Bubble Watch 2018

[auburnmarquette]

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2018/03/waiting-in-auburn-in-mu-jersey-for-noon.html

updated Saturday after the relief over Rhode Island and Cincy rallying to stop spoilers - only one spoiler (New Mexico or San Diego State with Nevada out) and only one possible additional - Davidson if they beat both St. B's and Rhode Island.


Conf Possible Spoiler

A10 Davidson - sat vs. St. B's 2:30 p.m Sat

A10 George Mason - gone

A10 Richmond - gone

A10 Saint Joseph's - eliminated semis by RI

A10 Saint Louis - gone

Amer Memphis - eliminated semis by Cincy

Amer Temple - gone

Amer Tulsa - gone

Amer UCF - gone

MWC New Mexico or San Diego state WILL steal bid

MWC San Diego St. - see above

MWC Utah St. - gone

P12 Oregon - gone

SEC Georgia - gone

SEC Mississippi St. - gone

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Crazy Davidson is 3 point favorite over St Bonnie.

[BM1090]

One of St Bonaventure's top 3 players is out with injury.

[Dr. Blackheart]

Gavitt just said 35 at large schools settled already.  ND may be one of the schools considered a "special case" when asked specifically.

[BM1090]

Gavitt just said 35 at large schools settled already.  ND may be one of the schools considered a "special case" when asked specifically.

Maybe they are actually considering ND, but they also can't just say "Nah. ND is out".

[Dr. Blackheart]

Maybe they are actually considering ND, but they also can't just say "Nah. ND is out".

Clark should have followed up and asked if Louisville and USC are "special cases" too due to the FBI taint?  Why reward them when they will have to vacate again, aina?

[fjm]

Yeah Clark set him up. He made it
Sound like ND is in. If so, they should consider MU as a special case because we could also burn Joey Hauser's redshirt.

[auburnmarquette]

First of course, GO St. B's - beat Davidson.

Agree on the interview - though it could be that is why Notre Dame is in the teams being considered (still bad) rather than that they are in.

Agree on USC, and glad Palm still has them as last four out, so will hope Arizona kills them tonight - but USC looked awfully tough last night.

If they are considering special cases, Alabama looked great the last two games against two injured teams that have not been good since losing players (Texas A&M). They then lose by Kentucky today, by basically the same margin we lost to Nova by, so if that is their closing argument I think you also need to look at their 6-11 record away from Alabama.

I guess the early names to listen for are Alabama, Arizona State, and Baylor. If we hear all three then we probably need to start planning to be in Milwaukee for an NIT game, but if one is left off we have a chance, and if two of the three are left off then I believe we will be called after Louisville or one of the Kansas schools.

[PGsHeroes32]

Wichita has been massively disappointing this year.

Look really poor most games I watch.

A lot of talent to make noise tho

[BM1090]

Yeah, Wichita has looked like their coasting whenever I watch them. Not playing with the burning intensity that I usually see from Marshall's teams.

St. Bonaventure down midway through the 2nd half. May need URI to save the day tomorrow.

[Nukem2]

Yeah, Wichita has looked like their coasting whenever I watch them. Not playing with the burning intensity that I usually see from Marshall's teams.

St. Bonaventure down midway through the 2nd half. May need URI to save the day tomorrow.

Bonnies are missing 2 of their top 3 players due to injury.

[PGsHeroes32]

St Bonnie's blows

[peterpan]

St Bonnie's blows

Really wish we'd make it and get matched up against a team like Nevada, Rhode Island, or any of the other over rated mid majors. Think our guys would roll em.

[BM1090]

As it was stated earlier, St Bonaventure is missing 2 of their top 3 players.

Need Rhode Island badly tomorrow. That game could determine our fate

[brewcity77]

Davidson will have a chance to steal a bid tomorrow. I wonder where St Bonaventure will be on the S-Curve. Have to think they're in, especially if they are valuing wins (9 Q1/2) than losses (3 Q3/4).

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I don't think this St Bonnie game hurts much assuming URI takes care of biz tomorrow.

St Bonnie should be in, but I would be nervous if I were them.

[PGsHeroes32]

As it was stated earlier, St Bonaventure is missing 2 of their top 3 players.

Need Rhode Island badly tomorrow. That game could determine our fate

And as I stated, St Bonnie's blows

[BM1090]

And as I stated, St Bonnie's blows

Lol. I haven't watched them but I'll take your word for it.

[wisblue]

Gavitt just said 35 at large schools settled already.  ND may be one of the schools considered a "special case" when asked specifically.

I assume that 35 includes several teams that will be winning auto bids today and tomorrow (Big East, Big 12, SEC, ACC, Pac 12, AAC, maybe A10).

[PGsHeroes32]

Lol. I haven't watched them but I'll take your word for it.

The A10 is horrendous this year.

Like big10 type of down year

[Jay Bee]

Yeah, Wichita has looked like their coasting whenever I watch them.

They're

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I don't think I realized how weak USC's resume is until now. On paper they have 4 Q1 wins, which is decent for a bubble team. But then I looked at those 4 Q1 wins:

34 Middle Tennessee State (on neutral court)
42 New Mexico State (on neutral court)
@57 Utah
@72 Oregon

If the committee is truly about who you beat then USC might need to beat Zona tonight to earn their bid. I would argue that our 4th best win (Hall at home) is better than their best win. Throw in a sub 200 loss to Princeton at home and I don't see why they should be included without the autobid.

[BM1090]

They're

Thanks. You know I never knew the difference between their and they're. Appreciate it. Definitely wasn't just a typo.

[injuryBug]

are the st bonaventure guys out for a long?  Again not a real impressive resume they beat Syracuse and URI

[Jay Bee]

Thanks. You know I never knew the difference between their and they're. Appreciate it. Definitely wasn't just a typo.

Got u, homie