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WhiteTrash

Quote from: The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole on June 02, 2024, 08:11:15 PM
Anyway, John Schriffen's take on the whole thing was pretty dumb.
He has lost all credibility with Sox fans. Beyond a shill for the organization. He deserves all the crap coming to him. He had the arrogance/stupidity to suggest the Sox record is so bad because "they keep catching teams at the wrong time". ::)

The all time loss record is seriously in play, so maybe something historic will happen. Get your popcorn!

Pakuni

Quote from: The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole on June 02, 2024, 08:11:15 PM
Anyway, John Schriffen's take on the whole thing was pretty dumb.

He's not good.

MUfan12

Quote from: jficke13 on June 02, 2024, 08:18:03 PM

But Contreras waving goodbye to Pham after the tag was ice cold. But Contreras has played like an MVP contender. He's earned the right to chirp.

He should chirp. Pham ran onto the infield grass to try and make contact with Contreras while the whole plate was open.

Lennys Tap

Quote from: Pakuni on June 02, 2024, 08:04:08 PM
LOL. There are about 6 wild pitches/passed balls per 1,000 pitches in MLB these days. And the Brewers are statistically one of the best defensive teams in the league.
Fine, a bump that up a percentage point. Maybe two. Massive difference.

And the idea that in the eighth inning of a one-run game a team should bypass a strong opportunity to tie for another at bat is ridiculous. And that's not even accounting for the fact that the White Sox are BY FAR the worst run-generating team in the league.

I didn't see the play. Other posters said he was out easily, out by a mile. You were the one who put the chances of Pham scoring on that play at 24% which statistically was slightly better than Sheets getting a hit (23.7%). But you didn't account for other ways the Sox could score in that situation other than a Sheet's hit - an error, wild pitch, passed ball, a walk or hbp followed by a hit by the next guy or an error, etc., etc. Sheets also could have hit a HR. And multiple runs could have been scored too many other ways to even list them. So your math (based on a 24% chance) is wrong, plain and simple. If his chance to score was 35% you probably have an argument.


Pakuni

Quote from: Lennys Tap on June 02, 2024, 09:12:40 PM
I didn't see the play. Other posters said he was out easily, out by a mile. You were the one who put the chances of Pham scoring on that play at 24% which statistically was slightly better than Sheets getting a hit (23.7%). But you didn't account for other ways the Sox could score in that situation other than a Sheet's hit - an error, wild pitch, passed ball, a walk or hbp followed by a hit by the next guy or an error, etc., etc. Sheets also could have hit a HR. And multiple runs could have been scored too many other ways to even list them. So your math (based on a 24% chance) is wrong, plain and simple. If his chance to score was 35% you probably have an argument.

1. It was clear to everyone, except you perhaps, that I was suggesting Pham had a 24% or better chance of scoring on that play.
2. You're miles off the mark if you believe there was a better than 10% chance of him scoring on a wild pitch, passed ball or error in that situation.

The Sultan

#280
Quote from: jficke13 on June 02, 2024, 08:18:03 PM
Is that the Sox tv guy?

The whole "we ain't taking that from the Brewers" thing was tortured. I mean... they absolutely did take it.


That's what I didn't understand about the whole thing. There was no fight. There was no retaliation. In the bottom half, the Sox gave up two on a weak single and then went out without a peep in the ninth.

And poor Steve Stone, who is really good, has to work with this guy.
"I am one of those who think the best friend of a nation is he who most faithfully rebukes her for her sins—and he her worst enemy, who, under the specious and popular garb of patriotism, seeks to excuse, palliate, and defend them" - Frederick Douglass

MUBurrow

For the reasons Pakuni outlined, I also would have sent him.  Also, Tommy Pham (as a dude) seems awful.

cheebs09

Quote from: MUBurrow on June 03, 2024, 09:23:35 AM
For the reasons Pakuni outlined, I also would have sent him.  Also, Tommy Pham (as a dude) seems awful.

Spent a lot of time in the Cardinals organization.

jficke13

Also, I'll confess to not being 100% up to date on all of the recent rule tweaks, but is there a reason why Pham ran inside on the basepath rather than in foul territory with something more like a hook slide? I guess maybe thinking his body would interrupt the throwing lane? Trying to bait an catcher-blocking-plate call? I just would have figured a little more evasive maneuver on the foul-side of the line would have given him at least a fighting chance.

Uncle Rico

Quote from: jficke13 on June 03, 2024, 10:03:54 AM
Also, I'll confess to not being 100% up to date on all of the recent rule tweaks, but is there a reason why Pham ran inside on the basepath rather than in foul territory with something more like a hook slide? I guess maybe thinking his body would interrupt the throwing lane? Trying to bait an catcher-blocking-plate call? I just would have figured a little more evasive maneuver on the foul-side of the line would have given him at least a fighting chance.

He was trying to bait a call.  He knew he was out by a mile. 
Guster is for Lovers

lawdog77

#285
Quote from: Pakuni on June 02, 2024, 07:00:59 PM
Not sure Pham making an excuse for his bad baserunning is the authority here.
If you don't send him, you've got .237 hitting Gavin Sheets coming up next with two outs.
I'm taking my chances that Pham has a 24% chance to score on Christian Yelich in that situation.
What about a pinch hitter for sheets? Also, don't know about this guys stats, but looks like he put in the work.

https://community.fangraphs.com/are-third-base-coaches-too-hesitant-in-sacrifice-fly-situations/

MU82

Quote from: MUBurrow on June 03, 2024, 09:23:35 AM
For the reasons Pakuni outlined, I also would have sent him.  Also, Tommy Pham (as a dude) seems awful.

Publicly called out the third-base coach. Bad form.

And while I've only heard this Sox announcer in clips, what I have heard makes him sound like one of the worst p-b-p guys ever. He should have been embarrassed by that call.
"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell

Jockey

Quote from: lawdog77 on June 03, 2024, 11:51:30 AM
What about a pinch hitter for sheets? Also, don't know about this guys stats, but looks like he put in the work.

https://community.fangraphs.com/are-third-base-coaches-too-hesitant-in-sacrifice-fly-situations/

I don't think they had anyone better than Sheets.

Pakuni

Quote from: lawdog77 on June 03, 2024, 11:51:30 AM
What about a pinch hitter for sheets?

Due to injuries, the bench options at that point of the game were Martin Maldonado (.079 hitter) and Danny Mendick (.218 hitter). Both are right-handed hitters, and the Brewers had a right-handed pitcher in the game.
And my guess is the 3rd base coach doesn't make decisions on whether or not to send a runner on a supposition that the manager might pull the next hitter out of the on-deck circle to sub in a worse hitter.


Uncle Rico

Brewers are playing good
Guster is for Lovers


CreightonWarrior

Quote from: Pakuni on June 03, 2024, 12:48:14 PM
Due to injuries, the bench options at that point of the game were Martin Maldonado (.079 hitter) and Danny Mendick (.218 hitter). Both are right-handed hitters, and the Brewers had a right-handed pitcher in the game.
And my guess is the 3rd base coach doesn't make decisions on whether or not to send a runner on a supposition that the manager might pull the next hitter out of the on-deck circle to sub in a worse hitter.
My favorite thing going around about Maldonado right now is his batting avg is legally sober.

MU82

Strike up the band for the White Sox!!
"It's not how white men fight." - Tucker Carlson

"Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." - George Washington

"In a time of deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell



wadesworld

Quote from: JWags85 on June 12, 2024, 10:14:32 AM
The dude doffing his cap not once but twice made my insides crawl

Lol yup.

TAMU, Knower of Ball

Live by the aggressive base running, die by the aggressive base running
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


TAMU, Knower of Ball

Quote from: TAMU, Knower of Ball on June 14, 2024, 11:02:02 PM
Live by the aggressive base running, die by the aggressive base running

Wow,  and the Crew get em back two days later.

I don't know if aggressive baserunning is analytically the best strategy,  but it has led to a lot of fun endings this season
Quote from: Goose on January 15, 2023, 08:43:46 PM
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


Uncle Rico

Quote from: TAMU, Knower of Ball on June 16, 2024, 03:58:59 PM
Wow,  and the Crew get em back two days later.

I don't know if aggressive baserunning is analytically the best strategy,  but it has led to a lot of fun endings this season

Keep waiting for the Crew to crash but they have been a fun team this year. 
Guster is for Lovers

BM1090

Quote from: Uncle Rico on June 16, 2024, 04:08:25 PM
Keep waiting for the Crew to crash but they have been a fun team this year.

Same. I'm not really sure what the underlying numbers say about the likelihood of a strong regression, but the record doesn't seem fluky when looking solely at run differential.

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