Kolek planning to go pro
https://twitter.com/MC_of_A/status/1239739685490102278?s=20Shut down the quarantine. Get back to work. Open everything up.Let's mentally prepare now.
Good news, yes. But that assumes we start with something resembling a lockdown, right?
Perhaps my post was unclear.It seems we're too late for much prevention, as per that tweet.Accept it's going to rampage, healthcare is going to be overwhelmed and people are going to die.Let's open everything back up and not lose the economy too.
In January, German Scientists developed the first Coronavirus test. Sixty countries said yes, we will use your test, or, at the very least, we will use your test until we develop our own. U.S. Administration said no. People can discuss Xenophobia, Provincial attitudes, and so on...but this right here is beyond the comprehension of many. https://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/article206555143/Corona-USA-will-Zugriff-auf-deutsche-Impfstoff-Firma.html
Guess I don’t see that in the tweet. It appears to say that if we were to implement something like Italy’s lockdown, we’d get to where they now are (leveling off of new cases). We still are below Italy in cases per capita, so it would seem we’d still have time.
How did the bureau chief of the LA Times know this? He couldn't, nobody knows this.
Wow, I'm very concerned for Benny. Being able to mimic Myron Medcalf's writing so closely implies an oncoming case of dementia.
One potential complicating factor could be on the limits of testing. Are the cases Italy is seeing essentially the max they can based on total possible number of tests? Or is it really leveling off.Let's say the maximum number of test they can run a day is 10k. And on average 30% are positive. Well, then you can only have 3k new positive tests a day, but there may be 50k tests a day waiting to be run, so true positive would be 15k new cases.I have no idea on the capacity of Italian testing, or how much is going untested, but seeing it level off does not necessarily mean anything is working (obviously it is having some effect, but stoping things, who knows).
Fair.Guess I extrapolated it a bit on my own.If we are going to be Italy (in terms of virus spread/death), then let's save the economy.If we are going to be SK, then perhaps it's worth losing a bit of the economy.And it would seem that we reacted too late and with not enough force to be SK.
2. Stop nothing. Society functions as normal. Schools open. Everyone works. Economy and employment continue at full-tilt.In this scenario, we're accepting increased deaths but hopefully only to the susceptible. We quickly allow this to move through society and have pre-planned categories for who gets serious medical intervention vs observation/acceptance. Payout is (mostly) consistent economic output.I don't honestly see how we can go halfway between the two without a total clusterunnatural carnal knowledge
Sounds like we'd be sacrificing old people so as not to inconvenience the rest of us.So instead of the fake "death panels" of a decade ago, we would have the real thing.
Not exactly what I'm saying.But have you tried to envision the other scenario? We try to save everyone and tank the economy leading to a long-term depression? Who do you think gets "sacrificed" in that scenario? Don't think people die of poverty-related diseases/afflictions?
The "degree of hysteria" perhaps helped get you and others with COVID-19 to self-quarantine so y'all don't infect the most at-risk people.For example, is it "hysteria" to tell folks like you with it (if indeed you have/had it) to not go out to restaurants, bars and other public places, where you could easily infect those with compromised immune systems?In all likelihood, 'Merica did not have enough "hysteria" the first several weeks after the coronavirus became an issue. Perhaps the "penalty" for that shortsightedness and dishonesty is more hysteria now.
Then why would you have to quarantine?
How do you know you had it? Were you tested? If so, why, you do not fit any of the recommendations on who should be tested?How did the bureau chief of the LA Times know this? He couldn't, nobody knows this. The WHO, the rest of the world, every major health organization, and your friends at Fred Hutch say otherwise.