Bubble Watch 2018

[4everwarriors]

Hemorrhoids no matta, hey?

[The Thing]

Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn't be a home game this time for them because it's in Boise!

[Windyplayer]

#10 seed against Louisville per SI...

https://www.si.com/college-basketball/2018/01/29/ncaa-tournament-bracket-watch-west-virginia-auburn-nc-state-xavier

[WarriorInNYC]

To keep this going (1/30):

Florida @ Georgia  (UGA 10th out, but win helps RPI)
TCU @ Oklahoma State (14th out)
Buffalo @ Kent State (Buffalo is only team from MAC that could take an at-large bid if another team wins MAC tourney - currently listed as 12 seed)
Baylor @ Oklahoma (11th out)
Arkansas (9 seed) @ Texas A&M (10 seed)

Also, a win by Northern Illinois at Central Michigan would be decent for the RPI

[Dr. Blackheart]

If versus South Carolina or Louisville, will that be in the Convict League Championship?

[Juan Anderson's Mixtape]

Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn't be a home game this time for them because it's in Boise!

If South Carolina heads to Boise for our play-in, I like our chances.  (Dayton still hosts the First Four, right?)

[MUBigDance]

I appreciate you doing it. Honestly, gives me atleast a minor rooting interest when I check scores. Thanks a bunch man! Keep dat shiz up!👍🏼👍🏼

+1


-1 on all the critical guys

[GB Warrior]

Bleacher Report has us as a 12 seed playing South Carolina in a play-in game. At least it wouldn't be a home game this time for them because it's in Boise!

I thought the play-ins were at 11 and 16, and anything below 11 was autobid?

[MUDPT]

I thought the play-ins were at 11 and 16, and anything below 11 was autobid?

Not necessarily, just wherever the last at large teams are on the S curve. Wasn't BYU a 14 play in game in the Carlino derby in 2012?  Also, the play in games are automatically in Dayton.

[BM1090]

To keep this going (1/30):

Florida @ Georgia  (UGA 10th out, but win helps RPI)
TCU @ Oklahoma State (14th out)
Buffalo @ Kent State (Buffalo is only team from MAC that could take an at-large bid if another team wins MAC tourney - currently listed as 12 seed)
Baylor @ Oklahoma (11th out)
Arkansas (9 seed) @ Texas A&M (10 seed)

Also, a win by Northern Illinois at Central Michigan would be decent for the RPI

Baylor, Buffalo and Oklahoma State all lost.

Georgia won, but that doesn't hurt. Solid night.

[Benny B]

Not necessarily, just wherever the last at large teams are on the S curve. Wasn't BYU a 14 play in game in the Carlino derby in 2012?  Also, the play in games are automatically in Dayton.

Exactly correct.  Also, teams can be moved up or down a seed line in order to meet other selection/bracketing criteria... without looking I cannot say for sure, but BYU may have been a natural 12 seed as a play-in but were bumped down to 14 so that they wouldn't be in a Fri/Sun pod or regional.

[GoldenDieners32]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

Updated bracket has mu as an 11 seed and one of the last 4 bye teams

[Windyplayer]

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

Updated bracket has mu as an 11 seed and one of the last 4 bye teams

mmm, soft bubble.

[BM1090]

mmm, soft bubble.

Yeah it's pretty awful. Teams either have no good wins or like NC State, have some very good wins but also some terrible losses.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount

[cheese ball chaser]

mmm, soft bubble.

Can anyone recall the last time the bubble wasn't soft?

[BM1090]

If anyone has ESPN Insider, you can click the team name on bracketology and get the W/L breakdown for each team. You'll see very quickly why we have a solid chance at 9-9.

[BM1090]

SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount

SMU is going to lose.

Would add WKU @ UTEP to your loss.

[BM1090]

SMU (11 seed) @ Tulsa

Middle Tennessee (possible but unlikely bid stealer) @ Old Dominion

Oregon (pretty fringe) @ Cal

Arizona State @ Washington (third team out)

BYU (very fringe) @ Loyola Marymount

SMU lost. Oregon avoided a disaster loss. Washington up in the 2nd half vs. ASU. MTSU avoided a disaster loss. BYU looks like they are gonna suffer a disaster loss.

[GooooMarquette]

Can anyone recall the last time the bubble wasn't soft?

I think bubbles are soft by their very nature.  Surface tension and such....

[Bocephys]

I think bubbles are soft by their very nature.  Surface tension and such....

Then how do you explain Bubble Boy?

[GooooMarquette]

Then how do you explain Bubble Boy?

He is an enigma wrapped in a...bubble.

[BM1090]

Only one bubble game today and it's fringe.

Utah (in 4/107 bracket projections) @ Colorado

[skianth16]

Only one bubble game today and it's fringe.

Utah (in 4/107 bracket projections) @ Colorado

I'm surprised Utah is only in a handful of brackets. Their resume is very similar to ours. Right now, I would assume Utah should be in.

[BM1090]

I'm surprised Utah is only in a handful of brackets. Their resume is very similar to ours. Right now, I would assume Utah should be in.

Similar but ours is a bit safer right now. 8 of our 9 losses are to the top 30 RPI. Utah has 4 losses RPI 40+ and 1 of them is to RPI 152 UNLV