Effect of Georgetown Game on Our RPI

[YoungMUFan4]

Not sure if the #'s I have are exact and things will change a little bit with OWP and OOWP between now and saturday but it should give a good estimate of the impact on the game

WINS
14*.6
+5*1.4
+1*1.0
=16.4

LOSES
1*1.0
+4*.6
+1*1.4
=4.8

Currently, our weighted win% is 16.4- 4.8 = 0.7736
Our RPI = (.7736 + .5607 + .5607 + .5946)/4 = 0.6224 (16)

SOS Effect:
Current OWP: 0.5607 (26 games)
Current OOWP: 0.5946 (26 games)
Georgetown WP: .8462
Georgetown OWP: .5470
New OWP = ((.5607x26)+ .8462)/27 = .5713
New OOWP = ((.5946x26)+ .5470)/27 = .5928

Beat Georgetown:
+0.6 in win column
NEW RPI: .7798+.5713+.5713+.5928/4=.6288=(12)
NEW SOS: .5713+.5713+.5928/3 =.5784 (16)

Lose to Georgetown:
-1.4 in loss column
New Win% = 16.4- 6.2 = 0.7257
NEW RPI = (.7257+.5713+.5713+.5928)/4=.6153 (18)
NEW SOS: .5713+.5713+.5928/3 =.5784 (16)

[YoungMUFan4]

and maybe tomorrow or thursday I will figure out all the scenarios through Syracuse

FLA GULF COAST

SOS Effect:
Current OWP: .5713 (27 games)
Current OOWP: .5928 (27 games)
Fl Gulf Coast WP: .4737
Fl Gulf Coast OWP: 4556
New OWP = ((.5713x27)+ .4737 )/28 = .5678
New OOWP = ((.5928x27)+ .4556)/28 = .5879

BEAT GT:

Beat Fl Gulf Coast:
+0.6 in win column
New Win% = 17.6- 4.8 = .7857
NEW RPI: .7857+.5678+.5678+.5879/4=.6273 (13)
NEW SOS: .5678+.5678+.5879/3 =.5745 (19)

Lose to Fl Gulf Coast:
-1.4 in loss column
New Win% = 17.0- 5.4 = .7589
NEW RPI: .7589+.5678+.5678+.5879/4=.6206 (17)
NEW SOS: .5678+.5678+.5879/3 =.5745 (19)

LOSE TO GT

Beat Fl Gulf Coast:
+0.6 in win column
New Win% = 17.0- 5.4 = .7589
NEW RPI: .7589+.5678+.5678+.5879/4=.6206 (17)
NEW SOS: .5678+.5678+.5879/3 =.5745 (19)

Lose to Fl Gulf Coast:
-1.4 in loss column
New Win% = 16.4- 7.6 = 0.6833
NEW RPI: .6833+.5678+.5678+.5879/4=.6017 (24)
NEW SOS: .5678+.5678+.5879/3 =.5745 (19)

[reinko]

and i thought math was for nerds 

great job

[Moe]

I would think our opponents record and opponents opponents record would change somewhat when playing florida gulf coast.  I'm not so sure you can just say it doesn't matter.

[🏀]

and i thought math was for nerds 

great job

My fellow nerds and I will retire to the nurdery with our calculators.

[The Man in Gold]

As an Excel monkey, I scoff at your calculators.

/scoff

[muwarrior87]

i'll put my ti-89 titanium mastery against your excel any day of the week! 

[jaygall31]

I'm not a true understander (probly not even a word) of the RPI in general. What does the Flordia Gulf Coast game do actually? Like does it actually hurt us by winning it? Obviously losing would be catastrophic...can someone helpme out?

[The Man in Gold]

No one knows the exact RPI formula.  (NCAA Trade Secret)  Essentially the RPI is a measure of Strength of Schedule that is adjusted for how well you did.  Since there is no exact formula, most sites use something close to the following formula :

25% Your Winning %
50% Your Opponent's Winning %
25% Opponent's opponents Winning %

So with any given game, winning or losing it doesn't have a major impact on your RPI over the course of the season.  However, by playing FGC we get their record and all the teams they've played records in our number...that is where we'll get knocked a bit.