Oso planning to go pro
What changed from a few days ago?https://twitter.com/JBBauer612/status/1246254792911073283?s=20
Absolutely nothing, my stalker friend.Cute, fairy tale hopes are nice to see sometimes. They don't produce results.#LastDays
It's tough on everybody. Especially low wage workers who have lost their jobs.Enough of the whining, already.Man up.
https://www.muscoop.com/index.php?topic=60306.msg1228484#msg1228484Here is my take. Idk why they decided to throw numbers around two weeks ago as a task force, but they did. It seemed odd then as it does now.
My problem is how wildly inaccurate the models Dr Fauci and co. cited are proving to be. Dropping estimates 65% in a week is wonderful - but where were the numbers they predicted last week coming from? Imagine if they went the other way and the mean changed from 170,000 to 500,000 in a weeks time.
Who's whining? I'm just speaking reality, punk.We're screwed without some incredibly positive developments... which have not yet occurred. That's facts, bub.
The hydroxy controversy is just the modern day example of the criticism that has been going on for the past 3 1/2years. It’s time people who cannot separate their politics from medicine get out of the way. allow the doctors who know how to treat people with this drug, (for the time being)do what they have to do to save lives. even a vaccine on the fast track would take a couple of years and God knows what side effects it would still carry with it. Hydroxy has a 60 year track record. People who have been on it for malaria prevention or arthritis have not come down with covid despite knowing being exposed https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/491932-hydroxy-hysteria-when-saving-lives-collides-with-politics-and-bureaucracy
Why is coming up with a vaccine considered a guarantee?
It never was, isn't, nor will it ever be.WHO 2019-20 Assessments: China $130Million. USA $229 Million. Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation: an “unassessed” lol, cool $200 Million.FOLLOW THE MONEY. Ya think ole Billy feels he has a right to write world health policy?!!But but “conspiracy”.
Trump was told about one very flawed French study using the drug and began touting it as a miracle cure. Dutifully the entire right wing echo chamber began repeating him, promoting this as THE treatment, despite zero scientific evidence yet. And so the Fox News watchers/Rush Limbaugh listeners repeat the same thing. It has since evolved into the latest bit of the cultural war, with anybody who says, "Gee, maybe we should test this first," accused of hating the President.There are 70-odd drugs being tested in 200+ scientific trials currently underway. Why don't we take the scientific approach and see which one or ones actually work instead of endlessly promoting a non-doctor's gut feeling?
Trump was told about one very flawed French study using the drug and began touting it as a miracle cure. Dutifully the entire right wing echo chamber began repeating him, promoting this as THE treatment, despite zero scientific evidence yet. And so the Fox News watchers/Rush Limbaugh listeners repeat the same thing. It has since evolved into the latest bit of the cultural war, with anybody who says, "Gee, maybe we should test this first," accused of hating the President.There are 70-odd drugs (Edit: now 100+ drugs, see post in the "Hydroxychloroquinine updates (and other potential treatments)" thread) being tested in 200+ scientific trials currently underway. Why don't we take the scientific approach and see which one or ones actually work instead of endlessly promoting a non-doctor's gut feeling?
Antibody testing and herd immunity will get us live sports this year.
I was thinking about herd immunity from a math perspective.We're at 470k cases in the US. Let's say the real count is 10x that, so we're at 4.7m. That means a whopping 1.4% of the US's 330m population has been infected. The last week or so, we're getting 30k positive cases per day, so let's say that's really undercounted by 10x, so 300k per day.The lowest herd immunity %age I could find that was helpful is 40%. Even at 300k new cases per day, it would take 1100 days (3+ YEARS) to reach even 40% herd immunity. Even if my numbers are off by a factor of 2, we're a loonnnnng way off. And 40% is super low anyhow, it might take 80% or 95%.And that's only if you stay at 300k per day. The case rate is likely steady/dropping over the next few weeks.That leaves immunity thru vaccines as the best possibility.
models are only as good as the numbers you put in
Down 1 w 5 seconds left. Doable.