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Author Topic: Results since NCAA reveal  (Read 12000 times)

Scoop Snoop

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #25 on: February 25, 2023, 02:00:57 PM »
It feels like things have gone as well as possible for MU in the last week. Especially to put us in a strong position for a 3 seed.

I know, I know. I'm being greedy, but is there any way we can get a 2 seed? Probably not.
Wild horses couldn't drag me into either political party, but for very different reasons.

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MuggsyB

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #26 on: February 25, 2023, 02:01:58 PM »
I know, I know. I'm being greedy, but is there any way we can get a 2 seed? Probably not.

We may have to win out but that's conceivable. 

mugrad_89

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #27 on: February 25, 2023, 02:02:02 PM »
Iowa St doing a great job of justifying the 3 seed they got.  👀

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #28 on: February 25, 2023, 02:12:17 PM »
I know, I know. I'm being greedy, but is there any way we can get a 2 seed? Probably not.

It's possible. We certainly have to win out the regular season. Baylor may need to lose out but all three games are difficult so theoretically possible. Kansas State would also need to lose at least once more possibly twice (very possible). For good measure we should hope for another Tennessee loss just to make sure they aren't ahead of us.

A lot needs to go our way, but it's possible.
TAMU

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real chili 83

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #29 on: February 25, 2023, 02:21:45 PM »
DEEE MOYNES

DEEE MOYNES

goldeneagle91114

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #30 on: February 25, 2023, 02:25:10 PM »
DEEE MOYNES

DEEE MOYNES

Did some one say this today, or just a wish/hope?

tower912

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #31 on: February 25, 2023, 02:26:27 PM »
Dez Mo-inez
Luke 6:45   ...A good man produces goodness from the good in his heart; an evil man produces evil out of his store of evil.   Each man speaks from his heart's abundance...

It is better to be fearless and cheerful than cheerless and fearful.


82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #33 on: February 25, 2023, 10:30:12 PM »
Updated

1SE

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #34 on: February 26, 2023, 12:50:46 AM »
At this rate a BET finals appears might be enough if we win the next 2
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MuggsyB

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #35 on: February 26, 2023, 09:11:49 AM »
Updated

Where is it updater?  Do they update the top 16 (reveal) weekly?  Ty. 

We R Final Four

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #36 on: February 26, 2023, 09:25:20 AM »
Top of pg 1

milwaukee ex-pat

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #37 on: February 26, 2023, 10:00:49 AM »
1 more L for UVA vs UNC

82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #38 on: February 26, 2023, 10:12:45 AM »
1 more L for UVA vs UNC

Thanks.   Went in to update after that game, looked up all others, then forgot the NC game🤷🏻

milwaukee ex-pat

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #39 on: February 26, 2023, 10:27:58 AM »
Thank you for doing this!

82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #40 on: February 26, 2023, 02:30:54 PM »
Thank you for doing this!

Your welcome. 😊

I believe we are firmly on the 3 line.   Win out, and win one in BET, middle of 3 line.

82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #41 on: February 28, 2023, 10:37:34 PM »
Updated.

         since Feb  14     
1   Alabama     1   L Tenn   W Georgia   W SC.  W Ark. W Aub
2   houston      1   W smu   W Memphis. W tulane. W E. Car
3   purdue       1.   L Maryland.  W Ohio S.  L Indiana
4   Kansas       1   W OklS   W Baylor   W TCU. W W Vir. W TxTech
5   Texas         2   W okl   W iowa St   L Baylor L TCU
6   arizona       2   W Utah   W Col   L Arz St
7   Baylor        2   L Kan   L kansas St.   W Texas. W OkSt.
8   UCLA          2   W Stanford   W Cal. W Utah. W Col.
9   Tennesee    3   W Bama   L Kent   L TAMU.    W SCar. W Ark
10. Virginia      3   W Louisville   W ND   L BC.   L NC. W Clem
11.  Iowa St     3   L Kan   L Texas     L  Ok
12.  Kansas St  3   L OklSt   W Iowa S   W Baylor.  W OkSt W OK
13   Indiana      4   L NWU   W Ill      L MSU.    W Purdue. L Iowa
14   Marquette  4   W Xavior   W creighton   W DePaul
15   Gonzaga    4   W LMU   W pepp. W SD. W St M
16   Xavier        4   L Marq   W Depaul   L Nova. W SH



As we stand after Butler win. 
My opinion. 

Teams no longer ahead of MU
Indiana
Iowa St
Virginia
Tennesee

So we are now #10

We have to beat out 2 of these for the final 2 seed. 
Very close with all

Kansas state.  (Plays OU and WVU)
Purdue.   ( plays @rodents, vs I’ll)
Baylor ( plays ASU). 

Longer shots
Ariz. (plays USC and UCLA)
Texas. ( plays TCU and Kansas)
UCLA ( plays ASU and Ariz)

Any 2 of these 6 teams suffer a loss, we will get the 2!

Reminds me of my teenage years yearning for a UCLA loss so we could be #1!
Life as a MU fan is good AGAIN!



« Last Edit: March 01, 2023, 10:38:15 PM by 82fanatic »

PGsHeroes32

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #42 on: February 28, 2023, 10:39:24 PM »
Updated.

         since Feb  14     
1   Alabama     1   L Tenn   W Georgia   W SC.  W Ark
2   houston      1   W smu   W Memphis. W tulane. W E. Car
3   purdue       1.   L Maryland.  W Ohio S.  L Indiana
4   Kansas       1   W OklS   W Baylor   W TCU. W W Vir. W TxTech
5   Texas         2   W okl   W iowa St   L Baylor
6   arizona       2   W Utah   W Col   L Arz St
7   Baylor        2   L Kan   L kansas St.   W Texas. W OkSt.
8   UCLA          2   W Stanford   W Cal. W Utah. W Col.
9   Tennesee    3   W Bama   L Kent   L TAMU.    W SCar. W Ark
10. Virginia      3   W Louisville   W ND   L BC.   L NC. W Clem
11.  Iowa St     3   L Kan   L Texas     L  Ok
12.  Kansas St  3   L OklSt   W Iowa S   W Baylor.  W OkSt
13   Indiana      4   L NWU   W Ill      L MSU.    W Purdue. L Iowa
14   Marquette  4   W Xavior   W creighton   W DePaul
15   Gonzaga    4   W LMU   W pepp. W SD. W St M
16   Xavier        4   L Marq   W Depaul   L Nova. W SH



As we stand after Butler win. 
My opinion. 

Teams no longer ahead of MU
Indiana
Iowa St
Virginia
Tennesee

So we are now #10

We have to beat out 2 of these for the final 2 seed. 
Very close with all

Kansas state. 
Purdue
Baylor

Reminds me of my teenage years yearning for a UCLA loss so we could be #1!
Life as a MU fan is good AGAIN!

Purdue is not falling to a 3
Lazar picking up where the BIG 3 left off....

82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #43 on: February 28, 2023, 10:52:17 PM »
Purdue is not falling to a 3
Even if they lose to the badgers?
I added the other 3 targets
« Last Edit: February 28, 2023, 10:53:55 PM by 82fanatic »

TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #44 on: February 28, 2023, 11:06:59 PM »
If I had to guess the S-Curve right now I would say:

1. Alabama
2. Houston
3. Kansas
4. Purdue

5. Texas
6. UCLA
7. Baylor
8. Arizona

9. Kansas State
10. Tennessee
11. Marquette
12. Gonzaga

13. UConn
14. Virginia
15. Indiana
16. Xavier

I think Marquette was ahead of Tennessee before tonight by a sliver but Tennessee dominating Arkansas is more impressive than us dominating Butler even on the road so I think that puts them a scootch ahead for now.

Our best shot at a 2 seed is Arizona losing their last two games. A loss to USC on the road won't hurt them much but a little and losing at UCLA won't hurt them at all but it keeps them from moving up. That happens and maybe an early exit from the P12 tournament combined with a deep MU run would be enough to steal the last two seed. Gotta outperform Tennessee and K-State down the stretch as well.
TAMU

I do know, Newsie is right on you knowing ball.


DoctorV

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #45 on: February 28, 2023, 11:47:06 PM »
Fair points.

I’ll say this though-
Texas has @TCU and v Kansas this week.
0-2 there and that a 22-9, 11-7 team that I would be very hard pressed to see ahead of a 25-6, 17-3 Marquette squad going into conference tournaments, and they were the top 2 seed at the reveal.

As for the others, I can’t see both UCLA and Arizona as 2 seeds. Brew had Arizona higher, but I always felt they were the one to fall off to the 3 line because they play at UCLA to close the season. They’ve already lost at home to ASU since then and travel to USC as well.
I don’t see Arizona as a #2 seed over Marquette.

Again this is assuming MU plays on Saturday night in NYC.

Next up is Baylor, Kansas St, and Tennessee.
Kansas St won’t matter imo if MU gets to the BET final. They were ahead of Marquette at the reveal, but that was without the X and @Creighton wins, and before the BE title. Also, they will probably lose at WVU. Marquette would be ahead of Kansas St in the above scenario and probably ahead of Baylor as well, but that one I’m not as confident about.

As for Tennessee they feel like the type of team that could make a run in the SEC tourney and keep Marquette off the 2 line if all goes right, but maybe Bruce Pearl takes care of that because they are on the road on Saturday.

Even Purdue has @UW and v Illinois and two losses there and I’m not quite sure Marquette couldn’t pass them up as well, maybe do the unfathomable and slide onto the 1 line! They would be 24-7, 13-7 before the B10 tourney.

Of course that would be a miracle of 10 things going right, but it’s not a 0% chance imo, I’d say 3-5% chance haha



82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #46 on: March 01, 2023, 10:39:56 PM »
Texas goes down.   One step closer to 2 seed!


TAMU, Knower of Ball

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #47 on: March 01, 2023, 10:52:21 PM »
Texas goes down.   One step closer to 2 seed!

To a Q1 team on the road. It keeps them from putting distance between us and them but it doesn't get us closer.

What it does do for us is help push TCU to a 5 seed. That is a team I would not want to see in the second round and we're not dropping to a 4.
TAMU

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82fanatic

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #48 on: March 01, 2023, 11:15:19 PM »
TAMU.   I know you have a much better grasp of the numbers that are used.  However, I think there are still humans involved in the process, and I think the latest results will affect their decisions.   

So your telling me that if Marquette had lost to creighton they would not have dropped a seed?  Creighton is similar to TCU. 

Texas has lost twice since the reveal.  Thinking they drop one seed is not a big move or unreasonable. 


1SE

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Re: Results since NCAA reveal
« Reply #49 on: March 02, 2023, 12:54:24 AM »
3 of the 4 B12 teams gave one more L coming. Also an L coming for UCLA or AZ - if we win out we are a mortal lock for a 2 otherwise they might as well just disband the committee and seed directly from NET
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