Early Line MU +8

[BM1090]

I've bordered on cautiously optimistic/pessimistic the last two years. I know this is a game we could lose, but I'm all in with this team. F it. We're winning tomorrow.

[tower912]

80-68 IU.     First road game for MU.   Assembly Hall is notoriously difficult to play in.    I thought IU looked quicker against their cupcakes than MU did.   

[Mutaman]

It hit 8.5 for awhile.

In life follow these two rules although sometimes as here, they conflict:

1. Your bookmaker knows more than you do.

2. Always bet the underlay and you will come out ahead.

Warriors at +8.5 is a pretty big underlay I think.

[Herman Cain]

My approach for college basketball is to take the differential in true plus factor players times 4. So add up the plus factor pogo sticks , quality necks and skills guys for each team .

Right now spread is telling us Indiana has between 1-2 more plus factor players.

[BM1090]

My approach for college basketball is to take the differential in true plus factor players times 4. So add up the plus factor pogo sticks , quality necks and skills guys for each team .

Right now spread is telling us Indiana has between 1-2 more plus factor players.

Crazy that's the same formula that Vegas uses.

[Herman Cain]

Crazy that's the same formula that Vegas uses.

Funny how that works out.

[Benny B]

Agreed.

But gun at my head -- and given the environment in the U.S. that could happen any time -- I'd bet on the Warrior Eagles.

[MU82]

Thanks, Benny! (Deep bow, acknowledging the thunderous approval)

[Floorslapper]

Line is at MU +5.5 right now on sportsbook.ag

[Eye]

Opened at 5 1/2 and has stayed at 5 1/2 were I do my shopping.

[WarriorDad]

Indiana by 4 or 5 makes sense to me. 8 seems crazy. Despite thinking Indiana should be favored, I have a good feeling. Head says Indiana at home, heart says MU on the road. Hoping heart wins out.

I wouldn't say crazy.  The difference between 5 and 8 is one shot.   Not that big a stretch.

[Benny B]

Here's a suggestion:

Next time you're in Nevada, go into a Wm. Hill book and register for an online account.  Then you just download their app, and presto, wherever you are in the world, you can get the official Vegas line whether you have $1,000,000.00 or $0.00 in your account.

All this overseas, bovada, dimes, etc. lines are simply garbage.  Sometimes you find a whole pizza that someone threw out, but most of the time its just the crusts.

[Mr. Nielsen]

https://www.docsports.com/college-basketball-lines.html

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Marquette +3 on Bovada this am.  No thanks.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I wouldn't say crazy.  The difference between 5 and 8 is one shot.   Not that big a stretch.

In terms of a betting line? It's a huge stretch

[79Warrior]

I wouldn't say crazy.  The difference between 5 and 8 is one shot.   Not that big a stretch.

If you are a gambler a 3 points difference is a big deal.

[Babybluejeans]

I'm seeing +5.5 at my book.

I assume most of you know this but just to be clear: the lines are NOT designed to be a prediction, but are designed to get the betting dollars 50% on one side and 50% on the other. That means Vegas takes zero risk on the outcome and collects the ~5% juice. That's what Vegas aims to do EVERY SINGLE TIME.

So here, if the line moves to +8, it's not that they're "undervaluing" Marquette, it's simply that dumb IU fans are betting heavy. Meaning Vegas is forced to move the line so the betting evens out. Otherwise they're exposed to IU covering and then they lose lots of money.

[Warrior Code]

In terms of a betting line? It's a huge stretch

If you are a gambler a 3 points difference is a big deal.

This is why I don't gamble.

[Mutaman]

I wouldn't say crazy.  The difference between 5 and 8 is one shot.   Not that big a stretch.

Can I be your bookmaker?

[hdog1017]

I have a feeling that Indiana will get a lot of home cookin'  from the refs. 

[forgetful]

I have a feeling that Indiana will get a lot of home cookin'  from the refs.

I fully expect Howard to have 3 fouls in the first 5-8 minutes.  He will get the Wade in Madison treatment from the refs.

[Newsdreams]

I fully expect Howard to have 3 fouls in the first 5-8 minutes.  He will get the Wade in Madison treatment from the refs.

Wojo will get tossed, hey?

[PGsHeroes32]

Marquette +3 on Bovada this am.  No thanks.

That changed almost immediately to 5.5. Had to of been an error.

The ML has fluctuated between -230 and -250 on Indiana

[Jay Bee]

In for MU +5.5

Let's make dis $

[Slim]

In at 5.5. Let's Go!