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Author Topic: Team Rankings  (Read 22526 times)

zcg2013

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #125 on: January 06, 2023, 03:33:21 PM »
Joe Lunardi ESPN has Marquette as a  # 6 Seed Playing # 11 Pittsburgh in Denver in the South Louisville Region. Winner plays # 3 Seed Texas # 14 Seed Cornell Winner

Slightly convinced Lunardi looks at what could be an intriguing matchup when doing these early brackets. Playing Greg w/ a chance to play Shaka's old team.

That or i'm just looking to hard into this.

The Sultan of Semantics

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #126 on: January 06, 2023, 03:37:09 PM »
Slightly convinced Lunardi looks at what could be an intriguing matchup when doing these early brackets. Playing Greg w/ a chance to play Shaka's old team.

That or i'm just looking to hard into this.

No he does this routinely.
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PointWarrior

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #127 on: January 06, 2023, 03:51:41 PM »
cool, is it too early to book flights for Denver?


Joe Lunardi ESPN has Marquette as a  # 6 Seed Playing # 11 Pittsburgh in Denver in the South Louisville Region. Winner plays # 3 Seed Texas # 14 Seed Cornell Winner

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #128 on: January 08, 2023, 08:46:28 AM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 8, 2023
•   After beating Georgetown 95-73 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 85%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #23 team in the country, and the #4 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Wed, Jan 11 vs. #3 Connecticut. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 40% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 85%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 12%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 7

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #129 on: January 12, 2023, 11:46:53 AM »
   
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 12, 2023
•   After beating Connecticut 82-76 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 94%, an increase of 12% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #22 team in the country, and the #4 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sun, Jan 15 at #15 Xavier. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 35% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 94%
 Get Automatic NCAA Bid 14%
Projected Seed(if Selected) 6

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #130 on: January 12, 2023, 05:48:42 PM »
ESPN Which Team has surprised You in a good way Why
Medcalf: I'll take Marquette here. Shaka Smart's squad was picked to finish ninth in the Big East, over Georgetown (10th) and DePaul (11th), in the preseason poll. The Golden Eagles lost their top two scorers from last season (Darryl Morsell and Justin Lewis) after reaching the NCAA tournament in Smart's first season. In his second, they're off to a 5-1 start in Big East play, with two of their four overall losses (Providence, Wisconsin) unfolding in overtime. They also have a five-point road loss to Purdue. But, Marquette has just one loss since Dec. 3. In a crowded conference, it's easy to overlook its success thus far. But this team is playing good, entertaining basketball -- sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency on KenPom -- right now. PS Edit This was written yesterday. Marquette is # 4 in adjusted offensive efficiency on KenPom today
« Last Edit: January 12, 2023, 05:58:21 PM by MarquetteMike1977 »

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #131 on: January 16, 2023, 11:10:51 AM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 16, 2023
•   After losing to Xavier 80-76 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are down to 90%, a decrease of 3% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #26 team in the country, and the #4 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Wed, Jan 18 vs. #40 Providence. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 70% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 90%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 15%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 7

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #132 on: January 19, 2023, 12:06:25 PM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 19, 2023
•   After beating Providence 83-75 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 22-9 (14-6 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 93%, an increase of 2% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #23 team in the country, and the #4 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sat, Jan 21 at #48 Seton Hall. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 51% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 93%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 15%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 6

tower912

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #133 on: January 19, 2023, 01:10:01 PM »
Torvik says that the closest comp to this year's team is the 2017 MU team.   The 2018 MU team is also in the top 10 comparable teams


https://www.barttorvik.com/profile-compare.php?team=Marquette&year=2023&cov=1&o=4&d=4&tt=4&efg_w=1&oreb_w=1&tov_w=1&ftr_w=1&defg_w=1&doreb_w=1&dtov_w=1&dftr_w=1&threerate_w=1&talent_w=1&exp_w=1&ht_w=1
« Last Edit: January 19, 2023, 01:33:56 PM by tower912 »
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Uncle Rico

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #134 on: January 19, 2023, 03:36:55 PM »
“This is bar none atrocious.  Mitchell cannot shoot either.  What a pile of dung”

Shooter McGavin

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #135 on: January 19, 2023, 04:12:40 PM »
Torvik says that the closest comp to this year's team is the 2017 MU team.   The 2018 MU team is also in the top 10 comparable teams


https://www.barttorvik.com/profile-compare.php?team=Marquette&year=2023&cov=1&o=4&d=4&tt=4&efg_w=1&oreb_w=1&tov_w=1&ftr_w=1&defg_w=1&doreb_w=1&dtov_w=1&dftr_w=1&threerate_w=1&talent_w=1&exp_w=1&ht_w=1

Let’s hope not.  Those teams did not go very far. 

Mu8891

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #136 on: January 19, 2023, 05:14:34 PM »
If the bids went out today, MU is a
4 or 5 seed, NOT a 6.

muwarrior69

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #137 on: January 19, 2023, 05:19:04 PM »
If the bids went out today, MU is a
4 or 5 seed, NOT a 6.

I'd rather be a 6 than a 4 or 5.

GoldenEagles03

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #138 on: January 19, 2023, 05:21:04 PM »
I'd rather be a 6 than a 4 or 5.

What's your reasoning behind that?

Being a 4 or better should be the goal.  13 seeds are 'typically' where the talent disparity is noticable. 5/12s have shown to be tossups.
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brewcity77

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #139 on: January 19, 2023, 07:02:35 PM »
What's your reasoning behind that?

Being a 4 or better should be the goal.  13 seeds are 'typically' where the talent disparity is noticable. 5/12s have shown to be tossups.

It's about the second/third round matchups. Playing into a 3 and 2 and not seeing a 1 until the E8 can be an easier road, especially as upsets (and thus easier paths) are more likely for those 3s and 2s than 1s.
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GoldenEagles03

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #140 on: January 19, 2023, 08:19:31 PM »
It's about the second/third round matchups. Playing into a 3 and 2 and not seeing a 1 until the E8 can be an easier road, especially as upsets (and thus easier paths) are more likely for those 3s and 2s than 1s.

I guess I'm mostly interested in winning game 1 and worrying about a 2nd round matchup if we get there.
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brewcity77

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #141 on: January 20, 2023, 05:07:42 AM »
I guess I'm mostly interested in winning game 1 and worrying about a 2nd round matchup if we get there.

There's an argument for 6 there too, but the data doesn't bear it out. The theory goes that you'd rather see the worst qualifying high majors (typically 11s) than the best mid-majors. At one point, I think 12s on the whole were doing better than 11s, which was where the 5/12 narrative came from, but over time that's shifted back. Here's the historic seed vs seed data:

https://mcubed.net/ncaab/seeds.shtml
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MU82

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #142 on: January 20, 2023, 07:17:54 AM »
I want Marquette to be the highest seed possible, with the exception that I'd rather be a 10 than an 8 or 9.

If we keep playing like this, we won't have to worry about 8, 9 or 10.
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noblewarrior

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #143 on: January 20, 2023, 11:40:19 AM »
Some dudes on the youtubes... contenders

https://youtu.be/r78vufA-KWQ

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #144 on: January 22, 2023, 08:28:40 AM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 22, 2023
•   After beating Seton Hall 74-53 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are up to 98%, an increase of 4% since yesterday.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #18 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Sat, Jan 28 at #120 DePaul. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 78% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 98%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 18%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5

Galway Eagle

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #145 on: January 22, 2023, 11:13:06 PM »
Who's still projected as better?
Maigh Eo for Sam

Newsdreams

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #146 on: January 23, 2023, 08:16:55 AM »
Who's still projected as better?
I would imagine Xavier & UConn
Goal is National Championship

MarquetteMike1977

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #147 on: January 29, 2023, 08:46:59 PM »
Marquette Basketball
Predictions Update
Jan 29, 2023
•   After beating DePaul 89-69 yesterday, Marquette is now projected to finish the regular season 23-8 (15-5 Big East).
•   The odds that the Golden Eagles make the NCAA tournament are currently 99%.
•   We currently rank Marquette as the #15 team in the country, and the #3 team in the Big East.
•   Next game: Wed, Feb 1 vs. #61 Villanova. Our power ratings give the Golden Eagles a 80% chance to win.
Bracketology Projections
Make NCAA Tournament 99%
Get Automatic NCAA Bid 19%
Projected Seed (if Selected) 5

pbiflyer

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #148 on: January 29, 2023, 09:07:41 PM »
COLE.

We R Final Four

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Re: Team Rankings
« Reply #149 on: January 29, 2023, 09:09:34 PM »
Slightly convinced Lunardi looks at what could be an intriguing matchup when doing these early brackets. Playing Greg w/ a chance to play Shaka's old team.

That or i'm just looking to hard into this.
Some scoopers do the same.