Bubble Watch

[GoldenDieners32]

A positive thing we have going for us is that we don't really have a bad loss besides maybe pitt or providence, but both of those teams could make the tourney

[BM1090]

Tonight's bubble action:

Georgetown @ Seton Hall

Depaul @ Providence

Vandy @ Kentucky (looks like Vandy may have locked up a top 50 RPI...not sure we want them to win this)

Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech



Fringe Bubble (long shots at best)

Indiana @ Purdue

Miami @ Akron

Ohio State @ Penn State

It looks like if Vandy loses the next 2 they will be projected at 51 in the RPI. Win 1 in the SEC tournament and they are probably top 50. Win 1 of their final 2 and they are easily top 50. I think we definitely want them to lose tonight. If they win they start to have a real strong bubble case.

It'd be VERY helpful for us if Georgetown beat Seton Hall. If so, they likely end up 8-10 with the final game at Butler. Then we'd have the 6 seed even if we lose our remaining two games.

Of course, I want 7 Big East bids too. But if Marquette gets a bid at the expense of SHU or PC....that's fine.

Pitt winning tonight would be doubly good. Pretty much would eliminate GT and helps our RPI. Not counting on it, though.

[BM1090]

A positive thing we have going for us is that we don't really have a bad loss besides maybe pitt or providence, but both of those teams could make the tourney

Pitt can't. They are pretty much done barring them reeling off a winning streak until the ACC finals.

PC is in good shape.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

A positive thing we have going for us is that we don't really have a bad loss besides maybe pitt or providence, but both of those teams could make the tourney

Pitt ain't making the tourney, and PC isn't a bad loss.  Our worst loss is @ SJU, but if that's your worst loss you're doing OK.

Most of the power conference teams in contention around the bubble don't really have horrible losses.  Wake, K State, TCU...those teams don't really have bad losses either.  But we have better wins.   

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

It looks like if Vandy loses the next 2 they will be projected at 51 in the RPI. Win 1 in the SEC tournament and they are probably top 50. Win 1 of their final 2 and they are easily top 50. I think we definitely want them to lose tonight. If they win they start to have a real strong bubble case.

It'd be VERY helpful for us if Georgetown beat Seton Hall. If so, they likely end up 8-10 with the final game at Butler. Then we'd have the 6 seed even if we lose our remaining two games.

Of course, I want 7 Big East bids too. But if Marquette gets a bid at the expense of SHU or PC....that's fine.

Pitt winning tonight would be doubly good. Pretty much would eliminate GT and helps our RPI. Not counting on it, though.

Yah, at this point, I am rooting for what's best for MU.  If it means 6 BE teams go instead of 7, so what.  If all 7 BE teams look solid for bids going into Selection Sunday, that is going to add a little nervousness for me, assuming we're 9-9.

[BM1090]

After this mornings update, we are in 110/123 brackets on Bracket Matrix. 5th last  team in.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

After this mornings update, we are in 110/123 brackets on Bracket Matrix. 5th last  team in.

More commonly known as one of the last four byes.

[GoldenDieners32]

CBS has us in as a 11 playing a play in game against RI

[BM1090]

More commonly known as one of the last four byes.

I'm more interested in the fact that 89.4% of bracket projections have us in the field. For all the doom and gloom around here,  if you would have asked us before the season if we all would have taken "projected in, avoid Dayton" with 2 games left.....almost everyone would have taken it.

[jsglow]

I know we all want to go 2-0 this week and then have success in the BET.  But do you guys think we punch our ticket baring something truly crazy with a win at Xavier tomorrow?  Road wins count for so very much.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I know we all want to go 2-0 this week and then have success in the BET.  But do you guys think we punch our ticket baring something truly crazy with a win at Xavier tomorrow?  Road wins count for so very much.

Yah, I wouldn't use the words "punch our ticket", but I think we're in really good shape if we win tomorrow.

[MuMark]

I wish this guy was on the SC
http://www.foxsports.com/college-basketball/story/bracket-watch-projections-predictions-bracketology-ncaa-tournament-mandel-022817

[cheebs09]

I'm more interested in the fact that 89.4% of bracket projections have us in the field. For all the doom and gloom around here,  if you would have asked us before the season if we all would have taken "projected in, avoid Dayton" with 2 games left.....almost everyone would have taken it.

I think the issue is not so much where we stand now, but the fact we still have to win some games. We have two tough games and haven't been playing our best the last few weeks.

[BM1090]

I think the issue is not so much where we stand now, but the fact we still have to win some games. We have two tough games and haven't been playing our best the last few weeks.

I think that's fair. But I also think that before the season if I would have told everyone, we need to win one of our final 2 games to have a good shot at the tournament, people would have taken that.

Now, the team needs to go out and take care of business. But I think they will.

[muguru]

I wish this guy was on the SC
http://www.foxsports.com/college-basketball/story/bracket-watch-projections-predictions-bracketology-ncaa-tournament-mandel-022817

If he is..can we bribe him for a 10 seed instead of that 9 and potential matchup with KU?   

[Golden Avalanche]

I think the issue is not so much where we stand now, but the fact we still have to win some games. We have two tough games and haven't been playing our best the last few weeks.

In the past 10 days, Marquette destroyed Xavier and St. John's and shot 48% on the road in a tight loss to an NCAA Tournament team in PC. Seems to me their play is trending upward.

[GoldenDieners32]

If he is..can we bribe him for a 10 seed instead of that 9 and potential matchup with KU?   

we can take KU

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

we can take KU

I don't see us getting up to a 9 seed unless we win the next two, but if we did and are seeded against KU, I will have never rooted for a 16 over 1 harder.  KU would be a disastrous match up.

[GoldenDieners32]

I don't see us getting up to a 9 seed unless we win the next two, but if we did and are seeded against KU, I will have never rooted for a 16 over 1 harder.  KU would be a disastrous match up.

The only player that i think could kill us from KU would be josh jackson but their bigs are soft

[wadesworld]

The only player that i think could kill us from KU would be josh jackson but their bigs are soft

Yeah...no. Mason and Graham would eat us alive and Lucas is a man.

[GoldenDieners32]

Yeah...no. Mason and Graham would eat us alive and Lucas is a man.

But if we have a hotting shooting day against them or even anyone all teams should be scared if we are hitting our shots

[MUDPT]

Most likely Big East Scenarios

Win out- 5 seed
Beat X, lose to Creighton- 5 seed
Lose to X, beat Creighton- 6 seed
Lose Out- 7 seed

[muguru]

Heck, that's why I have said, I will take an 11 or 12 any day, as long as it's not in Dayton. MU could beat a 5 seed(if a 12) Easily, and could beat a 6(if an 11). Then if seeding held, they'd get a 4(definitely winnable) or a 3(bring it on).

[BM1090]

We could beat KU. But they are gonna beat us 9/10 times on a neutral court.

Honestly, I don't give a crap what seed we get. I just want to get in. Avoiding Dayton would be ideal, but even last 4 in would be fine by me at this point.

[muguru]

Most likely Big East Scenarios

Win out- 5 seed
Beat X, lose to Creighton- 5 seed
Lose to X, beat Creighton- 6 seed
Lose Out- 7 seed

I will take a PC loss tonight(or Saturday) and an MU win out, and take the 3 seed thank you very much.