Could we win out BEAST play?

[JoBo2756]

This is a total jinx post but seriously... its definitely a possibility... I mean probably not going to happen... but maybe!

The only games that scare me are @ND, @WV, @Cincy and Georgetown... but who knows. Even if that happens, we'd be 10-6 in BEAST play. Not too too bad.

Then again, maybe we have a relapse to our earlier BEAST play and lose Cincy at home or @Rutgers.

[jsglow]

Schedule has some real challenges in it.  Let's not get ahead of ourselves.  Villy on the road this weekend will be a significant challenge and an accomplishment when (if) they win.

[Spaniel with a Short Tail]

At West Virginia will be a tough task.

[Windyplayer]

This is a total jinx post but seriously... its definitely a possibility... I mean probably not going to happen... but maybe!

The only games that scare me are @ND, @WV, @Cincy and Georgetown... but who knows. Even if that happens, we'd be 10-6 in BEAST play. Not too too bad.

Then again, maybe we have a relapse to our earlier BEAST play and lose Cincy at home or @Rutgers.

Games that scare you account for 40% of our remaining games so this is an optimistic post to say the least. That said, you never know, but winning in Morgantown, Cincy, South Bend, and Storrs in the same season is nearly impossible. FYI, the Rutgers game is at the BC.

[Silkk the Shaka]

If we only lose 4 more, we'd end up at 12-6.  

And we play Rutgers at the BC (thankfully, as they've knocked off some pretty good teams at the RAC this year in Florida & UConn).

To answer you question, kenpom.com gives us about a 1% chance to finish 16-2 (finish undefeated), 4% chance to finish 15-3, 13% chance to finish 14-4, 22% chance to finish 13-5, and a 26% chance to finish 12-6.  These odds will probably increase slightly after tonight's win as well.  Long story short, odds are in our favor to finish at or above our best BEast regular season mark yet.

[brewcity77]

It's easy to write off UConn right now, but they have all the talent in the world. We don't see them for about a month. Don't be surprised if they are much improved, even if it's without Boatright, and if that is one of our toughest games of the rest of the year. The players are there, and as we saw last year, they can gel later in the season.

[DCWarriors04]

anything is possible

[Silkk the Shaka]

It's easy to write off UConn right now, but they have all the talent in the world.

Definitely expect a loss in  Hartford.  We had no business winning that game there last year and I'm sure they'll be looking for some payback.  Plus all the other reasons you stated.

[DCWarriors04]

10 games left (4 at home and 6 on the road); take care of business at home and win at least 2 on the road and I'll be happy with that.

[SaveOD238]

Definitely expect a loss in  Hartford.  We had no business winning that game there last year and I'm sure they'll be looking for some payback.  Plus all the other reasons you stated.

Didn't we win in Storrs last year?  Where is this years game?

[DCWarriors04]

Hartford

[Silkk the Shaka]

Didn't we win in Storrs last year?  Where is this years game?

Definitely Hartford for both - I went last year and I'll be going again this year.

[mug644]

This question is similar to having asked if we could go undefeated in out of conference play after we beat UW in Madison. Yeah, it's possible, but high unlikely.

[tower912]

Anything is possible, but I certainly would not wager any large sums on it. 

[chapman]

1% chance is about right, many challenges left.  Cincy twice, @ND, @WVU, @UConn, GTown on Senior Day which under Buzz has been cursed, even the next one @Nova.  Schedule definitely gets tougher.  I'd be giddy to have less than 6 conference losses.

[BrewCity83]

If we only lose 4 more, we'd end up at 12-6.  

And we play Rutgers at the BC (thankfully, as they've knocked off some pretty good teams at the RAC this year in Florida & UConn).

To answer you question, kenpom.com gives us about a 1% chance to finish 16-2 (finish undefeated), 4% chance to finish 15-3, 13% chance to finish 14-4, 22% chance to finish 13-5, and a 26% chance to finish 12-6.  These odds will probably increase slightly after tonight's win as well.  Long story short, odds are in our favor to finish at or above our best BEast regular season mark yet.

That gives us a 67% chance to be 12-6 or better. 

[lab_warrior]

This is a total jinx post but seriously... its definitely a possibility... I mean probably not going to happen... but maybe!

The only games that scare me are @ND, @WV, @Cincy and Georgetown... but who knows. Even if that happens, we'd be 10-6 in BEAST play. Not too too bad.

Then again, maybe we have a relapse to our earlier BEAST play and lose Cincy at home or @Rutgers.

I like the swagger.  And we have a puncher's chance.  But I think Winston Wolf portrays my sentiments.  One game at a time, folks.

http://www.youtube.com/v/7rNXP2ndT9M&fs=1&source=uds

[Dawson Rental]

If we only lose 4 more, we'd end up at 12-6.  

And we play Rutgers at the BC (thankfully, as they've knocked off some pretty good teams at the RAC this year in Florida & UConn).

To answer you question, kenpom.com gives us about a 1% chance to finish 16-2 (finish undefeated), 4% chance to finish 15-3, 13% chance to finish 14-4, 22% chance to finish 13-5, and a 26% chance to finish 12-6.  These odds will probably increase slightly after tonight's win as well.  Long story short, odds are in our favor to finish at or above our best BEast regular season mark yet.

Lloyd: Hit me with it! Just give it to me straight! I came a long way just to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances?
Mary: Not good.
Lloyd: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
Mary: I'd say more like one out of a million.
[pause]
Lloyd: So you're telling me there's a chance... *YEAH!*

[lab_warrior]

I would argue that 1% is a MUCH LARGER chance than one in a million...imagine Lloyd Christmas' optimism if here were an MU fan.

[DCWarriors04]

Proof that anything is possible, St Johns beating WVU

[Brewtown Andy]

If we only lose 4 more, we'd end up at 12-6.  

And we play Rutgers at the BC (thankfully, as they've knocked off some pretty good teams at the RAC this year in Florida & UConn).

And lost to DePaul tonight.

[strotty]

The biggest thing going for Marquette is they have a base. Only two other teams have accumulated six wins. I don't care what the competition was for Marquette or other teams, it's a great start and now the Golden Eagles do not have to play from behind. They won't be relaxing or resting on six wins, but from one perspective it's great to already have six wins "in the book." One way to look at it is that Marquette hasn't had a slip-up yet, which not many teams in the Big East can say.

Whether or not that translates to a Big East regular season championship is unknown, but it's great that Marquette has jumped out and picked up six big wins.

[MUDPT]

According to Ken Pom, Marquette will be tied for 2nd with Georgetown at the end of the season at 13-5.  He has favored in every game, except at UConn and at West Virginia.  Every game is huge, but especially Saturday because it is the second most likely road win, behind DePaul.