[Cracked Sidewalks] Cracketology: Anatomy of a 1-Seed

[We R Final Four]

The human body is amazing. I hope one day you come to appreciate that

....and come to a college basketball chat to tell the world!

[Shaka Shart]

....and come to a college basketball chat to tell the world!

That's right!

[BM1090]

....and come to a college basketball chat to tell the world!

Sex positivity, bro

[muwarrior69]

This thread almost jinxed the Georgetown game.

[mileskishnish72]

Nice article, Brew, but I have a couple of questions. How are the "predictive" and "resumé" numbers derived? Thanks in advance.

[DoctorV]

Yeah...was seriously hoping that was nor the case.

Sounds like you're boner negative

[Shaka Shart]

Sounds like you're boner negative

Thank you everyone for all the sex positivity.

[brewcity77]

Nice article, Brew, but I have a couple of questions. How are the "predictive" and "resumé" numbers derived? Thanks in advance.

In addition to the NET, which is primarily a sorting tool, there are six metrics on the team sheet.

The resume metrics are the Kevin Pauga Index, Strength of Record, and Wins Above Bubble. They are different, but the main goal is to evaluate a team's results against their strength of schedule. They are primarily interested in whether you win or lose and where you do it rather than how you do it. The Resume number in the article is the average of that year's resume metrics. WAB is new to the team sheet this year, the others have been there since 2020.

The predictive metrics are kenpom, the Basketball Performance Index, and T-Rank (often referred to as Torvik in reference to its creator, Bart Torvik). They are focused on efficiency and tempo free numbers. So it's more about how you win or lose, and you can benefit from losing closer than expected or be penalized for winning closer than you should. Previously Sagarin was on here, but that metric was discontinued last year and replaced by T-Rank this year. The Predictive number is the average of these.

It's also worth noting SOR & BPI are owned by ESPN. I'm personally not a fan of a media outlet with a financial interest controlling these, especially as BPI was pretty much singularly the reason Mountain West teams were underseeded last year due to the ESPN metrics having a negative modifier for teams that play at higher altitude.

[DoctorV]

Who the heck is Kevin Pauga?

How long before the BCI, Brew City Index?

[brewcity77]

Who the heck is Kevin Pauga?

How long before the BCI, Brew City Index?

Statistician that started his career on Tom Izzo's staff. He was video coordinator for MSU when he developed the formula, and is now an Associate AD there.