Bet of the Day

[skianth16]

Trying to get this thread back up and running.

Tonight I like Iowa State -2 at Baylor, and parlaying the over there at 137.5 doesn't seem like a bad idea either.

I'm a little late posting this, but I also like the Tennessee vs. Mizzou over at 137.5

[Bad_Reporter]

NC State is the play for me

[BM1090]

Baylor +3 SJU + 6 MSU -7, NCST, -1

Baylor moneyline too

[spartan3186]

UNLV +3.5 (+4.0 in some places)

New Mexico in a major let down spot off the huge Nevada win.

[skianth16]

I needed the Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech over to close out a 4 game parlay tonight. I felt good with a 35-31 halftime score. Then Oklahoma just fell apart and went ice cold in the second half. What a terrible game to watch, both from a gambling perspective and just as a fan of college basketball.

[MU82]

Just heard that Nick Foles has won 6 straight games as the betting underdog, including 4 straight playoff games as the 'dog.

[Silkk the Shaka]

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

[burger]

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

Road favorites are a no-no.....

But Wisconsin is in disarray and ready to implode......

Michigan should push them over the edge.....

By the way the line has moved to 3.5.....

[VegasWarrior77]

A very big MGM Grand house player put $500K on the Patriots moneyline at +150 which would win him $750K. The bettor also put $500K on the Rams-Saints over 57.  That's the largest total bet the MGM Grand has ever taken.

[Cheeks]

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

Looks like you are missing a lot.....a lot

[wadesworld]

Looks like you are missing a lot.....a lot

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

[Cheeks]

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan.  Can't win here.  But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile.  Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly.  Wonder how come?  LOL   That's why the games are played.

[wadesworld]

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan.  Can't win here.  But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile.  Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly.  Wonder how come?  LOL   That's why the games are played.

K.

[Silkk the Shaka]

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan.  Can't win here.  But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile.  Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly.  Wonder how come?  LOL   That's why the games are played.

Good lord you're a loser, it's painful to watch it manifest itself so publicly

[Cheeks]

Good lord you're a loser, it's painful to watch it manifest itself so publicly

What are you missing?

[BM1090]

NM, not worth it.

[Lennys Tap]

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

It's his way.

[Lennys Tap]

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

I'm sure you weren't alone - this is a perfect example of Vegas believing their data even when they know the public won't. I guarantee you there was MUCH more $ wagered on Michigan -3 today than there was on UW +3. Vegas knew that when they put out the line. But in their judgement it was a fair line so they went with it anyway.

[MuMark]

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

[BM1090]

I'm sure you weren't alone - this is a perfect example of Vegas believing their data even when they know the public won't. I guarantee you there was MUCH more $ wagered on Michigan -3 today than there was on UW +3. Vegas knew that when they put out the line. But in their judgement it was a fair line so they went with it anyway.

Yep. 80% of public money was on Michigsn according to action network

[BM1090]

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

In most cases, yes.

In some cases, no.

[Lennys Tap]

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

Vegas had a pretty good idea bettors would pound Michigan when they put out the line. Once their suspicions were confirmed they bumped the line a point almost immediately, then added a half. But if the public LOVED Michigan at -2 and -3, do you really think they'll LOVED Wisconsin +3.5? No freakin' way. They'll still bet Michigan (80% of the handle ended up on the Wolverines) but Vegas will just get a little more edge from fair value. IOW, if the game fall right on what they determine to be "fair value" (Michigan wins by 2) instead of everybody "pushing", they'll collect from those who bet Michigan at -3 and -3.5. Vegas LOVES these "unbalanced" situation where the scales are tipped even more in their favor.

[Silkk the Shaka]

Liking a Tennessee/LSU/MU money line parlay tonight

[skianth16]

Liking a Tennessee/LSU/MU money line parlay tonight

Seems pretty safe. Are you getting a decent payout there?

[Bad_Reporter]

I took providence +3.5 vs Xavier