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Author Topic: Rebuild Assumptions  (Read 27714 times)

TheyWereCones

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Rebuild Assumptions
« on: March 03, 2020, 11:12:47 PM »
Why do we all have to assume that a new coach means a complete rebuild and several horrible years?  It might?  But it's certainly not guaranteed.  Look at Buzz, looks at Gard, look at Jordan (Butler)...it's not that it always works that way but it's not impossible either.  I still believe that MARQUETTE has a lot to offer and Wojo is one variable in that.  Regardless of coach, there are a lot of reasons to play here.

Who here is not FAR more impressed by Coach Duffy and the women's team this year than the men's?  Picked to finish 9th, gets the team to buy-in and scrap all season to a 2nd place finish.  Give me that team, that attitude, that heart.

Wojo never exceeds expectations and I can't stand listening to him anymore.  The timeout debacle at Butler was bad and today was bad and it's mostly been hard to cheer for.  I am super excited about Justin, Oso, & Dawson.  I would love to see them here with a new coach but I don't see all 4 of those things happening.
Those could have been guests at her wedding.

The Lens

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2020, 11:14:16 PM »
+1 on the Megan Duffy call

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CountryRoads

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2020, 11:16:12 PM »
Wojos comments in the recent press conferences are highly concerning. He kept saying “there was a LOT of work to do when I got here. There was a LOT of work to do.”

It’s like he felt he was taking over a program that was transitioning from DII. Marquette is a program that should be competing at the highest level and this whole “complete rebuild” is just a wojo narrative. 

rocky_warrior

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2020, 11:18:37 PM »
Wojo walked into a dumpster fire of a roster.

If wojo gets canned, his replacements walks into a similar dumpster fire (all recruits de-commit, a couple transfer out).

3-5 years from then and Marquette might be successful again. 

MUfan12

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2020, 11:20:46 PM »
Wojos comments in the recent press conferences are highly concerning. He kept saying “there was a LOT of work to do when I got here. There was a LOT of work to do.”

It’s like he felt he was taking over a program that was transitioning from DII. Marquette is a program that should be competing at the highest level and this whole “complete rebuild” is just a wojo narrative.

He got to build a roster with almost all of his guys in year two. That should, if done correctly, accelerate a rebuild.

WhiteTrash

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2020, 11:26:24 PM »
Wojo walked into a dumpster fire of a roster.

If wojo gets canned, his replacements walks into a similar dumpster fire (all recruits de-commit, a couple transfer out).

3-5 years from then and Marquette might be successful again.
What MU coach in the past 30 years took 5 years to build a competitive team?

rocky_warrior

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2020, 11:31:42 PM »
What MU coach in the past 30 years took 5 years to build a competitive team?

You probably can't see it, but that's called exaggeration.  Wojo has a very competitive team this year!  An NCAA team even.

Deano took 5 years to kill a competitive team.  That's the beginning and end of the list you asked for.

PointWarrior

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2020, 11:39:48 PM »

Have lost to 9/10 teams that were quality opponents and just lost to depaul minus Paul reed - keep telling yourself the they are competitive.

You probably can't see it, but that's called exaggeration.  Wojo has a very competitive team this year!  An NCAA team even.

Deano took 5 years to kill a competitive team.  That's the beginning and end of the list you asked for.

Silent Verbal

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2020, 11:41:47 PM »
You probably can't see it, but that's called exaggeration.  Wojo has a very competitive team this year!  An NCAA team even.

Deano took 5 years to kill a competitive team.  That's the beginning and end of the list you asked for.

In Billy Madison, this is what’s known as “loser denial”.

NorthernDancerColt

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2020, 11:42:56 PM »
Wojo walked into a dumpster fire of a roster.

If wojo gets canned, his replacements walks into a similar dumpster fire (all recruits de-commit, a couple transfer out).

3-5 years from then and Marquette might be successful again.

More like 4-6 years and “slight chance” rather than “might” be successful. This is the end of a proud program. Short of hiring Stan, it’s all over.  You don’t throw a class like this to the wind. The loss of recruiting momentum is just too great. Stan would likely salvage all these recruits, and I think he deserves a chance.
Zenyatta has a lot....a lot... of ground to make up. She gets there from here she’d be a super horse......what’s this.....Zenyatta hooked to the grandstand side....Zenyatta flying on the outside....this....is...un-belieeeeeevable!...looked impossible at the top of the stretch...

WhiteTrash

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2020, 11:51:45 PM »
You probably can't see it, but that's called exaggeration.  Wojo has a very competitive team this year!  An NCAA team even.

Deano took 5 years to kill a competitive team.  That's the beginning and end of the list you asked for.
Sorry, my bad. This implosion of MU must be affecting my sense of sarcasm and exaggeration.

The rebuild with a new coach will not be fun but IMO a necessary evil. And no reason to believe we can't be competitive with in 2-3 years.

1SE

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #11 on: March 03, 2020, 11:53:03 PM »
More like 4-6 years and “slight chance” rather than “might” be successful. This is the end of a proud program. Short of hiring Stan, it’s all over.  You don’t throw a class like this to the wind. The loss of recruiting momentum is just too great. Stan would likely salvage all these recruits, and I think he deserves a chance.

I know it won't happen, and I'm not sure he's the answer anyway, but if we lose Saturday and I ran the world, Stan would he HC by 7:45 pm. See what he can do in two(+) games that matter and then let him compete for the job after the end of the season.
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MUfan12

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #12 on: March 03, 2020, 11:55:12 PM »
  You don’t throw a class like this to the wind. The loss of recruiting momentum is just too great.

Well, based on the past one recruit will get the ball all the time (DG), one will be a contributor in time, and two will transfer.

Silent Verbal

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #13 on: March 04, 2020, 12:03:37 AM »
I know it won't happen, and I'm not sure he's the answer anyway, but if we lose Saturday and I ran the world, Stan would he HC by 7:45 pm. See what he can do in two(+) games that matter and then let him compete for the job after the end of the season.

Here’s a wild thought:  I don’t trust the administration to make a smart hire.  So, if Wojo leaves after the season, does MU do the dumb thing and...retain Stan as HC to try and keep the recruiting class?  I have no idea if Stan would be a good coach.  I’m certainly not one of those advocating for his hire.  But I think that scenario is a real possibility.

NorthernDancerColt

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #14 on: March 04, 2020, 12:10:16 AM »
Here’s a wild thought:  I don’t trust the administration to make a smart hire.  So, if Wojo leaves after the season, does MU do the dumb thing and...retain Stan as HC to try and keep the recruiting class?  I have no idea if Stan would be a good coach.  I’m certainly not one of those advocating for his hire.  But I think that scenario is a real possibility.

So you have no idea if he’d be a good coach, but it’s de facto “dumb” to hire a guy who we KNOW will at worst mean not setting the program back another 6-8 years?!
Zenyatta has a lot....a lot... of ground to make up. She gets there from here she’d be a super horse......what’s this.....Zenyatta hooked to the grandstand side....Zenyatta flying on the outside....this....is...un-belieeeeeevable!...looked impossible at the top of the stretch...

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #15 on: March 04, 2020, 12:11:01 AM »
Why do we all have to assume that a new coach means a complete rebuild and several horrible years?  It might?  But it's certainly not guaranteed.  Look at Buzz, looks at Gard, look at Jordan (Butler)...it's not that it always works that way but it's not impossible either.  I still believe that MARQUETTE has a lot to offer and Wojo is one variable in that.  Regardless of coach, there are a lot of reasons to play here.

Every one of the examples you give here except Buzz (assuming you are talking about his VT years) walked into a much better situation than what the next coach would be walking into next season.

The other more pertinent reason is that rebuilds take time. Sure there are examples of coaches "rebuilding" in 2 years or less but the long term data on them is terrible. Most either get poached by a bigger school or are unable to maintain their initial success and eventually get fired. The most successful rebuilds long term take 4-6 years before they have a team going to the NCAA tournament multiple years in a row.
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Silent Verbal

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #16 on: March 04, 2020, 12:15:45 AM »
So you have no idea if he’d be a good coach, but it’s de facto “dumb” to hire a guy who we KNOW will at worst mean not setting the program back another 6-8 years?!

I’m saying it would be a “dumb” move to hire a coach to keep one recruiting class.  But if Stan ends up doing well, it may not be so dumb after all.  My main point was that I could see this admin making a move like that. 

79Warrior

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #17 on: March 04, 2020, 12:16:13 AM »
Every one of the examples you give here except Buzz (assuming you are talking about his VT years) walked into a much better situation than what the next coach would be walking into next season.

The other more pertinent reason is that rebuilds take time. Sure there are examples of coaches "rebuilding" in 2 years or less but the long term data on them is terrible. Most either get poached by a bigger school or are unable to maintain their initial success and eventually get fired. The most successful rebuilds long term take 4-6 years before they have a team going to the NCAA tournament multiple years in a row.

We are in year six, as you know. Maybe we get one this year, we shall see. Mick Cronin has UCLA playing pretty good ball in year 1.

Mike Deane's Seat Belt

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #18 on: March 04, 2020, 12:17:10 AM »
Interim head coach Stan.   

#donedeal

WhiteTrash

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #19 on: March 04, 2020, 12:18:30 AM »
Every one of the examples you give here except Buzz (assuming you are talking about his VT years) walked into a much better situation than what the next coach would be walking into next season.
I guess that's all we need to know about Wojo's stewardship of our program. Very sad. 

Silent Verbal

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #20 on: March 04, 2020, 12:19:12 AM »
Interim head coach Stan.   

#donedeal

Honestly, it would be pretty cool if they tried it.  Absolutely nothing to lose at this point, and Markus is Stan’s player.  But there’s no way Scholl and Lovell have the balls to make a move like that.

NorthernDancerColt

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #21 on: March 04, 2020, 12:24:50 AM »
Stan is literally crying out to be a head coach. He is passionate, busts his a$$, articulate, recruits lights-out, is well-liked and trusted by the players and recruits, and looks extremely in command of the time-out huddles. Yet it’s dumb to take a chance on him and likely retain a “WOW” factor recruiting class and “smart” to blow everything to pieces on the chance we find a hidden gem somewhere?! Silent Verbal, I just saw your explanation and I get it, I just think based on pure probabilities, WarriorNation would be almost guaranteed sitting on Angst overload in 2022-23 with a blow-up. That level of fan and booster anxiety can take decades to recover from.
Zenyatta has a lot....a lot... of ground to make up. She gets there from here she’d be a super horse......what’s this.....Zenyatta hooked to the grandstand side....Zenyatta flying on the outside....this....is...un-belieeeeeevable!...looked impossible at the top of the stretch...

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #22 on: March 04, 2020, 12:27:15 AM »
I guess that's all we need to know about Wojo's stewardship of our program. Very sad.

With the recruiting class, I think we'd be an NIT team. If he lands Mane or a quality grad transfer, I see a bubble team that either just makes it in or misses. With both I see a team that makes it into the postseason. It's not an awful place to be in an rebuilding year.

Without the recruiting class and little to no time to replenish it....that's a dumpster fire
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NorthernDancerColt

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #23 on: March 04, 2020, 12:36:52 AM »
People are right here. I don’t think Scholl and Lovell will fire Wojo. What really sucks is the way the whole Buzz thing went down and how the PR thing  hamstrings us now. You can’t “fire” a guy like Wojo who has painstakingly built a program which has good kids who go to class and do things the right way. And yet you can’t let him just leave after the end of the season to save face either. We will look to the rest of the college hoops world like we are being “VA Teched” and spurned once again by our coach for a lesser (or equal) program...albeit it will be much less embarrassing as presumably Wojo is not about to go on an elite8 run, and few people will even notice the move. Yet, umm, duh, maybe it will be even MORE embarrassing because a coach who has achieved little here will be making a lateral move to a Wake Forest or something similar. We are in a bad spot going forward.
Zenyatta has a lot....a lot... of ground to make up. She gets there from here she’d be a super horse......what’s this.....Zenyatta hooked to the grandstand side....Zenyatta flying on the outside....this....is...un-belieeeeeevable!...looked impossible at the top of the stretch...

WhiteTrash

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Re: Rebuild Assumptions
« Reply #24 on: March 04, 2020, 12:46:19 AM »
With the recruiting class, I think we'd be an NIT team. If he lands Mane or a quality grad transfer, I see a bubble team that either just makes it in or misses. With both I see a team that makes it into the postseason. It's not an awful place to be in an rebuilding year.

Without the recruiting class and little to no time to replenish it....that's a dumpster fire
I admire your optimism and faith in Wojo's coaching ability. I think we take a step back next  year in the Big East. MH, SA & JJ are very good players that I think freshmen will be hard pressed to even be as good as and most likely will not. If we end up 8-10 this year, next year looks like 4-14. I predict that MU will be picked 8th in the BE next season. IMO, .500 would be a good year for Wojo and the team.

Should Wojo find another "opportunity" after this season, I think MU can be competitive in 2 or 3 years.

 

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