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* Next up: The long cold summer

Marquette
Marquette

Madness

Date/Time: Oct 1, 2022, 7:00 pm
TV: NA
Schedule for 2021-22
19-13

Author Topic: Fouling up 3. Again  (Read 3676 times)

Pakuni

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Re: Fouling up 3. Again
« Reply #50 on: January 14, 2022, 07:14:07 AM »
Oregon coach Dana Altman did not foul UCLA up 3 tonight.

Juzang missed a pretty decent look, and Oregon won at Pauley.

When you're up 3 at the end of the game, chances of winning are always strongly in your favor, regardless of which strategy you use. The question is which strategy maximizes those chances. I would argue that allowing a pretty decent look is not the best strategy.

MU82

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Re: Fouling up 3. Again
« Reply #51 on: January 14, 2022, 07:50:23 AM »
When you're up 3 at the end of the game, chances of winning are always strongly in your favor, regardless of which strategy you use. The question is which strategy maximizes those chances. I would argue that allowing a pretty decent look is not the best strategy.

Fair. And I neither argued any differently nor gave any opinion at all, just said what happened. Had Altman fouled up 3, or had Juzang made the shot, I would have reported either of those outcomes as well.

Opinion: Altman would have been criticized, and rightly so, had Juzang made that shot. It actually was a better look than O'Connell got in the MU-Creighton game -- Juzang had nobody on him -- and Juzang is not only 10x the player O'Connell is, but also a better 3-point shooter.

Also, kudos to Cronin for drawing up a play to get such a good shot for such a good player. I was quite surprised Oregon didn't foul Juzang in the backcourt. Seemed like a good spot to do so.

As I said earlier in the thread ... it seems more coaches are rolling the dice and not fouling this season. I don't know why. I don't even know if it's true because I don't have the data. Just from what I've noticed.

I wish The Athletic or some other sports outlet would do a study on this. I find it to be an extremely interesting topic, one that's often debated, and it's a little surprising that nobody has done a thorough study of it for years.
Ban assault rifles, not books.

bilsu

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Re: Fouling up 3. Again
« Reply #52 on: January 14, 2022, 04:44:43 PM »
Yep. Just think if this was the @Creighton game a few years ago when MU scored 5 in last two seconds to tie game. This board would have gone nuts.
I am pretty sure the board went nuts over that game.

 

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