MUScoop

MUScoop => The Superbar => Topic started by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 11:20:34 AM

Title: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 11:20:34 AM
Starting this topic because we have had some decent discussion in some other threads over the past couple of months. Plus maybe we can all make some money off of Dish’s picks.

Have PC -3.5 today in a bounce back game. Wanted New Hampshire -9.5 but it was not available at my book.

Staying away from the NFL games today.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: wadesworld on January 08, 2022, 11:37:00 AM
What site do people from Wisconsin use? I was using Bovada but then realized you can only cash out in Bitcoin or pay $100 for a check to come months later. Neither is attractive to me.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: 🏀 on January 08, 2022, 11:45:27 AM
I got under 45 in Chiefs game today.

Couple unders in some low level college basketball if you want to get deep.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 08, 2022, 11:50:58 AM
What site do people from Wisconsin use? I was using Bovada but then realized you can only cash out in Bitcoin or pay $100 for a check to come months later. Neither is attractive to me.

Do you have a Coinbase account? Bovada processes the Bitcoin pay outs in an hour these days and it’s in your account within 2 and then can be in your bank next day
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 08, 2022, 12:16:10 PM
I’m here for all the deserved ridicule coming my way.

For me, sports betting is about information that exists and trying to find value. Example, I loved WFT to win the NFC East at +240 in the preseason. But, I probably shouldn’t have trusted Ryan Fitzpatrick to do so. Conversely, I thought the Ravens preseason injuries would be too much over 18 weeks for them to make the playoffs at +330. We’ll see if that winds up a winner tomorrow.

My favorite bet of this weekend is Packers first half -3 (-105 on DK). It’s -1.5 on FD at -140 but that value stinks. Big asterisk here is this is contingent on Rodgers starting. I think he wants to play and give an eff you performance to wrap up the MVP award.

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 08, 2022, 12:36:36 PM
I’m here for all the deserved ridicule coming my way.

For me, sports betting is about information that exists and trying to find value. Example, I loved WFT to win the NFC East at +240 in the preseason. But, I probably shouldn’t have trusted Ryan Fitzpatrick to do so. Conversely, I thought the Ravens preseason injuries would be too much over 18 weeks for them to make the playoffs at +330. We’ll see if that winds up a winner tomorrow.


I agree 100% with this statement - but do you think most bettors understand that concept? The serious guys do, but the average better has no idea what you mean when you say that.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 12:57:53 PM
I agree 100% with this statement - but do you think most bettors understand that concept? The serious guys do, but the average better has no idea what you mean when you say that.

No, they don’t. And I include myself in that to some degree. I am sure to look for value in game lines, 1H lines, live betting when a team gets off to an unreasonably hot or cold start. The majority of money I make comes from live lines. My best sport is CFB even though I watch less of it than any other sport. Probably because I really solely on data and have no emotional interest in any outcome.

But I have a lot of room to grow when it comes to futures.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 08, 2022, 01:09:25 PM
No, they don’t. And I include myself in that to some degree. I am sure to look for value in game lines, 1H lines, live betting when a team gets off to an unreasonably hot or cold start. The majority of money I make comes from live lines. My best sport is CFB even though I watch less of it than any other sport. Probably because I really solely on data and have no emotional interest in any outcome.

But I have a lot of room to grow when it comes to futures.

Do you think it is more of a problem with having the time necessary to do it rather than the will or knowledge? Especially with futures.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 01:17:35 PM
Do you think it is more of a problem with having the time necessary to do it rather than the will or knowledge? Especially with futures.

Yes. For a lot of people that’s the case. With live lines you have to be online and monitoring the games constantly to find value and most people (myself included) don’t have time to do that every day.

But there is always going to be a large group of people who gamble without any knowledge. It’s been especially apparent over the last couple years when I’ve had a chance to visit visit some smaller Midwestern casinos with sportsbooks.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Uncle Rico on January 08, 2022, 01:19:36 PM
Gambling is a sin
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 08, 2022, 01:31:10 PM
I agree, I love live lines. My two most profitable endeavors this year have been the NCAA tournament and this recent bowl season. There’s plenty of data going into both, and then eye test as the game is going. It is tough with live betting because the book feed is always a minute faster than the tv feed. If you’re streaming, it’s even worse.

I’m guilty of it, but most people bet with their heart. As long as one doesn’t take it too seriously, that’s ok. I’m wrong a lot, but I’m betting peanuts. For me it’s more the satisfaction of winning, because lord knows whatever profit I win on one bet, eventually I’m going to give it right back to the house, probably sooner rather than later.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 08, 2022, 01:32:00 PM
Looked dicey for a half but Providence was my lock of the morning.

Feel good about KU and OU spreads

LSU is the lock of the rest of the day
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 03:32:38 PM
Like Ga Tech ML -105 as well
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 08, 2022, 04:07:55 PM
Wash St moneyline +110 on DK.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 08, 2022, 04:13:18 PM
Wash St moneyline +110 on DK.

That line vanished fast as the Carlson being out news was breaking. Grabbed it just in time.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 08, 2022, 04:54:46 PM
Took Nova and PC today. Stayed away from UConn/Hall.
Usually bet Big East games….Only bet on MU side….can’t stomach the alternative.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 08, 2022, 06:43:03 PM
Took Nova and PC today. Stayed away from UConn/Hall.
Usually bet Big East games….Only bet on MU side….can’t stomach the alternative.

I loved PC as well. I hate betting DePaul games. They always lose, but keep a lot of games close.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 08, 2022, 06:56:11 PM
Like Ga Tech ML -105 as well

GT begging ND to win the game
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 08, 2022, 07:00:14 PM
Looked dicey for a half but Providence was my lock of the morning.

Feel good about KU and OU spreads

LSU is the lock of the rest of the day

Unfortunately KU forgot there was a game today.

OU realized in time and blew the doors off the clones the final 10.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 08, 2022, 07:23:50 PM
GT begging ND to win the game

Yeah that wasn’t great. Oh well.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on January 08, 2022, 07:58:20 PM
Gambling is a sin

Discussion of which is banned in the Scoop forum rules (the illegal part). Will Rocky act quicker than the SOTG awardee selection?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 08, 2022, 08:39:55 PM
I loved PC as well. I hate betting DePaul games. They always lose, but keep a lot of games close.
Agreed…..PC crushed them but they hung around all day today…made me anxious.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 09, 2022, 08:42:08 AM
Packers 1st half total over 12.5 +100 on FD.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 09, 2022, 09:52:40 AM
DD—I’m riding Packers 1/2 half prop bets today. #12 is going to everything in his power to get two TDs ASAP before he gets pulled.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 09, 2022, 10:14:47 AM
Giants Team Total under 15.5

Over their last 7 games, Giants are averaging 8.8 points per game. Fromm is starting, his backup is Brian Lewerke.

Gronk over 6.5 receptions on FD -105

Gronk needs 7 receptions to hit a $500k bonus. Last year in Week 17, the Bucs fed Mike Evans in a meaningless game to help him get over 1000 yards. Ironically Evans got hurt on the catch to get him over 1000. Brady is going to do everything he can to feed Gronk early and often today.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 09, 2022, 10:50:33 AM
Kyle Pitts over 61.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: cheebs09 on January 09, 2022, 12:42:47 PM
DD—I’m riding Packers 1/2 half prop bets today. #12 is going to everything in his power to get two TDs ASAP before he gets pulled.

Is there a significance to 2 TDs for Rodgers?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 09, 2022, 01:06:42 PM
Man, if one was late and got Pack first half total at 13.5 instead of 12.5, I feel for ya.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 09, 2022, 01:24:15 PM
Is there a significance to 2 TDs for Rodgers?
No—other than strengthening his case for MVP and get out.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 09, 2022, 03:01:39 PM
Today was a perfect example why you avoid week 18 bets.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 09, 2022, 03:07:06 PM
Today was a perfect example why you avoid week 18 bets.

On the contrary, it’s been a fantastic day so far, sans Packers first half -3.

I forgot to post Andrews over 65.5, which just also hit.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 09, 2022, 03:16:27 PM
On the contrary, it’s been a fantastic day so far, sans Packers first half -3.

I forgot to post Andrews over 65.5, which just also hit.

I should have said betting winner/ loser point spreads.

May be more opportunities with props.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 10, 2022, 11:38:15 AM
Thanks for the tips DD. Won big on Gronk.
After Detroit’s failed fake punt…..short field for #12……thought we would be looking at 14-0 and riding high. Not the case.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 10, 2022, 11:59:59 AM
Thanks for the tips DD. Won big on Gronk.
After Detroit’s failed fake punt…..short field for #12……thought we would be looking at 14-0 and riding high. Not the case.

Pitts wager was frustrating. Pitts needed 59 (or 58, can’t remember) to beat Ditka’s record for rookie TE yards, and I figured they’d get him a ton of targets. They didn’t even come close.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 10, 2022, 12:09:10 PM
One future bet I like is Evan Neal to be the first pick at +750 on DK & FD.

This number has come down in the last ten days, I grabbed it at +1200, but still like this at +750. Assuming he has a good game tonight, I think this number will be in the 500’s tomorrow/soon.

If Jax keeps the first pick, I think the pick is Neal. Need and his elite talent fit. It obviously won’t be a QB, and I think defensively Hutchinson & Thibodeaux in a way don’t make as much sense for Jax. I do worry they’ll trade out though.

I’m also going to wait for player o/u draft spots to come out, because I’m convinced Pickett is going to Detroit at 2.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MDMU04 on January 10, 2022, 12:53:47 PM
NC game tonight, what is everyone thinking?

Sharp money went heavy early on Georgia -3, public money has gone on Alabama moneyline.

Saban is 5-1 at Alabama as an underdog, winning all 5 games outright.  He is also 25-1 against former assistants.  "Rat poison" as he would say.

I hammered Alabama in the SEC Championship game and against Cincinnati, but have no feel for this game.  Georgia defense with 2nd shot at Alabama without Metchie seems compelling, but I can't shake the feeling that betting against Saban in a spot like this is just asking for trouble.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 10, 2022, 12:56:36 PM
I took Bama moneyline and the under.
Not a big bet though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 10, 2022, 07:16:04 PM
I ain't betting, but I'll say Georgia wins.

Probably my sick-of-Bama heart talkin', though!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 10, 2022, 08:08:00 PM
Have UGA -3. Started the night well with IUPUI +8.5 earlier.

Also like the live line of Bethune Cookman +8.5.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: wadesworld on January 10, 2022, 08:23:56 PM
Georgia might win. But I’d never bet against Saban. Especially as a dog. (Which, insanely enough, has only been 6 times in his Bama career before tonight. 5-1 ATS, all 5 straight up wins).
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 11, 2022, 09:06:21 AM
I took Bama moneyline and the under.
Not a big bet though.
Went well for about 3 quarters…..
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 12, 2022, 09:36:28 AM
One future bet I like is Evan Neal to be the first pick at +750 on DK & FD.

This number has come down in the last ten days, I grabbed it at +1200, but still like this at +750. Assuming he has a good game tonight, I think this number will be in the 500’s tomorrow/soon.

If Jax keeps the first pick, I think the pick is Neal. Need and his elite talent fit. It obviously won’t be a QB, and I think defensively Hutchinson & Thibodeaux in a way don’t make as much sense for Jax. I do worry they’ll trade out though.

I’m also going to wait for player o/u draft spots to come out, because I’m convinced Pickett is going to Detroit at 2.

Not sure if anyone grabbed this, but Neal is down to +275 now on DK.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 12:44:28 PM
Delaware first half +2.5 -106 on FD.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 12:51:14 PM
Columbia/Harvard under 146.5 -110 on DK.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 01:42:53 PM
Columbia/Harvard under 146.5 -110 on DK.

Both teams leading scorers were late scratches, as well as three other starters combined were late scratches as well.

So of course the teams combined for 85 first half points.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 02:12:11 PM
Both teams leading scorers were late scratches, as well as three other starters combined were late scratches as well.

So of course the teams combined for 85 first half points.

Got the rare double win today. MU ML and hedged on the SHU live line at +7.5.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 02:13:17 PM
NFL games today…I think both home teams win big. But I’m not sure I have the balls to bet the games.

Texas live ML is decent value at +180.

Edit: glad I didn’t do this. Cannot figure out Iowa State.

Edit #2. Did take the Bengals at -5.5. Big money is going against me on this one.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 02:22:24 PM
Got the rare double win today. MU ML and hedged on the SHU live line at +7.5.

Nice, that’s a heady play and a smart hedge.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 15, 2022, 03:14:34 PM
ISU and Bama ML were my Bball picks of the day.

Taking the over in Cincy/Raiders. I think Cincy wins but not confident enough on the growing spread.

Pounding Bills
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 04:03:46 PM
ISU and Bama ML were my Bball picks of the day.

Taking the over in Cincy/Raiders. I think Cincy wins but not confident enough on the growing spread.

Pounding Bills

It shrunk from 6.5 to 5.5 today which is when I jumped on it.

Agree on Buffalo.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 07:19:42 PM
I'll take the Cincinnati cover but I don't feel great about it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 15, 2022, 07:35:19 PM
Yeah…take that one. 1st (well really 2nd) and goal from the 9….
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 08:29:08 PM
Sneaky great value live bet. Bills started their 4th drive at their own 11. They’ve been unstoppable on offense tonight.

DK live flash prop of Buffalo fourth drive to cross the 50 was +130, or to cross NE 35 at +155.

Both won, took all of 2 plays.

Watch for it in the early/mid third quarter. Bills aren’t going to pump the brakes in the third. Key to the value on this bet is crummy starting field position.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 08:32:00 PM
Wins this weekend - Bonnies, Fresno State, Bengals, NIU, TCU live ML, MU, Bills barring a huge collapse, James Madison live +8

Losses - Bucks live ML, Richmond, Baylor live +6.5 (ouch), SHU live ML vs. DePaul

Tomorrow I think I like Dallas. Staying away from the other two
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 15, 2022, 08:32:48 PM
Sneaky great value live bet. Bills started their 4th drive at their own 11. They’ve been unstoppable on offense tonight.

DK live flash prop of Buffalo fourth drive to cross the 50 was +130, or to cross NE 35 at +155.

Both won, took all of 2 plays.

Watch for it in the early/mid third quarter. Bills aren’t going to pump the brakes in the third. Key to the value on this bet is crummy starting field position.

Good call.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 15, 2022, 09:00:18 PM
Bills to cross 20 is +110 this drive.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 16, 2022, 10:45:01 AM
I did end up going with Dallas -3. Public and sharps seem to be on SF, and I understand why, but SF’s secondary can be exploited and Dallas has the weapons to exploit them.

How does everyone feel about TB-PHI? I want to believe that PHI has a chance but I’m not sure I see a reasonable path to victory outside of fluking into some turnover luck.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 16, 2022, 01:46:53 PM
If you believe Minshew is coming in, Hurts live under totals are quite tempting.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 16, 2022, 03:28:19 PM
Iowa over Minny got dicey. Only bball pick for the day.

Take cowboys -3 but dont feel super confident on it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 16, 2022, 06:05:17 PM
I severely underestimated McCarthy’s ineptitude.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: wadesworld on January 16, 2022, 06:21:01 PM
I severely underestimated McCarthy’s ineptitude.

That’s a mistake.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 16, 2022, 09:40:56 PM
I jumped off my couch and gave a loud “YES!!!”.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 16, 2022, 09:59:37 PM
Wow—that’s awesome.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 16, 2022, 10:10:23 PM
That's cool, Dish.

Really took a lot of guts to bet $10K on that!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 19, 2022, 01:05:31 PM
Since IL recently allowed for wagering on head coaching futures, it’s quite interesting shopping at different books.

As an example, Eberflus is now the betting favorite on DK at +200 to become the Jags next coach.

Over on PointsBet, he’s at +900 to become the next Jags coach (far from the favorite Bill O’Brien at +250. I’m always looking for value, so I put money down on Eberflus at PB. I have no idea who will be the next coach in JAX, but too much of a discrepancy in odds to ignore.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 19, 2022, 02:23:16 PM
If I visited Illinois for the weekend, would I be able to download DK or FD and then use the app once I returned back to Wisconsin?

Or do the apps use current location?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 19, 2022, 02:37:27 PM
If I visited Illinois for the weekend, would I be able to download DK or FD and then use the app once I returned back to Wisconsin?

Or do the apps use current location?

You must be in the state with the app.

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 19, 2022, 03:38:42 PM
If I visited Illinois for the weekend, would I be able to download DK or FD and then use the app once I returned back to Wisconsin?

Or do the apps use current location?

All apps are geolocated.  And the few that let you bet through a site and not an app, use a separate method of doing so.  You can download the apps wherever, make wherever your home address, you just can't bet unless you're properly located.  I know people in NYC who literally drive across the bridge into NJ, park, place bets for the day or weekend, and drive back.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU Fan in Connecticut on January 20, 2022, 08:51:02 AM
All apps are geolocated.  And the few that let you bet through a site and not an app, use a separate method of doing so.  You can download the apps wherever, make wherever your home address, you just can't bet unless you're properly located.  I know people in NYC who literally drive across the bridge into NJ, park, place bets for the day or weekend, and drive back.

I heard the same and things will probably change as NYC went live with sports betting on Jan 1.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 20, 2022, 09:08:24 AM
Bama got a key win for themselves last night

For bettors -4 like myself? We saw exactly why they have been such a disappointment.

Boy did they do literally everything wrong in the final minutes to lose what should have been a no sweat cover
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 20, 2022, 09:18:39 AM
Bama got a key win for themselves last night

For bettors -4 like myself? We saw exactly why they have been such a disappointment.

Boy did they do literally everything wrong in the final minutes to lose what should have been a no sweat cover

Had Bama at -3.5. Very annoying.

Luckily had TCU +5 and DPU +8.5 too.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 21, 2022, 05:53:27 PM
I do like MSU +4 tonight but betting against UW is something I don’t like to do, so I’ll likely stay away.

I think Ohio live spread +10.5 is good value. Putting a medium sized wager on that one.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Uncle Rico on January 21, 2022, 05:56:51 PM
I do like MSU +4 tonight but betting against UW is something I don’t like to do, so I’ll likely stay away.

Joey Hauser has never lost at the Kohl Hole
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 21, 2022, 06:19:46 PM
I do like MSU +4 tonight but betting against UW is something I don’t like to do, so I’ll likely stay away.

I think Ohio live spread +10.5 is good value. Putting a medium sized wager on that one.

That’s funny, I almost played that Ohio live line too (my phone rang and then I forgot).

Hope it hits for you.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 21, 2022, 06:44:56 PM
Xavier transfer Jason Carter just went down with a nasty knee injury. Didn’t look bad when it happened but seemed to be in severe pain if any weight was put on it. Carried off.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 21, 2022, 06:52:06 PM
That’s funny, I almost played that Ohio live line too (my phone rang and then I forgot).

Hope it hits for you.

No luck there. Looked okay until Carter’s injury but Ohio was out scored 14-2 over the last five minutes after he was carried off.

Toledo looked really good though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 22, 2022, 09:20:15 AM
Have any of y'all used Bovada?

Opinions? Pros? Cons?

Online betting with the likes of DraftKings is not yet legal in NC.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 22, 2022, 09:42:36 AM
Have any of y'all used Bovada?

Opinions? Pros? Cons?

Online betting with the likes of DraftKings is not yet legal in NC.
I use Bovada. Payments are in Bitcoin or $100 fee to get cash.
Other than that, it’s super easy.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 22, 2022, 10:47:32 PM
I use Bovada. Payments are in Bitcoin or $100 fee to get cash.
Other than that, it’s super easy.

Thanks. Glad I didn’t have an account for the Niners-Packers game!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 24, 2022, 06:31:15 PM
UVA first half -20.5 on FD right now (under 8 time out) is +225.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 24, 2022, 06:47:31 PM
UVA first half -20.5 on FD right now (under 8 time out) is +225.

Bad take by me, some regression for Ville with 3 of 4 on three's to end the half. UVA was up 17 at the under 8 and Ville looked utterly hopeless.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 24, 2022, 07:06:58 PM
Had Ole Miss 1H ML at good odds. Close but couldn’t complete the comeback. A push isn’t the worst thing, though.

Also have them full game ML at longer odds. Less optimistic about that one though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: VegasWarrior77 on January 25, 2022, 10:34:37 AM
My buddy and I parked at the Golden Gate in DT Las Vegas before going over to Circa for dinner. I spotted MU at 300-1 and couldn't resist betting it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: RushmoreAcademy on January 25, 2022, 12:25:05 PM
Haven't been to the Superbar in awhile and just saw that this thread exists. Super excited.   I'm currently on DK and FD.  Basketball (college and pro) are where I usually lean but I can't pass up tempting football teasers either.   Looking forward to seeing what other people are playing.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Babybluejeans on January 25, 2022, 01:26:09 PM
What do you guys like for NFL this weekend? A light teaser I put together looks tasty to me: KC -6.5 and LAR -2.5, which pays out +190. Took that and a standard teaser of the favorites. Sure seems like after last weekend, the trajectory would be home team blowouts in the AFC/NFC Championships. Betting on that being the case.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 25, 2022, 06:18:37 PM
Hall -3.5 tomorrow.

I took Georgetown +17 tonight.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 26, 2022, 10:21:40 AM
Lost Illinois -3.5, won Texas -2.5 last night.

Ole Miss ML at +190 on Monday was a nice start to the week but ended up treading water last night.

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 26, 2022, 05:00:25 PM
Tonight: I like X to bounce back. -8 seems like a lot but I'll probably take it. Reeves is likely back which worries me, but hopefully some rust if he plays.

Took MU +6 and MU ML +205. I really was planning on staying away from this game. This spot screams a SHU win, but jumped in since the number kept climbing. Will likely be looking for a live hedge/middle if MU gets out to a big early lead.

Virginia Tech is in a good spot -4.5 vs. Miami so I'm on that as well. But I am about 0-25 all time betting Miami basketball.

Maybe Northwestern +8, but that'd be a fade the public play as much as anything else.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2022, 06:35:44 PM
I just don’t understand the Seton Hall number tonight. I removed all my Marquette glasses, and if this was SH -4.5, I’d be like “maybe tease MU with LaSalle?”. MU +6.5 is one of those “if it loses, it loses, but I can’t pass up that perceived value” games.

I’d actually like it if SH jumped out to an early lead and grab MU live ML at +250 or better.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2022, 06:44:58 PM
Justin Lewis O 1.5 3’s +100 on DK
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: jesmu84 on January 26, 2022, 06:56:51 PM
I just don’t understand the Seton Hall number tonight. I removed all my Marquette glasses, and if this was SH -4.5, I’d be like “maybe tease MU with LaSalle?”. MU +6.5 is one of those “if it loses, it loses, but I can’t pass up that perceived value” games.

I’d actually like it if SH jumped out to an early lead and grab MU live ML at +250 or better.

Bryce aiken out for sure.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: 🏀 on January 26, 2022, 06:58:58 PM
Justin Lewis O 1.5 3’s +100 on DK

Every game, straight cash.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2022, 08:03:00 PM
Every game, straight cash.

At even money, ridiculous.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 26, 2022, 08:28:10 PM
Hedged a small amount at SHU +11
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 26, 2022, 08:41:46 PM
Hedged a small amount at SHU +11

Real solid middle opportunity
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 26, 2022, 09:40:06 PM
Real solid middle opportunity

That’ll do.

1-2 outside the Marquette game.

3-0 within it including the ML. Solid night.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: ChitownSpaceForRent on January 26, 2022, 10:16:15 PM
I just don’t understand the Seton Hall number tonight. I removed all my Marquette glasses, and if this was SH -4.5, I’d be like “maybe tease MU with LaSalle?”. MU +6.5 is one of those “if it loses, it loses, but I can’t pass up that perceived value” games.

I’d actually like it if SH jumped out to an early lead and grab MU live ML at +250 or better.

One of the few times Vegas got it very, very, wrong.

I wonder who was putting big money on Hall to keep it steady.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on January 26, 2022, 10:18:10 PM
PC +8
MU ml
MU +6

Lost Crei -3. Good night though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 26, 2022, 10:30:40 PM
I just don’t understand the Seton Hall number tonight. I removed all my Marquette glasses, and if this was SH -4.5, I’d be like “maybe tease MU with LaSalle?”. MU +6.5 is one of those “if it loses, it loses, but I can’t pass up that perceived value” games.


I never bet on MU ... but I also could not believe that more $$$ went down on Seton Hall with Aiken questionable (and ending up not playing). Congrats to you and all other Scoopers who got that easy money.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 29, 2022, 04:59:40 PM
Marshall team total under 70.5 (-113 on FD)
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Marquette4life on February 01, 2022, 11:12:40 AM
how is providence a 4 point dog to st johns tonight. Head scratcher...
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on February 01, 2022, 02:13:37 PM
how is providence a 4 point dog to st johns tonight. Head scratcher...
I don’t know….saw that as well.
PC is playing very well all season, especially of late.
The STJ games I have watched they remind how DePaul plays well at times, but they know the won’t get it done.
I love PC here.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Dr. Blackheart on February 01, 2022, 02:29:58 PM
how is providence a 4 point dog to st johns tonight. Head scratcher...

Bad luck?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 01, 2022, 04:40:22 PM
Looks like the line is down to SJU -2.5.

I'm not betting this one, but if I were I would take SJU.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 02, 2022, 09:52:30 AM
Happy to be wrong since I didn't wager. Congrats on your wins!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Marquette4life on February 03, 2022, 11:44:34 AM
Oregon ML tnight?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on February 04, 2022, 08:11:21 AM
Taking Crei +6 and ML over the Hall tonight.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on February 05, 2022, 07:50:46 AM
Taking Crei +6 and ML over the Hall tonight.
That didn’t age well. Still doing well in BE play though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on February 05, 2022, 11:56:51 AM
That didn’t age well. Still doing well in BE play though.

Nobody wins 'em all. Glad to hear you're still ahead!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on February 05, 2022, 04:27:15 PM
FOr some reason I shied away from Nova -5.5

But I loved SJU -1.5. Survived that.

The bet of the day and possibly of the conference season was KU only giving 2.5 to Baylor at Phog. No fu cking chance were they losing 2 straight at home. And apparently Cryer was out?!?!?!? Free money. Pounded the hell outta that.

No clue what to take later tonight though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on February 06, 2022, 05:01:51 PM
D Dish—I love live betting.
I took PC -7 today.
But, had the best case scenario happen.
When GT cut it to 1 point….live betting went PC -3.5. Laid a lot thinking just a matter of time before PC wakes up, but more a case of GT letting down. Well, both happened and PC ballooned their lead to 20 and never looked back.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 06, 2022, 07:12:45 PM
D Dish—I love live betting.
I took PC -7 today.
But, had the best case scenario happen.
When GT cut it to 1 point….live betting went PC -3.5. Laid a lot thinking just a matter of time before PC wakes up, but more a case of GT letting down. Well, both happened and PC ballooned their lead to 20 and never looked back.

Nice! Always good to catch those spots in live betting.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 07, 2022, 11:55:12 PM
I’m taking the Milwaukee Special on Tuesday and parlaying MU ML +230 with the Bucks ML -190, at +403. I probably could have laid the 4 with the Bucks.

Neither line makes any sense. MU is 9-0 against the number last 9 games. Bucks get a day off in LA between games. If the Bucks were playing back to back’s, I might stay away, but I don’t think the LA hangover does them in.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 08, 2022, 11:23:16 AM
Not sure I'm going to take it but the game I like today is Clemson -1.

A parlay with Clemson, Bucks, and MU ML is +813
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 08, 2022, 08:28:06 PM
Utah State live moneyline -110.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on February 12, 2022, 12:12:17 PM
Creighton flat out refusing to make -4 against Gtown, stress free.

Cannot sustain a run.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on February 12, 2022, 12:42:47 PM
Creighton flat out refusing to make -4 against Gtown, stress free.

Cannot sustain a run.

They created some distance finally
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 19, 2022, 07:58:34 AM
I think Prize Picks is legal in Wisconsin, I’ve been on a heater this week, so figured I’d share my plays for today.

PJ Hall Over 30.1 fantasy score
KJ Williams over 35.4 fantasy score
Dane Goodwin over 19.5 P+R+A
James Akinjo over 27.3 fantasy score on

If you’re not playing on PrizePicks, I believe you get a bonus and selfishly I’d get a bonus if you use this link. If you just want to sign up without it, more than cool. https://app.prizepicks.com/sign-up?invite_code=PR-3YPG8YW
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 19, 2022, 03:01:24 PM
I think Prize Picks is legal in Wisconsin, I’ve been on a heater this week, so figured I’d share my plays for today.

PJ Hall Over 30.1 fantasy score
KJ Williams over 35.4 fantasy score
Dane Goodwin over 19.5 P+R+A
James Akinjo over 27.3 fantasy score on

If you’re not playing on PrizePicks, I believe you get a bonus and selfishly I’d get a bonus if you use this link. If you just want to sign up without it, more than cool. https://app.prizepicks.com/sign-up?invite_code=PR-3YPG8YW

Woof, that heater came to a screeching halt. Akinjo missed by 2 points (4-15 from the floor), ND puts up 74, their leading scorer Goodwin puts up 3 points, PJ Hall injury midway through first half. Gross day over here.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: We R Final Four on February 19, 2022, 04:31:44 PM
It happens DD. Somedays I go 5-1, others 0-4. Thanks for the heads up on your bets…..not today though!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 13, 2022, 09:51:28 AM
Jacob Gilyard under 2.5 three’s made (+105 on DK).

Gilyard hasn’t come out for even a second in the A10 tournament. 3 straight days, 120 minutes of floor time. Watched yesterday against Dayton, and it looked clear that he had no legs (3-13, 1-7 from 3). Davidson’s motion offense is going to make Richmond’s guards work defensively. With getting plus money, less than 24 hours rest, and everything mentioned above, I like the roll of the dice here on the under.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Pakuni on March 14, 2022, 08:55:46 AM
If you're on DK, they've got a promotion offering Gonzaga over Georgia State moneyline at +100.
Max bet $50.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: LAZER on March 14, 2022, 09:55:18 AM
If you're on DK, they've got a promotion offering Gonzaga over Georgia State moneyline at +100.
Max bet $50.
Wow
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Babybluejeans on March 16, 2022, 01:09:09 PM
I think the popular betting on South Dakota State over Providence has given Prov a nice -2 line. Gimme that. Leaning ND tonight (I know, ND sucks, whatever). Davidson over MSU is a popular upset pick but seems valid.

Anything stand out to folks here?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on March 16, 2022, 01:17:10 PM
I think the popular betting on South Dakota State over Providence has given Prov a nice -2 line. Gimme that. Leaning ND tonight (I know, ND sucks, whatever). Davidson over MSU is a popular upset pick but seems valid.

Anything stand out to folks here?

SDSU seems super popular, but then again everyone said that about Morant and Murray St a few years ago and…welp.

Vermont +6 seems pretty inviting.  And after last night, St Mary’s -2.5 seems like an absolute gift
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU Fan in Connecticut on March 16, 2022, 03:22:30 PM
SDSU seems super popular, but then again everyone said that about Morant and Murray St a few years ago and…welp.

Vermont +6 seems pretty inviting.  And after last night, St Mary’s -2.5 seems like an absolute gift

I followed Vermont all season since one of my daughters is a student there.  UVM lost 2 games earlier in the season when they were missing like two of their starters.  They gave Providence a good game in Providence.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 16, 2022, 03:23:26 PM
PC -2, BSU +3, SMC -2, SDSU -2, UCONN -6.5, CSU +3 (wouldn't bet it at the current +1.5)

Likely not betting any of these games but that's where I'd lean.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 16, 2022, 03:57:40 PM
My posted picks here have been brutal lately, so fade away.

I think the lines this year for the first round are pretty good. Last year's tournament was very good to me, the first half totals feel more spot on last year (I doubt we'll ever see a run on first half unders like we did in last year's first round). I'll probably end up live betting this year more than last year.

First round lines I like:

Illinois -7.5 (this is my favorite line)
South Dakota State +115 (Every metric, every power rating, leans SDSU, I just can't ignore it)
Vermont +5
Colgate +8

I think UCLA to win the East Region at +450 has some value to it, but you'd might get better odds just rolling their moneyline straight through. My perceived value would only come from Baylor getting bounced this weekend, at that point the only game UCLA would be an underdog in would be the regional final against Kentucky (likely +140ish).
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 17, 2022, 01:32:33 PM
Going to add Creighton moneyline (+120) based on what I’ve seen from the MWC so far.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on March 17, 2022, 03:53:06 PM
Jacob Gilyard under 2.5 three’s made (+105 on DK).

Gilyard hasn’t come out for even a second in the A10 tournament. 3 straight days, 120 minutes of floor time. Watched yesterday against Dayton, and it looked clear that he had no legs (3-13, 1-7 from 3). Davidson’s motion offense is going to make Richmond’s guards work defensively. With getting plus money, less than 24 hours rest, and everything mentioned above, I like the roll of the dice here on the under.

Thanks for this.

Read this post yesterday about him never sitting.

So I pounded over 2.5 3s and 14.5 pts.

Cash.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: ChitownSpaceForRent on March 17, 2022, 04:57:52 PM
A lot of people are gonna be sweating that +100 Gonzaga promotion
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 17, 2022, 05:50:30 PM
Thanks for this.

Read this post yesterday about him never sitting.

So I pounded over 2.5 3s and 14.5 pts.

Cash.

Lol, glad you read it yesterday and not on Sunday when I posted it because Sunday’s bet was no bueno.

Favorites are covering 10-2 so far in the tournament.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Miss Katie’s on March 18, 2022, 11:47:37 AM
Going to add Creighton moneyline (+120) based on what I’ve seen from the MWC so far.

Good call. 
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 18, 2022, 06:38:19 PM
LSU first half -4.5 (alternate) at +162 on FD.

ISU’s starting lineup is really odd.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 18, 2022, 07:25:49 PM
LSU first half -4.5 (alternate) at +162 on FD.

ISU’s starting lineup is really odd.

Terrible take here. I thought LSU might rally without Wade, but woof, they certainly have not.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUFC9295 on March 18, 2022, 08:42:52 PM
Anyone liking Colgate +7.5 (badger animosity aside)?   I have Wisconsin in a 3 team parlay (auburn and nova covered).  Cash out or ride it?   Hedge by taking Colgate and points?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Uncle Rico on March 18, 2022, 08:46:45 PM
Anyone liking Colgate +7.5 (badger animosity aside)?   I have Wisconsin in a 3 team parlay (auburn and nova covered).  Cash out or ride it?   Hedge by taking Colgate and points?

Colgate has a punchers chance because of how well they make 3’s but the Badgers will have some home cooking
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on March 19, 2022, 12:27:46 AM
Feel a little gross, barely cut a profit today and it was soley due to the Badgers late night win and going heavy on that.

Not a good day overall.

Hopefully tomorrow is better.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on March 19, 2022, 01:39:51 AM
Kansas -11.5 over Creighton, who will be without their 5 and 1.

Seems like blowout waiting to happen, no?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on March 19, 2022, 12:41:28 PM
Had a feeling I shoulda just done UNC ML

Instead I took them +5.5 and O149.

UNC is a lock. But need Baylor to really make a run to get the over
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on March 19, 2022, 02:10:45 PM
Had a feeling I shoulda just done UNC ML

Instead I took them +5.5 and O149.

UNC is a lock. But need Baylor to really make a run to get the over

Well, they sure as hell made a run...
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 19, 2022, 02:11:26 PM
St. Mary’s to reach the Final Four +900.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Uncle Rico on March 19, 2022, 02:19:51 PM
St. Mary’s to reach the Final Four +900.

👀
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 19, 2022, 02:39:45 PM
One game prop I always like is to play the underdog to be the first team to score 10 points. UNC was +135 in the opener, Creighton +190 (it’s 5-5 as I write this).

A lot of value on the underdog, as the beginning of a tournament game can be a total crapshoot.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 22, 2022, 01:15:28 PM
Malik Willis to be second overall pick +500 on DK (it’s +400 elsewhere).

I’ve been convinced in my head ever since the end of the season when Detroit secured the second pick that they are going to go QB. If Hutchinson doesn’t go at 1, then I’d be surprised if Detroit didn’t take him. I think this is good value right now, as I think this number will drop to +300ish soon.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 24, 2022, 01:42:25 PM
For those who use Bet Rivers, are you able to withdraw once you pass the state lines? A couple of friends and I heading to the IL sportsbook this weekend and downloaded the mobile app to get the free play. If we place our bets for the Sunday games in the morning, can we head home and cash out in WI and MN?

I know you can't place bets outside of IL, but not sure if you're able to withdraw.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: rocky_warrior on March 24, 2022, 01:54:56 PM
For those who use Bet Rivers, are you able to withdraw once you pass the state lines? A couple of friends and I heading to the IL sportsbook this weekend and downloaded the mobile app to get the free play. If we place our bets for the Sunday games in the morning, can we head home and cash out in WI and MN?

I know you can't place bets outside of IL, but not sure if you're able to withdraw.

I don't know, or use BR, but googling led me to believe the answer is "yes"
https://helpcenter.il.betrivers.com/hc/en-us/articles/360048559914-Can-I-make-deposit-or-withdrawal-requests-outside-of-Illinois-
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 24, 2022, 02:21:04 PM
I don't know, or use BR, but googling led me to believe the answer is "yes"
https://helpcenter.il.betrivers.com/hc/en-us/articles/360048559914-Can-I-make-deposit-or-withdrawal-requests-outside-of-Illinois-

I go to Scoop for my answers, not the company FAQ.

Thank you!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on March 24, 2022, 02:25:04 PM
I don't know, or use BR, but googling led me to believe the answer is "yes"
https://helpcenter.il.betrivers.com/hc/en-us/articles/360048559914-Can-I-make-deposit-or-withdrawal-requests-outside-of-Illinois-

Which makes sense.  I had used DraftKings for awhile for DFS but had stopped.  When I was in NJ visiting family last year, I used the sportsbook section of the app to place some wagers.  Had a decent balance, came back to the Midwest, realized I didn't cash out.  Logged in and it wouldn't even let me access to withdraw.  Had to call my BIL and have him log into my account to do it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 25, 2022, 10:36:43 AM
I like Purdue tonight -12.5.

Objectively, I think Miami could blow out ISU, but they are a huge public side so that worries me. I liked UCLA before Jacquez re-aggravated his ankle injury.

Thoughts on Kansas/PC?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on March 25, 2022, 11:07:12 AM
I like Purdue tonight -12.5.

Objectively, I think Miami could blow out ISU, but they are a huge public side so that worries me. I liked UCLA before Jacquez re-aggravated his ankle injury.

Thoughts on Kansas/PC?

IMO Kansas wins, but 7-8 seems like a big number for a team that feels like they struggle to put teams away and against PU who will try to keep it in the high 60s
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 27, 2022, 12:47:39 PM
Orlando blowing a game they had a 99.7% win probability with a minute left cost me a long shot parlay and about $10K in winnings, so that sucked.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on April 11, 2022, 09:21:19 AM
Bucks to sweep Bulls +300 on FD or Bucks -2.5 games at -115 on DK.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: withoutbias on April 11, 2022, 09:42:31 AM
Bucks to sweep Bulls +300 on FD or Bucks -2.5 games at -115 on DK.

Bucks -2.5 games meaning Bucks need to win in 5 or sweep?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 11, 2022, 09:58:16 AM
Bucks -2.5 games meaning Bucks need to win in 5 or sweep?

Correct
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 11, 2022, 06:22:52 PM
Nets, Hawks, Clippers and Wolves to advance form play in tournament +470
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 12, 2022, 02:26:17 PM
Likely will bet the Celtics/Heat win the series vs. the Nets at + odds
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 13, 2022, 11:34:05 AM
Nets, Hawks, Clippers and Wolves to advance form play in tournament +470

halfway there....but it was the easy half.

Celtics did not get the odds I was expecting (-145 currently) so probably will stay away.

I like GSW -1.5 games at + odds. Bucks -350 to win game 1 and the series. Maybe Wolves +1.5 games at +odds.

Mavs +215 is great value if you think Luka only misses a game, but probably will stay away.

Suns to win West and Bucks to win East parlay +550
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on April 13, 2022, 12:06:38 PM
halfway there....but it was the easy half.

Celtics did not get the odds I was expecting (-145 currently) so probably will stay away.

I like GSW -1.5 games at + odds. Bucks -350 to win game 1 and the series. Maybe Wolves +1.5 games at +odds.

Mavs +215 is great value if you think Luka only misses a game, but probably will stay away.

Suns to win West and Bucks to win East parlay +550

That gives me a little pause with Curry still undetermined.  No/lesser Curry + Poole and Klay being streaky as they have been against Jokic could easily go to 7 IMO.  If Curry is healthy or even 75-80% then thats a moot point and I could see 4-2 pretty easily
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 13, 2022, 12:34:48 PM
That gives me a little pause with Curry still undetermined.  No/lesser Curry + Poole and Klay being streaky as they have been against Jokic could easily go to 7 IMO.  If Curry is healthy or even 75-80% then thats a moot point and I could see 4-2 pretty easily

Agreed. If Curry isn't healthy then I don't feel great about it. But there's a reason it's + odds.

I just can't see Denver's non-Jokic guys holding up over a series. Draymond is just about the perfect guy to matchup with Jokic. They obviously won't neutralize him, but should be able to make him slightly less effective. If Curry was fully healthy I would expect Denver to get 1 game.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 15, 2022, 10:44:41 AM
Ended up parlaying Bucks/Suns to make the finals at +626. The Bucks second round series is obviously the big concern. If they both get to the conference finals, should be able to hedge on their opponents at +odds to breakeven pretty easily.

Also parlayed Bucks -2.5 games and Warriors -1.5 games at +225.

Lastly, I have the open bet of Nets, Hawks, Clippers and Wolves to advance form play in tournament +470. Probably will hedge a bit on Pels and Cavs MLs to guarantee profit there.

Decided against any Mavs, Celtics or Wolves bets but we'll see how those series progress.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on April 15, 2022, 11:32:47 AM
Ended up parlaying Bucks/Suns to make the finals at +626. The Bucks second round series is obviously the big concern. If they both get to the conference finals, should be able to hedge on their opponents at +odds to breakeven pretty easily.

Also parlayed Bucks -2.5 games and Warriors -1.5 games at +225.

Lastly, I have the open bet of Nets, Hawks, Clippers and Wolves to advance form play in tournament +470. Probably will hedge a bit on Pels and Cavs MLs to guarantee profit there.

Decided against any Mavs, Celtics or Wolves bets but we'll see how those series progress.

PG out tonight. Would def hedge that.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 15, 2022, 12:22:07 PM
PG out tonight. Would def hedge that.

I did, luckily before the odds changed. Pels at +143. but only hedged enough to break even.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on April 17, 2022, 07:06:40 AM
Brash over 4.5 K’s +105 on DK

This line won’t be + money by 9am CST. After last night, RIP to the Hunter Greene over 4.5 K props (it was very nice to get that prop twice, but we’ll never see Greene at 4.5 ever again).

Need to take advantage of the books offering rookie hard throwing studs at advantageous numbers while you can.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 20, 2022, 11:54:34 AM
I haven't been posting but have been on a heater lately. Warriors/Bucks series parlay is looking good if the Bucks win tonight. Mavs ML/Brewers -1.5 vs. Pittsburgh parlay was a hit earlier this week. Memphis -7 last night. I did lose PHX live ML +115 at the start of the 4Q. Thought they'd be able to overcome Booker's absence but the Pels went and took that game.

Bucks -10 is my play tonight, although I kind of like the 1H line better.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 21, 2022, 01:48:13 PM
With Middleton's injury I'm looking at hedge options for the Warriors -1.5 games/Bucks -2.5 games +225 parlay. Thoughts?

If the Warriors win tonight I'm confident they won't lose three in a row. That leg would be pretty safe. If they lose it gets tricky and I probably have to wait it out and hope the Bucks/Bulls

Hedge on Bulls ML each game for smaller amounts? Hope the Bucks win game three and the series spread goes back to 2.5 games and hedge that?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on April 27, 2022, 11:45:36 PM
Ended up parlaying Bucks/Suns to make the finals at +626. The Bucks second round series is obviously the big concern. If they both get to the conference finals, should be able to hedge on their opponents at +odds to breakeven pretty easily.

Also parlayed Bucks -2.5 games and Warriors -1.5 games at +225.

Hit on the second parlay with the two wins tonight. Don’t feel great about the first with injuries and matchups going forward, but hitting this one guarantees a decent profit for the playoffs.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2023, 01:32:23 PM
So...Ohio legalized sports betting as of January 1. Does anyone have a recommendation for the best site/app? Or do most people get accounts with multiple sites/apps so that they can shop for odds?

I'm still not 100% sure I'm going to open an account, but they seem to be offering some pretty good incentives so I'm considering it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: tower912 on January 03, 2023, 01:38:47 PM
Ask Pete Rose.   Seriously, the optics of him placing the first bet......   oy.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2023, 01:46:20 PM
Ask Pete Rose.   Seriously, the optics of him placing the first bet......   oy.

Yeah, that's a bad look.

One of the funny things is that various sites/apps hired famous people to be Ohio's first bet. I know that on Sunday I heard that Bernie Kosar was the first bet with a $19k bet on the Browns. Now I'm hearing it's Rose. Obviously, Rose is the better story, so I'm sure that will be "the one" that sticks.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 03, 2023, 01:50:57 PM
So...Ohio legalized sports betting as of January 1. Does anyone have a recommendation for the best site/app? Or do most people get accounts with multiple sites/apps so that they can shop for odds?

I'm still not 100% sure I'm going to open an account, but they seem to be offering some pretty good incentives so I'm considering it.

My advice would be to go with whichever platform you’re comfortable with, and obviously shopping the lines.

The start up promos are usually pretty rich, and typically free money. Even if you only want to occasionally bet, definitely take advantage of the promos now (they’ll fade away in a couple weeks).

For me, DK usually has the most wagering options, but I prefer FanDuel’s interface. There isn’t one site I personally love.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: 🏀 on January 03, 2023, 01:51:22 PM
So...Ohio legalized sports betting as of January 1. Does anyone have a recommendation for the best site/app? Or do most people get accounts with multiple sites/apps so that they can shop for odds?

I'm still not 100% sure I'm going to open an account, but they seem to be offering some pretty good incentives so I'm considering it.

Since you're a new state, get every service available. They will all have stupid promos for the next year. It'll be $25 or $50 max bets on an easy winner BOOSTED to +100. Once these dry up after a year, I've stuck with MGM, PointsBet and DraftKings.

PointsBet is the easiest and clean. However, they are generally missing things like MU player props.
MGM has the best search function.
DraftKings has everything.

Action app was excellent for tracking across all the books. However, the DK data breach has hampered that a bit. I still use it a lot especially for looking for the best line.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2023, 01:56:57 PM
My son said he likes Barstools the best, but I take that with a grain of salt. He seems to like Barstools everything. Me...not so much.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Spotcheck Billy on January 03, 2023, 01:59:59 PM
Yeah, that's a bad look.

One of the funny things is that various sites/apps hired famous people to be Ohio's first bet. I know that on Sunday I heard that Bernie Kosar was the first bet with a $19k bet on the Browns. Now I'm hearing it's Rose. Obviously, Rose is the better story, so I'm sure that will be "the one" that sticks.

 ;D missed opportunity: Rose is the bettor story
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: ZiggysFryBoy on January 03, 2023, 02:00:39 PM
Ask Pete Rose.   Seriously, the optics of him placing the first bet......   oy.

I thought that was awesome.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2023, 03:08:41 PM
OK, so I went ahead and did it...Draftkings. Upon making my first $5 bet (MU -2, natch), I received $200 in "bonus bets." It's 8x$25.

So, if I'm understanding this correctly, I just make those bets and it's no cost. If I win, they put the money into my account? If I lose...oh well.

Have I got that right? Or am I missing something? Like I have to bet all my initial deposit before I can withdraw (or use) the winnings from my "bonus bets"?


OK, so I found these terms (https://help.draftkings.com/hc/en-us/articles/11937280734099-What-is-a-Bonus-Bet-) on Draftkings. I'm specifically looking at the following bullet points:


I interpret this to mean that winnings are paid out and can be cashed out; the initial bonus bet must be played and not cashed out. The winnings don't need a one-time play through, right?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2023, 07:53:47 PM
OK, so I went ahead and did it...Draftkings. Upon making my first $5 bet (MU -2, natch), I received $200 in "bonus bets." It's 8x$25.

This is easy…I may quit my day job. I also used one of my $25 bonus bets on MU -6 at +165.

I’m rich, biatches!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 04, 2023, 10:05:56 AM
Here's another "am i missing something" moment. DK just sent me a promo for the Cavs game tonight. They're changing the odds for Cavs make one 3-pointer from -2000 to +100. That certainly seems like a no-brainer. I suppose they're just trying to get new bettors in the habit of using the app and making bets. But, am I missing something?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU11W on January 04, 2023, 10:09:15 AM
Nope, not missing anything. Bet the max allowable amount on that one. 

You're thoughts are pretty spot-on - want people to get used to using the app, betting props and not your standard bets, etc.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 04, 2023, 10:46:27 AM
Here's another "am i missing something" moment. DK just sent me a promo for the Cavs game tonight. They're changing the odds for Cavs make one 3-pointer from -2000 to +100. That certainly seems like a no-brainer. I suppose they're just trying to get new bettors in the habit of using the app and making bets. But, am I missing something?

Not missing anything, take it and run with it, free money.

I will say that eventually these DK boosts become sucker bets. This past weekend they had Rodgers + Cousins to combine to throw over 475 yards (or something like that) “boosted” to +100, and I wasn’t going to take that at all (it didn’t come close to hitting). 
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 04, 2023, 11:10:33 AM
Not missing anything, take it and run with it, free money.

I will say that eventually these DK boosts become sucker bets. This past weekend they had Rodgers + Cousins to combine to throw over 475 yards (or something like that) “boosted” to +100, and I wasn’t going to take that at all (it didn’t come close to hitting).

I figured that would be the case. I generally assume that bets/promotions pushed by casinos are not good bets. I'll consider them individually. My son -- who also lives in Ohio and is getting promotions on games on the apps he's using -- got one for MNF that at least one of the teams would score a point (i.e., the only loser would be a 0-0 tie). I see that DK also has a promotion tonight for a "risk free" NBA bet -- limited to $10 and you get a "bonus bet" if you lose. Not as much of a no brainer as the other (because you can still lose the $10 if you lose two bets in a row) but still a reasonably good deal. If they would just credit a real $10 back to the account it would be be another free money bet.

Any general tips (as opposed to specific bets) for using my seven remaining $25 bonus bets would be welcome. I used the first one for a longer odds bet than I typically would have made (MU -6 at +165) and I'll probably continue with that strategy. They expire in seven days, so I basically need to make one bet a day. Just for fun, I'm thinking of a parlay on the Cavs tonight (spread and over at +300).

Thanks to everyone for your comments. It's kind of a whole new thing for me, obviously.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 04, 2023, 11:26:47 AM
I figured that would be the case. I generally assume that bets/promotions pushed by casinos are not good bets. I'll consider them individually. My son -- who also lives in Ohio and is getting promotions on games on the apps he's using -- got one for MNF that at least one of the teams would score a point (i.e., the only loser would be a 0-0 tie). I see that DK also has a promotion tonight for a "risk free" NBA bet -- limited to $10 and you get a "bonus bet" if you lose. Not as much of a no brainer as the other (because you can still lose the $10 if you lose two bets in a row) but still a reasonably good deal. If they would just credit a real $10 back to the account it would be be another free money bet.

Any general tips (as opposed to specific bets) for using my seven remaining $25 bonus bets would be welcome. I used the first one for a longer odds bet than I typically would have made (MU -6 at +165) and I'll probably continue with that strategy. They expire in seven days, so I basically need to make one bet a day. Just for fun, I'm thinking of a parlay on the Cavs tonight (spread and over at +300).

Thanks to everyone for your comments. It's kind of a whole new thing for me, obviously.

I give you credit, this is a thought out process by you, it doesn’t seem like you’re just diving into the deep end and tossing bets out left and right (which obviously the sportsbooks want you to do).

One piece of advice I’d give is take advantage of referral bonuses, as that is typically free money as well, especially now in Ohio.

For the free bets, I’d say find something you think is fun to cheer for, or go contrarian, and bet against the Cavs (or whatever teams you cheer for) and then when your favorite team(s) lose, you win. The only thing I’d say is don’t do some 4 team, heavy favorites, moneyline parlay with the free bets. I personally like placing futures bets with any free bets I get, mainly because I can hedge down the line with minimal risk.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 04, 2023, 11:36:01 AM
For the free bets, I’d say find something you think is fun to cheer for, or go contrarian, and bet against the Cavs (or whatever teams you cheer for) and then when your favorite team(s) lose, you win. The only thing I’d say is don’t do some 4 team, heavy favorites, moneyline parlay with the free bets. I personally like placing futures bets with any free bets I get, mainly because I can hedge down the line with minimal risk.

That was another thing I was wondering about. It says the free bets are only valid for one week. I assume that means that you must place the bet within the week, and not that the event you bet on must be completed within the week. In other words, I assume that I can put $25 free dollars on MU to to win the championship (+8000) as long as the bet is made within the seven day window. But it's not 100% clear to me.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 04, 2023, 11:45:25 AM
That was another thing I was wondering about. It says the free bets are only valid for one week. I assume that means that you must place the bet within the week, and not that the event you bet on must be completed within the week. In other words, I assume that I can put $25 free dollars on MU to to win the championship (+8000) as long as the bet is made within the seven day window. But it's not 100% clear to me.

Yes, you’re correct, you just have to place the bet within a week of receiving it. As an example, I had a free bet from last summer from DK, and I parlayed Mariners to make the playoffs, Bears to finish last in the North, and Bucks to win the NBA title. I’m now sitting in a decent spot to hedge against the Bucks.

You could place all your free bets today if you wanted to as well. Don’t have to do one a day (at least not in Illinois you wouldn’t).
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 04, 2023, 12:04:36 PM
Yes, you’re correct, you just have to place the bet within a week of receiving it. As an example, I had a free bet from last summer from DK, and I parlayed Mariners to make the playoffs, Bears to finish last in the North, and Bucks to win the NBA title. I’m now sitting in a decent spot to hedge against the Bucks.

You could place all your free bets today if you wanted to as well. Don’t have to do one a day (at least not in Illinois you wouldn’t).

Thanks, Dish. I understand that I don't have to place one bet each day. I went into this knowing that I'm not going to be a big sports bettor. I thought it might be fun to bet a few dollars here and a few dollars there. I figured that there was no better time than the present to open an account since they were offering incentives. I didn't realize that all the free bets would need to be made within a week (or that it was 8x$25). When I learned that, I just figured, "We'll, I've got to make eight bets over the next week"...but I realize that they don't have to be spread out. Truth be told, my goal for the free bets is to recoup my initial deposit (only $75) and then have some money in the account to make a bet every now and then. If that goes well, I may I open a FanDuel account and try to do the same there -- they are also offering $200 if you make an initial $5 bet.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Hards Alumni on January 04, 2023, 12:55:26 PM
Ask Pete Rose.   Seriously, the optics of him placing the first bet......   oy.

Who cares.  He knows he isn't getting into the HOF, so why not.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Hards Alumni on January 04, 2023, 12:57:51 PM
Here's another "am i missing something" moment. DK just sent me a promo for the Cavs game tonight. They're changing the odds for Cavs make one 3-pointer from -2000 to +100. That certainly seems like a no-brainer. I suppose they're just trying to get new bettors in the habit of using the app and making bets. But, am I missing something?

Yo dawg, the first hit of H is on the house, just remember where you got it when you need your next.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: ZiggysFryBoy on January 04, 2023, 01:04:38 PM
Yo dawg, the first hit of H is on the house, just remember where you got it when you need your next.

^^^^trust this guy when it comes to heroin, he knows his $hit.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Hards Alumni on January 04, 2023, 01:07:33 PM
^^^^trust this guy when it comes to heroin, he knows his $hit.

Bitch, you know I know everything.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 05, 2023, 07:50:37 PM
Not missing anything, take it and run with it, free money.

Tonight it was Ohio State to score 1 or more at +100. I like these. I can't imagine they'll keep it up for long.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 05, 2023, 08:54:04 PM
Tonight it was Ohio State to score 1 or more at +100. I like these. I can't imagine they'll keep it up for long.

Man, it seems like a lot of upfront promos. Here in Illinois, the state casino/gaming board is/was slow to allow sportsbooks to operate here, so we had good promos for a bit, but it seems like Ohio probably has more book competition (hence more promos early on).

I think DK (here at least) had Doncic/Tatum/Jokic to combine for 90 points boosted to +150 (I may have the odds wrong). I didn’t dare touch that sucker bet. Jokic could very well score 38 tonight, but he’ll need that for this “boost” to hit, no thanks.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 05, 2023, 09:12:38 PM
Iowa live moneyline +300 on FD.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 05, 2023, 09:14:04 PM
Iowa live moneyline +300 on FD.

You’re better off flushing that money down the toilet
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 05, 2023, 10:30:23 PM
You’re better off flushing that money down the toilet

You’re welcome.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 06, 2023, 04:18:02 AM
You’re welcome.

Lol 🙏🙏
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 06, 2023, 08:44:18 AM
You’re welcome.

Nice hit btw
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 06, 2023, 11:33:42 AM
Iowa live moneyline +300 on FD.

Actually, this game was a funny lesson for me. Those $25 free bets are just burning a hole in my digital pocket. I was really busy last night, but wanted to place a bet. I saw the pre-game line and thought to myself, "Indiana is pretty good this year and Iowa isn't that good. Iowa's giving points? I think I'll bet on Indiana." I was even thinking of getting better odds by taking IU -2.5. Then I thought to myself, "I have absolutely no idea what either of these teams are up to lately...I'm not going to bet on that game." Several hours later I checked the score expecting to be kicking myself for not making the bet. You know the rest.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 06, 2023, 01:43:34 PM
Actually, this game was a funny lesson for me. Those $25 free bets are just burning a hole in my digital pocket. I was really busy last night, but wanted to place a bet. I saw the pre-game line and thought to myself, "Indiana is pretty good this year and Iowa isn't that good. Iowa's giving points? I think I'll bet on Indiana." I was even thinking of getting better odds by taking IU -2.5. Then I thought to myself, "I have absolutely no idea what either of these teams are up to lately...I'm not going to bet on that game." Several hours later I checked the score expecting to be kicking myself for not making the bet. You know the rest.

I do much better with live betting than anything else.

Not trying to openly pat myself on the back, but I was watching IU/Iowa, and the combo of Thompson getting injured and not coming back, IU’s ridiculous first 15 minutes shooting percentage, and TJD was clearly holding his lower back, and the +300 was a no brainer for me.

Pre-game I would have leaned Iowa and the points, but it wasn’t on my radar as a play. Live though, down 10 at the half, and getting +300 with the things I mentioned above, I sprinted to the FD app.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: reinko on January 08, 2023, 09:18:53 AM
Who has some winners today?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU Fan in Connecticut on January 08, 2023, 04:15:05 PM
Apparently sports betting became legal in Ohio on January 1.  You can bet in some bars.  A bartender told it was not a smooth launch
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 11, 2023, 08:20:35 PM
Well, that was the most satisfying bet I’ve ever won. MU moneyline.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on January 11, 2023, 10:23:37 PM
Well, that was the most satisfying bet I’ve ever won. MU moneyline.

Nice, SAW. Congrats!!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 16, 2023, 09:33:56 PM
This you, Dish (https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/35459170/notable-bets-los-angeles-chargers-jacksonville-jaguars-nfl)? I know how you like the live betting during games.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 16, 2023, 09:52:14 PM
This you, Dish (https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/35459170/notable-bets-los-angeles-chargers-jacksonville-jaguars-nfl)? I know how you like the live betting during games.

I still wonder how real that is. If one has that kind of scratch and can afford to lose it, more power to him/her.

It’s funny because when LAC recovered that fumbled punt inside the 10, and settled for a FG, I felt like in the moment that was a potential big missed opportunity to go up 5 scores (as ridiculous as that sounds).
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: 🏀 on January 17, 2023, 05:52:09 AM
I still wonder how real that is. If one has that kind of scratch and can afford to lose it, more power to him/her.

It’s funny because when LAC recovered that fumbled punt inside the 10, and settled for a FG, I felt like in the moment that was a potential big missed opportunity to go up 5 scores (as ridiculous as that sounds).

DK did confirm it
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 17, 2023, 09:11:18 AM
I still wonder how real that is. If one has that kind of scratch and can afford to lose it, more power to him/her.

It’s funny because when LAC recovered that fumbled punt inside the 10, and settled for a FG, I felt like in the moment that was a potential big missed opportunity to go up 5 scores (as ridiculous as that sounds).

This is surely a rich idiot who dumped a massive amount into DK to do whatever.  Cause nobody savvy enough to build a 7 figure bankroll, even starting from $50/100K, is taking that sort of risk for such a paltry return.  Not even for a hedge
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUBurrow on January 17, 2023, 10:55:13 AM
This is surely a rich idiot who dumped a massive amount into DK to do whatever.  Cause nobody savvy enough to build a 7 figure bankroll, even starting from $50/100K, is taking that sort of risk for such a paltry return.  Not even for a hedge

Yeah, I thought that using this as an excuse for handwringing over publicizing single bets was funny.  This was clearly some corncob who I would be willing to bet will boast that it was him because he has so much money to throw away.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Lennys Tap on January 17, 2023, 09:05:31 PM
This is surely a rich idiot who dumped a massive amount into DK to do whatever.  Cause nobody savvy enough to build a 7 figure bankroll, even starting from $50/100K, is taking that sort of risk for such a paltry return.  Not even for a hedge

Some traders on the CBOE used to sell way out of the money puts and calls for pennies, nickels and dimes. Some of them made a lot of money before they went broke.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on January 18, 2023, 08:56:06 AM
Some traders on the CBOE used to sell way out of the money puts and calls for pennies, nickels and dimes. Some of them made a lot of money before they went broke.

Very different IMO.  Taking the other side when you'd need a move 2-3 st deviations outside of a norm in a market where there are myriad factors that affect the underlying price movement is very different than a stupid sports bet where there is ample precedent for a comeback
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: GoldenEagles03 on January 18, 2023, 06:02:00 PM
Went with a 2 leg player prop tonight

Sanogo o14.5 points
Kolek o7.5 points
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: GoldenEagles03 on January 19, 2023, 11:18:26 AM
Went with a 2 leg player prop tonight

Sanogo o14.5 points
Kolek o7.5 points

Seemed too obvious after how Kolek has scored lately and against Providence the 1st time around!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: LAZER on January 20, 2023, 09:32:05 AM
Is anybody able to find Big East future odds? Draft Kings isn't showing any for Big East and Big Ten, but that might be because of Illinois schools.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 22, 2023, 01:38:12 PM
Mike Hilton over 3.5 tackles on FD (-172 is gross), but find something else you like to pair with it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 22, 2023, 01:47:24 PM
Is anybody able to find Big East future odds? Draft Kings isn't showing any for Big East and Big Ten, but that might be because of Illinois schools.

I've got MU to win the Big East regular season on Fan Duel, but I don't see it offered now.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on January 22, 2023, 02:07:28 PM
Mike Hilton over 3.5 tackles on FD (-172 is gross), but find something else you like to pair with it.

I think the +/- for McCaffery rushing is in the low 60's. It's playoff time now, so he won't be on a pitch count anymore. I expect he will see the ball a lot.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 22, 2023, 02:32:28 PM
Live total, Allen over 40.5 pass attempts, -105 on DK
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 22, 2023, 04:22:06 PM
I am liking my Cincy +1100 future a lot more than I did 2 hours ago.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: LAZER on January 22, 2023, 04:33:09 PM
I've got MU to win the Big East regular season on Fan Duel, but I don't see it offered now.
It’s back up on Draft Kings, MU +170, Xavier -115
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 23, 2023, 05:28:50 AM
It’s back up on Draft Kings, MU +170, Xavier -115

It’s back on FD now too. MU +130, X +115.

I got it at +250.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 24, 2023, 11:34:22 PM
David Shaw next Broncos head coach, +1500 on DK.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 25, 2023, 07:13:57 PM
Took UConn Live +7.5 at half. Still up in the air.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2023, 05:29:04 PM
Hunter Dickinson to make two 3’s vs Purdue, +290 on FD.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 26, 2023, 08:36:11 PM
Hunter Dickinson to make two 3’s vs Purdue, +290 on FD.

One down…
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2023, 08:55:42 PM
One down…

I posted it at +290, literally ten seconds later as I was betting it, dropped to +265. I still played it.

His two misses were both good looks, he was 6-9 from 3 against Purdue in two games.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 26, 2023, 09:01:29 PM
I think you got it. We’ll see.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 26, 2023, 09:05:09 PM
I think you got it. We’ll see.

Yeah, there’s still a half to go, but didn’t anticipate sweating Dickinson’s shoe size.

I can’t find a clear decision yet on that shot.

Edit: And it is a 3, so hopefully someone else here tailed and made some cash.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on January 29, 2023, 10:47:20 AM
Mahomes under 283.5 pass yards, -110 on FD.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 01, 2023, 02:56:55 PM
I completely lucked into a win last night. I saw that DK was offering a promo -- make a $5 NBA single game parlay, get a $10 bonus bet. As I understood it, I was up against the deadline before the offer expired. It was late and the Nuggets/Pelicans game was the only game that hadn't started and the the promo required a pre-game bet. So, I bet on the Nuggets to cover and Jokic to have 22.5+ and 8+. The only reason I made the bet was to get my free bonus bet. Then I realized that I had already used that promo (and used the $10 bonus bet on MU to win the Natty at +6000). I was happy to wake up this morning and see the headline on ESPN: "Jokic dazzles with 26-18-15 triple-double as Nuggets snap 2-game skid." Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Pakuni on February 04, 2023, 12:43:03 PM
DK has Kolek over 6.5 assists at +100.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 12, 2023, 08:01:05 AM
Ok, this may be a question that will reveal how much of a gambler someone is (or isn’t as the case may be). I referred my wife and she got her $200 in bonus bets. Also, we each got a single $200 bonus bet for the referral. So, would you hedge those big bonus gets to guarantee at least $180 of real money? Or bet them separately and try to do even better.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on February 12, 2023, 08:06:07 AM
Ok, this may be a question that will reveal how much of a gambler someone is (or isn’t as the case may be). I referred my wife and she got her $200 in bonus bets. Also, we each got a single $200 bonus bet for the referral. So, would you hedge those big bonus gets to guarantee at least $180 of real money? Or bet them separately and try to do even better.

Trick question you both will end up losing in the long run
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 12, 2023, 11:17:40 AM
Trick question you both will end up losing in the long run

Depending on how you define the "long run" you may very well be right. Or at least partly right...I'll lose it all. My wife won't lose any because she's not the one betting. But I suspect it will take a while and I'll enjoy it while it lasts. I went into this knowing that I'm never going to be a "real" sports better. I turned my initial free bets/promos on DK into about $160 of their money. I had less success on FD -- about $70 of their money (largely because they didn't offer the "free money" promos like, "If the Cavs score a single three -- you win"). I already cashed out the money I initially put in so I'm playing 100% with their money. It's now at $180 on DK and still $72 on FD. I generally only bet $2 at a time on single game parlays that I'm watching - three or four legs like the line and individual statistical stuff. Typically they end up between +200 and +300. That $250 is going to last quite a while at the rate I'm going. I did go crazy and make four $2 bets on NMD.

Now, with my wife's new account we are in a position with those two bonus $200 bets to hedge on a bet and guarantee another $180 -- although I'm still not completely sure I want to go that route. That's before I even touch those eight $25 bonus bets. In another two weeks I should be in a position to cash out her initial deposit and have another $250-$300 of their money to play around with. If I keep betting the way that I am betting -- which I think is fairly likely and I am enjoying it -- that $500-600 should last a loooooooong time.

I fully realize that what I've described probably sounds pretty boring to most of the people on here who bet on sports. At this point, I'm enjoying it. I'm betting almost exclusively on games that I'm going to watch anyway -- Marquette, Purdue, and the Cavs -- and it makes it a little more fun to watch ("Pass the damn ball to Kam!"; "Grab that rebound, Oso!").

I suspect I'll bet a bit on the SB today...but probalby with one or two of my wife's bonus bets since I need to use them in the next six days.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on February 12, 2023, 10:39:51 PM
Yes, you should hedge, it’s free money at that point.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 16, 2023, 08:08:00 AM
Ugh! I had MU moneyline; Kolek 1+ 3PT; Mitchell 1+ 3PT; Jones 2+ 3PT. +340

Gotta say, when I made that bet, I didn't think Kam was the leg I needed to worry about.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 21, 2023, 01:00:30 PM
Betting with my heart tonight...never a good idea. Nova/MU money line parlay.  +655
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 21, 2023, 01:25:53 PM
Nova +5 and Baylor -1.5 for me.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on February 21, 2023, 01:31:27 PM
LOVE Baylor ML.  So probably K State by double digits.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 22, 2023, 01:56:01 AM
LOVE Baylor ML.  So probably K State by double digits.

Yep. Nova evened things out, but was shocked by how bad Baylor looked.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on February 22, 2023, 05:59:36 AM
Betting with my heart tonight...never a good idea. Nova/MU money line parlay.  +655

OK, so this time it was a good idea.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Lennys Tap on February 22, 2023, 07:12:38 AM
Betting with my heart tonight...never a good idea. Nova/MU money line parlay.  +655

Nice payout, Warrior!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 24, 2023, 01:47:51 PM
Took Fulham ML today +140. It's a biased pick and Mitrovic is out, but I couldn't help myself at + odds.

Doubled down on the Fulham double chance at halftime, came out with a small win. Would have been a huge one if they'd found a second.

For tonight.....the sharps/money all seems to be on SHU. I don't hate Xavier -1.5 in a bounce back spot though.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on February 25, 2023, 01:35:18 PM
Reason #3646 to never bet college unders, SJU fouls 3 times under 30 seconds when down 8-10.  And try to foul with 6 seconds left down 9 that the ref didn’t call.  Not that you’d ever bet an under in a SJU game, but still.

My buddy lost an under by 2 points last night because 22 points were scored in the last 90 seconds because the losing team fouled SEVEN times in 90 seconds despite never being closer than 8, never attempting a 3, and usually just trading 2s for 2 FTs in the double bonus.  22 points in a game that had scored under 120 total up until that foul spree.  It’s very much robotic American basketball culture to snap foul when down by under 15 under a minute
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: tower912 on February 25, 2023, 01:39:17 PM
Feel bad for anybody who took the under for MSU-Iowa.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on February 25, 2023, 01:47:55 PM
I had Iowa live ML and Iowa live -2.5. By far the most fortunate betting wins I’ve had in my life.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on March 11, 2023, 04:59:07 PM
Won Bama today. Lost SLU +4. In on TXSO +3 right now.

Taking a stab at Kam Jones 3+ threes and MU to win at +175.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on May 30, 2023, 07:28:12 AM
Perhaps blind MU optimism, but I thought Miami moneyline and Butler 25+ at +350 was higher odds than I expected. So I jumped on it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on September 22, 2023, 03:19:05 PM
I just checked to see what odds are out there for futures bets.

FanDuel has +2500 to win the championship and +600 for the FF.
Draft Kings has +1800 for the championship.

I grabbed those FanDuel odds. Here's hoping for a special, special year.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 13, 2023, 01:07:18 PM
Anyone using PrizePicks these days? Just got into it - if you sign up, use the sign up code below:

PR-XHEDL0A

More importantly, if you’re having great success and have daily tips, please share.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 13, 2023, 01:37:48 PM
Anyone using PrizePicks these days? Just got into it - if you sign up, use the sign up code below:

PR-XHEDL0A

More importantly, if you’re having great success and have daily tips, please share.
CBB lines have been very sharp this year. Much tighter than in years past.

Most success I’ve had this year is focusing exclusively on high possession games and stacking players from those teams.

Play 5 man flexes if you’re looking for longevity. Lower investment per bet and higher yield for wins.

It’s a grind. Be prepared to lose more than you win with that strategy, but when you hit, you hit big and it carries you for a long time.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: reinko on December 13, 2023, 01:42:55 PM
Obviously it's no "system", but I enjoy live betting NBA games in the 2nd half when heavy favorites are losing, grab a few points, or even bet the money line.  Bucks are awesome at this lol. 

Similar, betting dogcrap teams who are losing by a lot in the 4th, coaches tend to leave starters in longer, or bench players on these teams seem to try harder to crack the rotation, so grabbing 20+ points on a live bet, hopes they crack into the lead a bit.  Makes end of games pretty exciting.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 14, 2023, 01:06:36 PM
Baby bet tonight

AJ storr points were 12.5 (now 13.5) and Kam had 21.5 pts+reb+asst (now 20.5)

Took Storr more & Kam less

Win, all is well. Lose, xmas presents may not happen.

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jockey on December 14, 2023, 03:40:34 PM
Baby bet tonight

AJ storr points were 12.5 (now 13.5) and Kam had 21.5 pts+reb+asst (now 20.5)

Took Storr more & Kam less

Win, all is well. Lose, xmas presents may not happen.

Explain your reasoning.

I like the Storr bet a lot. I wouldn't even put a nickel on the Kam bet either way.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 14, 2023, 04:21:37 PM
No need to reinvent the wheel tonight folks

Kevin cross o 28.5 conbo
Walter Clayton o 14.5
Tyrese Samuel o 22.5 combo
Will Richard o 1.5 3’s made
Jaylen Forbes o 14.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 14, 2023, 05:09:33 PM
MU under 83.5, -110 on DK

Finals week, should be sloppy.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 15, 2023, 09:12:02 AM
No need to reinvent the wheel tonight folks

Kevin cross o 28.5 conbo
Walter Clayton o 14.5
Tyrese Samuel o 22.5 combo
Will Richard o 1.5 3’s made
Jaylen Forbes o 14.5

4 of 5 ain’t bad boys
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUBurrow on December 15, 2023, 09:20:54 AM
4 of 5 ain’t bad boys

Certainly keeps the heat on. 

Pretty good night all around for scoop. JayBee will be able to shower all the onlyfans creators on his list with gifts.  Though Dish missed thanks to Kolek making both his free throws with :08 left.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 15, 2023, 03:55:32 PM
(http://Copy my PrizePicks entry using this link:
https://prizepicks.onelink.me/gCQS/shareEntry?entryId=d54d3617b26aacf69ceb3aabec93a716)

Don’t let ole panda get hot boys

Hit a nice 5 for 5 on some footy this afternoon
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 15, 2023, 04:06:42 PM
Official cbb card for tonight

Tru Washington o 11.5 points
Nolan Hickman o 15.5 combo
Nemhard u 26.5 fantasy
Tristan newton o 35.5 fantasy
Femi odukale o 13.5 points
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 15, 2023, 06:04:16 PM
Official cbb card for tonight

Tru Washington o 11.5 points
Nolan Hickman o 15.5 combo
Nemhard u 26.5 fantasy
Tristan newton o 35.5 fantasy
Femi odukale o 13.5 points

I kinda like the Nembhard play. He hasn’t had big games against UConn, last 3 games against the Huskies (with Creighton), all went under 26.5.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: reinko on December 15, 2023, 07:09:24 PM
Pacers +150 to win, down 14 at half to Wizards.  🔨
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 06:15:52 AM
Official cbb card for tonight

Tru Washington o 11.5 points
Nolan Hickman o 15.5 combo
Nemhard u 26.5 fantasy
Tristan newton o 35.5 fantasy
Femi odukale o 13.5 points

Update - panda did not get hot.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2023, 08:59:07 AM
We got some Saturday specials today, fellas??

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 11:48:38 AM
Payton sand fort o 13.5
Wade Taylor u 23 combo
Quinerly o 19.5 combo
Pj hall o 27.5 combo (cold ass white boy)
Allen Flanagan o 16.5 points
Kevin macular o 16.5 point
Ware u 26.5 combo
Edey u 43.5 fantasy
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2023, 12:10:03 PM
I like it. I did a baby bet on points. Over for mccular, under on ware.  Need mccular to get going
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 12:51:20 PM
I like it. I did a baby bet on points. Over for mccular, under on ware.  Need mccular to get going

Shots will be flying in the second half. Good for Mac bad for ware under pra
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 01:10:36 PM
Shots will be flying in the second half. Good for Mac bad for ware under pra

Gonna need an injury here jbizzle
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2023, 01:17:32 PM
Gonna need an injury here jbizzle

Also have Ty Chandler more than 16.5 rec yards. Dude got 16 early and is just sitting g there. C’mon!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2023, 01:57:01 PM
I like it. I did a baby bet on points. Over for mccular, under on ware.  Need mccular to get going

Lfg. Easy 3x payout!!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: wadesworld on December 16, 2023, 02:29:34 PM
Payton sand fort o 13.5
Wade Taylor u 23 combo
Quinerly o 19.5 combo
Pj hall o 27.5 combo (cold ass white boy)
Allen Flanagan o 16.5 points
Kevin macular o 16.5 point
Ware u 26.5 combo
Edey u 43.5 fantasy

Okay Mark Titus.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 02:58:37 PM
Okay Mark Titus.

And ?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 16, 2023, 02:59:39 PM
Lfg. Easy 3x payout!!

Never a doubt lol - self is the man for leavin Mac in with 4 fouls.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 16, 2023, 03:31:52 PM
Never a doubt lol - self is the man for leavin Mac in with 4 fouls.

Effin needed a second Joseph FG today too on another bet. Damn it
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 17, 2023, 05:26:11 PM
Wheel points o 13.5
Blackshear pra 22.5 o (5 star nuclear bomb play of the day)
Coleman o 15 points
Lucas o 1.5 3s
Mulcahy o pra 17.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 19, 2023, 01:03:30 PM
Jop 1.5 3FGM over
Hopkins 18p over

3x EZ $, c’mon Jop
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on December 19, 2023, 01:39:18 PM
Lost Georgia Southern -4 yesterday on a pretty brutal beat. Also Eagles -3.5. Rough day.

I like Jay Bee's Jop bet. Maybe Memphis & Notre Dame if I am looking for some sides.

Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on December 19, 2023, 02:20:32 PM
Jop 1.5 3FGM over
Hopkins 18p over

3x EZ $, c’mon Jop

jop is a lock - i usually like to take a rebound prop for whomever marquette is playing but nothing posted on prizepicks yet.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on December 19, 2023, 05:53:06 PM
Didn’t take ND earlier but locked in the live spread of -2.5. On Jop over 1.5 too.

Fulham won me a good chunk earlier with first goal and to advance.

Edit: I knew ND was terrible but not this terrible.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 19, 2023, 09:14:05 PM
Welp. I’ll be broke in a half hour. Fml
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on December 19, 2023, 09:59:45 PM
Not the best day for me either. 3-5. Meh. Onto the next.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on December 21, 2023, 06:36:44 AM
One bet last night. Kalk more than 7.5 boards — he got 7!! Paired with the KD scores a point or more on Xmas. I think* we have a winner!!
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on December 24, 2023, 10:44:01 PM
Great day yesterday. Air Force, South Alabama, and Steelers all had stress free covers. Less good today. Won Miami. Lost Denver. Packers ruined a nice parlay.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on December 28, 2023, 09:25:45 AM
Super Bowl matchup, Rams vs Browns +55700.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 02, 2024, 05:28:11 PM
Baylor s >17.5, Alex k > 13.5, edey < 23.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 02, 2024, 08:29:38 PM
Baylor s >17.5, Alex k > 13.5, edey < 23.5

Oh yeah, that’s a winner, bois. 5x payout
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 02, 2024, 08:38:36 PM
Won UConn -22.5. Have Butler +7.5 live.

Losing Bama +3 in overtime was annoying yesterday.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2024, 04:12:41 PM
I know a lot of people hate ESPN, but has anyone tried the new ESPN Bet sportsbook? I want to sign up and get some of their free money. It's been an absolute train wreck thus far, so I'm not sure if I want to go through with it. We're now 2.5 weeks in and they're still verifying my identity. Apparently something happened* when I was signing up and they have to manually verify. They are "getting to it as soon as possible" and can't tell me when it will be done. I'm losing patience...wondering if I want to bother at all. But, $250 in free bets (5x$50) for making any bet is kind of compelling.


*I'm guessing I caused the problem when I used an expired ID when I first tried to sign up. It was the day after I renewed my driver's license and I didn't have the new card yet. They require a photo of the DL. I snapped and sent a photo of the expired one without thinking about it. It got rejected because it was expired. I substituted the new ID when it came in the mail a few days later but I've been stuck in "We're still verifying your identity. It's taking longer than we expected" ever since.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 03, 2024, 04:29:35 PM
I substituted the new one when it came in the male a few days later but I've been stuck

Bruh

U sure u talkin espn?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 03, 2024, 04:31:22 PM
Bruh

U sure u talkin espn?

LOL
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 04, 2024, 08:32:40 AM
I’m on a roll w BEast / B1G action

Last night had Claude less than 5.5 rebs (had 3) and Dixon less than 23.5 pts+rev+ast. Dude was sitting at 23 and goes to the line for 2… was 8/8 prior to that, but missed em both, for MY win. 3x payout
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 04, 2024, 08:50:53 AM
I’m on a roll w BEast / B1G action

Last night had Claude less than 5.5 rebs (had 3) and Dixon less than 23.5 pts+rev+ast. Dude was sitting at 23 and goes to the line for 2… was 8/8 prior to that, but missed em both, for MY win. 3x payout

Opposite side -

Pj hall o 17.5 pts hooked me for my 10x. All time bad 5th foul with three mins left lol
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 04, 2024, 12:58:16 PM
Usually when I post here I have terrible nights, but tonight I have IUPUI +8.5, Bellarmine -2.5, ULL +6

Edit - terrible.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 04, 2024, 07:22:41 PM
Don’t like this game at all, but need something to monitor while working late into the night. Mich / gophers game

Nkamhoua less than 7.5 reb
Hawkins more than 8.5 pts
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 04, 2024, 07:29:09 PM
Don’t like this game at all, but need something to monitor while working late into the night. Mich / gophers game

Nkamhoua less than 7.5 reb
Hawkins more than 8.5 pts

Like Hawkins o pts too. Also love Dawson u 27.5 pra
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 04, 2024, 07:34:28 PM
Like Hawkins o pts too. Also love Dawson u 27.5 pra

I was close to doing a Dawson bet, but I think the possessions could get high on this one and not sure what to expect w him recently back from injury. Anywhere from 26 to 37 mins played wouldn’t surprise me. I do not like this game.

Good luck
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 04, 2024, 07:48:34 PM
I was close to doing a Dawson bet, but I think the possessions could get high on this one and not sure what to expect w him recently back from injury. Anywhere from 26 to 37 mins played wouldn’t surprise me. I do not like this game.

Good luck

Hoping Michigan runs away with it early
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 04, 2024, 10:10:54 PM
Like Hawkins o pts too. Also love Dawson u 27.5 pra

Are you kidding me? We nailed the call on Hawkins. Then a Nkamhoua rebound with 23 seconds effd me… then a Dawson Garcia rebound with ONE SECOND effd u?!?! Unreal.

Ski u mah tho
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 05, 2024, 08:50:27 AM
Are you kidding me? We nailed the call on Hawkins. Then a Nkamhoua rebound with 23 seconds effd me… then a Dawson Garcia rebound with ONE SECOND effd u?!?! Unreal.

Ski u mah tho

Lol that rebound solidified my 3rd 4 for 5 flex pick of the night. Profit is profit but couldve been so much bigger.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on January 05, 2024, 07:58:08 PM
I saw the halftime score of the UConn/Butler game and the moneyline at +135 and thought, “Cool…they’re giving away free money.”
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 06, 2024, 10:33:00 AM


Kyle f u 28.5
House o 1.5 3
Augustas o 3/5 assists
Colorado boards
Adam miller points

All points
I Stevens u 18
J Walter u 15.5
J cook o 11.5
Q post o 17.5
M abmas u 16.5

Aimaq u 24.5 pra
T bates o 10.5 pts
Battle o 15.5 pts
I scheiflen o 8.5 boards
Rj Davis o 32.5 fantasy

Iowa -6.5
Utah state -2
Florida Kentucky u 168.5
Clemson -3.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 06, 2024, 10:33:34 AM
Also think seton hall covers the 5 points but don’t want to bring bad juju
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 06, 2024, 09:13:06 PM
T Hunter texas +11.5 p; Jose Perez less than 12.5 ez 3x $$ tonight. Lfg
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 10, 2024, 09:04:22 AM
Kam > 14.5 and posh > 9.5 pts

Kam I hope goes 3/5 or 4/6 from 2 w a few triples. I think he’ll be looking to rack up points

Posh I hate on offense, but he’s one of those guys that suck but finds a way to have a “big” game against. Probably will go to the line a lot and piss me off, but it’ll help the bet
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 10, 2024, 08:26:08 PM
Kam > 14.5 and posh > 9.5 pts

Kam I hope goes 3/5 or 4/6 from 2 w a few triples. I think he’ll be looking to rack up points

Posh I hate on offense, but he’s one of those guys that suck but finds a way to have a “big” game against. Probably will go to the line a lot and piss me off, but it’ll help the bet

Kam doing his part early
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 20, 2024, 12:45:48 PM
Had Jolp +10pts & Soriano under 15.5 for 3x payout

Need Soriano to not catch fire & we good
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 24, 2024, 07:51:38 PM
Took kam jones u 2.5 3’s made tonight. I haven’t won a bet in about a week so he’s definitely going over #chessnotcheckers
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: PGsHeroes32 on January 24, 2024, 10:34:09 PM
Took kam jones u 2.5 3’s made tonight. I haven’t won a bet in about a week so he’s definitely going over #chessnotcheckers

Congrats on your win lol
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: panda on January 25, 2024, 09:22:56 PM
Congrats on your win lol

I was hoping for a loss tbh lol - if my bad betting luck can’t change his slump, I don’t know what can.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 27, 2024, 12:17:58 PM
Kan over 2.5 threes.

Stevie 2 threes +200

MU live 1H ML +140
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 28, 2024, 04:35:30 PM
Kan over 2.5 threes.

Stevie 2 threes +200

MU live 1H ML +140

Rough day for u aina

My pick 6 $20...
pacheco +62.5 yrds (at 58 now.. c'mon!!)
Oso -7.5 rebounds (7, winner)
Lamar +211.5 yrds (at 183 yards, let's go)
Zay Flowers +44.5 yards (107 now, winner)
Goff +261.5 yards
Purdy -281.5
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: BM1090 on January 28, 2024, 04:52:29 PM
Rough day for u aina

My pick 6 $20...
pacheco +62.5 yrds (at 58 now.. c'mon!!)
Oso -7.5 rebounds (7, winner)
Lamar +211.5 yrds (at 183 yards, let's go)
Zay Flowers +44.5 yards (107 now, winner)
Goff +261.5 yards
Purdy -281.5

Nah. I had MU -11 too. Came out even. Stevie bet was a long shot. Kam got hurt. It happens.

But I did have Baltimore live +6 today and those two turnovers in the red zone are tough.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 28, 2024, 09:03:23 PM
My pick 6 $20...
pacheco +62.5 yrds (at 58 now.. c'mon!!)
Oso -7.5 rebounds (7, winner)
Lamar +211.5 yrds (at 183 yards, let's go)
Zay Flowers +44.5 yards (107 now, winner)
Goff +261.5 yards
Purdy -281.5

Yessir.. $500 for me. Won my other two rando 2 & 3 bets as well today. Lfg
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Lennys Tap on January 28, 2024, 09:07:35 PM
Yessir.. $500 for me. Won my other two rando 2 & 3 bets as well today. Lfg

Now THAT is some nice prognosticating.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 30, 2024, 03:32:08 PM
Blah. Not feeling it today but had to do something.

Tyler +11.5 assists+reb
Moore -17.5 pts/reb/ast
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 30, 2024, 10:38:29 PM
Blah. Not feeling it today but had to do something.

Tyler +11.5 assists+reb
Moore -17.5 pts/reb/ast


Tk 14, moore 15… and that’s another winner. 3x.

I’m on a roll like no other
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on January 31, 2024, 05:59:34 PM
Not feeling strong but did it:

Karaban +13.5 p
Oduro +20.5 p+r
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on February 04, 2024, 10:28:11 AM
My historic run continues. Random game last night.. Syracuse/Wake.. I go with Judah Mintz  under 18.5 points.. and then for Iowa St., Momcilovic under 11.5 points.

First half, Mintz is scaring me. 13 quick points. 5/7 FG (1-1 3FG), 2 of 2 from the line. Second half.. disappears. zero points! 0/2 FG (0-1 3FG), and 0/3 from the line [no matta]. Got 'em!

Then to end the Iowa St. game.. Momcilovic banks one in at the buzzer.. was sitting at 10.. would have turned my winner into a loser as I had him at under 11.5.. but, it's JUST late. Whew.

Another 3x winner.

What r we doing for the Super Bowl??
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on February 16, 2024, 10:06:17 PM
Welp

Tyler over 6 assists
Oso less 7.5 boards
Kam over 13.5 pts
Cam s over 14.5
Klingan under 20.5 p & ast
Newton under 22.5 p & reb
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUFC9295 on March 14, 2024, 01:07:04 PM
Any action on the BET?   Chickened out of UConn -9.5.   Unders doing very well across the country.  MU looks attractive tonight.  Sprinkling a few on the Johnnies now. 
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on March 14, 2024, 05:06:10 PM
Did Kalk under 16.5p, Carter over 19.5

Prob will hit hard on Oso over 17.5P+a…
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on March 14, 2024, 07:07:20 PM
I just bet a hundy on Marquette to win the title. +2500

What the hell, right?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on March 14, 2024, 07:08:13 PM
Did Kalk under 16.5p, Carter over 19.5

Prob will hit hard on Oso over 17.5P+a…

Draft Kings isn’t offering me individual player props.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUFC9295 on March 14, 2024, 08:02:45 PM
Over 141 in CU Prov was in doubt at the half.  Solid bet now. 
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on March 15, 2024, 07:43:12 AM
With that OT, I missed my freaking parlay (MU -4; O71.5; U139.5) by a half point. Damn it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: reinko on March 15, 2024, 09:11:09 AM
Draft Kings isn’t offering me individual player props.

Same, which is weird, all season they have.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Pakuni on March 27, 2024, 09:10:49 AM
NCAA president wants to eliminate player props for college sports.

https://twitter.com/John_Fanta/status/1772980778588045810?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on March 27, 2024, 10:06:17 AM
NCAA president wants to eliminate player props for college sports.

https://twitter.com/John_Fanta/status/1772980778588045810?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

And I want $1 billion delivered by helicopter to my house. Can't always get what you want.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: StillAWarrior on March 27, 2024, 10:10:20 AM
And I want $1 billion delivered by helicopter to my house. Can't always get what you want.

Well, they did get what they want...in Ohio at least. The reason I haven't seen individual player props recently is Ohio removed that from the legal forms of sports betting. No more individual player props in college sports betting in Ohio. Which sucks because it's pretty hard to build an interesting same-game parlay without individual player props.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MUBurrow on March 27, 2024, 10:14:33 AM
NCAA president wants to eliminate player props for college sports.

https://twitter.com/John_Fanta/status/1772980778588045810?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

I'd be cool with this. Player props provide a huge opportunity for unsavory characters to predate on individual players.  Sure you can still have point shaving schemes, etc., but that's a much tougher crime to pull off. And to the extent there will still be a black market for player props, that's not a reason to not legislate against it.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: reinko on March 27, 2024, 10:41:50 AM
Well, they did get what they want...in Ohio at least. The reason I haven't seen individual player props recently is Ohio removed that from the legal forms of sports betting. No more individual player props in college sports betting in Ohio. Which sucks because it's pretty hard to build an interesting same-game parlay without individual player props.

Here in Maryland too, no more NCAA player props, noticed maybe 4-6 weeks ago it changed.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: jficke13 on March 27, 2024, 12:37:30 PM
The guys sitting in the row behind us for the 1st rd game against WKU talked constantly about betting, and they had action on *everything*. Prop bets on people in our games, other games, random womens' tourney games, it was wild.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: lawdog77 on March 27, 2024, 06:27:18 PM
FYI
https://help.draftkings.com/hc/en-us/articles/4473270305939-DraftKings-Sportsbook-college-team-betting-restrictions-overview-US (https://help.draftkings.com/hc/en-us/articles/4473270305939-DraftKings-Sportsbook-college-team-betting-restrictions-overview-US)
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on March 27, 2024, 07:15:56 PM
The actions in Ohio and Maryland weren't anything done by the NCAA. that's all I was saying. They were moves by the states - and I actually agree that player prop bets aren't good for the game. There is an NBA player being investigated for manipulating such a bet right now.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: lawdog77 on March 27, 2024, 07:54:19 PM
The actions in Ohio and Maryland weren't anything done by the NCAA. that's all I was saying. They were moves by the states - and I actually agree that player prop bets aren't good for the game. There is an NBA player being investigated for manipulating such a bet right now.
You don't think the schools in these states put any pressure on their local legislators to get the laws passed?
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: DegenerateDish on March 27, 2024, 09:18:58 PM
My guess would be action on professional player props (regardless of sport) will be very low limits across the U.S. over the next year. There definitely will be some form of change forthcoming, feds/states aren’t going to put up with what’s going on (and the Porter story is only one of many).

It makes sense to not have them on the collegiate level.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: MU82 on March 27, 2024, 10:15:03 PM
You don't think the schools in these states put any pressure on their local legislators to get the laws passed?

I honestly don’t know.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Jay Bee on March 28, 2024, 05:16:00 AM
I’ve been working on a Scoop app with user props. Taking suggestion for various props.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: JWags85 on March 28, 2024, 09:53:38 AM
My guess would be action on professional player props (regardless of sport) will be very low limits across the U.S. over the next year. There definitely will be some form of change forthcoming, feds/states aren’t going to put up with what’s going on (and the Porter story is only one of many).

It makes sense to not have them on the collegiate level.

Empirically, Ive always found them to be quite a bit lower than other lines when it comes to online books. 

Which is unfortunate cause I think its one of the last pockets of value left.  When you see an O/U or spread that seems odd, it normally ends up being a trap line or something that totally plays out.  But I can think of countless times I saw P/R/A totals or similar that seemed way too low or high and it turned out to be the case.  But of course you usually can't put all that much on them comparatively
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: Pakuni on March 28, 2024, 09:55:03 AM
You don't think the schools in these states put any pressure on their local legislators to get the laws passed?

Bettors in Ohio can no longer place player-specific prop bets on college sports after a decision by state officials announced Friday.
The Ohio Casino Control Commission heeded a request from both the NCAA and Gov. Mike DeWine to eliminate the sub-genre of bets, in which gamblers can wager about specific outcomes from specific players.


https://www.cleveland.com/open/2024/02/ohio-bans-player-specific-prop-bets-on-ncaa-sports.html
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: mikekinsellaMVP on April 02, 2024, 07:53:33 AM
Gambling has made ends of games miserable for college basketball benchwarmers

https://theathletic.com/5384328/2024/04/02/gambling-college-basketball-players-substitutes-spread/ (https://theathletic.com/5384328/2024/04/02/gambling-college-basketball-players-substitutes-spread/)

Marquette’s Jonah Lucas heard from angry bettors after going 0 of 1 against Georgetown and committing a foul that affected the over/under; his teammate, Casey O’Malley, got a nasty DM from a 30-year-old, after a turnover affected the over/under in another game (O’Malley couldn’t recall which).

Wonder which Scooper that was.
Title: Re: Sports Betting Thread
Post by: tower912 on April 02, 2024, 08:25:54 AM
Despicable.