Author Topic: Bet of the Day (Read 41170 times)

skianth16 · « **Reply #150 on:** January 08, 2019, 06:01:52 PM »

Trying to get this thread back up and running.

Tonight I like Iowa State -2 at Baylor, and parlaying the over there at 137.5 doesn't seem like a bad idea either.

I'm a little late posting this, but I also like the Tennessee vs. Mizzou over at 137.5

Bad_Reporter · « **Reply #151 on:** January 08, 2019, 06:04:47 PM »

NC State is the play for me

BM1090 · « **Reply #152 on:** January 08, 2019, 07:00:43 PM »

Baylor +3 SJU + 6 MSU -7, NCST, -1

Baylor moneyline too

spartan3186 · « **Reply #153 on:** January 08, 2019, 07:31:55 PM »

UNLV +3.5 (+4.0 in some places)

New Mexico in a major let down spot off the huge Nevada win.

skianth16 · « **Reply #154 on:** January 08, 2019, 10:02:26 PM »

I needed the Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech over to close out a 4 game parlay tonight. I felt good with a 35-31 halftime score. Then Oklahoma just fell apart and went ice cold in the second half. What a terrible game to watch, both from a gambling perspective and just as a fan of college basketball.

MU82 · « **Reply #155 on:** January 09, 2019, 11:24:48 PM »

Just heard that Nick Foles has won 6 straight games as the betting underdog, including 4 straight playoff games as the 'dog.

Silkk the Shaka · « **Reply #156 on:** January 18, 2019, 10:24:21 PM »

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

burger · « **Reply #157 on:** January 19, 2019, 07:47:50 AM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on January 18, 2019, 10:24:21 PM

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

Road favorites are a no-no.....

But Wisconsin is in disarray and ready to implode......

Michigan should push them over the edge.....

By the way the line has moved to 3.5.....

VegasWarrior77 · « **Reply #158 on:** January 19, 2019, 11:34:56 AM »

A very big MGM Grand house player put $500K on the Patriots moneyline at +150 which would win him $750K. The bettor also put $500K on the Rams-Saints over 57. That's the largest total bet the MGM Grand has ever taken.

Cheeks · « **Reply #159 on:** January 19, 2019, 12:54:43 PM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on January 18, 2019, 10:24:21 PM

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

Looks like you are missing a lot.....a lot

wadesworld · « **Reply #160 on:** January 19, 2019, 01:03:41 PM »

Quote from: Cheeks on January 19, 2019, 12:54:43 PM

Looks like you are missing a lot.....a lot

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

Cheeks · « **Reply #161 on:** January 19, 2019, 01:06:51 PM »

Quote from: wadesworld on January 19, 2019, 01:03:41 PM

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan. Can't win here. But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile. Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly. Wonder how come? LOL That's why the games are played.

wadesworld · « **Reply #162 on:** January 19, 2019, 01:59:50 PM »

Quote from: Cheeks on January 19, 2019, 01:06:51 PM

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan. Can't win here. But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile. Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly. Wonder how come? LOL That's why the games are played.

K.

Silkk the Shaka · « **Reply #163 on:** January 19, 2019, 02:10:38 PM »

Quote from: Cheeks on January 19, 2019, 01:06:51 PM

If I had said before the game UW was going to win, which I did think that was the case, I'd be accused of being a Wisconsin fan. Can't win here. But more importantly, he loves to take pot shots whenever he can, so he deserves one back every once in awhile. Courage or not.

What's funnier is that the betting books and all their analytics missed the line so badly. Wonder how come? LOL That's why the games are played.

Good lord you're a loser, it's painful to watch it manifest itself so publicly

Cheeks · « **Reply #164 on:** January 19, 2019, 02:19:42 PM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on January 19, 2019, 02:10:38 PM

Good lord you're a loser, it's painful to watch it manifest itself so publicly

What are you missing?

BM1090 · « **Reply #165 on:** January 19, 2019, 02:45:22 PM »

NM, not worth it.

Lennys Tap · « **Reply #166 on:** January 19, 2019, 03:05:27 PM »

Quote from: wadesworld on January 19, 2019, 01:03:41 PM

Very courageous to speak up after you know the result of the game.

It's his way.

Lennys Tap · « **Reply #167 on:** January 19, 2019, 03:12:09 PM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on January 18, 2019, 10:24:21 PM

Michigan only -3 at UW? What am I missing here? Seems like free money, what am I missing here?

I'm sure you weren't alone - this is a perfect example of Vegas believing their data even when they know the public won't. I guarantee you there was MUCH more $ wagered on Michigan -3 today than there was on UW +3. Vegas knew that when they put out the line. But in their judgement it was a fair line so they went with it anyway.

MuMark · « **Reply #168 on:** January 19, 2019, 04:03:09 PM »

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

BM1090 · « **Reply #169 on:** January 20, 2019, 12:34:39 AM »

Quote from: Lennys Tap on January 19, 2019, 03:12:09 PM

I'm sure you weren't alone - this is a perfect example of Vegas believing their data even when they know the public won't. I guarantee you there was MUCH more $ wagered on Michigan -3 today than there was on UW +3. Vegas knew that when they put out the line. But in their judgement it was a fair line so they went with it anyway.

Yep. 80% of public money was on Michigsn according to action network

BM1090 · « **Reply #170 on:** January 20, 2019, 12:35:12 AM »

Quote from: MuMark on January 19, 2019, 04:03:09 PM

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

In most cases, yes.

In some cases, no.

Lennys Tap · « **Reply #171 on:** January 20, 2019, 06:53:55 AM »

Quote from: MuMark on January 19, 2019, 04:03:09 PM

Line opened at 2 and moved to 3 and 3 1/2.......http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-basketball/odds/las-vegas/

https://www.gamblingsites.org/sports-betting/essentials/why-odds-lines-change/

They try to get equal money on both sides.....that is why they move the lines.....sometimes they end up needing one side or the other.....it's not what they prefer.

Vegas had a pretty good idea bettors would pound Michigan when they put out the line. Once their suspicions were confirmed they bumped the line a point almost immediately, then added a half. But if the public LOVED Michigan at -2 and -3, do you really think they'll LOVED Wisconsin +3.5? No freakin' way. They'll still bet Michigan (80% of the handle ended up on the Wolverines) but Vegas will just get a little more edge from fair value. IOW, if the game fall right on what they determine to be "fair value" (Michigan wins by 2) instead of everybody "pushing", they'll collect from those who bet Michigan at -3 and -3.5. Vegas LOVES these "unbalanced" situation where the scales are tipped even more in their favor.

Silkk the Shaka · « **Reply #172 on:** January 23, 2019, 01:18:36 PM »

Liking a Tennessee/LSU/MU money line parlay tonight

skianth16 · « **Reply #173 on:** January 23, 2019, 04:21:40 PM »

Quote from: Ellenson Family Reunion on January 23, 2019, 01:18:36 PM

Liking a Tennessee/LSU/MU money line parlay tonight

Seems pretty safe. Are you getting a decent payout there?

Bad_Reporter · « **Reply #174 on:** January 23, 2019, 04:51:20 PM »

I took providence +3.5 vs Xavier

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Author Topic: Bet of the Day (Read 41170 times)