Room For Concern / Win Anyway

[HowardsWorld]

My concern is they shot so bad from 3 last game especially klesmit that they are due. He killed us last year, don't want to see another performance like tha.

[brewcity77]

Don't you think playing without Ross and Lowrey affects MU's efficiency and, therefore, the validity of those projections?

It may not be a big factor, but MU doesn't get the full home crowd advantage against the Badgers either because they will have a very noticeable portion of the crowd behind them.

If Vegas follows the computers and makes MU a 7 point favorite taking UW and the points would be a good bet.

Quite possibly. But again, the OP was asking why it seemed the metrics, line, and podcasts were picking Marquette. The reason is likely because the metrics favor Marquette, the lines are set off similar metrics, and many of the podcasts are just going off analytics and gut.

[Johnny B]

My concern is they shot so bad from 3 last game especially klesmit that they are due. He killed us last year, don't want to see another performance like tha.

Thought the same thing.. another klesmit barrage inbound?

[wadesworld]

The good news is Kam and Jop shot terribly last game for us. So I guess they're due for a big game. Or does that only work against MU?

[MU82]

The good news is Kam and Jop shot terribly last game for us. So I guess they're due for a big game. Or does that only work against MU?

Stop it. Optimism is verboten, especially when Madison is the opponent.

Seriously though ... I'm feeling a big scoring game from Kam.

[K1 Lover]

Quite possibly. But again, the OP was asking why it seemed the metrics, line, and podcasts were picking Marquette. The reason is likely because the metrics favor Marquette, the lines are set off similar metrics, and many of the podcasts are just going off analytics and gut.

Perhaps I could've been clearer and it makes little difference, but picking Marquette makes sense to me. It's the idea that we should win somewhat comfortably that I'm hesitant to accept. To me, a reasonably set line would be Marquette -1.5.

I felt compelled to post since my MU friends don't seem to have much doubt for this game's outcome, and neither does the general media, apparently. It seemed like I might be alone in that regard. But I guess that just makes me one of the 1-in-10 dentists (am I fitting in with Scoop yet?).

[wadesworld]

Perhaps I could've been clearer and it makes little difference, but picking Marquette makes sense to me. It's the idea that we should win somewhat comfortably that I'm hesitant to accept. To me, a reasonably set line would be Marquette -1.5.

I felt compelled to post since my MU friends don't seem to have much doubt for this game's outcome, and neither does the general media, apparently. It seemed like I might be alone in that regard. But I guess that just means I'm a part of the 1-in-10 dentists (am I fitting in with Scoop yet?).

The only way a line of MU -1.5 makes sense is if MU ruled out Gold and Chase.

[wisblue]

The only way a line of MU -1.5 makes sense is if MU ruled out Gold and Chase.

What's the word on Gold? I've seen rumblings in several places that his status is in doubt too.

I'm having trouble with some of the logic here.

If 7 points is a reasonable spread with MU at full strength, why shouldn't the spread be significantly closer when a team that relies heavily on defense loses two of its top defenders?

[CountryRoads]

What's the word on Gold? I've seen rumblings in several places that his status is in doubt too.

I'm having trouble with some of the logic here.

If 7 points is a reasonable spread with MU at full strength, why shouldn't the spread be significantly closer when a team that relies heavily on defense loses two of its top defenders?

https://x.com/bensteelemjs/status/1864843284897472930?s=46

[Hards Alumni]

My concern is they shot so bad from 3 last game especially klesmit that they are due. He killed us last year, don't want to see another performance like tha.

Hope you don't gamble.

[Hards Alumni]

Perhaps I could've been clearer and it makes little difference, but picking Marquette makes sense to me. It's the idea that we should win somewhat comfortably that I'm hesitant to accept. To me, a reasonably set line would be Marquette -1.5.

I felt compelled to post since my MU friends don't seem to have much doubt for this game's outcome, and neither does the general media, apparently. It seemed like I might be alone in that regard. But I guess that just means I'm a part of the 1-in-10 dentists (am I fitting in with Scoop yet?).

There are places that would take that action, and you could make a fortune!

[brewcity77]

To me, a reasonably set line would be Marquette -1.5.

I'm seeing Marquette -2.5 on most sites, which is probably reflective of the injuries.

[Newsdreams]

Gard owns Shaka, period.

[PJDunn]

There is absolutely nothing as delicious as Scoop after our annual loss to Wisconsin, it is like an early Xmas gift. Let's get the loss out of the way, enjoy the scoop aftermath, and then continue to work towards a protected seed.

[MUpugnacity]

There is absolutely nothing as delicious as Scoop after our annual loss to Wisconsin, it is like an early Xmas gift. Let's get the loss out of the way, enjoy the scoop aftermath, and then continue to work towards a protected seed.

The worst part of a loss this year wouldn't be the effect on Marquette's resume. It would be at the end of the year when it's the reason wisconsin is a protected seed in milwaukee.

[Its DJOver]

The worst part of a loss this year wouldn't be the effect on Marquette's resume. It would be at the end of the year when it's the reason wisconsin is a protected seed in milwaukee.

A lot would have to go right for them for that to be in play.

[wadesworld]

The worst part of a loss this year wouldn't be the effect on Marquette's resume. It would be at the end of the year when it's the reason wisconsin is a protected seed in milwaukee.

Lol.  They already have a home loss to the team predicted to finish 9th in the B1G.  They aren't getting a high enough seed to play in Milwaukee.

[Viper]

It appears viper has been welcomed back just in time for his favorite subject. And boy is he taking advantage.

would you expect any less? 😂

[Viper]

Well what have you added? Outside of your "beat your rival" nonsense.

UW plays a style that is difficult for Marquette to function against offensively. But we will be at home and if we hit our shots we will win. Not much to break down here. 

I think we'll shoot better than at Iowa State...and I'm excited for what our freshmen can do tomorrow. This is Red's first true road game. We've played a tougher schedule to date. Don't let some no-name hack light us up for 25 and we should be fine. Close game, but Shaka gets the W tomorrow.

[The Sultan]

I think we'll shoot better than at Iowa State...and I'm excited for what our freshmen can do tomorrow. This is their first true road game. We've played tougher schedule to date. Don't let some no-name hack light us up for 25 and we should be fine. Close game, but Shaka gets the W tomorrow.

I agree with you on every point! Yay!

[burger]

If we can get past their chest up and grab action.   They have used this the last 2 years very successfully for wins.....

[GoldenEagles03]

Lol.  They already have a home loss to the team predicted to finish 9th in the B1G.  They aren't getting a high enough seed to play in Milwaukee.

Michigan isn't finishing 9th in the B1G.

They darn near 30-pieced Xavier.

[wadesworld]

Michigan isn't finishing 9th in the B1G.

They darn near 30-pieced Xavier.

And lost to Wake Forest.

You had Wisconsin "easily top 2 in the B1G," so obviously you don't think the team that just beat them on the road is 9th in the B1G.  I trust the head coaches that coach in that conference a bit more than your judgement.

[GoldenEagles03]

And lost to Wake Forest.

You had Wisconsin "easily top 2 in the B1G," so obviously you don't think the team that just beat them on the road is 9th in the B1G.  I trust the head coaches that coach in that conference a bit more than your judgement.

I do think they are easily top 2. 1 game doesn't change that.

[brewcity77]

And lost to Wake Forest.

You had Wisconsin "easily top 2 in the B1G," so obviously you don't think the team that just beat them on the road is 9th in the B1G.  I trust the head coaches that coach in that conference a bit more than your judgement.

I wouldn't trust the head coaches in the conference much in the transfer era. Michigan has a new coach and mostly new roster. The coaches had no idea what Michigan was going to be. I'd put more faith in where they are in the efficiency models because it's a better indicator of what teams actually are. FWIW Michigan is second in the B10 in kenpom & fourth in T-Rank sorted to this year only. Either way probably better than where the B10 coaches put them when they didn't know where to put them.