2024 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

[PGsHeroes32]

The only possible chance at a 1 seed is thumping UCONN to win the BET.

We have zero chance at a 1 seed. Not a single .01%.

[MarquetteMike1977]

Marquette is #7 on ESPN's Joe Lunardi's SCurve as of a half hour ago

[MarquetteMike1977]

Kentucky losing helps Marquette with getting the Indianapolis #2 Pod Seed

[MuggsyB]

Kentucky losing helps Marquette with getting the Indianapolis #2 Pod Seed

Very good result. 

[FairWeatherEagle]

So now it's sit back and see where everyone else lands. Who will be our 15 and 7 and 3 and 1? Will we get that far, will any of them have trouble? March is great!

[wisblue]

Kentucky losing helps Marquette with getting the Indianapolis #2 Pod Seed

I think they were the last potential challenger. Illinois should be too far back even if they win the conference tournament.

[wisblue]

Bid stealer alert.

Virginia's monumental collapse in the last minute sends NC State to the  ACC title game.

[HutchwasClutch]

Are we a #1 with a win tomorrow?   Seems we should be?  Especially with Tennessee and Arizona going down today.  Tennessee in ugly fashion too.

[Vander Blue Man Group]

Are we a #1 with a win tomorrow?   Seems we should be?  Especially with Tennessee and Arizona going down today.  Tennessee in ugly fashion too.

No. It's UNC.

[HutchwasClutch]

No. It's UNC.

Them over us with losses to Ga Tech and Villanova? I don't know. But I have no idea of quad breakdowns comparison.  Doesn't seem like an easy call for them, especially if we take down UConn. We were both 2's in bracket reveal.

[1SE]

We have zero chance at a 1 seed. Not a single .01%.

Too bad Pitt couldn't pull it off and now well never know.

Who is our 7 gonna be? See some brackets w Gonzaga on that line in Midwest - I'd like that matchup

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

We have zero chance at a 1 seed. Not a single .01%.

I'm not certain you're correct. With Tennessee and Arizona going down to inferior teams, I think a win over UConn would put us ahead of both as the top 2 seed. That would only leave UNC ahead of us. If we win and they pick up a Q2 loss to NC State...and the committee gives us some slack on Kolek's injury, I could see us jumping. Here's what the team sheets would look like in that situation:

Record: 26-8 27-7
NET (current would likely be closer): 13 7
NCSOS: 17 23
SOS: 8 33
Average NET of Wins: 113 101
Average NET of Losses: 28 51
KPI: 18 4
SOR: 6 4
BPI: 14 10
POM: 12 7
Q1 wins: 10 9
Q1A Wins: 6 5
Q2 wins: 6 7
Q2A wins: 3 3
Q2 Losses: 1 4

If the committee gives any sort of bonus for Tyler being out and winning our conference when UNC didnt'....I see an argument for a 1 seed. Anyway, better to win and test the theory than not.

[HowardsWorld]

I'm not certain you're correct. With Tennessee and Arizona going down to inferior teams, I think a win over UConn would put us ahead of both as the top 2 seed. That would only leave UNC ahead of us. If we win and they pick up a Q2 loss to NC State...and the committee gives us some slack on Kolek's injury, I could see us jumping. Here's what the team sheets would look like in that situation:

Record: 26-8 27-7
NET (current would likely be closer): 13 7
NCSOS: 17 23
SOS: 8 33
Average NET of Wins: 113 101
Average NET of Losses: 28 51
KPI: 18 4
SOR: 6 4
BPI: 14 10
POM: 12 7
Q1 wins: 10 9
Q1A Wins: 6 5
Q2 wins: 6 7
Q2A wins: 3 3
Q2 Losses: 1 4

If the committee gives any sort of bonus for Tyler being out and winning our conference when UNC didnt'....I see an argument for a 1 seed. Anyway, better to win and test the theory than not.

The sloberfest especially North Carolina is rediculous. When is the last time North Carolina played a team with a pulse?

I would be shocked if the ACC has more than 1 team remaining after the 1st round. That includes Duke being bounced by a 13/14 seed.

[MU82]

sloberfest

Worst beer ever.

[The Sultan]

The sloberfest especially North Carolina is rediculous. When is the last time North Carolina played a team with a pulse?

I would be shocked if the ACC has more than 1 team remaining after the 1st round. That includes Duke being bounced by a 13/14 seed.

They won at Duke last Saturday.

[HowardsWorld]

They won at Duke last Saturday.

Im willing to bet money that Duke is upset in the 1st round.

[tower912]

There are many sites to help you with that.

[The Sultan]

Im willing to bet money that Duke is upset in the 1st round.

Who knows. But they "have a pulse." Who has Marquette beat lately who is better?

[MU82]

Who knows. But they "have a pulse." Who has Marquette beat lately who is better?

This is exactly what I was thinking when I saw HW's post.

Nova, Providence, St. John's, etc, do have talent and toughness, and they're not easy wins. But objectively, is beating any one of them anywhere as tough as winning at Cameron Indoor? You REALLY need blue-and-gold glasses to see a win at Xavier as the equivalent of a win at Duke.

[brewcity77]

I will likely lean toward UNC keeping the last 1-seed even if they lose and we win. Resumes would be very close and if Kolek comes back and drops 15/8/5 on them I may see it differently. Will be an interesting rescrub tomorrow.

[wisblue]

If you're going to fantasize about UNC losing and Marquette beating UConn, you'd also have to consider Iowa State.

Some bracketologists (like Dave at Bracketville) already have ISU ahead of MU on their seed lists. If they would add a win over Houston to their rout of Baylor last night they could also be seeded ahead of MU. And yes, I know about ISU's terrible OOC schedule, but that seems to be a bigger issue when separating teams near the bubble than teams that have proven themselves with several high quality wins.

At this point I'm assuming that Marquette will be a 2 seed playing in Indianapolis. The more important step is seeing the teams they'll be bracketed with.

[PGsHeroes32]

If you're going to fantasize about UNC losing and Marquette beating UConn, you'd also have to consider Iowa State.

Some bracketologists (like Dave at Bracketville) already have ISU ahead of MU on their seed lists. If they would add a win over Houston to their rout of Baylor last night they could also be seeded ahead of MU. And yes, I know about ISU's terrible OOC schedule, but that seems to be a bigger issue when separating teams near the bubble than teams that have proven themselves with several high quality wins.

At this point I'm assuming that Marquette will be a 2 seed playing in Indianapolis. The more important step is seeing the teams they'll be bracketed with.

There is zero chance ISU gets a 1 over us if both win.

Neither are getting a 1. But they would not be ahead

[GoldenEagles03]

Dan Gavitt just said all Conference Championships today and tomorrow will factor into seedings.

Also said they have gotten indication that Kolek, McCullar, and Dickinson will all be available with no restrictions for the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament.

[Warrior_2002]

Yeah heard that same thing about Kolek. Good reassurance.

[The Thing]

He also said 3 one seeds are pretty locked and there are 3 teams vying for that fourth one seed.