Bubble Watch 2018

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

So, Oklahoma State loses to Kansas.

Will the Selection Committee really take the 9th team from the B12 when it has an RPI in the upper 80's?

This would be unprecedented on a couple of levels and I think would shatter the record for highest RPI for an at large team. Some good wins on their record but some serious warts, including a horrible OOC SOS.

I say out.

I think they're in.  I don't think it would be ahead of MU regardless of tonight.  I could see Dayton....and if that's the case, hope to avoid them.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Georgia up 2.  Missouri ball. 10 seconds left. Bulldogs just missed 2 free throws.  I honly caught the last 5 minutes, but Georgia has done everything in their power to lose this game, other than a couple huge boards.

[fjm]

REALLY GEORGIA? Missing 4 free throws with 10 seconds left to put them
Up 3?

Missouri has a chance now to win with 8 seconds left.

[HelfaerWarrior]

Gotta make dem throw bubbi!!!

C'mon Dawgz!!

[GooooMarquette]

UGa dodges a bullet.

[Vander Blue Man Group]

Georgia holds on.  Mizzou misses wide open 3. 

[MuWarrior19]

Missing Open Threes at the Buzzer seems to be happening a lot these last 2 days

[GoldenDieners32]

He was wide open

[Benny B]

Georgia holds on.  Mizzou misses wide open 3.

Deja vu all over again.

[GooooMarquette]

Missing Open Threes at the Buzzer seems to be happening a lot these last 2 days

[goldeneagle91114]

so minus the Bama game, has everything else fallen our way?

[mubb3434]

No...Biggest one was Creighton and they lost in OT to Providence. KState beat TCU  as well

[Jay Bee]

#FTsNoMatta

I think Oklahoma State is O U T

[Silkk the Shaka]

Roll Eat My Ass Tide.

Roll Eat My Ass Tide (I Won't Eat My Ass)

[mikekinsellaMVP]

Roll Eat My Ass Tide (I Won't Eat My Ass)

Go**amn Millenials.

No...Biggest one was Creighton and they lost in OT to Providence. KState beat TCU  as well

Creighton would have needed to beat X tomorrow for any major impact on us.

Georgia's win locks them in to the top 75.  Goodbye, Q3 loss.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

No...Biggest one was Creighton and they lost in OT to Providence. KState beat TCU  as well

I don't think PC and Creighton game was that critical.  Certainly wanted Creighton to win, but its not really significant

Already mentioned it previously in this thread so trying not to be repetitive, but K State was only discussed as bubble team loosely.  I strongly believe they were a solidly 8-10 range from the cutline and that loss would not have bumped them out of the field.

Bama is really the only BAD result.  And IMO, they need another at least to feel good.

[Litehouse]

OK, so going back to TAMU's earlier post... 
We still want UCLA, Baylor, USC, ND and LSU to lose.  Anyone else? (besides Nova)

Last Four Byes
Providence (CREI then XAV/SJU)
Saint Mary's (DONE)
UCLA (STAN then COLO/ZONA)
Oklahoma (DONE)

Last Four In
Marquette (NOVA then HALL/BUT)
Baylor (WVU then TTU/TU)
Louisville (UVA then CLEM/BC)
Oklahoma State (KU then KSST/TCU)

First Four Out
Arizona State (DONE)
Syracuse (DONE)
USC (ORST then UTAH/ORE)
Notre Dame (DUKE then MIA/UNC)

Next Four Out
Alabama (TAMU then AUB)
LSU (MSST then TENN)
Penn State (DONE)
Nebraska (DONE)

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

OK, so going back to TAMU's earlier post... 
We still want UCLA, Baylor, USC, ND and LSU to lose.  Anyone else? (besides Nova)

LSU beating Mississippi State would be the preferred result.  Not critical, however.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

#FTsNoMatta

I think Oklahoma State is O U T

JB - curious why you think that.  5 top 50 wins, 3 away from home. 2-1 versus Kansas.  No bad losses.  RPI is ugly.  Non con SOS is super ugly.  But its not like they played all cupcakes. 5 RPI top 75 opponents. Numbers are skewed.  I'd put them in Dayton - think they're worthy, and definitely look like a tourney team to me. 

I don't put them in over Marquette or several other teams around the bubble, but I'd definitely take them over St. Marys, Arizona State, Oklahoma, Alabama, Cuse, ND, Nebraksa, Penn State, etc.

[BM1090]

I would say in order the most important games are:

1a. Notre Dame
1b. Baylor
3. USC
4. UCLA
5. LSU

[Mr. Sand-Knit]

He was wide open

If he was more open then Struz then they were sitting on the bench

[Jay Bee]

JB - curious why you think that.  5 top 50 wins, 3 away from home. 2-1 versus Kansas.  No bad losses.  RPI is ugly.  Non con SOS is super ugly.  But its not like they played all cupcakes. 5 RPI top 75 opponents. Numbers are skewed.  I'd put them in Dayton - think they're worthy, and definitely look like a tourney team to me. 

I don't put them in over Marquette or several other teams around the bubble, but I'd definitely take them over St. Marys, Arizona State, Oklahoma, Alabama, Cuse, ND, Nebraksa, Penn State, etc.

Mostly due to me thinking the committee members just can't get off of RPI. They're see them coming up in the 80s on the team sheets and have a big issue with it. Punish them for scheduling so many crappiest of the crappy opponents. Wouldn't be surprised either way, but if I had to gamble on it, I'd choose out.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Mostly due to me thinking the committee members just can't get off of RPI. They're see them coming up in the 80s on the team sheets and have a big issue with it. Punish them for scheduling so many crappiest of the crappy opponents. Wouldn't be surprised either way, but if I had to gamble on it, I'd choose out.

I get that.  I may be giving the committee too much credit.  But I hope they can see through that at this point.

Don't misunderstand me, if OSU gets left out I don't think it is some injustice.  Their cupcakes were double frosted.  But if we're trying to put in the teams that competed at a high level against tournament quality teams, they pass that test as one of the last couple entrants.  B12 is getting at least 8 teams.  I'd take them over Oklahoma. Texas and Baylor not safe yet.  I think 3 of those 4 teams ultimately get a bid.   

I reserve the right to change my mind pending the remaining conference tourney results, but as of now I'd have OSU in.

[Mr. Sand-Knit]

Fin Alabama 😫😫

[Its DJOver]

Ucla won, nd and Texas trail at half. Go duke, go Texas tech