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2024-2025 SOTG Tally


2024-25 Season SoG Tally
Jones, K.10
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Next up: A long offseason

Marquette
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Marquette
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Date/Time: Oct 4, 2025
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Schedule for 2024-25
New Mexico
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Jay Bee

Lol at chicos title... "Officially ruled out"...,,, again making a mistake of believing what he reads from his "big name" sources.
The portal is NOT closed.

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan

Quote from: Goose on February 09, 2017, 11:06:04 AM
I would take the Rick SLU program right now.


jesmu84



ChicosBailBonds

Quote from: Lennys Tap on March 13, 2014, 06:00:38 PM
Chicos at his passive aggressive best. The worse the Hoosiers/TC perform, the more you revert to Bad Chicos. Villanova losing  makes the probability of MU winning the tournament maybe 8% instead of 5%. Only you would characterize that as being presented on a golden platter.

The only other possible explanation for this is you know nothing about odds and probabilities.

You're right...let's see...we got swept by Nova, they are knocked out and the number 1 seed...that doesn't make things easier.  St. John's, swept us and the games are on their home court, them being knocked out doesn't help us.  Georgetown, we beat in OT and by 2 points at home...both barn burner games but their elimination doesn't help us.  If we get by Creighton, the championship would be against Seton Hall or Providence, whom we are 3-1 against with the one loss in double OT on their court....again, that is not an easier matchup or golden platter presentation.

Let's see, prior to the tournament starting if it was told to you that on one side of the bracket the finals participant will be Seton Hall or Providence you would have wet yourself for joy.

LOL.   Did you hear that almost 90% of the top seeds in the NBA win the title.....   :D

Lennys Tap

Quote from: ChicosBailBonds on March 13, 2014, 10:10:08 PM
You're right...let's see...we got swept by Nova, they are knocked out and the number 1 seed...that doesn't make things easier.  St. John's, swept us and the games are on their home court, them being knocked out doesn't help us.  Georgetown, we beat in OT and by 2 points at home...both barn burner games but their elimination doesn't help us.  If we get by Creighton, the championship would be against Seton Hall or Providence, whom we are 3-1 against with the one loss in double OT on their court....again, that is not an easier matchup or golden platter presentation.

Let's see, prior to the tournament starting if it was told to you that on one side of the bracket the finals participant will be Seton Hall or Providence you would have wet yourself for joy.

LOL.   Did you hear that almost 90% of the top seeds in the NBA win the title.....   :D

Why the long post. Just admit you know nothing of the laws of probability and be done with it. When you have a 15% chance to reach the final a 50% or even 60% chance to win that game means 7.5% -9% chance of winning it all. If it's Nova or St Johns, the number is more like 3.75-6%. Big friggin' difference. But since you don't understand basic math, you can't comprehend.

LOL indeed, since I specifically pointed out that the NHL, MLB and NFL were bigger crapshoots and NOT the NBA. You are one dishonest piece of work.

And Georgetown's elimination helped us how? By ensuring we would have to play Creighton (95% chance to beat DePaul) instead of possibly playing much weaker GTown in round 2? Where do you come up with this stuff? I'll explain it to you one more time. No matter what we had to play Xavier, a game we had roughly a 50% chance of winning. Once Georgetown lost we were a lock (95+%) to play Creighton instead of Georgetown in round 2. Chances of getting past Creighton? 30% max. Chance, then of winning both games? .5 x.3 or 15%. Play Seton Hall in the finals? 60% chance of winning. .15 x.6 =.09 or 9% chance to win it all. Providence? 50% chance of winning. .15 x .5 =.075, or 7.5% chance of winning it all. St Johns? 40+% chance of winning! but I'll give you only 40 to help your silly argument..15 x .4 =.06 or 6% chance of winning it all. Villanova, call it a 25% chance of winning. .15 x .25 = .0375 or 3.75% chance.

Summary: If Georgetown wins and beats Creighton our chances of reaching the final game = 25%  (.5 x .5) instead of 15% (.5 x .3). Georgetown losing hurt us.

And the "golden platter" we got once GTown lost was a 7.5 - 9% chance instead of a 3.75-6% chance. Whoopee! If you don't follow, I can recommend some books on probabilities but you'd better start on page one of chapter one,

ChicosBailBonds

I understand it just fine...coming into the tournament, we had roughly about a 13.5% chance to get to the finals.  You are assigning a ~50% chance of winning the other games.  It isn't a coin flip, however.  Some teams are better than other teams, matchups matter, it's not an equal opportunity.  If DePaul had beaten Creighton, our chances of beating DePaul are vastly greater than beating Creighton and our chances overall improve.  A final against Seton Hall or Providence is better odds for MU than against Nova.  So on and so forth.

You gave Creighton a 95% chance to beat DePaul, I wouldn't go that far.  You give MU only a 30% MAX chance to beat Creighton...sorry, I wouldn't have.  Thus the numbers change. 

All for not, doesn't matter.



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