Kolek planning to go pro
It will depend on how heavily the committee weighs Shaka having failed his first test.
18 might have us in, but most high majors with 18 get left out. Though I do think that Illinois win will age like a sharp cheddar. I think 19 is lock and we probably avoid Dayton, 18 and we're sweating Dayton or NIT.As far as cancellations, I think the number to keep in mind is 5.5, which is the gap number I like to look at for high majors. Generally, if you have 6 more wins than losses, you're in. So 19-13, 20-14, or in the case of cancellations, 17-11, 18-12 should be safe. If the gap is 4-5, it's more dicey. 19-14, 18-13, or 17-12 might do it, but it's no lock. 19-15, 18-14, 17-13, that's not unheard of, but it will get you left out more often than not.And I know there's always the 16-14 Georgia outlier, but it's such an outlier that I don't think it's useful for projection purposes.
When the committee is examining the final bubble teams, they will notice that Illinois did not have their best player.
Doubtful.
I think MU has a realistic shot at the big dance. If they can play like the last 2 games ... they will prob finish 5 th or 6th in the BE and be a lock. However, I don’t see any way that they sweep the remaining 5 games v SJU,Gtown and Butler.
18 might have us in, but most high majors with 18 get left out.
They may consider that Shaka didn't prioritize winning this year.
Won't win totals be judged differently this year with some teams having several canceled games?
Most brackets have us on the right side of the bubble. Again, I think given the fact that there is ALWAYS a weak bubble to get to 68, 18 wins is a mortal lock especially at 18-14 if SJU is now cancelled. That said, if COVID cancellations continue both for us and others it's harder to know what the magic number is (17-15 seems likely it could be good depending on what the Ws and Ls look like in that mix)Anyways, looking at the schedule it seems to me this is the most likely path to 18 of our remaining games.v DePaulv SH@ Novav X@ SH@ Provv Nova@ UCONN@ Butlerv GT@ Creightonv Butler@ DePaul@ SJUBET We've gotta get the 5 remaining against the bottom feeders. We also need to get one of two on the road against SJU or Creighton as well as our first round BET game otherwise we're gonna need to beat a (near) ranked team on the road or X or Nova at home. SH at home will very key - we really needed either Creighton at home or that one, which is why I think the Creighton loss was so crucial - clearly SH will be a bigger task. It seems entirely reasonable for an expectation to be dancing this year if we take care of the business we should but there is little margin for error. If we can steal 1 or 2 in that Jan 19 to Feb 8th stretch (the @Nova to @UCONN stretch) I would be majorly disappointed to not be dancing come March.
I would take the Rick SLU program right now.
Is the SJU game no longer expected to be made up? Did I miss something?
FWIW the Marquette website refers to it as canceled and not postponed.
Hmmm. With the BE announcing they plan to make up PPD games and Marq certainly wanting their home game, you sure think they’d make more of an effort than giving up in early Jan. Do know SJU has already rescheduled a few games tho - maybe their schedules just don’t match up.
Avoiding Cockburn may Be The Difference.