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Author Topic: Sports Betting Thread  (Read 1047 times)

BM1090

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Sports Betting Thread
« on: January 08, 2022, 11:20:34 AM »
Starting this topic because we have had some decent discussion in some other threads over the past couple of months. Plus maybe we can all make some money off of Dish’s picks.

Have PC -3.5 today in a bounce back game. Wanted New Hampshire -9.5 but it was not available at my book.

Staying away from the NFL games today.

BLM

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #1 on: January 08, 2022, 11:37:00 AM »
What site do people from Wisconsin use? I was using Bovada but then realized you can only cash out in Bitcoin or pay $100 for a check to come months later. Neither is attractive to me.
Black Lives Matter

Retire0

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #2 on: January 08, 2022, 11:45:27 AM »
I got under 45 in Chiefs game today.

Couple unders in some low level college basketball if you want to get deep.
New TallTitan bold prediction: Sacar Anim will play in more NBA games than Markus Howard.

TallTitan's bold prediction of Davante Gardner being drafted in 2014.

http://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=27259.msg310060;topicseen#new

JWags85

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #3 on: January 08, 2022, 11:50:58 AM »
What site do people from Wisconsin use? I was using Bovada but then realized you can only cash out in Bitcoin or pay $100 for a check to come months later. Neither is attractive to me.

Do you have a Coinbase account? Bovada processes the Bitcoin pay outs in an hour these days and it’s in your account within 2 and then can be in your bank next day

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #4 on: January 08, 2022, 12:16:10 PM »
I’m here for all the deserved ridicule coming my way.

For me, sports betting is about information that exists and trying to find value. Example, I loved WFT to win the NFC East at +240 in the preseason. But, I probably shouldn’t have trusted Ryan Fitzpatrick to do so. Conversely, I thought the Ravens preseason injuries would be too much over 18 weeks for them to make the playoffs at +330. We’ll see if that winds up a winner tomorrow.

My favorite bet of this weekend is Packers first half -3 (-105 on DK). It’s -1.5 on FD at -140 but that value stinks. Big asterisk here is this is contingent on Rodgers starting. I think he wants to play and give an eff you performance to wrap up the MVP award.


Jockey

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #5 on: January 08, 2022, 12:36:36 PM »
I’m here for all the deserved ridicule coming my way.

For me, sports betting is about information that exists and trying to find value. Example, I loved WFT to win the NFC East at +240 in the preseason. But, I probably shouldn’t have trusted Ryan Fitzpatrick to do so. Conversely, I thought the Ravens preseason injuries would be too much over 18 weeks for them to make the playoffs at +330. We’ll see if that winds up a winner tomorrow.


I agree 100% with this statement - but do you think most bettors understand that concept? The serious guys do, but the average better has no idea what you mean when you say that.

BM1090

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #6 on: January 08, 2022, 12:57:53 PM »
I agree 100% with this statement - but do you think most bettors understand that concept? The serious guys do, but the average better has no idea what you mean when you say that.

No, they don’t. And I include myself in that to some degree. I am sure to look for value in game lines, 1H lines, live betting when a team gets off to an unreasonably hot or cold start. The majority of money I make comes from live lines. My best sport is CFB even though I watch less of it than any other sport. Probably because I really solely on data and have no emotional interest in any outcome.

But I have a lot of room to grow when it comes to futures.
« Last Edit: January 08, 2022, 01:01:25 PM by BM1090 »

Jockey

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #7 on: January 08, 2022, 01:09:25 PM »
No, they don’t. And I include myself in that to some degree. I am sure to look for value in game lines, 1H lines, live betting when a team gets off to an unreasonably hot or cold start. The majority of money I make comes from live lines. My best sport is CFB even though I watch less of it than any other sport. Probably because I really solely on data and have no emotional interest in any outcome.

But I have a lot of room to grow when it comes to futures.

Do you think it is more of a problem with having the time necessary to do it rather than the will or knowledge? Especially with futures.

BM1090

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #8 on: January 08, 2022, 01:17:35 PM »
Do you think it is more of a problem with having the time necessary to do it rather than the will or knowledge? Especially with futures.

Yes. For a lot of people that’s the case. With live lines you have to be online and monitoring the games constantly to find value and most people (myself included) don’t have time to do that every day.

But there is always going to be a large group of people who gamble without any knowledge. It’s been especially apparent over the last couple years when I’ve had a chance to visit visit some smaller Midwestern casinos with sportsbooks.

Uncle Rico

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2022, 01:19:36 PM »
Gambling is a sin
Tis a shame, 'tis a rotton shame, for if ye can enjoy the walkin’ ye can probably enjoy the other times in yer life when ve're in between. And that's most o' the time; wouldn't ye say?

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2022, 01:31:10 PM »
I agree, I love live lines. My two most profitable endeavors this year have been the NCAA tournament and this recent bowl season. There’s plenty of data going into both, and then eye test as the game is going. It is tough with live betting because the book feed is always a minute faster than the tv feed. If you’re streaming, it’s even worse.

I’m guilty of it, but most people bet with their heart. As long as one doesn’t take it too seriously, that’s ok. I’m wrong a lot, but I’m betting peanuts. For me it’s more the satisfaction of winning, because lord knows whatever profit I win on one bet, eventually I’m going to give it right back to the house, probably sooner rather than later.

PGsHeroes32

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #11 on: January 08, 2022, 01:32:00 PM »
Looked dicey for a half but Providence was my lock of the morning.

Feel good about KU and OU spreads

LSU is the lock of the rest of the day
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

BM1090

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #12 on: January 08, 2022, 03:32:38 PM »
Like Ga Tech ML -105 as well

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #13 on: January 08, 2022, 04:07:55 PM »
Wash St moneyline +110 on DK.

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #14 on: January 08, 2022, 04:13:18 PM »
Wash St moneyline +110 on DK.

That line vanished fast as the Carlson being out news was breaking. Grabbed it just in time.

We R Final Four

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #15 on: January 08, 2022, 04:54:46 PM »
Took Nova and PC today. Stayed away from UConn/Hall.
Usually bet Big East games….Only bet on MU side….can’t stomach the alternative.

Jockey

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #16 on: January 08, 2022, 06:43:03 PM »
Took Nova and PC today. Stayed away from UConn/Hall.
Usually bet Big East games….Only bet on MU side….can’t stomach the alternative.

I loved PC as well. I hate betting DePaul games. They always lose, but keep a lot of games close.

JWags85

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #17 on: January 08, 2022, 06:56:11 PM »
Like Ga Tech ML -105 as well

GT begging ND to win the game

PGsHeroes32

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #18 on: January 08, 2022, 07:00:14 PM »
Looked dicey for a half but Providence was my lock of the morning.

Feel good about KU and OU spreads

LSU is the lock of the rest of the day

Unfortunately KU forgot there was a game today.

OU realized in time and blew the doors off the clones the final 10.
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

BM1090

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #19 on: January 08, 2022, 07:23:50 PM »
GT begging ND to win the game

Yeah that wasn’t great. Oh well.

Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #20 on: January 08, 2022, 07:58:20 PM »
Gambling is a sin

Discussion of which is banned in the Scoop forum rules (the illegal part). Will Rocky act quicker than the SOTG awardee selection?
« Last Edit: January 09, 2022, 12:56:23 AM by Dr. Blackheart »

We R Final Four

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #21 on: January 08, 2022, 08:39:55 PM »
I loved PC as well. I hate betting DePaul games. They always lose, but keep a lot of games close.
Agreed…..PC crushed them but they hung around all day today…made me anxious.

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #22 on: January 09, 2022, 08:42:08 AM »
Packers 1st half total over 12.5 +100 on FD.

We R Final Four

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #23 on: January 09, 2022, 09:52:40 AM »
DD—I’m riding Packers 1/2 half prop bets today. #12 is going to everything in his power to get two TDs ASAP before he gets pulled.

DegenerateDish

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Re: Sports Betting Thread
« Reply #24 on: January 09, 2022, 10:14:47 AM »
Giants Team Total under 15.5

Over their last 7 games, Giants are averaging 8.8 points per game. Fromm is starting, his backup is Brian Lewerke.

Gronk over 6.5 receptions on FD -105

Gronk needs 7 receptions to hit a $500k bonus. Last year in Week 17, the Bucs fed Mike Evans in a meaningless game to help him get over 1000 yards. Ironically Evans got hurt on the catch to get him over 1000. Brady is going to do everything he can to feed Gronk early and often today.