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Author Topic: Bubble Watch 2018  (Read 240480 times)

4everwarriors

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #25 on: January 30, 2018, 10:34:53 AM »
Hemorrhoids no matta, hey?
"Give 'Em Hell, Al"

The Thing

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #26 on: January 30, 2018, 12:40:05 PM »
Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn’t be a home game this time for them because it’s in Boise!

Windyplayer

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WarriorInNYC

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #28 on: January 30, 2018, 12:50:26 PM »
To keep this going (1/30):

Florida @ Georgia  (UGA 10th out, but win helps RPI)
TCU @ Oklahoma State (14th out)
Buffalo @ Kent State (Buffalo is only team from MAC that could take an at-large bid if another team wins MAC tourney - currently listed as 12 seed)
Baylor @ Oklahoma (11th out)
Arkansas (9 seed) @ Texas A&M (10 seed)

Also, a win by Northern Illinois at Central Michigan would be decent for the RPI

Dr. Blackheart

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #29 on: January 30, 2018, 12:59:44 PM »
If versus South Carolina or Louisville, will that be in the Convict League Championship?

Juan Anderson's Mixtape

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #30 on: January 30, 2018, 01:24:23 PM »
Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn’t be a home game this time for them because it’s in Boise!

If South Carolina heads to Boise for our play-in, I like our chances.  (Dayton still hosts the First Four, right?)

MUBigDance

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #31 on: January 30, 2018, 03:27:55 PM »
I appreciate you doing it. Honestly, gives me atleast a minor rooting interest when I check scores. Thanks a bunch man! Keep dat shiz up!👍🏼👍🏼

+1


-1 on all the critical guys

GB Warrior

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #32 on: January 30, 2018, 04:54:09 PM »
Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn’t be a home game this time for them because it’s in Boise!

I thought the play-ins were at 11 and 16, and anything below 11 was autobid?

MUDPT

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #33 on: January 30, 2018, 05:03:23 PM »
I thought the play-ins were at 11 and 16, and anything below 11 was autobid?

Not necessarily, just wherever the last at large teams are on the S curve. Wasn't BYU a 14 play in game in the Carlino derby in 2012?  Also, the play in games are automatically in Dayton.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #34 on: January 30, 2018, 11:50:15 PM »
To keep this going (1/30):

Florida @ Georgia  (UGA 10th out, but win helps RPI)
TCU @ Oklahoma State (14th out)
Buffalo @ Kent State (Buffalo is only team from MAC that could take an at-large bid if another team wins MAC tourney - currently listed as 12 seed)
Baylor @ Oklahoma (11th out)
Arkansas (9 seed) @ Texas A&M (10 seed)

Also, a win by Northern Illinois at Central Michigan would be decent for the RPI

Baylor, Buffalo and Oklahoma State all lost.

Georgia won, but that doesn't hurt. Solid night.

Benny B

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #35 on: January 31, 2018, 08:15:55 AM »
Not necessarily, just wherever the last at large teams are on the S curve. Wasn't BYU a 14 play in game in the Carlino derby in 2012?  Also, the play in games are automatically in Dayton.

Exactly correct.  Also, teams can be moved up or down a seed line in order to meet other selection/bracketing criteria... without looking I cannot say for sure, but BYU may have been a natural 12 seed as a play-in but were bumped down to 14 so that they wouldn't be in a Fri/Sun pod or regional.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny.  Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.

GoldenDieners32

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #36 on: February 01, 2018, 12:21:50 PM »
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

Updated bracket has mu as an 11 seed and one of the last 4 bye teams

Windyplayer

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #37 on: February 01, 2018, 02:45:31 PM »
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

Updated bracket has mu as an 11 seed and one of the last 4 bye teams
mmm, soft bubble.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #38 on: February 01, 2018, 04:15:22 PM »
mmm, soft bubble.

Yeah it's pretty awful. Teams either have no good wins or like NC State, have some very good wins but also some terrible losses.

JamilJaeJamailJrJuan

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #39 on: February 01, 2018, 04:21:47 PM »
SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

 BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount
I would take the Rick SLU program right now.

cheese ball chaser

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #40 on: February 01, 2018, 04:22:38 PM »
mmm, soft bubble.

Can anyone recall the last time the bubble wasn't soft?

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #41 on: February 01, 2018, 04:31:59 PM »
If anyone has ESPN Insider, you can click the team name on bracketology and get the W/L breakdown for each team. You'll see very quickly why we have a solid chance at 9-9.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #42 on: February 01, 2018, 08:53:22 PM »
SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

 BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount

SMU is going to lose.

Would add WKU @ UTEP to your loss.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #43 on: February 01, 2018, 11:15:24 PM »
SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

 BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount

SMU lost. Oregon avoided a disaster loss. Washington up in the 2nd half vs. ASU. MTSU avoided a disaster loss. BYU looks like they are gonna suffer a disaster loss.

GooooMarquette

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #44 on: February 01, 2018, 11:18:46 PM »
Can anyone recall the last time the bubble wasn't soft?

I think bubbles are soft by their very nature.  Surface tension and such....

Bocephys

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #45 on: February 02, 2018, 05:08:49 AM »
I think bubbles are soft by their very nature.  Surface tension and such....

Then how do you explain Bubble Boy?


GooooMarquette

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #46 on: February 02, 2018, 07:28:51 AM »
Then how do you explain Bubble Boy?




He is an enigma wrapped in a...bubble.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #47 on: February 02, 2018, 09:24:07 AM »
Only one bubble game today and it's fringe.

Utah (in 4/107 bracket projections) @ Colorado

skianth16

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #48 on: February 02, 2018, 09:33:17 AM »
Only one bubble game today and it's fringe.

Utah (in 4/107 bracket projections) @ Colorado

I'm surprised Utah is only in a handful of brackets. Their resume is very similar to ours. Right now, I would assume Utah should be in.

BM1090

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Re: Bubble Watch 2018
« Reply #49 on: February 02, 2018, 09:56:20 AM »
I'm surprised Utah is only in a handful of brackets. Their resume is very similar to ours. Right now, I would assume Utah should be in.

Similar but ours is a bit safer right now. 8 of our 9 losses are to the top 30 RPI. Utah has 4 losses RPI 40+ and 1 of them is to RPI 152 UNLV