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Marquette
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Author Topic: Villanova 2018 and Syracuse 2003 both 2-0 in simulation with Wade 2nd in steals  (Read 1311 times)

Marquetteauburn

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http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2019/06/villanova-2018-nudges-louisville-2013.html

Wade's 7 steals in 2 games ties him for 2nd in the All-Time Big East simulation behind only Peyton Siva. Villanova is the only Big East to start 2-0 while Butler 2010 is the only 0-2, so MU is in a 5-team tie for second which includes MU beating Cincy, Cincy nudging Georgetown on a buzzer beater, and Georgetown beating MU.

Here is is pasted, but due to tables, easier to reach on Cracked Sidewalks.

Villanova 2018 Nudges Louisville 2013 to Start 2-0 in Simulation; Syracuse 2003 Leads ACC
Carmelo Anthony (22 ppg) led Syracuse 2003 to a buzzer beater win over Duke and 1st place in my simulated "ACC" replay but Villanova's 2018 Mikal Bridges (28.5, 8.0 rebound) has been even better as Nova nudged Louisville 2013 to take first in the Big East.

Obviously it is only a 2-game sample and while I believe the player cards in the free game are now very accurate, dice lead to the same variations as you see in real games. In fact, in the first two games of my SEC play, Kentucky 2012, Florida 2006 and Auburn 2019 are all 2-0, but using the same player card for Sidarius Thornwell (who we still have nightmares about from the South Carolina tournament game a few years ago) scored 33 points against VCU after being held to 7 by Florida. Partly that is the result of tougher defensive match-ups, but part is just the dice from game to game - and likewise as awesome as Marquette fans saw both Bridges and 2002 Cincinnati great Steve Logan are, they will not keep their current 28.5 and 26.0 points per game over the course of several games.

With the disclaimer that it is only two games, here are Big East leaders in four categories followed by the stats for all Marquette players who played enough to have a card, followed by the standings and box scores from the seven games played so far.


Big East Scoring leaders (2 games)   Pts   Reb   Stl   Block
Bridges, Villanova 2018   28.5   8.0   0.0   2.0
Logan, Cincinnati 2002   26.0   2.5   1.5   0.0
Gordon, Connecticut 2004   23.5   2.0   1.0   0.5
Green, Georgetown 2007   21.5   5.0   1.5   2.0
Smith, Louisville 2013   19.5   5.0   2.5   1.0
Big East Rebound leaders (2 games)   Pts   Reb   Stl   Block
Okafor, Connecticut 2004   17.5   16.5   1.5   0.5
Dieng, Louisville 2013   7.0   10.0   0.0   0.5
Hibbert, Georgetown 2007   11.0   9.5   0.0   5.0
Bridges, Villanova 2018   28.5   8.0   0.0   2.0
Spellman, Villanova 2018   10.0   7.5   2.0   0.0
Davis, Cincinnati 2002   4.5   7.5   1.5   0.0
Big East Steals leaders (2 games)   Pts   Reb   Stl   Block
Siva, Louisville 2013   19.0   1.5   4.5   0.0
Wade, Marquette 2003   14.5   6.0   3.5   0.5
McElroy, Cincinnati 2002   10.5   3.0   3.5   0.5
Brown T, Connecticut 2004   2.5   1.5   3.5   0.5
Brunson, Villanova 2018   15.5   0.0   3.5   0.5
Big East Blocks leaders (2 games)   Pts   Reb   Stl   Block
Hibbert, Georgetown 2007   11.0   9.5   0.0   5.0
Williams, Connecticut 2004   1.5   0.0   1.0   2.5

Bridges, Villanova 2018   28.5   8.0   0.0   2.0
Green, Georgetown 2007   21.5   5.0   1.5   2.0
Boone, Connecticut 2004   5.5   5.0   0.0   2.0
Other Marquette 2003    Pts   Reb   Stl   Block
Jackson, Marquette 2003   15.5   6.0   0.0   0.0
Diener, Marquette 2003   14.5   2.5   1.0   0.0
Novak, Marquette 2003   5.5   4.0   0.0   0.0
Townsend, Marquette 2003   4.0   1.0   1.5   1.0
Merritt, Marquette 2003   3.8   4.0   0.0   0.0
Chapman, Marquette 2003   3.5   0.0   0.0   0.0
Grimm, Marquette 2003   2.5   1.5   0.0   0.0
Bradley, Marquette 2003   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0

Here are the standings. After the 6-game round robin the tie breaker will be point differential and teh top two make my tournament, but 2nd place team must win two play-in games (like being in the round of 32 to start) while the champ goes right to the Elite 8. I would say Marquette's road is a little uphill due to a very weak defense and the fact that they have not played and of the three defending national champs, but as we all know from 2003 MU's fire power gives them a shot even against a No. 1. This is the same setup for my Big Ten, Big 12, Pac 12 and SEC, but because the addition of Syracuse 2003 gives the ACC five national champs, I am giving them the two extra spots for their 3rd and 4th place team in the preliminary round of my tournament.


Big East (past & present)   W   L   Pts   PtsAll
Villanova 2018   2   0   83   67
Louisville 2013   1   1   74   69
Georgetown 2007   1   1   76   71
Connecticut 2004   1   1   66   61
Marquette 2003   1   1   68   68
Cincinnati 2002   1   1   71   75
Butler 2010   0   2   54   80

Finally these box scores would be a little more neat of I did not include the info to the left, but it is helpful when others play the game. It shows the position at which I play each player and which of the last 44 possessions I have them on the court when playing the game. For example, Steve Novak has the best three-point card and the best free throw card of all players on all 42 teams, but the card shows he can play 14 of the last 44 possessions, so I play him at the end in possessions 14-1 (1 is the final). Todd Townsend is actually the workhorse, so he plays from the 1st possession (44) down to when Novak enters (so "44-15"). Here are the instructions of you want to try any matchups yourself, and it links to cards for all 353 teams from 2019 if anyone is curious about current.


Villanova 2018         77   
Louisville 2013         73   
G-F   Poss   Villanova 2018   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   41-1   Brunson   13   0   4   1
2   37-1   DiVincenzo   18   1   4   1
3   35-1   Paschall   3   1   3   0
4   42-1   Bridges   31   5   0   1
5   35-1   Spellman   6   5   0   0
Bench            
0   0   0   0
0   0   0   0
1   44-42   Gillespie   3   0   0   0
2,3,4   44-38,37-28,27-25   Booth   3   2   0   0
5   44-36   Cosby-Roundtree   0   2   0   0
Total   77   16   11   3
G-F   Poss   Louisville 2013   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   40-1   Siva   25   2   6   0
2   44-41,34-1   Smith   15   7   3   1
3   38-35,31-1   Hancock   17   4   1   0
4   31-1   Dieng   3   9   0   1
5   30-1   Behanan   4   5   0   0
Bench            
0   0   0   0
1,2,3   44-41, 40,35, 34-32   Ware   0   2   0   2
3   44-39   Van Treese   3   0   0   0
4.3   44-32,31-24   Blackshear   0   4   0   0
5   44-31   Harrell   6   2   0   0
Total   73   35   10   4
Connecticut 2004         71   
Butler 2010         47   
G-F   Poss   Connecticut 2004   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   39-1   Brown T   5   2   6   1
2   all   Gordon   23   2   0   1
3   30-1   Brown D   0   4   0   0
4   24-1   Boone   5   5   0   4
5   38-1   Okafor   19   12   3   1
Bench            
1   44-40   Williams   3   0   0   5
3   44-31   Villanueva   5   2   0   2
4   44-25   Anderson   8   4   0   0
5   44-40   Armstrong   3   7   0   0
5   39 - s   Tooles   0   1   0   0
Total   71   39   9   14
G-F   Poss   Butler 2010   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   44-39,34-1   Mack   7   0   0   1
2   38-1   Nored   7   4   4   0
3   39-1   Veasley   14   3   1   0
4   31-1   Howard   12   2   0   0
5   43-1   Hayward   7   5   1   0
Bench            
2,1         0   0   0   0
3   44-39,38-35   Vanzant   0   0   2   0
4   44-40   Butcher   0   0   0   0
4   44-32   Hahn   0   1   0   0
5   44   Jukes   0   1   0   0
Total   47   16   8   1
Cincinnati 2002         79   
Georgetown 2007         77   
G-F   Poss   Cincinnati 2002   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   all   Logan   27   1   3   0
2   39-1   McElroy   18   3   0   1
3   44-30,20-1   Davis   6   4   3   0
4   35-1   Stokes   6   7   0   0
5   29-1   Little   10   6   0   0
Bench            
0   0   0   0
0   0   0   0
2   44-40   Barker   0   1   0   0
4   44-36   Williams   7   2   0   0
5,3   44-30, 29-1   Maxiell   5   6   2   2
Total   79   30   8   3
G-F   Poss   Georgetown 2007   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   42-1   Wallace   12   4   0   0
2   44-43, 41-1   Sapp   13   1   1   0
3   all   Green   13   5   0   0
4   32-1   Summers   23   2   1   0
5   32-1   Hibbert   12   8   0   4
Bench            
0   0   0   0
1,2   44-43, 42   Macklin   0   0   0   0
4   44-33   Ewing   0   2   0   2
4   44-38   Rivers   0   1   0   0
5   37-33   Egerson   4   1   0   0
Total   77   24   2   6
Marquette 2003         73   
Cincinnati 2002         62   
G-F   Poss   Marquette 2003   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   all   Diener   22   4   1   0
2   42-1   Wade   11   6   6   1
3   14-1   Novak   8   5   0   0
4   37-1   Merritt   12   11   0   0
5   36-1   Jackson   7   9   0   0
Bench            
1         0   0   0   0
4,5   44-43   Chapman   0   0   0   0
4   44-15   Townsend   8   1   3   2
5   44-38,37   Merritt   0   2   0   0
5   44-38   Grimm   5   2   0   0
Total   73   40   10   3
G-F   Poss   Cincinnati 2002   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   all   Logan   25   4   0   0
2   39-1   McElroy   3   3   7   0
3   44-30,20-1   Davis   3   11   0   0
4   35-1   Stokes   11   4   1   0
5   29-1   Little   3   8   1   3
Bench            
0   0   0   0
0   0   0   0
2   44-40   Barker   0   1   0   0
4   44-36   Williams   4   1   0   0
5,3   44-30, 29-1   Maxiell   13   4   0   0
Total   62   36   9   3
Marquette 2003         62   
Georgetown 2007         74   
G-F   Poss   Marquette 2003   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   all   Diener   7   1   1   0
2   42-1   Wade   18   6   1   0
3   14-1   Novak   3   3   0   0
4   37-1   Merritt   3   2   0   0
5   36-1   Jackson   24   3   0   0
Bench            
1         0   0   0   0
4,5   44-43   Chapman   7   0   0   0
4   44-15   Townsend   0   1   0   0
5   44-38,37   Merritt   0   1   0   0
5   44-38   Grimm   0   1   0   0
Total   62   18   2   0
G-F   Poss   Georgetown 2007   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   42-1   Wallace   16   5   0   0
2   44-43, 41-1   Sapp   7   1   3   0
3   all   Green   30   5   3   4
4   32-1   Summers   3   4   0   0
5   32-1   Hibbert   10   11   0   6
Bench            
0   3   0   0
1,2   44-43, 42   Macklin   3   6   0   2
4   44-33   Ewing   0   1   0   0
4   44-38   Rivers   3   1   0   0
5   37-33   Egerson   3   1   0   0
Total   75   38   6   12
Villanova 2018         89   
Butler 2010         60   
G-F   Poss   Villanova 2018   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   41-1   Brunson   18   0   3   0
2   37-1   DiVincenzo   13   4   0   0
3   35-1   Paschall   14   3   0   0
4   42-1   Bridges   26   11   0   3
5   35-1   Spellman   14   10   4   0
Bench            
0   0   0   0
0   0   0   0
1   44-42   Gillespie   0   0   0   0
2,3,4   44-38,37-28,27-25   Booth   0   1   3   0
5   44-36   Cosby-Roundtree   4   1   0   0
Total   89   30   10   3
G-F   Poss   Butler 2010   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   44-39,34-1   Mack   8   5   0   0
2   38-1   Nored   17   1   1   1
3   39-1   Veasley   3   3   0   0
4   31-1   Howard   20   8   0   0
5   43-1   Hayward   12   5   0   1
Bench            
2,1         0   0   0   0
3   44-39,38-35   Vanzant   0   2   2   0
4   44-40   Butcher   0   0   0   0
4   44-32   Hahn   0   1   0   0
5   44   Jukes   0   1   0   0
Total   60   26   3   2
Connecticut 2004         61   
Louisville 2013         74   
G-F   Poss   Connecticut 2004   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   39-1   Brown T   0   1   1   0
2   all   Gordon   24   2   2   0
3   30-1   Brown D   3   4   1   0
4   24-1   Boone   6   5   0   0
5   38-1   Okafor   16   21   0   0
Bench            
1   44-40   Williams   0   0   2   0
3   44-31   Villanueva   0   0   0   0
4   44-25   Anderson   12   1   3   0
5   44-40   Armstrong   0   1   2   0
5   39 - s   Tooles   0   1   0   0
Total   61   36   11   0
G-F   Poss   Louisville 2013   Pts   Reb   Stls   Blks
1   40-1   Siva   13   1   3   0
2   44-41,34-1   Smith   24   3   2   1
3   38-35,31-1   Hancock   17   6   3   0
4   31-1   Dieng   11   11   0   0
5   30-1   Behanan   4   3   1   1
Bench            
0   0   0   0
1,2,3   44-41, 40,35, 34-32   Ware   0   0   2   0
3   44-39   Van Treese   0   1   2   0
4.3   44-32,31-24   Blackshear   4   1   2   0
5   44-31   Harrell   1   3   2   0
Total   74   29   17   2

 

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