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* Next up: The long cold summer

Marquette
Marquette

Madness

Date/Time: Oct 1, 2022, 7:00 pm
TV: NA
Schedule for 2021-22
19-13

Author Topic: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn  (Read 3098 times)

LAZER

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #50 on: February 08, 2022, 01:17:46 PM »
Well, not exactly. More often than not vegas plays a side in a game (if you look at money bet %'s, they are very rarely 50-50) So it's very possible that vegas has figured out MU but the betting public has not and they are looking to exploit that.
MU has covered 9 in a row and won outright as a dog in 6 in a row.  It doesn't appear that Vegas has figured out MU.

wadesworld

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #51 on: February 08, 2022, 01:42:12 PM »
MU has covered 9 in a row and won outright as a dog in 6 in a row.  It doesn't appear that Vegas has figured out MU.

We were dogs at Providence and lost there (but did cover).

But if MU covers tonight, Vegas makes money.  More money is going towards UCONN, so if Marquette wins, Vegas wins.  That'd point towards Jae's point.
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BM1090

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #52 on: February 08, 2022, 01:44:39 PM »
We were dogs at Providence and lost there (but did cover).

But if MU covers tonight, Vegas makes money.  More money is going towards UCONN, so if Marquette wins, Vegas wins.  That'd point towards Jae's point.

I'm seeing 92% of money on MU.

mubb3434

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #53 on: February 08, 2022, 01:46:21 PM »
Thanks for sharing that. Those were all reasonable games to pick against Marquette. After the win at Nova, I stopped being surprised by anything this team does. I think we've totally earned our top-20 ranking, and I honestly believe we have a shot at the Final Four.

I'm not betting on tonight's game, but I say we wear 'em down and win. We'd better hit some 3s, though. If we only make 5, like we did last time, it'll making winning a lot more difficult.

Agreed. I absolutely love this team and they are going to drain my bank account my wanting to travel to tournament sites in March. I hope that happens!

PGsHeroes32

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #54 on: February 08, 2022, 02:04:14 PM »
MU has 7 losses this year. 6 of them on weekends.

We have only lost 1 time on a weeknight.

Unfortunately that 1 L was a Tuesday night to Uconn.

If we really want to take a deep dive on potential trends.
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

MU82

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #55 on: February 08, 2022, 02:37:29 PM »
Agreed. I absolutely love this team and they are going to drain my bank account my wanting to travel to tournament sites in March. I hope that happens!

We'll be in Seattle during the first week of the NCAAT, so I've already announced that I'll be going to Portland if that's where Marquette goes. We were supposed to fly home on the Sunday of the second weekend but I changed it to Monday because, "I'm not gonna be stuck on some damn airplane while Marquette's playing for a shot at the Final Four!"
"We understand that for some reason, to people with money, to people who fund political campaigns, guns are more important than children. Today we stand for Lexi, and as her voice, we demand action."

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Smokin' Jae

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #56 on: February 08, 2022, 03:00:13 PM »
MU has covered 9 in a row and won outright as a dog in 6 in a row.  It doesn't appear that Vegas has figured out MU.

Right, but that is not to say that Vegas (oddsmakers) have not figured out MU because it's possible they've been on our side the whole time. The opening lines are determined in attempt not to get equal 50-50 action amongst the betting public but more so equal action amongst betting sharps. When an opening line moves quickly it's in response to the sharps. What Vegas thinks is generally irrelevant to the opening line. But as the bets roll in they may play against the public based on what they think will happen.


Elonsmusk

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #57 on: February 08, 2022, 07:47:31 PM »
Well horsecrap...those damn intentional foul FT's cost me my +7 and +6.5 bets.  Oh well..it was a heckuva a run winning 9 straight games on MU.

Shooter McGavin

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #58 on: February 08, 2022, 08:14:43 PM »
Well horsecrap...those damn intentional foul FT's cost me my +7 and +6.5 bets.  Oh well..it was a heckuva a run winning 9 straight games on MU.

Yep.  I’m still up $400 on them this year.

LAZER

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #59 on: February 08, 2022, 09:04:23 PM »
Right, but that is not to say that Vegas (oddsmakers) have not figured out MU because it's possible they've been on our side the whole time. The opening lines are determined in attempt not to get equal 50-50 action amongst the betting public but more so equal action amongst betting sharps. When an opening line moves quickly it's in response to the sharps. What Vegas thinks is generally irrelevant to the opening line. But as the bets roll in they may play against the public based on what they think will happen.
They want equal action on both sides so they can take the juice. They don’t pick sides.

mubb3434

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #60 on: February 08, 2022, 09:08:12 PM »
We'll be in Seattle during the first week of the NCAAT, so I've already announced that I'll be going to Portland if that's where Marquette goes. We were supposed to fly home on the Sunday of the second weekend but I changed it to Monday because, "I'm not gonna be stuck on some damn airplane while Marquette's playing for a shot at the Final Four!"

That's awesome! I have a 12 hour radius rule...So hoping for Pitt and then I'll make the trip. Anything beyond 1st/2nd round is an automatic plane ticket.

BM1090

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Re: Marquette opens +5.5 vs. Uconn
« Reply #61 on: February 08, 2022, 09:23:40 PM »
They want equal action on both sides so they can take the juice. They don’t pick sides.

They do in some cases.

 

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