Bubble Watch

[forgetful]

As they should. Losing to Miami on a neutral court is not a bad loss. You shouldn't move down (and you don't) for a good loss. However, this means they are out of chances to improve their resume. If teams like Rhode island and Kansas state win in their tournaments, then cuse will move down.

Only if the teams below them win.

I agree that likely Syracuse is in, but the only objective measure that supports them being in is top 50 wins.  They will set a new record for highest RPI (currently 84) and they are 47 in Kenpom.  That Kenpom rating is behind a lot of teams that also beat them in RPI that are also on the bubble. 

They are certainly going to be an interesting team to discuss in the selection committee.  Personally, I think they should be out, but I'm hard pressed to find clear teams to replace them (Vanderbilt comes to mind).

[fjm]

Jay Bills on Mike & Mike right now:

"Yeah I think Syracuse is going to make it, there are not enough teams on the bubble for them to miss the tourney. They have 6 top 50 wins, and if there was one thing the committee showed us last year, it's that top 50 wins matter. Syracuse has a cushion of about 4-5 teams behind them."



We should be a 9 seed at least then.

[Herman Cain]

Buzz and Company helped us out by beating Wake Forest

[GB Warrior]

Syracuse is done

Now Boeheim can get out of Greensboro (to be fair, he has a point!)

[B. McBannerson]

Syracuse is done

They are in

[Aughnanure]

CBS Sports thinks Cuse is done.

....also, they're 2-11 away from the Carrier Dome!?

http://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/ncaa-tournament-bubble-watch-wake-forest-in-for-nervous-selection-sunday/

[Clam Crowder]

How accurate is Palm vs Lunardi generally? Palm still does not seem very high on us and if we lose today surely will be saying we will be "sweating it out". With all this love of top 50 wins I wanna feel confident for Sunday but too much reading has me nervous

[Windyplayer]

CBS Sports thinks Cuse is done.

....also, they're 2-11 away from the Carrier Dome!?

http://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/ncaa-tournament-bubble-watch-wake-forest-in-for-nervous-selection-sunday/

Bit of an overstatement. Palm said that they "could" use a run in the ACC Tournament. I think they're playing in Dayton.

[wadesworld]

Now Boeheim can get out of Greensboro (to be fair, he has a point!)

They weren't there to begin with.

[Windyplayer]

How accurate is Palm vs Lunardi generally? Palm still does not seem very high on us and if we lose today surely will be saying we will be "sweating it out". With all this love of top 50 wins I wanna feel confident for Sunday but too much reading has me nervous

If you want to be nervous, be nervous about whether we go to Dayton or not.

[Aughnanure]

How accurate is Palm vs Lunardi generally? Palm still does not seem very high on us and if we lose today surely will be saying we will be "sweating it out". With all this love of top 50 wins I wanna feel confident for Sunday but too much reading has me nervous

I believe Palm is usually on the low side of accuracy when compared with others. Lunardi is generally the best (at least of the bracket forecasters with the most pub).

[cheebs09]

I believe Palm is usually on the low side of accuracy when compared with others. Lunardi is generally the best (at least of the bracket forecasters with the most pub).

I saw someone post Palm is in the 60s as far as accuracy (I think out of 81). I believe this is over the last five years, so it is fair to judge him. Lunardi was around 27.

I saw another post that had the most accurate people had us around a 9 a week ago.

[Bocephys]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/on-the-ncaa-bubble-heres-the-number-to-watch/

88.6% chance for Marquette.

[GoldenDieners32]

Lets just get a few W's and hope other teams lose. We are back baby

[Windyplayer]

Lets just get a few W's and hope other teams lose. We are back baby

So we have to beat Seton Hall and Villanova and hope other teams lose...for a 6 seed?

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Man, can't believe some of you guys are still up in arms about this.  A tiny part of me will be worried about Dayton if we lose today. But I think we are SAFELY in the field.  Like at least a dozen teams behind us and the cutline. 

I think a loss today and we're a 9 or 10.  A win today, and loss tomorrow, we're an 8 or 9.

[BossplayaOtto]

Lets just get a few W's and hope other teams lose win the BET. We are back baby

FIFY

[PGsHeroes32]

Why is ok state such a lock?

Minimal wins. Lots of loses with chances to get big wins.

That resume is so bland. And most have them as a 7 seedish

And they make us look like the best defense in nation.

Can't guard a lick

[LAZER]

How accurate is Palm vs Lunardi generally? Palm still does not seem very high on us and if we lose today surely will be saying we will be "sweating it out". With all this love of top 50 wins I wanna feel confident for Sunday but too much reading has me nervous

Palm emphasizes RPI and has said that until the committee shows that it is willing to move away from it, he will continue to use it. Hence why he is low on Syracuse and was low on MU throughout February.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Why is ok state such a lock?

Minimal wins. Lots of loses with chances to get big wins.

That resume is so bland. And most have them as a 7 seedish

And they make us look like the best defense in nation.

Can't guard a lick

They would be an intriguing matchup for us.

[Mr. Sand-Knit]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/on-the-ncaa-bubble-heres-the-number-to-watch/

88.6% chance for Marquette.

This is possibly the most stupid article i have ever seen in regards to bubble teams etc.  i could not be any more worthless

[barfolomew]

i could not be any more worthless

Don't sell yourself short, Judge. You're a tremendous slouch.

[tower912]

  i could not be any more worthless

Truer words, rarely spoken.   It is good that you can own it. 

[RushmoreAcademy]

Illinois about to lose.   Groce probably on his way out too.

[tower912]

Illinois off of the bubble.