to use this method in a few weeks.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Still not over half but even during those years we still expected to be in the tournament. Can you honestly say that at the beginning of the year you thought we were going to be out? I could see that or 09-10 but none of those other teams.

Not really no, but the point remains, Buzzs teams spent plenty of time around the bubble.

[4everwarriors]

So yo, back in da dey, wee one 81 straight at home, don't ya no, hey?

[cheebs09]

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology/bubble-watch

I just can't agree with Palm's ranking of us here. Especially when you match us up side by side to those teams. I can't see Miami having a better resume than us. He cites 8-10 against the top 200, but doesn't mention that only 2 games are 101-200. Illinois State isn't even close to our resume.

I think the top 16 shown by the committee shows very different criteria than Palm.

[brewcity77]

Palm has Alabama in and us out. We have the better RPI, SOS, kenpom rank, and Sagarin rank. Our three best wins (2 Nova, 18 XU, 22 Creighton) are better than their best (30 South Carolina). Their next two best wins (Vandy, Georgia) are teams we beat.

Yet they are in and we aren't even First Four Out. That's inexcusable.

[Newsdreams]

Bubble games tonight:

Miami @ Virginia

Iowa St @ Texas Tech.

Miami and Iowa State have played themselves in over the past week. Neither are locks, but probably safe barring a collapse.

Texas Tech is in the "next four out" territory

Yes the only way ISU is in trouble if they lose all games remaining

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I've always found Palm super lazy.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Miami wins @ UVA in Ot. That should punch their ticket. UVA had taken a nose dive lately.

[Lennys Tap]

This. I was including 09/10, 10/11 and 13/14.

Even if you were right about these 3 seasons (you're not), in what universe is 3 of 6 "more than half"?

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Even if you were right about these 3 seasons (you're not), in what universe is 3 of 6 "more than half"?

Dear lord. In Buzzs first year, we weren't really a bubble team but went into selection Sunday having lost 5 of 6. In 09-10, Marquette had 3 non con losses and started BE play 2-5, including a loss at DePaul. They may have ended up with a good seed, but it was due to a strong conclusion to the season. In 10-11, they were 20-14 on selection Sunday and were a bubble team all year long. In Buzz last year they were a bubble team most of the year until their slide at the end. 3/6 seasons Marquette was around the bubble for part or all of the season. Things were not always seashells and balloons. That's all I'm saying. Moving along now..

[forgetful]

Miami wins @ UVA in Ot. That should punch their ticket. UVA had taken a nose dive lately.

Not so fast.  They have 2 tough games (Duke and Florida state) and a bubble matchup with VPI.  If they lose all three, they finish 9-9 in conference, with a weak schedule and only 3 top 50 wins. 

If that happens and we also go 9-9 in conference...I like our chances better than theirs.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Iowa State and Texas Tech in a battle on ESPNU. Looks like it may go to OT. TT ball w 1 second left. ISU is likely in at this point, so we probably want them to win to knock TT off the bubble completely.

[Herman Cain]

Iowa State and Texas Tech in a battle on ESPNU. Looks like it may go to OT. TT ball w 1 second left. ISU is likely in at this point, so we probably want them to win to knock TT off the bubble completely.

Plus we want Deonte to do well.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Plus we want Deonte to do well.

I always liked Deonte, but I don't give two shits what he does now. Plus, he already fouled out. With 2 points .

[Herman Cain]

I always liked Deonte, but I don't give two craps what he does now. Plus, he already fouled out. With 2 points .

Well at least Iowa State won in spite of an off night from Deonte.

[Folks,,,]

Well at least Iowa State won in spite of an off night from Deonte.

[MuMark]

Not so fast.  They have 2 tough games (Duke and Florida state) and a bubble matchup with VPI.  If they lose all three, they finish 9-9 in conference, with a weak schedule and only 3 top 50 wins. 

If that happens and we also go 9-9 in conference...I like our chances better than theirs.

Miamis RPI is 37....ours is 71. Ahead of us also,in Pomeroy and Sagarin. Better road neutral record ....no bad losses ...better record against the top 200 if we both end up at 9-9...we would be under 500 in those games.

VPI isn't a bubble matchup.....VPI is not on the bubble

[MU82]

I always liked Deonte, but I don't give two craps what he does now. Plus, he already fouled out. With 2 points .

This.

He loooooong gowne, having the occasional nice offensive game and the consistently horrid defensive game for somebody else. If it were mathematically possible to care less than 0%, I would.

[forgetful]

Miamis RPI is 37....ours is 71. Ahead of us also,in Pomeroy and Sagarin. Better road neutral record ....no bad losses ...better record against the top 200 if we both end up at 9-9...we would be under 500 in those games.

VPI isn't a bubble matchup.....VPI is not on the bubble

If they lose all three they won't be ahead of us in all those categories.  Their saving grace is their RPI.  We would dominate them in top 50 wins.

As for VPI.  They need to win at least 2 out of the last 4.  Should be very doable for them, but if they don't they are likely out of the tournament. 

[skianth16]

ESPN's Myron Medcalf seems to think we're on our way to an at-large bid. He picked one key story for each of the major conferences as we head into the end of the season, and his story for the Big East is that Marquette is moving toward an at-large bid. Obviously, the next 4 games are all crucial, but I think I'd agree that we're at least trending in the right direction after Saturday.

Also a good read for other conferences as well.

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/18727717/the-one-big-thing-know-every-major-conference-college-basketball

[Golden Avalanche]

Miami is in. The talking point is Virginia. Mediocre squad in the middle of the conference but will get the deference of reputation putting them far higher on the seed line then is justified.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Miami is in. The talking point is Virginia. Mediocre squad in the middle of the conference but will get the deference of reputation putting them far higher on the seed line then is justified.

They swept Louisville. They deserve a bid for sure.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Updated Bubble Watch from ESPN Eammon Brennan:

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

[Windyplayer]

Updated Bubble Watch from ESPN Eammon Brennan:

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bubblewatch

So funny how analysts/writers put on RPI goggles and slant their narratives toward that. Eamon refuses to give MU credit for anything. He starts with our loss to Butler a few weeks ago. Good grief.