Confidence Level MU will beat UW

[NersEllenson]

Go on record now..reveal your vote!

I'm all in....voting 100% confident.  Call me a Kool Aid drinker...but this year the disparity in talent will show up on the floor, and MU will mop up UW at the Kohl.

F*ck Bucky.

[Dawson Rental]

Go on record now..reveal your vote!

I'm all in....voting 100% confident.  Call me a Kool Aid drinker...but this year the disparity in talent will show up on the floor, and MU will mop up UW at the Kohl.

F*ck Bucky.

Okay, I agree 100% with "F*ck Bucky."  However, Its at the Kohl which is their magic place, they are a very good 3pt shooting team, and they protect the ball well, so I could only go with 30%.  Sorry.

Also, I prefer to be pleasantly surprised.

If Al were here, I suspect he'd be thinking mostly about Taylor and saying stuff like; "Cut off the head and the body dies".

[Mobot]

The Badgers are good and tough to beat at home.  I voted 40%.  If MU can figure out how to get some defensive rebounds, their chance go up.  

I am looking forward to seeing Blue vs. Gasser.  Should be fun.

[brewcity77]

I gave it 30%. Anywhere else I'd like our odds, but that place is a den of evil, and Bo Ryan is the Devil.

[StillAWarrior]

Go on record now..reveal your vote!

I'm all in....voting 100% confident.  Call me a Kool Aid drinker...but this year the disparity in talent will show up on the floor, and MU will mop up UW at the Kohl.

As the sole (at least for now) 70% voter, I'm apparently more optimistic than most.  But I think that anyone who is 100% confident of any team's chance to win on the road against a top 15 team is...well, I guess I'll just use your requested term:  a Kool Aid drinker.

[denverMU]

100% win.  I picked MU to go undefeated in our OOC schedule. Go Marquette!

[rocky_warrior]

As the sole (at least for now) 70% voter, I'm apparently more optimistic than most.  But I think that anyone who is 100% confident of any team's chance to win on the road against a top 15 team is...well, I guess I'll just use your requested term:  a Kool Aid drinker.

Agree with you on 70%.  I think people here are too overwhelmed with the mystique of the kohl hole.  I think Marquette has a good chance to beat them this year, regardless of location.

[77ncaachamps]

Jae and DJO ain't having it! They ain't going out like punks!

Injuries will change people's confidence. Let's hope we stay healthy!

[Henry Sugar]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Availability_heuristic

[Silkk the Shaka]

I think MU is a team that is better set up for when the games truly matter in March.  However, this is just a horrendous match up for MU.  It's at the Kohl.  Strike 1.  Bucky shoots a ton of threes and shoots them very well, while we are very susceptible to giving up open looks from three.  Strike 2.  Bucky protects the ball extremely well and they have a senior stud press-breaker PG while we thrive on turnovers.  Strike 3.  Highly doubt we win this game, but I think our players will learn a great deal about their weaknesses win or lose, and we will have a much deeper run than Bucky in the NCAA's.  I think their ceiling is sweet 16, while ours is final four (not saying we will get there, just that this team is built for a March run).

The only way I see a win is if Buzz drops a bunch of junk defenses in that Bucky wasn't expecting, or if they shoot their open threes like Ole Miss.

[ErickJD08]

I was just looking at the ranking and about to make this thread... When is the last both teams were this highly ranked?  It looks like both teams will be in the top 15. I M getting pumped for this game. Already making my Schoolyard plans.

[PGsHeroes32]

I went 60% since I usually feel the two teams are really close to a toss up and this year happens to be our best squad yet. It will be tough though. They jack up 3s like crazy and we give up 3s like crazy. Even if they dont rain like they usually do, I fear we may give up some offensive rebounds.

We are far more athletic and much quicker though. If we can get them in foul trouble and run a bit our talent should prevail.

Nervous as hell for that one. If we beat Bucky I just dont see us losing til conference time.

[MUMac]

I was just looking at the ranking and about to make this thread... When is the last both teams were this highly ranked?  It looks like both teams will be in the top 15. I M getting pumped for this game. Already making my Schoolyard plans.

Last time as in last time when they played each other?  I assume that is what you meant.

Closest is '06/07 UW - 11th; MU - 17th (although, the week before we were ranked 8th and then lost to NDSU).

Otherwise there were a few years when both ranked, but at least one above 20.

[Freeport Warrior]

I think the biggest key to the game is how it is called by the officials. I love, love, love our ball pressure, but if they call it tight, it could work against us and help the Badgers keep the pace at a crawl. If they let them play a little, I think our horses will suffocate them. It is essential to get out fast -- if we can do that and establish a lead early, they play into our hands. If it's slow and we're behind to start, it is always tough to come back on them, especially there.

I remember when we played them up there with Wade and Co. and they got Wade in foul trouble and it fell apart from there. We had a better team on paper, but their pace took us out of our game. Someone mentioned it here, but this MU squad is a team filled with studs, there is so much depth it's insane, so foul trouble doesn't worry me as much as it used to. From a purely physical standpoint, none of these kids look like freshman, and so far, all 10 of them seem pretty capable. Watching both teams for a few games, I think we have an edge. Regardless, this is going to be a great year. I'm drinking to Kool-Aid.

Blue on Gasser? How about Blue on Taylor.

[Hards Alumni]

picked 90%

[tower912]

<10%.    We beat them on a neutral site, we beat them at home, but we don't beat them at the Kohl.     But, FWIW, I start Blue on Taylor.   He never cheats, he never helps.   When Taylor gives up the ball, he faceguards.   I honestly don't think anybody else on that team can beat our guys off of the dribble.    But we need Jamil/Jamail/Juan to give us quality minutes because I see  2 of the 3 of Otule/Gardner/Crowder getting in foul trouble in the first half.  One interesting thing will be rebounding.   They don't usually crash the offensive boards, choosing to get back to stop transition.    If they stop MU's running game, it will be interesting to see how MU runs their half court sets against a pack-it-in defense.   

[bilsu]

20%

[GGGG]

40%.  If we defend the 3, we will be OK.  I think UW is going to have trouble keeping MU out of the paint...we will score.  I still am worried about our defense.

[denverMU]

I don't understand all the pessimism on the MU board?  Yes, the stinking Badgers rarely lose at home but we have beat them there (2007 being the last time).  Let's consider some other stats from this year.  We score 21 more points a game than WI, 5 more assists, 4 more steals, and 17% better on free throws.  I think free throws will make a big difference, MU takes 32/game vs. 10/game for WI and we make 24/game vs. 6/game.  That is +24 points/game at the line.  MU has the speed and height advantage.  MU will win by at least 10 pts.

[Marqus Howard]

I don't understand all the pessimism on the MU board?  Yes, the stinking Badgers rarely lose at home but we have beat them there (2007 being the last time).  Let's consider some other stats from this year.  We score 21 more points a game than WI, 5 more assists, 4 more steals, and 17% better on free throws.  I think free throws will make a big difference, MU takes 32/game vs. 10/game for WI and we make 24/game vs. 6/game.  That is +24 points/game at the line.  MU has the speed and height advantage.  MU will win by at least 10 pts.

None of those stats matter, except perhaps FT percentage. We're scoring 21 more points per game, but Wisconsin is also allowing 26 fewer points per game. I think we have about a 50% chance of winning, but you have to at least acknowledge the strength of their defense.

[Hards Alumni]

None of those stats matter, except perhaps FT percentage. We're scoring 21 more points per game, but Wisconsin is also allowing 26 fewer points per game. I think we have about a 50% chance of winning, but you have to at least acknowledge the strength of their defense.

Like we acknowledged Ole Miss' defense by dropping 96 on them?

[Spaniel with a Short Tail]

60%. Upped 10% after last night. Loved how the team seemed to make the extra pass all the time. 

[Marqus Howard]

Like we acknowledged Ole Miss' defense by dropping 96 on them?

I agree that we'll win, but I don't think you can compare Ole Miss to Wisconsin. They're not even close comparisons.

[Hards Alumni]

I agree that we'll win, but I don't think you can compare Ole Miss to Wisconsin. They're not even close comparisons.

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2011/11/mu-goes-over-90-points-for-4th-straight.html

[Marqus Howard]

http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2011/11/mu-goes-over-90-points-for-4th-straight.html

Ole Miss is a turnover prone team, and we took advantage of that. Wisconsin doesn't turn it over nearly as much, so what happens if we don't get steals? That's what concerns me.