Wisconsin

[MUfan12]

I've heard that from liberals and conservatives. I don't think this is a particularly partisan concern.

[Hards Alumni]

I've heard that from liberals and conservatives. I don't think this is a particularly partisan concern.

Same

[lostpassword]

Not an encouraging trend on the doses-by-week here: https://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/covid-19/vaccine-data.htm.

Mar 7:  307k
Mar 14: 312k
Mar 21: 364k
Mar 28: 373k
Apr 4:  419k
Apr 11: 326k

I'm hoping (but not confident) that this is simply delayed reporting and we'll see a bump in the next 24 hours.  Any other explanations beyond (1) delay or (2) hesitancy?  J&J probably a contributor, but can't imagine that's the main contributor to the drop last week.

On a more positive note, WI had "-2" deaths today.

EDIT: Looks like a total-to-date of 165k J&J does until the pause.  Those started up much later than the others so I think I'm probably wrong with my original suspicion that it wasn't a meaningful contributor.  Certinainly not all, but probably multiple 10s of K of the drop off.  Really hoping total hold or increase this week.

[rocky_warrior]

Regardless of "pause", big drop off in JNJ shipment numbers expected the past couple weeks.  I think that's what the data is showing.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2021/04/09/johnson-johnson-vaccine-delays/

[The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole]

I am pretty sure that drop is almost entirely due to J&J.

BTW, still haven't seen a big bump in total cases, and in fact it looks like it is leveling off.

[pbiflyer]

Not an encouraging trend on the doses-by-week here: https://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/covid-19/vaccine-data.htm.

Mar 7:  307k
Mar 14: 312k
Mar 21: 364k
Mar 28: 373k
Apr 4:  419k
Apr 11: 326k

I'm hoping (but not confident) that this is simply delayed reporting and we'll see a bump in the next 24 hours.  Any other explanations beyond (1) delay or (2) hesitancy?  J&J probably a contributor, but can't imagine that's the main contributor to the drop last week.

On a more positive note, WI had "-2" deaths today.

EDIT: Looks like a total-to-date of 165k J&J does until the pause.  Those started up much later than the others so I think I'm probably wrong with my original suspicion that it wasn't a meaningful contributor.  Certinainly not all, but probably multiple 10s of K of the drop off.  Really hoping total hold or increase this week.

Start of the zombie apocalypse?

[MUfan12]

Wisconsin shows only a 37K gap between doses allocated and doses administered. Am I correct in thinking this is why it has slowed down over the last 1.5 weeks?

[lostpassword]

Not an encouraging trend on the doses-by-week here: https://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/covid-19/vaccine-data.htm.

Mar 7:  307k
Mar 14: 312k
Mar 21: 364k
Mar 28: 373k
Apr 4:  419k
Apr 11: 326k

Checked these numbers again.  Some historical adjustments, but the dropoff continued last week.

Week: Was 4/19  --> Is today (4/26)
Mar 7:  307k --> 300k (changed)
Mar 14: 312k --> 312k
Mar 21: 364k --> 364k
Mar 28: 373k --> 382k (changed)
Apr 4:  419k --> 419k
Apr 11: 326k --> 349k (changed)
Apr 18: NA --> 290k

Only about 35-40% of the 290k were doses going to the "first shot".  Last Monday the total with at least one shot was 2.341m and it's 2.452m or about 110k of that 290k administered by my math. 

Wisconsin shows only a 37K gap between doses allocated and doses administered. Am I correct in thinking this is why it has slowed down over the last 1.5 weeks?

This gap is now over 270k.

Slowing down earlier than I'd hoped.  That said, the rolling 7-day average is the lowest it's been in over 3 weeks so some things to be encouraged about.

[Hards Alumni]

https://www.channel3000.com/public-health-officials-increase-capacity-limits-for-all-dane-county-madison-businesses/?alert=2198376&alert_type=banner

Dane Co back at 75% starting Wednesday.

This falls in line with my "Everything will be back open by Memorial Day" line of thinking from earlier this year.

In Madison, you can get vaccines with no appointment at the Alliant Energy Center and Hy-vees. 

No excuse for people to not be fully vaccinated by the end of May if they want it.  And since we aren't forcing people... I'm sticking with my prediction.

[MUfan12]

Checked these numbers again.  Some historical adjustments, but the dropoff continued last week.

Total shots down 47% from the peak on 4/4.

Currently at 54% of the eligible population, 43% of total population with one shot. Not an encouraging trend here.

[Jockey]

Only 308 new cases. No deaths.

Vaccinations starting to show effect.

[pacearrow02]

Only 308 new cases. No deaths.

Vaccinations starting to show effect.

I hope you’re right it out 7 day avg for deaths is the highest it’s been in a month.  I believe yesterday we reported 20.

[Jockey]

I hope you’re right it out 7 day avg for deaths is the highest it’s been in a month.  I believe yesterday we reported 20.

I hope so, too. Weekend numbers can tend to be a bit off.

[mu_hilltopper]

My town is 89% vaccinated, age 16 and up.    Solid.

[Jockey]

Brewers back to 100% capacity on June 25. I expect to see Packers follow suit soon.

Wondering if Bucks will hold off or only increase to 50% for Playoffs since it is tightly packed indoors.

[pacearrow02]

Brewers back to 100% capacity on June 25. I expect to see Packers follow suit soon.

Wondering if Bucks will hold off or only increase to 50% for Playoffs since it is tightly packed indoors.

CDC just gave the green light to pack the place.  No masks, no social distancing, no more excuses to stay buttoned up. 

Here.We.Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!       

[Jockey]

CDC just gave the green light to pack the place.  No masks, no social distancing, no more excuses to stay buttoned up. 

Here.We.Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!     

Not exactly what they said. But, yes, I think a lot of teams will interpret it that way.

[Galway Eagle]

CDC just gave the green light to pack the place.  No masks, no social distancing, no more excuses to stay buttoned up. 

Here.We.Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!     

What I read is they green lit any place that wants to enforce proof of vaccine.

[The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole]

That may be what you read, but that's not how its going to be in real life. 

[cheebs09]

I would guess the “most cases” means large indoor events, it is still recommended to wear masks. Hopefully we get to a point that on November 9th it’s not even a question.

I’m guessing we see at least a little bump up soon as things open up. Although, I’m guessing those that haven’t been vaccinated haven’t really been following guidelines as it is. Unless there’s a medical reason to not be vaccinated.

[The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole]

Actually it sounds like the "most circumstances" are everything but long-term care facilities, health care facilities, prisons, etc.  IOW, places where people are sick and vulnerable, or have some sort of communal living arrangement.

[cheebs09]

Actually it sounds like the "most circumstances" are everything but long-term care facilities, health care facilities, prisons, etc.  IOW, places where people are sick and vulnerable, or have some sort of communal living arrangement.

Interesting. That certainly makes sense. Thanks for the correction.

In a way it feels surreal to be at this point. Despite being vaccinated, I still feel a bit weird being out and about without a mask.

[pacearrow02]

That may be what you read, but that's not how its going to be in real life.

Interested to hear why you think it wouldn’t be how it’s going to go in real life.  The science backs it up and the CDC now recommends it, what else do we need to see?

[The Hippie Satan of Hyperbole]

I mean, no place is going to ask for proof of vaccine.  My guess is that you are going to see people largely maskless regardless of their vaccination status by July 4.

[Skatastrophy]

Actually it sounds like the "most circumstances" are everything but long-term care facilities, health care facilities, prisons, etc.  IOW, places where people are sick and vulnerable, or have some sort of communal living arrangement.

Masks need to be worn in busses, planes, trains, airports, bus stations. Anywhere that federal, state, local rules and regulations require a mask, including local businesses and workplaces.

But people don't actually read, they just hear what they want to hear.