Oso planning to go pro
Where are deaths increasing again? see a pretty consistent pattern going down herehttps://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
I'm beginning to think that this fall is going to be a disaster. People in the north are going to be moving back indoors, and I think we are going to see numerous outbreaks tied to schools and higher education institutions. And we are really doing nothing to prevent it.
Sorry, I wasn't being clear. Part of my sentiment was the contents of a phone call yesterday (told to me 2nd hand) with health care executives around the country along with CDC/Public Health. The CDC was basically saying deaths are projected to rise in the next 2 weeks, and healthcare folks from Florida, Arizona and Texas were basically 1) yelling at them asking why the concern isn't being broadcast nationwide and 2) That their hospitals are pretty full and deaths are increasing.So, I agree, the charts look decent right now. Sadly, I think you'll see deaths increasing in the next month.edit: And to back that up, clicking on FL, AZ, TX in the link you shared, scrolling down to the bottom and using 7-day avg deaths, pretty clear it's increasing in those places:https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/florida/https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/arizona/https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/texas/
This is why I don’t get the ‘live with it’ tacking this week by the admin. Do they not understand this or are they just trying to get ahead of it. Either way this isn’t going away anytime soon.
Purely a hypothetical exercise, but all else equal, except Texas and Florida had shutdown for the same period as most of the rest of the country, and Arizona stayed closed through June, like most other places instead of a premature reopening, where do you think we’d be nationally in regards to perception and spread?
Masks required on a national level since April 1 and we would be much like most of the rest of the world. Mostly done, keeping a sharp eyed out for hot spots.
With our without mask requirements?
All else equal, we would be rising in cases and hospitalizations but not as fast as we are now. Not only masks, but we need policies and messaging that make us come together during these times. That's not happening.
Yep. It's all a matter of degree. There would be some spread no matter what we do. The key is trying to mitigate the spread in an effort to save lives and avoid overwhelming the healthcare infrastructure. And once things began to reopen, the only reliable way to mitigate the spread was through strict social distancing and masks (and consistent messaging about them from all of our leaders).
I would amend this slightly in that the goal is to not have large amounts uncontrolled/un-monitored spread. If we got got the healthcare infrastructure in place quickly, we may have been able to open up EARLIER in many places.
https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/633695559900073984This didn’t age well.
Trump administration begins formal withdrawal from World Health Organizationhttps://www.cnn.com/2020/07/07/politics/us-withdrawing-world-trade-organization/index.htmlCongress received notification that POTUS officially withdrew the U.S. from the @WHOin the midst of a pandemic.
Message from the WH today?You all who want to make sure your kids are safe going back to school are the problem Schools must open and CDC and the scientists are idiots who need to butt out.A slight bit of sarcasm, but that is really what they said today.