26-27 Predictions

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Alright you degenerates, schedule is live. Let's see some predictions:

Exhibitions:
@UWGB:
Michigan St:

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst:
Detroit Mercy:
@Michigan:
Mizzou (in Chicago):
Northern Illinois:
Chicago St:
Virginia (Atlantis):
Texas A&M (Atlantis):
Wagner:
Wisconsin:
New Hampshire:
Mississippi St:
Non-Conference Record:

Conference:
Xavier
@Butler:
@Creighton:
Providence:
@Villanova:
@UConn:
DePaul:
Creighton:
@Xavier:
@Seton Hall:
Butler:
St. John's:
Georgetown:
@Providence:
@ST. John's:
UConn:
Seton Hall:
Villanova:
@Georgetown:
@DePaul:
Overall Record:
Big East Record:

Postseason:
BET Seed:
BET Finish:
Postseason Tournament/Seed:
Postseason Finish:

[Uncle Rico]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB:loss
Michigan St:loss

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst:win
Detroit Mercy:loss
@Michigan:loss
Mizzou (in Chicago):loss
Northern Illinois:loss
Chicago St:win
Virginia (Atlantis):loss
Texas A&M (Atlantis):loss
Wagner:win
Wisconsin:loss (Gard gets it done)
New Hampshire:win
Mississippi St:win
Non-Conference Record:5-7

Conference:
Xavier: L
@Butler: L
@Creighton:L
Providence:L
@Villanova:L
@UConn:L
DePaul:L
Creighton:W
@Xavier:L
@Seton Hall:L
Butler:W
St. John's:L
Georgetown:W
@Providence:L
@ST. John's:L
UConn:L
Seton Hall:W
Villanova:W
@Georgetown:W
@DePaul:L
Overall Record:11-21
Big East Record:6-14

Postseason:lol
BET Seed:9
BET Finish:embarrassed on first night
Postseason Tournament/Seed:Arby's
Postseason Finish:lol

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 10-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: L
@Xavier: L
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: W
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: W
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: L
Overall Record: 21-11
Big East Record: 11-9

Postseason:
BET Seed: 5
BET Finish: Semifinals
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAA 8 Seed
Postseason Finish: Round of 32

[willie warrior]

Non Conference: 8-4
Conference: 9-11
Overall: 17-15
BEast seed: 7

[wadesworld]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 10-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: W
@Xavier: W
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: L
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: W
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: W
Overall Record: 23-9
Big East Record: 13-7

Postseason: NCAAT
BET Seed: 4
BET Finish: semifinal loss
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAAT 7 seed
Postseason Finish: Round of 32

[SchnitzelBoy]

Very optimistic prediction:

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: W

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 8-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: W
@Xavier: W
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: W
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: L
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: W
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: L
Overall Record: 23-10
Big East Record: 13-7

Postseason:
BET Seed: #3
BET Finish: Semi-final loss to #2 St. John's
Postseason Tournament/Seed: 6-seed
Postseason Finish: Round of 16

[Shooter McGavin]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 10-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: L
@Xavier: L
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: W
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: W
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: L
Overall Record: 21-11
Big East Record: 11-9

Postseason:
BET Seed: 5
BET Finish: Semifinals
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAA 8 Seed
Postseason Finish: Round of 32

I still have to go through the schedule.  And may come to the same conclusions. But I hope the team doesn't lose every tough conference game as predicted minus UConn at home.  Would be a bad sign for the direction of the program.  That would essentially mean injury or poor coaching or our potential all Big East players are not really at that level or players 5-15 are non contributors.  My hope is your picks represent the floor for this team.  Anything worse and the pitch forks will be out for good reason. 

You may end up being right.  But boy I hope you aren't.

The caveat, is if you think the Big East is a top 3 conference this year.  If that is the rational, it makes more sense.

I know I have to put my picks in.  I'm not criticizing you at all.  I think you are a very knowledgeable fan.  I just hope you are wrong. 

[Jay Bee]

Overall Record:
Big East Record:

Non Conf 9-3
BEast 12-8
So, 21-11

The rest is a crapshoot

#LastYear

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

0-32

[SchnitzelBoy]

Getting at least a few home wins against Villanova, Providence, UConn, Creighton, and St. John's is absolutely critical for this team to get into the tournament

[MUbiz]

Non Conference: 8-4
Conference: 10-10
Overall: 18-14

Make it to Dayton - win a game. Lose round of 64.

[MU82]

Including exhibitions? 43-0.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I still have to go through the schedule.  And may come to the same conclusions. But I hope the team doesn't lose every tough conference game as predicted minus UConn at home.  Would be a bad sign for the direction of the program.  That would essentially mean injury or poor coaching or our potential all Big East players are not really at that level or players 5-15 are non contributors.  My hope is your picks represent the floor for this team.  Anything worse and the pitch forks will be out for good reason. 

You may end up being right.  But boy I hope you aren't.

The caveat, is if you think the Big East is a top 3 conference this year.  If that is the rational, it makes more sense.

I know I have to put my picks in.  I'm not criticizing you at all.  I think you are a very knowledgeable fan.  I just hope you are wrong. 

I don't know if Big East is a top 3 league, it certainly could be. But I do think they can get 7 teams in the tournament maybe even 8. St. John's and UConn are clearly a step above. I think DePaul, Butler, Seton Hall, and Georgetown are clearly a step below. I think the five teams between those two groups are very close together and will be home favorites against each other.


I'm also a very boring predictor. I tend to make picks based on who I think will be the betting favorite, then pick one upset win (UConn) and one WTF loss (@DePaul). Reality is almost always more messy.

I don't think people should get pitchforks out for a 21 win season, especially considering that it would be a 9 win improvement from last season. What will be interesting is if we end up in a play-in game. I'm not sure how fans will react

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I don't know if Big East is a top 3 league, it certainly could be.

This made me curious, so I went to see what Bart Torvik projects as the top conferences this season. Here is the average Bart Torvik ranking for each of the major conferences plus the top mid-majors:

SEC: 34.81
B1G: 40.72
B12: 44.25
BEast: 49.55
ACC: 56.06
P12: 90.44
A10: 112.93
MWest: 127.8
WCC: 143.9

So Bart Torvik doesn't project the BEast as top 3...but that may not mean what it used to. The gap between the haves and have nots has never been wider. There are only 11 mid-major teams in the top 75 and only two in top 50 (#11 Gonzaga and #45 Grand Canyon). There are only 4 high major teams outside the top 100 (#101 Stanford, #104 Boston College, #105 Penn State, #109 Georgia Tech).

ETA: These rankings are also in flux because it doesn't appear like Bart Torvik is consistent in whether it counts players who are in legal battles to return for another year. For example, Colin Porter is included in our roster, but Filip Borovicanin is not included in Xavier's roster.

[Uncle Rico]

This made me curious, so I went to see what Bart Torvik projects as the top conferences this season. Here is the average Bart Torvik ranking for each of the major conferences plus the top mid-majors:

SEC: 34.81
B1G: 40.72
B12: 44.25
BEast: 49.55
ACC: 56.06
P12: 90.44
A10: 112.93
MWest: 127.8
WCC: 143.9

So Bart Torvik doesn't project the BEast as top 3...but that may not mean what it used to. The gap between the haves and have nots has never been wider. There are only 11 mid-major teams in the top 75 and only two in top 50 (#11 Gonzaga and #45 Grand Canyon). There are only 4 high major teams outside the top 100 (#101 Stanford, #104 Boston College, #105 Penn State, #109 Georgia Tech).

Gross

[Jay Bee]

#GAP

[muwarrior69]

0-32

Nothing short of a Natty is success in my book. So 41-0.

[Tha Hound]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 10-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: W
@Xavier: W
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: L
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: L
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: W
Overall Record: 22-10
Big East Record: 12-8

Postseason:
BET Seed: 3
BET Finish: Semifinals
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAA/6
Postseason Finish: S16

Nigel will be at worst 2nd team AA

[TallTitan34]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): L
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 9-3

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: W
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: W
@Xavier: W
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: W
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: W
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: W
Overall Record: 22-10
Big East Record: 15-5 13-7 (My totals add up to 15-5 but I expect two additional losses in games we should win so 13-7.)

Postseason:
BET Seed: 4
BET Finish: Semi-Finals
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAA/7
Postseason Finish: Round of 32

[Badgerhater]

MU will be closer to the 4th quarter Vikings than the 4th quarter Packers.

[Shooter McGavin]

Exhibitions:
@UWGB: W
Michigan St: L

Non-Conference:
Mercyhurst: W
Detroit Mercy: W
@Michigan: L
Mizzou (in Chicago): W
Northern Illinois: W
Chicago St: W
Virginia (Atlantis): L
Texas A&M (Atlantis): W
Wagner: W
Wisconsin: W
New Hampshire: W
Mississippi St: W
Non-Conference Record: 10-2

Conference:
Xavier: W
@Butler: W
@Creighton: L
Providence: W
@Villanova: L
@UConn: L
DePaul: W
Creighton: W
@Xavier: W
@Seton Hall: W
Butler: W
St. John's: L
Georgetown: W
@Providence: L
@ST. John's: L
UConn: L
Seton Hall: W
Villanova: L
@Georgetown: W
@DePaul: W
Overall Record: 22-10
Big East Record: 12-8

Postseason:
BET Seed: 3
BET Finish: Semifinals
Postseason Tournament/Seed: NCAA/6
Postseason Finish: S16

Nigel will be at worst 2nd team AA

I like this but with a 13-7 conference record and a couple wins home or away vs Villanova, UConn and St John's. So 2-4 in those games.  And an unexpected loss to a bottom feeder.