Bubble Watch

[PGsHeroes32]

Vandy tonight would be huge. Knock Tennessee down and help their RPI for us.

Need Duke over Cuse

Ok State over Kstate

Pitt vs Wake is preferable to Pitt.

[amen426]

Don't forget a pair of Big East games that have huge bubble/seeding implications..

Xavier at Seton Hall

Providence at Creighton

(... and Depaul at Georgetown)

The could be a 4 way tie at 6-9 (for seeds 6-9) if Seton & Providence both lose. That would give us a nice 2 game cushion over those teams with 3 to play.

Bluiett sounds like a game-time decision again tonight. More likely to play than last week, but still an unknown.

[jsglow]

Don't forget a pair of Big East games that have huge bubble/seeding implications..

Xavier at Seton Hall

Providence at Creighton

(... and Depaul at Georgetown)

The could be a 4 way tie at 6-9 (for seeds 6-9) if Seton & Providence both lose. That would give us a nice 2 game cushion over those teams with 3 to play.

Bluiett sounds like a game-time decision again tonight. More likely to play than last week, but still an unknown.

As I sad before, I very much like separation in the standings.  Makes it easy for the committee.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Pitt vs Wake is preferable to Pitt.

Could be reading this wrong but I want Pitt to beat Wake. Both are stretches to make the tournament and Pitt helps our resume.

[PGsHeroes32]

Could be reading this wrong but I want Pitt to beat Wake. Both are stretches to make the tournament and Pitt helps our resume.

That's what I meant.

Ya the way I wrote that probably made it seem it was preferable that Pitt loses.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

A full slate of bubble action tonight:

Vandy @ Tennessee

Michigan @ Rutgers

Duke @ Syracuse

Pitt @ Wake Forest

TCU @ Kansas

SLU @ VCU (VCU most likely safe, but will include)

Depaul @ Georgetown

Xavier @ Seton Hall

Texas A&M @ Arkansas

Minnesota @ Maryland (Minnesota likely safe at this point)

Oregon @ Cal

OK State @ K State

Providence @ Creighton


Fringe Games:

UCONN @ Houston

Boise State @ Nevada

[fjm]

Thanks JJJJJ for updating that

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Out of curiosity, I replaced our two worst cupcakes (Howard and SIUE) with two cupcakes from the ~150 RPI range who do schedule buy games regularly (Albany and Grand Canyon). Our RPI jumps 21 spots to 51. With our top 50 wins, we are worrying about seeding at this point instead of us making the tourney.

This is why I hate RPI. Who cares that we creamed Howard and SIUE by 30+ instead of creaming Albany and Grand Canyon by 20+?

Took this a step further.  Left Howard in there since the we got them as part of the 2K Classic.  Replaced Western Carolina (execpted RPI of 278), St Francis PA (284) and SIU Edwardsville (336) with Mount St Marys (151), New Hampshire (158) and New Orleans (160).  RPI jumps 20 spots to 51.  Do ND State (97), Winthrop (75) and College of Charleston (67) instead, and RPI jumps to 43.  Scheduling cupcakes wisely makes an enormous difference. 

[PGsHeroes32]

Palm is so weird.

On his Tuesday bubble recap he says

"Marquette will probably not be favored in any of their 3 remaining games and they will most likely need to win 1 to be in good shape heading into the BET"

He doesn't even have us close to in, but then says we only need to get 1?

What the hell

[fjm]

Palm is so weird.

On his Tuesday bubble recap he says

"Marquette will probably not be favored in any of their 3 remaining games and they will most likely need to win 1 to be in good shape heading into the BET"

He doesn't even have us close to in, but then says we only need to get 1?

What the hell

He's hammered

[Windyplayer]

Palm is so weird.

On his Tuesday bubble recap he says

"Marquette will probably not be favored in any of their 3 remaining games and they will most likely need to win 1 to be in good shape heading into the BET"

He doesn't even have us close to in, but then says we only need to get 1?

What the hell

If we knock off PC and X, we will be favored at home against CU. Maybe even X if Bluiett is still out.

[BM1090]

If we knock off PC and X, we will be favored at home against CU. Maybe even X if Bluiett is still out.

We will probably only be a 1-2 point underdog vs PC. And we may be favored against Creighton, although I'll guess now it opens as EVEN.

Regardless, Palm's logic doesn't seem to add up.

[PGsHeroes32]

Duke and Xavier absolutely melting down

Not a good start

[PGsHeroes32]

Vandy with big win tho

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Duke and Xavier absolutely melting down

Not a good start

X is down 3 points and Duke is winning.....

[muguru]

I'll tell you what...a team that is working their way towards the bubble?? Vanderbilt Just beat Tennessee tonight, makes them 15-13 overall and 8-7 in the SEC with games remaining against Mississippi St, Florida and Kentucky. Beat MSU and steal one of those last two, and they just may get in..especially with the toughest non conf SOS in the country. All of this is great for MU, winning tonight will pretty much assure them of staying in the top 50 RPI(barring a disaster against MSU).

[PGsHeroes32]

X is down 3 points and Duke is winning.....

Would help if you watched the games prior to looking at the current scores

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Would help if you watched the games prior to looking at the current scores

Lol, I've watched bits and pieces of both games. Was watching end of Vandy and Michigan games.

Context is your friend. Your comment made it seem like they were getting smoked.

[BM1090]

I'll tell you what...a team that is working their way towards the bubble?? Vanderbilt Just beat Tennessee tonight, makes them 15-13 overall and 8-7 in the SEC with games remaining against Mississippi St, Florida and Kentucky. Beat MSU and steal one of those last two, and they just may get in..especially with the toughest non conf SOS in the country. All of this is great for MU, winning tonight will pretty much assure them of staying in the top 50 RPI(barring a disaster against MSU).

The fact that this statement is true shows why we are in such good shape.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I'll tell you what...a team that is working their way towards the bubble?? Vanderbilt Just beat Tennessee tonight, makes them 15-13 overall and 8-7 in the SEC with games remaining against Mississippi St, Florida and Kentucky. Beat MSU and steal one of those last two, and they just may get in..especially with the toughest non conf SOS in the country. All of this is great for MU, winning tonight will pretty much assure them of staying in the top 50 RPI(barring a disaster against MSU).

Vandy most likely isn't getting an at large. Best case scenario they win out and lose in SEC tourney. That gives them 15 losses. Maybe just maybe they could grab a last bid there, but that's assuming they win out, which they probably won't. I'm rooting for them, and they look like they stick in the top 50, but just too many losses, including at least 7 in a pretty terrible SEC, to get an at large IMO.

[amen426]

Duke and Xavier absolutely melting down

Not a good start

Illinois State will likely win again in unspectacular fashion, but they are in for another 1-possession game tonight (making that 3 in a row against trash competition). But I strongly believe that their only road to the NCAA's is by winning the MVC tournament.

Last season there were two top 20 RPI teams that were barred from the tournament (SMU & Louisville). Even with those two teams out of the pool, the committee could not find room for #29 SD State, #30 St Mary's, and #31 Valpo.

The only reason the MVC got 2 bids last year was because Northern Iowa won the conference tournament... and Wichita State was 1 of the last 4 in. You could argue that they would have been excluded had it not been for the sanctions against SMU/Louisville.

I get that Illinois State is currently on the doorstep. But they have 1 top 50 win on the year (Wichita State). If they win out the rest of the way and lose to WSU in the final - they will still have only 1 top 50 win on the season.

That doesn't get you in. So let's hope Wichita can take care of business this year in the conference tournament... and if they don't, I'm 100% sold the committee will find room for them either (they are 1-4 against the top 50 -- with Illinois State being the only win).

[PGsHeroes32]

Lol, I've watched bits and pieces of both games. Was watching end of Vandy and Michigan games.

Context is your friend. Your comment made it seem like they were getting smoked.

X offense is non existent

Dukes is bad and they foul Cuse every possession

[PGsHeroes32]

Hall gonna win

TCU gonna lose

Cuse is down to the wire

[cheebs09]

GTown in a tight one with DePaul.

[PGsHeroes32]

unnatural carnal knowledge Grayson Allen

Just handed Cuse a bid