The Next Four Games - The Entire Season?

[Heisenberg]

After last night's win, MU has a chance to get a streak going (assuming no COVID postponement)

KenPom (% probability MU wins)

Sat Jan 16         St. John's           58%      Away   
Wed Jan 20       Georgetown     78%   Home
Sat Jan 23         DePaul          75%   Home   
Wed Jan 27       Providence         47%   Away    

Looks like the most critical stretch of the season.

What do you expect for the next four games?  Is 4 - 0 unrealistic?

[BM1090]

Loss @ SJU, followed by a 4 game win streak vs. Georgetown, DePaul, PC and Butler.

[Galway Eagle]

Wades about to come and remind us the only "critical game" is the next game.

[RushmoreAcademy]

3-1. Likely Providence away as the loss.

[wadesworld]

Wades about to come and remind us the only "critical game" is the next game.

They're all critical.  Don't recall ever saying any game wasn't important/critical.

[Galway Eagle]

They're all critical.  Don't recall ever saying any game wasn't important/critical.

Say what? That's been your thing here for so many years. Whenever someone tried to say "this game is the most important for RPI (later NET)" you'd come running with a "no the most important game is the next one!"

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Wades about to come and remind us the only "critical game" is the next game.

Wades schtick is "the most important game of the season is the next one"

[zcg2013]

Nervous about Saturday. Have not played well at St. John's as of recent and really need to limit TOs.

[Galway Eagle]

Wades schtick is "the most important game of the season is the next one"

Ah my bad.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Loss @ SJU, followed by a 4 game win streak vs. Georgetown, DePaul, PC and Butler.

This is my feeling as well. Providence is better than SJU in my opinion, but they are tailor-made to beat us. Winnable certainly because we are the better team, but their strengths will exploit our weaknesses.

[BM1090]

Nervous about Saturday. Have not played well at St. John's as of recent and really need to limit TOs.

Haven't won @ SJU since the 15-16 season.

But we did beat them in the BET in 18-19 at MSG.

[MU24]

Win as many games as possible. I always found the "must-win" "dont need to win" talk kinda pointless.
Sure its "fun" to talk about it, but its not worth getting too invested.

[WI inferiority Complexes]

I think I saw at the end of last night's SJU game that they are 6-1 at Carnaseca. I hope we win by a million, but my gut says we lose.

[BM1090]

I think I saw at the end of last night's SJU game that they are 6-1 at Carnaseca. I hope we win by a million, but my gut says we lose.

This is accurate, but the best team they have beaten is Kenpom #96 Butler. They beat Georgetown at home as well. The other wins are against Rider, Stony Brook, La Salle, and St. Peter's.

[franklinjerry]

Not sure how we are +70% favorites against anyone on the schedule. Each game will be a dogfight. We are running out a 6 man roster and Theo may be more than just nicked-up.

Hoping for greatness but assuming walkover wins against DePaul, Georgetown or Butler is not rational.

[brewcity77]

I'd extend it to the next 5 as we should really beat Butler at home.

Then have a COVID "positive test" after that game, play the next two, have another "positive test" February 26 and suddenly we finish by playing 7 more games, favored in 6.

[Galway Eagle]

I'd extend it to the next 5 as we should really beat Butler at home.

Then have a COVID "positive test" after that game, play the next two, have another "positive test" February 26 and suddenly we finish by playing 7 more games, favored in 6.

That'd be a ridiculous amount of luck. But if wojos up for some biological warfare with other big East programs I say do it

[brewcity77]

That'd be a ridiculous amount of luck. But if wojos up for some biological warfare with other big East programs I say do it

Luck, or just finding a positive student and deputizing them as a team manager at the right time...

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Not sure how we are +70% favorites against anyone on the schedule. Each game will be a dogfight. We are running out a 6 man roster and Theo may be more than just nicked-up.

Hoping for greatness but assuming walkover wins against DePaul, Georgetown or Butler is not rational.

This is the second time that you have said "6-man roster." We have 7 players who have appeared in literally every one of our games and all all 7 are averaging above 15 minutes a game. In addition, we have an 8th player who has played in every game that he wasn't injured for who is averaging 14.5 minutes a game. In every single game this season, we have had at least 7 players play double digit minutes. We don't have a 6-man roster

[MUBBau]

5-0 in the next four games

[SaveOD238]

This is the second time that you have said "6-man roster." We have 7 players who have appeared in literally every one of our games and all all 7 are averaging above 15 minutes a game. In addition, we have an 8th player who has played in every game that he wasn't injured for who is averaging 14.5 minutes a game. In every single game this season, we have had at least 7 players play double digit minutes. We don't have a 6-man roster

I don't think saying we have a 6-man roster is really that outrageous.

DJ, Garcia, Koby, Theo, Jamal, and Justin are really the team at this point.  Greg, Dexter, and Symir get some spot minutes.  Maybe one of those guys get extended run or has a hot game (Greg vs Creighton, Symir vs Georgetown).  But it's really just those top 6 that matter.

[franklinjerry]

Yes I realize we have more than 6 on the roster. How good do you feel when Greg, Sy or Dex makes an appearance? Dexter has played 30 minutes this year.

[The Sultan]

I don't think saying we have a 6-man roster is really that outrageous.

DJ, Garcia, Koby, Theo, Jamal, and Justin are really the team at this point.  Greg, Dexter, and Symir get some spot minutes.  Maybe one of those guys get extended run or has a hot game (Greg vs Creighton, Symir vs Georgetown).  But it's really just those top 6 that matter.

Greg is at 15 mpg.  Symir is just under that.  Those aren't "spot minutes."  They are rotational players who have played every game in which they are healthy. 

[The Sultan]

Yes I realize we have more than 6 on the roster. How good do you feel when Greg, Sy or Dex makes an appearance? Dexter has played 30 minutes this year.

Greg and Sy are basically giving MU the same minutes and production that most 7th and 8th guys have been giving the last few years.

[brewcity77]

Yes I realize we have more than 6 on the roster. How good do you feel when Greg, Sy or Dex makes an appearance? Dexter has played 30 minutes this year.

Dex isn't part of the 8-man rotation. Greg and Sy are. I feel great when Greg makes an appearance. I'm lukewarm when Sy does. I'm baffled when Dex plays anything other than garbage time minutes. He's basically a walk-on at this point.