Bubble Watch

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Meanwhile, Georgetown is up 5 with 8 to go.

[muguru]

The problem with that is a loss in Dayton. We're we even in the tournament then? Scoopers would say yes, the rest of the bracket filling world says no.

Exactly...the exact reason i want to hopefully avoid Dayton..should they lose there, they are home before the "regular" tourney even starts, and it's like they were never in it anyway.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Gtown up 1 and SHU with 1.5 to go. FS1

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Gtown with just some brutal turnovers down the stretch here. 3 in last 5 or 6 possessions.

Seton Hal escapes. Just a terrible shot by Gtown. Hardly even got one off. Should have gone for quick 2 as SHU was still in the 1-1s.  Brutal.

SHU pretty much wraps up their bid there.

[nyg]

Georgetown two turnovers and then foul on three pointer. 

Thompson keeping Pryor on bench because 4 fouls, geez put him back in, Georgetown not going anywhere. 

And another turnover and Pryor not playing.  Now Thompson puts him in with 18 seconds.

Last five Georgetown possessions, four turnovers.  They had them, but boy those fumble turnovers killed them and last possesion, ugly.

Not playing Pryor?.....Thompson in big doo-doo.......

[cheese ball chaser]

Man that ending was ugly, G-town really choked

[muguru]

F you Georgetown, you can go to hell! The only saving grace is the hall goes to Butler Saturday, you expect them to lose that. Now we just need to be HUGE DePaul fans tonight. Icky i know, but they can do something useful for MU once, can't they??

[nyg]

Gtown with just some brutal turnovers down the stretch here. 3 in last 5 or 6 possessions.

Seton Hal escapes. Just a terrible shot by Gtown. Hardly even got one off. Should have gone for quick 2 as SHU was still in the 1-1s.  Brutal.

SHU pretty much wraps up their bid there.

Yup

Side note, Delgado has to be POY for BE.  Hope he gets it over Hart, well deserved.

[wadesworld]

Yup

Side note, Delgado has to be POY for BE.  Hope he gets it over Hart, well deserved.

POY to a kid on a team that went .500? Not happening and shouldn't happen.

[MuMark]

Yeah it's going to be Hart.....he is going to be one of the top guys for National player of the year so not sure how he isn't  BE POY.

[nyg]

Yeah it's going to be Hart.....he is going to be one of the top guys for National player of the year so not sure how he isn't  BE POY.

Good point, spoke too soon, but kid having unreal season.  Swanigan from Purdue might get lots of votes, so we'll see. 

[MU82]

In the past 10 days, Marquette destroyed Xavier and St. John's and shot 48% on the road in a tight loss to an NCAA Tournament team in PC. Seems to me their play is trending upward.

This sounds suspiciously positive. Many Scoopers can't abide by this!

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Good point, spoke too soon, but kid having unreal season.  Swanigan from Purdue might get lots of votes, so we'll see.

Frank Mason too. 

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Actually, I think the weight of evidence shows that MU is precisely the kind of team that would lose to an 11 or 12 but beat a 5 or 6.

That was my first thought too

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

I ran the numbers anyway. 62 RPI if we beat Creighton and lose to Xavier, 65 RPI if we beat Xavier and lose to Creighton.

As valuable as road wins are, not losing at home is more important in that system.

That's up from last week. Ran the same numbers and our RPI was around 68. The bubble has been kind to us.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Indiana loses, their faint chances of getting back into this thing are shot.

Akron loses to Miami OH.  Another somewhat interesting bubble team that could have just maybe been interesting enough amongst all the carnage but pissed their chances away.

[Lennys Tap]

The bubble has been kind to us.

This year's bubble is softer than a baby's backside.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

F you Georgetown, you can go to hell! The only saving grace is the hall goes to Butler Saturday, you expect them to lose that. Now we just need to be HUGE DePaul fans tonight. Icky i know, but they can do something useful for MU once, can't they??

Actually them going to Butler isn't a saving grace for us. They are in a no lose situation. If they lose no one will hold it against them. If they win they have another huge win on their resume. Seton Hall is in the tournament barring some crazy scenario where they end up in the 7th place game and lose to Depaul in the BET....and there are bunch of bid stealers.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Akron loses to Miami OH.  Another somewhat interesting bubble team that could have just maybe been interesting enough amongst all the carnage but pissed their chances away.

Wow. Akron was 16 point favorites at home. Added bonus is that their RPI will drop a hefty amount. Could be enough for us to move up. People ahead of us losing is another way to increase our RPI!

[muguru]

Actually them going to Butler isn't a saving grace for us. They are in a no lose situation. If they lose no one will hold it against them. If they win they have another huge win on their resume. Seton Hall is in the tournament barring some crazy scenario where they end up in the 7th place game and lose to Depaul in the BET....and there are bunch of bid stealers.

I'm talking about seeding for the BET. It doesn't look like it's going to matter much though, because of course DePaul sucks and is getting blown out by Providence anyway. *sigh*

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

I'm talking about seeding for the BET. It doesn't look like it's going to matter much though, because of course DePaul sucks and is getting blown out by Providence anyway. *sigh*

PC could still lose @ SJU and we win out and we'd could still get the 3. Not likely, but possible.

[JamilJaeJamailJrJuan]

Vandy up 25-6 early at Kentucky. This is an interesting game. First gut was to root for Kentucky, but the more I think about it, I don't know. Gonna be tough for Vandy to beat FL on Saturday, and to get an at larger they'd have 15 losses. I think this year will be the year a 15 loss team gets an at large, but just not sure there will be enough of them to include Vandy... but if they hold on AND beat Florida on sat, they definitely pass us.

[Wade for President]

Vandy with the hot hand early in Lexington.

A win over UK should solidify their sub-50 RPI rating (keeping the shine on our win over Vandy).

Knowing that we're battling Vandy on the bubble (both on Lunardi's First Four In), should there be part of us that wants them to lose tonight?

[amen426]

I'm talking about seeding for the BET. It doesn't look like it's going to matter much though, because of course DePaul sucks and is getting blown out by Providence anyway. *sigh*

Providence is likely to go 2-0, and if we're talking seeding - that's not a bad thing since they have every tiebreaker against us anyways.

If we're in a 2-way tie with Seton Hall, we have the edge.

If we're in a 3-way tie with Seton & Xavier, we would finish 1st out of the 3.

If we go 2-0 and end up in a tie with Providence, so be it. That means we went 2-0, and losing that tiebreaker simply means we are getting the 5 or 6 seed.

Providence losing to Depaul or St Johns likely only helps us in terms of our overall NCAA tournament bid. The odds of us passing them outright over these final 2 is pretty slim.

[muguru]

Vandy up 25-6 early at Kentucky. This is an interesting game. First gut was to root for Kentucky, but the more I think about it, I don't know. Gonna be tough for Vandy to beat FL on Saturday, and to get an at larger they'd have 15 losses. I think this year will be the year a 15 loss team gets an at large, but just not sure there will be enough of them to include Vandy... but if they hold on AND beat Florida on sat, they definitely pass us.

I'm rooting for Vandy...1. I HATE UK and 2. anything to help MU's RPI/Resume at this point is welcomed. This definitely would. Now the key is, if we can get Georgia to cooperate and get their RPI into the top 50.