Marquette -5?

[MuMark]

Is Katin playing tonight?  Does the answer to that affect the spread?

Wojo said he expects him to play.

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Is Katin playing tonight?  Does the answer to that affect the spread?

Was told that Katin was available for SIUE but was held out just to be safe. Unless the info was wrong or something has happened since, I would imagine he is ready to go.

[fjm]

Wojo said he expects him to play.

Was a participant at the shoot around this morning with no walking boot.

[Tugg Speedman]

I would bet the -26. You just posted on another thread about how poor DePaul is playing this year and nova is on another level.

Still hoping the MU line drops a bit so I can bet that game.

Agreed that this year's Depaul team is very bad even by there rock bottom standards.

Problem is when Nova gets up by 20 or 30, will they use that opportunity to play the back of their bench and walk-ons to get them more game time?

They are the defending national champions and the #1 team.  They don't need to press it to a 40 point win because they don't need to prove anything.  They have no eye test to worry about.  Instead they have to manage a blowout game for injury potential and give the reserves playing time.

That is what makes -26 bets such a bad strategy, you never know what strategy Nova will use when they believe they game is out of reach for Depaul.

[fjm]

Agreed that this year's Depaul team is very bad even by there rock bottom standards.

Problem is when Nova gets up by 20 or 30, they use that opportunity to play the back of their bench and walk-ons to get them more game time.

They are the defending national champions and the #1 team.  They don't need to press it to a 40 point win because they don't need to prove anything.  They have no eye test to worry about.  Instead they have to manage a blowout game for injury potential and give the reserves playing time.

That is what makes -26 bets such a bad strategy, you never know what they strategy Nova will use when they believe they game is out of reach for Depaul.

Oh fudge. That's a good point. I haven't bet that game yet. You're convincing me to stay away.

MU now at -5.5 (going the wrong direction so I probably won't bet it). And the O/U is now at 169.5 (too high)
These are ESPN numbers.

[Tugg Speedman]

Oh fudge. That's a good point. I haven't bet that game yet. You're convincing me to stay away.

MU now at -5.5 (going the wrong direction so I probably won't bet it). And the O/U is now at 169.5 (too high)
These are ESPN numbers.

Betting Alabama football by giving 49 points makes sense.  Saban (like Jimmy Johnson before him) will run up the score until the clock reads 0:00. 

Jay Wright and Nova don't strike me as that kind of team.  They are playing for the third week of March.  Every decision they make is for that purpose.  So, this is a game that needs to be managed for the long-term as no statement needs to be made.  They need a W and get out with no injuries, nothing else matters.

Now watch Nova win by 50 and make me look bad.

[fjm]

If nova wins by 50 you owe me!

No you're probably right. It's either that or they come out to make a BE is back and you're all screwed statement and just go nuts on DePaul.

[Silkk the Shaka]

Derrickson scares me

Agreed. Jajuan & Haanif will have their hands full with Pryor & Peak, can Sam & Katin do enough to contain Derrickson?

[Jay Bee]

Betting Alabama football by giving 49 points makes sense.  Saban (like Jimmy Johnson before him) will run up the score until the clock reads 0:00. 

Jay Wright and Nova don't strike me as that kind of team.  They are playing for the third week of March.  Every decision they make is for that purpose.  So, this is a game that needs to be managed for the long-term as no statement needs to be made.  They need a W and get out with no injuries, nothing else matters.

Now watch Nova win by 50 and make me look bad.

FWIW, Nova won their BEast opener by 31 a year ago

[oldwarrior81]

over/under tonight is 157.5.  Opened in some books at 160.

to answer previous question, MU is 6-6 vs spread this season and the over is 7-5

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Agreed. Jajuan & Haanif will have their hands full with Pryor & Peak, can Sam & Katin do enough to contain Derrickson?

Derrickson has been on a sophomore slump.  I'm not worried about him. I think the key match-up is Luke vs Govan. If Like wins, I think we win.

[fjm]

Derrickson has been on a sophomore slump.  I'm not worried about him. I think the key match-up is Luke vs Govan. If Like wins, I think we win.

If Luke can take the spin off his shot he's had the past 3 games.

[MerrittsMustache]

Gtown is basically a 3-man team and MU has more depth. Unfortunately, Gtown's top 3 will likely be the 3 best players on the court. If one of those guys has an off night and/or gets into foul trouble, MU should win. However, MU's porous defense worries me too much.

I hope I'm completely wrong and MU dominates from start to finish but I'm going to say...

Gtown 78, MU 75

[MUfan12]

Bad feeling about this one. Between easing Markus and Katin back in, and the week off, I have a feeling MU comes out a little flat and has to chase the game. Will be tough against Georgetown's size.

Hope I'm wrong, but I see Georgetown by 8.

[nyg]

Gtown is basically a 3-man team and MU has more depth. Unfortunately, Gtown's top 3 will likely be the 3 best players on the court. If one of those guys has an off night and/or gets into foul trouble, MU should win. However, MU's porous defense worries me too much.

I hope I'm completely wrong and MU dominates from start to finish but I'm going to say...

Gtown 78, MU 75

Yes the defense has to step up, especially with Pryor having the potential to go off.
But, the concern should be Luke's propensity to pick up two quick fouls in first six minutes.  If that happens, then Georgetown with Govan/Hayes/Derrickson will dominate the inside.  Don't think Heldt can keep up with those guys and he may get as many fouls in fewer minutes.  Going to be a tough matchup. 

[TAMU, Knower of Ball]

Gtown is basically a 3-man team and MU has more depth. Unfortunately, Gtown's top 3 will likely be the 3 best players on the court. If one of those guys has an off night and/or gets into foul trouble, MU should win. However, MU's porous defense worries me too much.

I hope I'm completely wrong and MU dominates from start to finish but I'm going to say...

Gtown 78, MU 75

One day Govan might be one of the best three players on the court. I don't think he is there yet.

[Windyplayer]

One day Govan might be one of the best three players on the court. I don't think he is there yet.

To quote from the Paint Touches article posted by TAMU...

"Govan has been known to disappear in games. He only managed 3 points and 0 rebounds against Wisconsin, 2 points, and 1 board against Oklahoma State, and 1 point and 1 rebound against Howard."

[MerrittsMustache]

To quote from the Paint Touches article posted by TAMU...

"Govan has been known to disappear in games. He only managed 3 points and 0 rebounds against Wisconsin, 2 points, and 1 board against Oklahoma State, and 1 point and 1 rebound against Howard."

While those stats are true, it's worth noting that in those 3 consecutive games, he played 7, 6 and 5 minutes. He had 2 quick fouls vs Wisconsin but wasn't in foul trouble in the other games. Not sure what the deal was for that stretch, but he's averaged 14 points and 8 boards on 63% shooting in the 5 games since.

[Windyplayer]

While those stats are true, it's worth noting that in those 3 consecutive games, he played 7, 6 and 5 minutes. He had 2 quick fouls vs Wisconsin but wasn't in foul trouble in the other games. Not sure what the deal was for that stretch, but he's averaged 14 points and 8 boards on 63% shooting in the 5 games since.

This is getting dangerously close to a well-balanced assessment of a player. You must have this message board confused for another.

[mileskishnish72]

Making a parlay, taking the points and the under. If it goes south, won't be unhappy cuz they covered.

[hoyasincebirth]

Derrickson has been on a sophomore slump.  I'm not worried about him. I think the key match-up is Luke vs Govan. If Like wins, I think we win.

He was injured to start the year. He's now healthy and rounding into form. Hopefully his last game is more indicative of what we'll see the rest of the year.

[fjm]

Making a parlay, taking the points and the under. If it goes south, won't be unhappy cuz they covered.

MU has only scored under 80 3 times.
Two of those 3 were 75 and 78 points.

Their games have only been UNDER 5 times and those were all cupcakes except Michigan. (Meaning MU covered their half or slowed down late due to the lead and the cupcake didn't cover their half of the bargain.)

I am seriously considering taking the over at 157.5 right now.

[forgetful]

MU has only scored under 80 3 times.
Two of those 3 were 75 and 78 points.

Their games have only been UNDER 5 times and those were all cupcakes except Michigan. (Meaning MU covered their half or slowed down late due to the lead and the cupcake didn't cover their half of the bargain.)

I am seriously considering taking the over at 157.5 right now.

I'd take the over.  Georgetown plays much higher tempo in its new offense.  The only way it is under 157.5 is if we are cold from 3.

[Jay Bee]

Derrickson has been on a sophomore slump.  I'm not worried about him. I think the key match-up is Luke vs Govan. If Like wins, I think we win.

Hmmm....

[fjm]

Under.... waaaay under. That's an L