Magic Number: Wins needed to clinch NCAA bid?

[CountryRoads]

With an entire week off and time to breathe...what do you all think the magic number is to clinch a bid in the NCAA tournament this year? I'm going to go with 4 (20 wins). Here's the remaining schedule:

vs Butler
@ Nova
vs Creighton
@Providence
vs Georgetown
vs Seton Hall
@ Depaul
@ St Johns
Big East Tournament

Hopefully others see 4 wins in this stretch. I truly think 3 probably gets us in (maybe even 2?).

[wadesworld]

1-0.

[1SE]

Have you looked at who is on the bubble? It's 3 for sure.

[fjm]

2 gets us in.

3 firmly between 7-9 seed.

[willie warrior]

With an entire week off and time to breathe...what do you all think the magic number is to clinch a bid in the NCAA tournament this year? I'm going to go with 4 (20 wins). Here's the remaining schedule:

vs Butler
@ Nova
vs Creighton
@Providence
vs Georgetown
vs Seton Hall
@ Depaul
@ St Johns
Big East Tournament

Hopefully others see 4 wins in this stretch. I truly think 3 probably gets us in (maybe even 2?).

At least 4 wins, probably 5. Looking at remaining schedule, could very well see a 3 consecutive loss in those games.

[robmufan]

Bracket Matrix shows teams like Purdue and Virginia at the back end of the bubble.

8-10 in the big East would get us in, just not a preferred seed (9-10)

[NCMUFan]

Done deal at 22 which leaves us with 6 more wins in 9 or 10.  Probably with 21.  Bubble at 20.

[4everwarriors]

Neva quit winnin', aina?

[Vander Blue Man Group]

At least 4 wins, probably 5. Looking at remaining schedule, could very well see a 3 consecutive loss in those games.

Probably 5?   Marquette ends up at 11-7 in conference they are firmly in and it's not close.

[tower912]

9-9 is comfortably in.   11-7, 6 seed.

[We R Final Four]

This is great.
Opinions of just 1 more win.......all the way to gotta have 5 wins.

[tower912]

Look at the recent records of Ohio State and Michigan.  They are still considered 'in'.  Marquette is in good shape, even at 9-9.

[MUDPT]

Bored while watching Arsenal, so I ran the numbers on T-Rank.  For all simulations, I had a loss to Butler in the first round of the BET.

8-0- 4 seed
7-1 (L to Nova), 5 seed
6-2 (L to Nova and Providence), 6 seed
5-3 (L to Nova, Providence and DePaul), 6 seed
4-4 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul and St. John's), 7 seed
3-5 (L to Nova Providence, DePaul, St. John's and Creighton), 7 seed
2-6 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul, St. John's, Creighton and Butler), 7 seed
1-7 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul, St. John's, Creighton, Butler and Seton Hall), 10 seed
0-8 (L to everyone, including Georgetown), 6th team out

[IrwinFletcher]

Bored while watching Arsenal, so I ran the numbers on T-Rank.  For all simulations, I had a loss to Butler in the first round of the BET.

8-0- 4 seed
7-1 (L to Nova), 5 seed
6-2 (L to Nova and Providence), 6 seed
5-3 (L to Nova, Providence and DePaul), 6 seed
4-4 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul and St. John's), 7 seed
3-5 (L to Nova Providence, DePaul, St. John's and Creighton), 7 seed
2-6 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul, St. John's, Creighton and Butler), 7 seed
1-7 (L to Nova, Providence, DePaul, St. John's, Creighton, Butler and Seton Hall), 10 seed
0-8 (L to everyone, including Georgetown), 6th team out

If we went 5-3 with the above losses means that we have wins vs. SH and Butler.  Those wins, coupled with the Nova win, I think would put us as a 5 seed.  NET ranking is just one of the tools the committee will use.  They will also look at Q1 wins and bad losses.

Marquette is in the Top 12 in Q1 games and have zero bad losses.  Our resume is very good right now and I can easily see a 6 seed with a 10-8 finish.

[burger]

9-9 in conference.....

As I have said.....

The NCAA is not going to not have Markus in the tourney being the "known" leading scorer in the country......and it is not even close.......Think Steph Curry.....

I have not ever been so unworried about making the NCAA's......Now if some team takes Markus out for the rest of the year......We have a problem.....

Don't be naive......The NCAA is about $$$$$$$$$$$$$.....The more the better and the more "stories" in the tourney for marketing......We are almost a lock.....

[IrwinFletcher]

9-9 in conference.....

As I have said.....

The NCAA is not going to not have Markus in the tourney being the "known" leading scorer in the country......and it is not even close.......Think Steph Curry.....

I have not ever been so unworried about making the NCAA's......Now if some team takes Markus out for the rest of the year......We have a problem.....

Don't be naive......The NCAA is about $$$$$$$$$$$$$.....The more the better and the more "stories" in the tourney for marketing......We are almost a lock.....

We are a lock but it has nothing to do with the reasons above.

We have a really good resume and the bubble is once again really bad.

[1SE]

Anyone who thinks more than 3 is necessary to be a mortal lock is smoking something sweet. Almost certainly in, at least to Dayton, with 2 more though maybe a few really bizarre scenarios that keep us out.

[willie warrior]

Probably 5?   Marquette ends up at 11-7 in conference they are firmly in and it's not close.

tell that to MCMUfan above.

[willie warrior]

9-9 in conference.....

As I have said.....

The NCAA is not going to not have Markus in the tourney being the "known" leading scorer in the country......and it is not even close.......Think Steph Curry.....

I have not ever been so unworried about making the NCAA's......Now if some team takes Markus out for the rest of the year......We have a problem.....

Don't be naive......The NCAA is about $$$$$$$$$$$$$.....The more the better and the more "stories" in the tourney for marketing......We are almost a lock.....

Hmmmm.... Did not know that was in selection criteria that leading scorer in country's team automatically gets in Dance. Learn something new every day.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

2.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

At least 4 wins, probably 5. Looking at remaining schedule, could very well see a 3 consecutive loss in those games.

5 more wins, Marquette is a 5 seed, maybe even a 4. Pay more attention, or post less. You have no idea what you're talking about.

[willie warrior]

5 more wins, Marquette is a 5 seed, maybe even a 4. Pay more attention, or post less. You have no idea what you're talking about.

You know what they say about opinions? And you definitely have one, without having a clue of what you are saying.

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

3 wins is a lock.  2 might be enough.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

You know what they say about opinions? And you definitely have one, without having a clue of what you are saying.

Except I do have a clue what I'm saying. That's the difference.

[burger]

Hmmmm.... Did not know that was in selection criteria that leading scorer in country's team automatically gets in Dance. Learn something new every day.

You have now received an epiphany then.....This is how the world works young man.....

The NCAA needs to keep those multiple-billion $ tourney contracts coming.....Marketing baby.....Marketing.....

And yes "stories" are a method.....as long as we are "close" to the bubble.....We are in.....and not like 7 -11 in conference......can't be "too" obvious.....

For example......remember the Ja Morant "story" last year.....We may even receive a very favorable "path" and "bracket"....