Bubble Watch

[drewm88]

MTSU wins. Next is the CUSA Championship. Would be big for them to win the tourney and keep CUSA a one-bid league.

I don't think MTSU has any shot of moving past us. If they were to lose and still make the tournament, they'd be headed to Dayton, so I don't think CUSA matters much at all for us.

[KampusFoods]

Bucky v. Crean tonight. I'm always of the "anyone but wisconsin" school of thought but given that IU is a potential bid thief and wisconsin helps our RPI, does anyone feel different?

I'm cheering for the nuke

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Updated Bracketmatrix just came out.

http://bracketmatrix.com/

Dropped two spots.  Seton Hall and Michigan State jumped us.  Now the #3 10 seed instead of the top 10 seed.

Teams behind us remain:

X (vs. Creighton)

PC (done)

Vandy (vs. Florida)

Wake (done)

Middle Tennessee (in conference championship tomorrow)

USC (done)

K State (vs. West Virginia)

Rhode Island (vs. St Bonny currently)

CUTLINE

Syracuse (done)

Illinois State (done)

Cal (vs. Oregon)

Iowa (done)

TCU (vs. Iowa State)

Illinois (done)

Georgia (about to be done vs. Kentucky)

Clemson (done)


Most of the teams on that list that aren't done are going to be done in a few hours.

[ChitownSpaceForRent]

Can't believe I have to cheer for Creighton, Florida and West Virginia all on the same night...

[cheese ball chaser]

Can't believe I have to cheer for Creighton, Florida and West Virginia all on the same night...

Don't forget Wisconsin, they're the worst to root for 

[Herman Cain]

Dayton is garbage

Should be a bubble team

They will be better next year though.

[Herman Cain]

Can't believe I have to cheer for Creighton, Florida and West Virginia all on the same night...

Also for Deonte and Iowa State.

[BM1090]

More importantly I think, of all the updates done today only 2 have us out of the field. Those 2 are both computerized (Massey and Numberfire).

[ChitownSpaceForRent]

Also for Deonte and Iowa State.

That ones easy, love Iowa St.

[BM1090]

Georgia loses to Kentucky. They are now done. No way they can pass us.

[GGGG]

BRACKET MATRIX HAS UPDATED!!!  SOUND THE KLAXONS!!!

Marquette has moved behind both Michigan State and Seton Hall (to be expected), with seven at-large teams behind them.

Of those seven teams, four are still playing.  Rhode Island, Kansas State, Xavier and Vanderbilt.  Providence, USC and Wake Forest are not playing.  Only one of the "first four out" is still playing.  Cal.

Things are still looking just fine for a bid.  Can still end up in Dayton with some upsets tonight however.

[brewcity77]

They will be better next year though.

Not.

Even.

Close.

They lose 4 senior starters, and those 4 are the fourth highest scoring senior class in school history. Not only that, but I think there's a very real chance this is the year Archie Miller jumps ship. His alma mater, NC State, is open and he could probably get a blank check there. His team will take a massive step down next year with or without him, so now is the time to leave before his star tarnishes. The only way Dayton is even playing in Dayton next year is if they host a NIT game, and I'd bet they're on the outside of that tournament looking in.

[Windyplayer]

They will be better next year though.

Don't they have a ton of seniors including a senior who is projected to go in the second round?

EDIT: Brewcity, well done.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Not.

Even.

Close.

They lose 4 senior starters, and those 4 are the fourth highest scoring senior class in school history. Not only that, but I think there's a very real chance this is the year Archie Miller jumps ship. His alma mater, NC State, is open and he could probably get a blank check there. His team will take a massive step down next year with or without him, so now is the time to leave before his star tarnishes. The only way Dayton is even playing in Dayton next year is if they host a NIT game, and I'd bet they're on the outside of that tournament looking in.

But, but, but, but....


KOSTAS!!

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I'd like to take a moment to say how much I wish Amir Coffey could have ended up in a Marquette uniform.

That is all.

[Loose Cannon]

I'd like to take a moment to say how much I wish Amir Coffey could have ended up in a Marquette uniform.

That is all.

Noted.

[buckchuckler]

It's not our bid I'm worried about.

It's knocking us to the play in game.

They better make Dayton or VCU play there

Wouldn't a tea, that steals the A10 bid be behind us seedwise?

[buckchuckler]

In the first game of the season, a player's season 3P% swings wildly. If he makes his first it goes from 0 to 100%. If he then misses his second it goes from 100% to 50%. If he makes his next, it raises 16% to 66%.....by the end of the season, making a 3P shots is going to raise his season 3P% by like .001%.

Same applies to resumes. Its the end of the season. There's only so much 1 win can help you or 1 loss can hurt you. There is a much greater distance between teams than people realize.

Hmm, depends on how many shots you have taken.  If you have for instance taken 30 shots, each is worth 3.3%

[Herman Cain]

I'd like to take a moment to say how much I wish Amir Coffey could have ended up in a Marquette uniform.

That is all.

I was keen on Coffee as well.

[BM1090]

Rhode Island wins. Don't think that matters much to us.

Michigan State loses. That is good for us.

[nyg]

First time I have watched Minnesota, they are pretty good.  Coffey looked great and that kid Lynch(?) was really good.
Only thing is they played like 6 players and the one kid hurt his leg and is on crutches, so must have bench issues.

[WarriorInNYC]

Wouldn't a tea, that steals the A10 bid be behind us seedwise?

Most likely, but then it pushes up the "last 4" since autobids won't play in the play-in games.

[GGGG]

Rhode Island wins. Don't think that matters much to us.

It actually does and here's why. 

If Rhode Island wins the A10 tournament, they will then have an automatic bid and will not be going to Dayton.  Since the other two A10 teams are basically assured of no Dayton (VCU and Dayton), that means that we are one step closer to possibly being in the First Four.

We want URI to lose.  They are likely out if they lose, or at least an at-large behind Marquette.

[CTWarrior]

Absolutely. We tend to play up tournament results since it's our last chance to build a resume, or hurt it. If you look at some of these wins in the context of the full resume, then it really lowers the impact.

I don't know about everyone else but I play up the tournament because its a chance to win an important, prestigious tournament, which as a fan would make me very happy.  The NCAA tournament is not the only thing there is in college basketball.  I don't look at every single minute detail of every single thing we do thinking about how it will effect our NCAA tournament chances or seeding.  I like to see us win, and the Big East tournament is the second biggest thing we do every year (the biggest in some recent years).

[PGsHeroes32]

Wouldn't a tea, that steals the A10 bid be behind us seedwise?

Nope because auto bids can't play in the Dayton "at large" play in games.

So they go ahead of us by default