Author Topic: Bet of the Day (Read 41124 times)

Benny B · « **Reply #50 on:** November 27, 2018, 03:35:29 PM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on November 27, 2018, 12:35:53 PM

Nevada -5.5 seems like free money, no?

I guess I never actually bet the sport so I don't have a track record of my own to fall back on, but that just seems way too low to me.

Of course, they'll probably lose outright now that I wrote that.

Never, ever, ever bet Nevada in anything. "Local" action always skews the odds to the other team.

LoudMouth · « **Reply #51 on:** November 27, 2018, 04:40:29 PM »

Quote from: Benny B on November 27, 2018, 03:35:29 PM

Never, ever, ever bet Nevada in anything. "Local" action always skews the odds to the other team.

Totally understand what you are saying with the homers betting and the logic behind that makes total sense but the line is moving away from "local" action here moving from Nevada -5.5 to -4.5

fjm · « **Reply #52 on:** November 27, 2018, 04:47:01 PM »

Parlay tonight. Mich state money line, Nevada -4.5, MU -18.5.

LoudMouth · « **Reply #53 on:** November 27, 2018, 08:01:43 PM »

As expected...Nevada running Loyola out of the gym. They will need a sister Jean miracle

wadesworld · « **Reply #54 on:** November 27, 2018, 08:09:38 PM »

Quote from: LoudMouth on November 27, 2018, 08:01:43 PM

As expected...Nevada running Loyola out of the gym. They will need a sister Jean miracle

Yup. Glad I put more money on that individual game than I did on my parlay.

rocket surgeon · « **Reply #55 on:** November 27, 2018, 08:21:47 PM »

talk about bragging rights? unc-greensboro 111-33 over cross town rival greensboro ouchie!

their version of the paul bunion(sp mine) axk

skianth16 · « **Reply #56 on:** November 27, 2018, 10:47:35 PM »

Quote from: LoudMouth on November 27, 2018, 12:53:49 PM

Nevada down to -4.5 in my book. Usually when the line is adjusting the "wrong" way there is something Vegas knows that we don't. But until then

I took them at -4 about 20 min before tip tonight. Easy money.

skianth16 · « **Reply #57 on:** November 27, 2018, 10:48:42 PM »

Quote from: fjm on November 27, 2018, 04:47:01 PM

Parlay tonight. Mich state money line, Nevada -4.5, MU -18.5.

Oof. So close. Om the bright side, at least that loss helps our NET

DegenerateDish · « **Reply #58 on:** November 27, 2018, 11:19:03 PM »

I don’t know what other thread to put this in, so I’ll leave it here. I think Cam Reddish is terribly overrated.

BM1090 · « **Reply #59 on:** November 27, 2018, 11:20:54 PM »

Taken 2 losses the past 2 nights after an early season hot streak. Still 29-19 on the season so some regression will probably come.

Indiana seemed too good to be true tonight...andddd it was.

fjm · « **Reply #60 on:** November 28, 2018, 07:36:13 AM »

Quote from: skianth16 on November 27, 2018, 10:48:42 PM

Oof. So close. Om the bright side, at least that loss helps our NET

True. Yeah that was a bummer finish. I’ll take the NET gain though.

BM1090 · « **Reply #61 on:** November 28, 2018, 08:53:19 AM »

I got Georgia State -2 vs. Tulane today. Line has since moved to -4 and I'd be far less confident at that number. I like Michigan -2.5 vs. UNC

Thinking about pulling the trigger on FSU -4.5 vs. Purdue later today as well but I'm unsure because of Leonard Hamilton....

MU_CHI · « **Reply #62 on:** November 28, 2018, 11:29:23 AM »

I like North Carolina moneyline, maybe parlayed with OSU -5 at home against Cuse. Georgetown to win, but not cover against Richmond (Georgetown doesn't beat anyone by 14 points). Creighton at home is always a good bet.

Da 'Lanche · « **Reply #63 on:** November 28, 2018, 12:24:13 PM »

Was 4-0 on this thread before a loss last night...4-1 now.

Like Evansville -3.5 at home against Wyoming tonight to get back on track.

BM1090 · « **Reply #64 on:** November 28, 2018, 02:04:14 PM »

Quote from: MUeagle1090 on November 28, 2018, 08:53:19 AM

I got Georgia State -2 vs. Tulane today. Line has since moved to -4 and I'd be far less confident at that number. I like Michigan -2.5 vs. UNC

Thinking about pulling the trigger on FSU -4.5 vs. Purdue later today as well but I'm unsure because of Leonard Hamilton....

1 down, 2 to go.

Ended up pulling the trigger on FSU but for half the amount of the other 2

Benny B · « **Reply #65 on:** November 28, 2018, 10:51:51 PM »

Quote from: LoudMouth on November 27, 2018, 04:40:29 PM

Totally understand what you are saying with the homers betting and the logic behind that makes total sense but the line is moving away from "local" action here moving from Nevada -5.5 to -4.5

Meh... that’s like seeing something on sale at Kohl’s and thinking “wow, that’s a great deal!”

IOW, the line was probably marked up more than a point to begin with, so knocking off a point still wouldn’t get you to natural odds.

That said, Vegas does fu kah the poocha every once in a while, but in this case, action was the same either way.

Or maybe the Wolfpackers have been taking a lesson in pessimism from Scoop.

BM1090 · « **Reply #66 on:** November 29, 2018, 10:03:17 AM »

I have a small bet on Albany -1 today. Probably no larger bets today. Probably will roll with UCF -5 over Alabama for a smaller amount as well. 2* bet for Albany

Took the loss on Albany thanks to a late 10-0 run by LIU. Got UCF for 4.5 so took that as well. 3*bet for UCF